Monthly IHSG Monthly LS-27

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Monthly Technical Plan

Monday, November 03

Monday, November 03rd rd ₂₀₁₄₂₀₁₄

International Close MoM Chg (%)

DJIA 17,390.52 585.81 3.49% Nasdaq 4,630.74 208.65 4.72% S&P 500 2,018.05 71.89 3.69% FTSE 100 6,546.47 (11.05) (0.17%) Nikkei 225 16,413.76 331.51 2.06% Hang Seng 23,998.06 1065.08 4.64% STI 3,274.25 10.16 0.31%

Exchange Rates Last MoM Chg (%)

USD / IDR 12121 (36.20) (0.30%) EUR / USD 1.2500 (0.01) (0.79%) USD / JPY 112.79 3.80 3.49%

5,089.55

246.00 -51.36

-2.00

-1.00%

-0.81%

Monthly IHSG

Monthly LS-27

Technical Analyst:

Lanjar Nafi

GBP / USD 1.5968 (0.03) (1.68%)

USD / CNY 6.118 (0.02) (0.34%)

AUD / USD 0.8724 (0.01) (0.95%)

Others Last MoM Chg (%)

S&P 500 Vlty (VIX) 14.03 (2.68) (16.04%)

EIDO: US 27.57 0.72 2.68%

Sector Last MoM Chg (%)

Composite 5089.55 (51.36) (1.00%) Agriculture 2156.79 62.79 3.00% Basic Industry 542.53 15.80 3.00% Cosumer Goods 2086.41 (35.37) (1.67%) Finance 710.39 8.64 1.23% Infrastructure 1149.02 (22.01) (1.88%) Mining 1458.46 (66.66) (4.37%) Miscellaneous 1204.74 (39.05) (3.14%) Manufacture 1280.61 (10.64) (0.82%) Property 469.26 17.19 3.80%

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Monthly Technical Plan

RELATIVE PERFORMANCE SECTORAL INDEX

Comment:

Upside potentially:

Mining Index decline in October and the index try to move at under-perform to out-perform area. The index was the most under-out-perform index during the first week in its relative performance at -2.41%.

Trading Index declined in October after arrived at Out-perform last month. And now the index arrived at underperform. It’s a rebounded signal in relative performance at -1.95%.

Downside potentially:

Property Index was the most Out-perform Index in September after arrived at Under-perform last month, with the strong relative Under-performance of 9.26%. Potential downturn is very high in the near term.

Basic Industry Index surged in the second Outperform Index at the first week in September after arrived at under-perform last month, with the relative performance of 7.63%. The relative performance of consumer goods has move consolidations at out-perform area and potentially downward to under-out-perform area.

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Monthly Technical Plan

IHSG Weekly Charts

S1 5067 R1 5255

S2 4903 R2 5490

S3 4723 R3 5715

Comment:

JCI surged after broke out the MA25 resistance level. Trading range 4901-5107. The index forming a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern.

By the first November, the index has consolidations after break out resistance level. The index also forming a Bearish butterfly harmonic pattern have target at 4736 it also a MA50 support level.

Stochastic, limited bullish movement at the near overbought state, broad dead-cross potential. Relative Strength Index Indicator give a signal consolidations momentum at moderate oscillator.

Long term bullish movement.

This month stop-loss level 5000 (Break out lower Bollinger bands support level). If break out support level the Index will potentially continue to 4736 (Butterfly harmonic target and MA50 Support level).

This month resistance level 5157 (MA7 resistance level), if the index has break out resistance level, it will continue to move upward to 5254.

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Monthly Technical Plan

MINING INDEX Weekly Charts

S1 1398 R1 1580

S2 1240 R2 1732

S3 1055 R3 1890

Comment:

The Mining Index declined significant last month after pulled back the bearish trend resistance level. Trading range 1365 - 1519.

By the first November, The index has arrived at lower Bollinger band and bullish trend support level. It’s a rebound signal if the index pulled back at bullish trend support level.

Stochastic bullish movement from oversold state, broad upside potential. RSI on bullish momentum at moderate oscillator. The price has reached the lower Bollinger band, signaling a potential reversal towards the upper band.

Short term bearish, Long term and Medium term bullish movement.

This month resistance level 1520 (MA25 resistance level), if the index has breaks out resistance level, it will continue to move upward to 1650 (Upper Bollinger band Resistance level). But if the index breaks out the bullish trend support level at 1360 (Break out bullish trend line support level), it will to continue until 1240.

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Monthly Technical Plan

PROPERTY Weekly Charts

S1 450 R1 485

S2 418 R2 525

S3 378 R3 565

Comment:

The Property index surged significant after touching the bullish trend support level. Trading range 426-472.

By the first November, The candle has confirmations a hanging man pattern. It’s a reversal signal.

Stochastic dead-cross indications at overbought state, broad downside potential. RSI have bearish momentum at moderate oscillator. The price has arrived at the middle upper Bollinger bands, signaling a potential reversal downwards to the lower band. Long term bullish movement.

This month stop loss level is around 448 (Break out support level). If the index breaks through this support level, it will continue to 418 (MA50 support level).

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Monthly Technical Plan

RESEARCH DIVISION

Jasa Adhi Mulya [email protected]

Robertus Yanuar Hardy [email protected]

Lanjar Nafi Taulat I [email protected]

Hansen Teguh [email protected]

Aji Setiawan [email protected]

Alan Milgerry [email protected]

Pieter Djatmiko [email protected]

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