Daily
Price Action
IHSG Technical Review
Tuesday, April 16
th2013
4894.59
-42.62
825.60
-0.86%
-8.53
Vol (Mn):
3,843
-1.02%
Val (Bn):
4,197
IHSG
LQ-45
Sector Indices Last
Change Change %
Agricult ure
1948.92
(10.38)
(0.53)
Mining
1781.01
(15.71)
(0.87)
Basic Indust ry
596.45
(6.35)
(1.05)
Misc Indust ry
1345.19
(10.84)
(0.80)
Consumer
1781.54
(8.75)
(0.49)
Propert y
457.54
(2.26)
(0.49)
Infrast ruct ure
1033.31
(6.75)
(0.65)
Finance
649.81
(7.60)
(1.16)
Trade
867.75
(9.56)
(1.09)
Manufact ure
1258.87
(9.40)
(0.74)
Source: IQ Plus
Most Active
Last
Change %
Freq
BBRI
8,300
0.0
2,551
LPKR
1,390
0.0
2,487
KLBF
1,260
2.4 2,144
SUGI
405
0.0
1,990
PWON
355
(2.7)
1,905
Most Volume
Last
Change %
000 Lot
META
230
(2.1)
308
ENRG
120
(1.6)
268
TRAM
1,420
(0.7)
252
PNLF
235
0.0
178
LCGP
265
3.9
174
Most Value
Last
Change %
Rp Bil
BBRI
8,300
0.0
290
TRAM
1,420
(0.7)
179
BBCA
10,600
(2.8)
146
TLKM
11,150
0.0
138
ASII
7,600
(0.7)
123
R3
5126
R2
5046
R1
4983
Last
4894.59
S1
4873
S2
4792
S3
4729
Comment:
Bearish kicker signal, low
trading volume.
Stochastic,
consolidation,
moderate state.
DI(-) starts pointing up,
downtrend movement.
Elliot wave, the index reversed
after achieving the wave (B)
moving toward the wave (C) of
4812.
Long term bullish movement.
Stop-loss 4873.
2
your
reliable
partner
2
Daily
Price Action
Chart Pick
GGRM
R3
60350
R2
57050
R1
54250
Last
53500
S1
51050
S2
48250
S3
46050
PARTIAL SELL
Comment:
Hanging man, a reversal sign
with low trading volume.
Stochastic overbought state,
broad downside potential.
DI (-) is pointing down, a weak
downside movement
Long term bullish, medium
term bearish movement.
Stop-loss level
52800,
downside target 51050.
BMRI
R3
11550
R2
11050
R1
10450
Last
10150
S1
10050
S2
9500
S3
9100
PARTIAL SELL
Comment:
Bearish kicker signal, low
trading volume.
Stochastic is at overbought
state,
dead
cross, broad
downside potential.
Bill William first day
deceleration. Fractal range
9800-10350
Long term & medium term
bullish movement.
Stop-loss level 10050,
downside target 9600
Daily
Price Action
Chart Pick
LPKR
R3
1570
R2
1470
R1
1410
Last
1390
S1
1340
S2
1280
S3
1210
PARTIAL SELL
Comment:
Northern star, low trading
volume.
Stochastic is at overbought
state,
dead cross, broad
downside potential.
Long term bullish, shorter
term bearish movement.
Bill William
acceleration
phase, fractal range
1270-1400
Stop-loss level 1360,
downside target 1250.
CTRS
R3
3275
R2
3100
R1
2950
Last
2850
S1
2775
S2
2600
S3
2450
PARTIAL SELL
Comment:
Bearish kicker signal, low
trading volume.
Stochastic dead cross at
overbought
state,
broad
downside potential.
Long term bullish, short term
bearish movement.
DI lines are crossing each
other with DI (-) is pointing
up, a strong bearish.
Stop-loss level 2825,
downside target 2600
4
your
reliable
partner
4
Daily
Price Action
Source : Reliance Securities
Technical Stocks Matrix
Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)
H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)
PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
Analyst Conclusion:
The Wave ( C ) confirm, distribute portfolio.
.
Closing
Stop
Rec
Target Curr.
Curr.
S2
S1
Price
R1
R2
Technical Notes
Rec
Loss Buy Prc Price P/E (x) P/B (x)
Plantation
AALI 17,800 18,450 18,550 19,300 20,100 Bullish momentum SB 18450 18500 19300 13.1 3.4 BWPT 1,060 1,130 1,200 1,210 1,290 Breaks support W 1180 16.7 3.2 Mining
ADRO 1,180 1,260 1,270 1,340 1,430 Sideways TB 1260 1270 1340 9.6 1.4 INCO 2,075 2,300 2,450 2,500 2,700 Bullish momentum SB 2375 2400 2500 9.7 1.5 PTBA 13,850 14,550 15,150 15,300 16,000 Breaks support S 15050 11.9 4.1 Consumer
ICBP 9,250 9,900 10,100 10,600 11,200 Sideways W 9900 26.7 5.1 MYOR 28,550 29,800 30,000 31,050 32,800 Bearish momentum S 29800 26.8 5.1 KLBF 1,140 1,230 1,260 1,330 1,400 Bullish kicker signal SB 1230 1330 36.7 9.9
Trading
ACES 830 880 880 930 980 Oversold W 880 42.9 1.0 AKRA 4,675 4,850 5,050 5,150 5,350 Sideways TB 4850 5150 30.3 4.6 MAPI 7,500 7,900 8,250 8,250 8,650 Bullish engulfing SB 8100 8200 8650 38.0 7.6 MNCN 2,700 2,850 2,900 3,050 3,275 Oversold W 2850 26.0 6.0
Property & Construction
ASRI 920 970 1,020 1,030 1,100 Evening star TB 970 1050 20.0 4.8 SMRA 2,100 2,300 2,300 2,500 2,600 Bearish continuation S 2200 25.1 5.2 BSDE 1,560 1,630 1,700 1,720 1,780 Northern star PS 1650 33.0 3.0 WIKA 1,970 2,125 2,150 2,275 2,400 Bearish harami PS 2000 26.8 4.7 KIJA 270 290 295 310 325 Stoch dead cross S 285 15.6 1.5
Basic Industry & Chem ical
CPIN 4,350 4,675 4,675 5,100 5,500 Oversold W 4650 7.3 2.3 SMGR 16,150 17,750 17,750 18,150 19,050 Evening star PS 17600 16.3 3.9 SMCB 3,450 3,650 3,650 3,850 3,975 Oversold W 3600 23.0 3.5 Miscelaneous ASII 7,400 7,600 7,600 7,950 8,200 Sideways TB 7400 15.7 0.4 Finance
BBNI 4,700 4,975 4,975 5,150 5,300 Moderate state W 4950 9.0 2.2 BBRI 7,500 8,300 8,300 8,400 8,800 Sideways W 8200 11.0 3.2 BBTN 1,540 1,610 1,680 1,680 1,750 Northern star H 1650 1700 7.9 1.8
Infrastructure
JSMR 5,850 6,350 6,350 6,400 6,650 Overbought H 6100 6400 24.8 4.6 EXCL 4,850 5,400 5,400 5,550 6,000 Moderate state W 5300 17.6 3.1 PGAS 5,300 5,650 5,650 6,000 6,150 Bearish continuation S 5500 23.1 8.0
April 16th, 2013 Recommendation Table
Daily
Price Action
HEAD OFFICE
Reliance Building Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A, Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 661 7768 F +62 21 661 9884
RESEARCH DIVISION
Jasa Adhi Mulya jasa@reliance-securities.com Wilson Sofan wilson.sofan@reliance-securities.com Monchita W.P monchita@reliance-securities.com Christine Natasya christine.natasya@reliance-securities.com EQUITY DIVISION
Jakarta- Pluit
Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T + 62 21 661 7768 F + 62 21 661 9884 Jakarta - Sudirman Menara Batavia 27th floor Jl.KH.Mas Mansyur Kav 126 Jakarta 10220
T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010 Jakarta – Kebon Jeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2 Jakarta 11530
T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157 BSD
Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494 Jakarta – Green Ville
Ruko Taman Ratu D 11 No. 19 C Duri Kepa, Green Ville Jakarta 11510 T + 62 21 56945227 F + 62 21 56945226 Bandung Jl.Cisangkuy No.58 Bandung 40115 T + 62 22 721 8200 F + 62 22 721 9255 Tasikmalaya
Ruko Tasik Indah Plaza No. 21 Jl. KHZ Mustofa No. 345 Tasikmalaya 46121 T + 62 265 345000 F + 62 265 345003 Yogyakarta
Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121 Surakarta
Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478 Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615 Surabaya - Gubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196 Surabaya – Diponegoro Jl. Diponegoro 141-143 Surabaya 60264 T + 62 31 567 0388 F + 62 31 561 0528 Denpasar
Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099 Pontianak
Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284 Balikpapan
Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 51A Balikpapan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI
UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450
T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138 President University
Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya
Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24
Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Jl. Wahidin Sudiro Husodo Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 563 929 F + 62 274 513 235 UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta
T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB
Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585 Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782 Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420 STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619 Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419 STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
Makassar
Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634 Pekanbaru
Jl. Sumatera No. 9, Simpang Empat Pekanbaru - Riau 28000 T + 62 761 7894368 F + 62 761 7894370 Medan
Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597
Disclaimer:
Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari
sumber-sumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi
dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil
berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk
merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.
Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani
Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840 Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. (0354) 683128 F. (0354) 683128
Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru
Makassar 90222
T. 0411-889464 / 881244 F. 0411-887604
