EXECUTIVE REFERENCE DATA Energy Management Towards The National Energy Security

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EXECUTIVE REFERENCE DATA

Energy Management Towards

The National Energy Security

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PREFACE

Indonesia's economic growth with an average growth rate of 5.7% per year during the period 2011 through 2012, has trigerred the increase of domestic energy demand by an average of 4.4% per year. By 2030 the energy demand is estimated to be three times the demand level in 2010, while the increase in energy production in 2030 is estimated to rise at twice that of the year 2010. This condition requires a good energy planning and management to ensure the supply of energy in the long term.

To provide an overview of the energy situation in Indonesia, The National Energy Council published the 2

^nd

edition of the "Executive Reference Data: Energy Management towards National Energy Security". This 2nd edition booklet in 2013, illustrates the energy management of Indonesia up to 2012. It presents information on the oil, gas, coal and electricity condition, the progress of 10,000 MW accelerated development of the electric power generation plants phase I and phase II, the development of new and renewable energy, CO2 emissions from the energy users sector and of the Indonesia’s energy position in the ASEAN region.

Hopefully this booklet provide a great benefits for energy management in Indonesia.

Jakarta, December 2013 Secretary General of National Energy Council

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TABLE OF CONTENT

1. Socio-economic 2. Energy Indicator 3. Oil and Gas

4. Coal

5. Electricity

6. New and Renewable Energy 7. CO ₂ Emissions

8. Indonesia Position in the Global Context

2

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SOCIO-ECONOMIC

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POPULATION

Projection

(Million peoples)

4 (

Source

:

IndonesianCentral Bureau of Statistics

)

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Since last 25 years, the numbers of population increase from 240,7 million in 2010 to 304,9 million in 2035,

although average growth of Indonesia population in 2010-2035 shown the decreasing trends. In 2010-2015

and 2030-2035 , population growth rate decreased from 1,29 percent to 0,62 percent each year.

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POPULATION IN RURAL AND URBAN AREAS

Proeksi Penduduk Indonesia

In 2015, it is estimated the population in the urban areas will increase with the composition of 56% living in town/city and 44% living in villages. Changes of a village to become a town has caused the increase in number and density of population, economic activity is no longer relies on the agricultural sector, to the improvement of infrastructure.

5

(Source: Bureau of Statistics Indonesia) 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Rural

Urban

2012

(7)

0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fisheries Mining & Quarrying

Oil & Gas Industry Industry

Electricity, Gas & Water Construction

Trade, Hotel & Restaurant Cargo & Communication Finance, Real Estate & Company Service Services

GDP CONSTANT 2000 BY SECTOR

(Billion IDR)

* Temporary Value ** Very Temporary Value

Indonesia's GDP increased more than 6% per year 2011-2012 despite the world crisis. Based on BPS data, the structure of GDP in 2012 was dominated by the manufacturing sector reached 24%, the trade, hotels and restaurants for 18%, agriculture 13%.

Source: BPS - Statistics Indonesia

6

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GDP BY REGION

Proeksi Penduduk Indonesia

7

> 600.000

500.001 – 600.000 400.001 – 500.000

300.001 – 400.000 200.001 – 300.000 100.001 – 200.000

50.000 – 100.000

< 50.000

Source: BPS - Statistics Indonesia

(GDPR in Billion IDR)

(9)

POOR PEOPLE AND POVERTY BORDER LINE

Sumatera:

Urban : 2,135.7 (10.6%) Rural : 3,269.1 (12.6%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 300,3 Rural : Rp. 253,0

Jawa dan Bali:

Urban : 7,611,7 (8.4%) Rural : 9,281.6 (12.1%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 255,9 Rural : Rp. 177.7

Nusa Tenggara:

Urban : 565,2 (18.1%) Rural : 1,342.5 (20.1%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 256.3 Rural : Rp. 188.1

Papua dan Sekitarnya:

Urban : 113,7 (5.9%) Rural : 1,538.5 (30.8%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 293.5 Rural : Rp. 255.7 Sulawesi:

Urban : 352.9 (7.1%) Rural : 1,789.6 (16.6%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 211.6 Rural : Rp. 190.7 Kalimantan:

Urban : 265.4 (4.6%) Rural : 704.1 (8.8%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 266.5 Rural : Rp. 236.0

Indonesia

Urban : 11,046.8 (9.2%) Rural : 18,972.2 (15,8%) Poverty Line

Urban : Rp. 253.0 Rural : Rp. 213.4

(Thousand Peoples)

By 2012, around 11.04 million peoples living in urban areas where 9.2% are the poor. While the number of people left in rural areas was 18.97 million people, of which 15.8% of the total were categorized as the poor. The urban poverty line level was 253 thousand rupiahs, and in the rural area was 213 thousand rupiahs.

8

Source: BPS - Statistics Indonesia, reprocessed by National Energy Council

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NUMBER OF MOTOR VEHICLES BY TYPES

Motor Cycles Passenger

Car

Truck

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

Passenger Car Bus Truck Motor Cycles

Bus

Million Unit

Source

: Ministry of Transportation

Motor cycles growth rate is very high (15.3% per year), exceed the growth rate of total vehicles by 14% per year.

Subsidized fuel consumption for

passenger cars are very huge, total fuel which subsidized by the Government almost 53 % consumed by passenger cars, and 40 % by motor cycles.

Truck consumed 4% from total fuel which subsidized by government Bus consumed 3 % from total fuel which subsidized by government.

9

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ENERGY INDICATOR

(12)

PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY

(MBOE)

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources/MEMR, reprocessed by NEC)

11

Excluded Biomass

0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

MB O E

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Others RE 2,873 3,193 3,991 4,434 4,668 6,025

Hydro 28,451 29,060 28,696 44,003 30,074 31,795

Gas 183,624 193,352 253,198 269,942 279,286 275,950

Oil 474,033 464,704 546,050 572,249 497,729 485,045

Coal 258,174 205,492 236,439 281,400 334,143 344,400

(13)

ENERGY MIX

2011

2012

12

Source: MEMR, reprocessed by NEC

Coal 29.4%

41.4% Oil

Gas 23.6%

Hydro 2.7%

Geothermal 2,4%

Others RE 0.5%

Coal 28.7%

42.8% Oil

Gas 24.0%

Hydro 2.6%

Geothermal 1,4%

Others RE

0.4%

(14)

FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR

(MBOE)

13

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources , reprocessed by NEC

Excluded Biomass

0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 900.00 1000.00

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Industrial Non Energy Utilization Households Commercial Transportation Other

3%

35,82%

3,92%

9,84%

12,96%

34,46%

(15)

FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION

(MBOE)

14

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, reprocessed by NEC

0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 900.00 1000.00

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Coal Natural

Gas Fuel Other Petroleum Product Briquette LPG Electricity

19%

6,13%

13,6%

5,5%

50%

12%

(16)

SHARES OF ENERGY UTILIZATION BY SECTOR

Transportation 27,1%

Industry 29,76%

Residential 28%

Comercial (3,08%)

Others (2,2%)

BY TYPE OF ENERGY

Coal 34.54%

Gas 28.86%

Fuel 28.86%

Electricity 7.91%

INDUSTRY

Fuel 99.95%

TRANSPORTATION POWER PLANT

Fuel 26.4%

Gas 24.33%

Coal 49.27%

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources , “Handbook of Energy & Economic Statistic Indonesia 2012”.

Electricity (0,02%)

Gas (0,03%)

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ENERGY FLOW 2012

Source: National Energy Council

16

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OIL AND GAS

(19)

OIL AND GAS RESERVES

125.29

116.24

3,685.95 813.69

554.43

969.65

598.53

48.51 27.71

66.07 108.84

7.08

50.27 1.23

9.28

16.03 2.98

16.65

2.57

5.26

15.21

24.14

: Gas (TSCF) : Oil (MMSTB)

Proven Potential Total

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources by 2013, reprocessed by NEC

18

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CRUDE OIL SUPPLY

(Thousand Bbl)

Note : - discrepancy between production, export, import and domestic demand due to the existing stock - the role of imported crude in 2012 was amounted to 32 % from the total that goes to the oil refinery

19 0 100 200 300 400 500 600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

IMPORT

PRODUCTION

EXPORT

REFINERY

(21)

CRUDE OIL EXPORTS

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources 2012, reprocessed by NEC

20 27% 5%

16%

2%

7%

43%

Japan USA Korea Taiwan Singapore Others

By 2012, total crude oil exported from Indonesia 124.54 thousand barrels

(22)

FUEL IMPORTS

(Thousand KL)

21

Note : - Share of fuel imports in 2012 amounted to 54.25% (179.98 MBOE) of the total domestic fuel oil consumption

- The value of imports of RON 88 (premium) increased along with the increase in domestic demand - Kerosene imports declined and abolished in 2009 due to LPG conversion policy

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Avtur RON 88 RON 92+RON 95+HOMC Kerosene Fuel Oil

(23)

LPG IMPORTS

(Kilo Ton)

22

Note : - Share of LPG imports in 2012 amounted to 49.73% (21.3 MBOE) of the total LPG supply

- The value of LPG supply increased along with the increasing the demand in residential sector due to LPG conversion policy

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Total Supply Import

(24)

GAS SUPPLY

(Thousand MMSCF)

23

Note : - export means export of gas through pipeline - products of LNG refinery allocated for exports

- discrepancy between the production and the total usage of gas due to gas reinjection, own use and flare 0

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

PRODUCTION LNG PLANT EXPORT CONSUMPTION

(25)

GAS PRODUCTION

(Thousand MMSCF)

24

Note : associated defined as a natural gas found in association with oil, either dissolved in the oil or as a cap of free gas above the oil.

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ASSOCIATED NON ASSOCIATED TOTAL

(26)

NATURAL GAS EXPORTS

(Thousand MMSCF)

25 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

PIPELINE GAS LNG

(27)

GAS AND LNG EXPORTS

26

Source: MEMR 2012, reprocessed by NEC

1.94 8%

12.75 54%

5.57 24% 1.38 6%

1.97 8%

China Japan Korea Mexico Taiwan

(Million Ton)

Natural Gas export to Singapore (Trans-ASEAN Gas Pipeline) around 358.325 MMScf.

By 2012, total LNG exported from Indonesia 1,377.8 thousand

MMScf or around 1098.2 million MMBTU

(28)

NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION

(Thousand MMSCF)

27 - 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 3,000.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

LNG Plant LPG Plant Refinery City Gas Industry Electricity

(29)

FUEL OIL SUBSIDY

(Trillion IDR)

World oil price hike up to 133 US$

28

Note : rise in oil prices due to geopolitical crisis in the Middle East and Libya

(30)

SHARES OF TOTAL ENERGY SUBSIDY, 2012

Source: Ministry of Finance, reprocessed by NEC

Fuel/LPG/LGV 137.379,8

(56%)

Electricity 64.973,4

(26%)

Foods 20.926,3

(9%) Fertilizer 13.958,6

(6%) Others 7.838,2

(3%)

Subsidy of Energy;

202.353,2 (83%)

(Trilion Rupiahs)

29

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OIL FLOW IN 2012

30

Source: National Energy Council

(32)

GAS FLOW IN 2012

31

Source: National Energy Council

(33)

COAL

(34)

COAL RESOURCES AND RESERVES

TOTAL RESOURCES 161 Billion Ton

TOTAL RESERVES 28 Billion Ton

Very High ( > 7.100 kal/gr )

Low ( < 5.100 kal/gr ) High ( 6.100 – 7.100 kal/gr ) Medium ( 5.100 – 6.100 kal/gr )

33 Resources Reserves

Data by 2012

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

(35)

(Million Ton)

COAL UTILIZATION

34

Note : *⁾ Realization forecast in year 2012

Coal’s Domestic Market Obligation (DMO) started to be enforced in 2010

*)) 2013 Target 0

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

217

240 254

275

353

386 391

163

187 198 208

273

304 306

54 53 67 67 80 82 85

64.9 66.3 67.3 74.3

Production Export Domestic DMO

(36)

COAL EXPORT BY COUNTRY DESTINATION

(Million Ton)

35

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COAL REFERENCE PRICE (HBA)

US Dollar

36 (Data source: MEMR, reprocessed by NEC)

2009

$70.70

2010

$91.74

2012

$95.48

2013

$83.66

2011

$118.4

40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13

HBA lowest on May 2009 :

$62.83

HBA highest on February 2011 :

$127.05

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COAL FLOW

Source: National Energy Council, 2012 37

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ELECTRICITY

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ELECTRICITY POWER CONDITION

No DESCRIPTION UNIT 2011 2012 2013

Realization Plan Realization Plan

1 Demand Growth of Electricity % 10,1 8,4 8,4 8,6

2 Electrification Ratio % 72,95 75,3 76,6 79,3

3 Village Electrification Ratio % 96 96,7 96,7 97,8

4 Total Installed Capacity MW 39.885 44.224 44.124 48.161

a. PLN MW 30.529 33.454 32.108 35.564

b. Independent Power Producer (IPP) MW 7.653 9.066 10.287 10.718 c. Private Power Utilities (PPU) MW 1.704 1.704 1.729 1.729 5 PLN Electricity Production and

Purchase of Electricity GWh 175.213 190.940 193.663 207.409

6 Rural Electricity

a. Sub Station Distribution MVA 368 213,1 249 216,8

b. Distribution Network KMs 17.570,7 8.590,3 11.311,5 9.244,3 c. Cheap and EfficientEelectricity RTS

^*)

- 83.000 60.702 95.227

Source : Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources & National Electric Company (PLN)

*) RTS = Target Households (<450 Watt)

39

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16,318.00

8,480.97

5,471.93

4,236.02

3,880.83

1,209.00

169.54 57.66 41.00 26.00 5.93 1.16 0.93 PLTU PLTGU P L T D PLTG PLTA PLTP PLTMG PLTM PLTGB PLTSa PLTMH PLTS PLTB

POWER PLANT CAPACITY, 2011

(MW)

Total Capacity : 39,898.97

40 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources , reprocessed by NEC

Note : the figures on the PLTU (steamed power plant) does not only use coal as the primary fuel, but there is also the

use of gas, the MFO and HSD.

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TARGET AND REALISATION OF THE ENERGY MIX POWER PLANT (2008 – 2013)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 **2013*)**

Fuel OIl

36% 25% 22% 22,95% 15,02% 9,70%

Bio-Diesel & Other NRE

0% 0% 0% 0,07% 0,12% 0,52%

Hydropower

9% 8% 12% 6,80% 6,44% 6,19%

Geothermal

3% 3% 3% 5,13% 4,75% 4,80%

Gas

17% 25% 25% 21,00% 22,60% 22,12%

Coal

35% 39% 38% 44,06% 51,08% 56,66%

(%)

41 *) Temporary Data

(43)

POWER PLANTS LOCATION

PLTA Plan PLTG PLan

PLGB Plan PLGU Plan

PLM Plan PLTP Plan

PLTU Plan PLTD Plan

42

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ELECTRICITY TRANSMISSION NETWORK

Existing Transmission Line Transmission Line Plan

43 Source: Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (EBTKE,2012) , reprocessed by NEC

(45)

ELECTRIFICATION RATIO 2012

90.96% NAD Sumut 86.70%

Sumbar 76.14%

Riau 85.09%

Sumsel 73.97.%

Bengkulu 79.37%

Babel 94.13%

Lampung 74.91%

Jakarta 99.99%

Banten 77.52%

Jabar

76.03% Jateng 79.95%

Jambi 70.37%

77.26% DIY Jatim 74.31%

Bali 74.31%

53.63% NTB

53.42% NTT Kalbar

71.46%

Kalsel 76.74%

Kaltim 73.08%

Sulut 76.22%

Sulteng 66.83%

Sulsel 76.29%

Malut 74.12%

Maluku 72.07%

Papua 34.62%

Category :

> 73,6 %

50 – 73,6 % 20 - 50 % Sulbar

66.65%

Kepri 83.56%

Sultra 60.53%

Papua Barat 67.88%

Kalteng 73.32%

Gorontalo 60.99%

REALISATION (%) PLAN (%)

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Electrification Ratio 64.3% 65.1% 65.8% 67.2% 73.0% 76.6% 79.3% 81.4%

RPJM Target 67.2% 70.4% 73.6% 76.8% 80.0%

44

Source: Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (EBTKE,2012) , reprocessed by NEC

The category to be attuned to the RPJM Target 2012 (C%) ; RPJM = Long and Medium Term Development PLan

(46)

PROGRESS of FTP-I and FTP-II

(47)

10,000 MW FAST TRACK PROGRAM PHASE I (FTP I)

300 300

2,560

1,350

3,625.5

1,791.5

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Target 5.417 MW (54,6%)

Labuan #1

(MW)

Labuan #2 1. Indramayu (3 x 330) 2. Suralaya (1 x 625) 3. Lontar #1 (1 x 315) 4. Rembang (2 x 315)

1. Banten - Lontar #2 & #3 (630 MW) 2. Jatim – Paiton (1x660 MW) 3. Sulut – Amurang (2x25 MW) 4. Sultra – Kendari #2 (10 MW)

1. Kepri – Tj. Balai Karimun (2x7 MW) 11. Kalsel – Asam-asam (2x65 MW) 2. Lampung – Tarahan Baru (2x100 MW) 12. Sultra – Kendari #1 (10 MW) 3. Jabar – Pelabuhan Ratu(3x350 MW) 13. Sulsel – Barru (2x50 MW) 4. Jatim – Pacitan (2x315 MW) 14. NTB – Lombok (2x25 MW) 5. Jatim – Tj.Awar-awar (2x350 MW) 15. NTT – Ende (2x7 MW) 6. NAD – Nagan Raya (2x110 MW) 16. NTT – Kupang (2x16,5 MW) 7. Sumbar – Teluk Sirih (2x112 MW) 17. Maluku – Ambon (2x15 MW) 8. Babel – Bangka Baru (2x30 MW) 18. Malut – Tidore (2x7 MW) 9. Babel – Belitung#1 (16,5 MW) 19. Papua – Jayapura (2x10 MW) 10. Kaltim – Teluk Balikpapan#1 (110 MW)

1. Jateng – Adipala (1x660 MW) 2. Sumut – Pangkalan Susu (2x220 MW) 3. Babel – Belitung#2 (16,5 MW) 4. Riau – Tenayan (2x110 MW) 5. Kalbar – Parit Baru (2x50 MW) 6. Kalbar – Bengkayang (2x27,5 MW) 7. Kaltim – Teluk Balikpapan#2 (110 MW) 8. NTB – Bima (2x10 MW)

9. Gorontalo – Anggrek (2x25 MW) 10. Kalteng – Pulang Pisau (2x60 MW)

Realization 4.510 MW (45,4%)

46

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10,000 MW FAST TRACK PROGRAM PHASE II (FTP II)

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

85 291

1,972

1,570

843 500

905 110 31

700 434 1,205

1,020

40

40 PLN IPP

110 945

540 1,863

2,775 2,406

991

116 Total

47 (MW)

(49)

COMPOSITION OF 10,000 MW FAST TRACK PROGRAM PHASE II

3,025

280 64 1,753

4,925

PLTU PLTG PLTGB PLTA PLTP

48

(50)

SUMATERA

• PLTA : 476 MW

• PLTP : 2,670 MW

• PLTU : 531 MW

• PLTGB : 16 MW TOTAL : 3,693 MW

JAWA - BALI

• PLTA : 1,087 MW

• PLTP : 2,010 MW

• PLTU : 1,400 MW TOTAL : 4,497 MW

KALIMANTAN

• PLTU : 548 MW

• PLTGB : 8 MW

• PLTG : 280 MW TOTAL : 836 MW

SULAWESI

• PLTA : 190 MW

• PLTP : 145 MW

• PLTU : 360 MW

• PLTGB : 16 MW TOTAL : 711 MW

MALUKU

• PLTP : 35 MW

• PLTGB : 16 MW TOTAL : 51 MW

NUSA TENGGARA

• PLTP : 65 MW

• PLTU : 70 MW

• PLTGB : 8 MW TOTAL : 143 MW

PAPUA

PLTU : 116 MW

DISTRIBUTION of 10,000 MW POWER PLANT PHASE II

49

*) EMR Ministerial Regulation Number 01 Year 2012

(51)

NEW AND RENEWABLE ENERGY

energyBARUKAN

(52)

NEW AND RENEWABLE ENERGY FLOW

Source: NEC, 2012 51

(53)

NEW AND RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES

NO TYPE RESOURCE INSTALLED CAPACITY

(MW) RATIO (%)

1 2 3 4 5 = 4/3

1 Hydro (MW) 75,000 MW 6,848.46 MW 9.13%

2 Geothermal (MW) 29,164 MW 1,341 MW 4.6 %

3 Biomass (MW) 49,810 MW 1,644.1 MW 3.3%

4 Solar Energy 4.80 kWh/m

²

/day 22.45 MW -

5 Wind Energy 3 – 6 m/s 1.87 MW -

6 Ocean 49 GW

²⁾

0.01 MW

³⁾

0%

7 Uranium (MW) 3,000 MW 30 MW

¹⁾

0%

Note: 1) Research scale, non-energy 2) Source: National Energy Council 3) Research Scale: BPPT

52

(54)

Source: Geological Agency, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (2012)

PLTP SIBAYAK: 12 MW

PLTP GUNUNG SALAK: 377 MW PLTP WAYANG WINDU: 227 MW

PLTP KAMOJANG: 200 MW PLTP DARAJAT: 270 MW

PLTP DIENG: 60 MW

PLTP LAHENDONG: 80 MW

No. Islands Total Locations Potency (MW)

1 Sumatera 86 13.470

2 Jawa & Bali 76 10.013

3 Nusa Tenggara 22 1.471

4 Kalimantan 12 145

5 Sulawesi 56 2.939

6 Maluku & Papua 33 1.126

TOTAL 285 29.164

PLTP ULUBELU: 110 MW

PLTP ULUMBU: 5 MW

GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL

Installed

Ready to be developed Detailed Survey

Preliminary Survey

53

(55)

HYDRO POTENTIAL AND INSTALLED CAPACITY

54 Sumatera Jawa Kalimantan Sulawesi Bali, NTT,

NTB Maluku,

Papua

Potential 15,600 4,200 21,600 10,200 620 22,780

Installed Capacity 1,772.60 2,652.40 31.34 1,460.41 14.65 8.59

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

0.14% 13.25%

62.16%

10.98%

(MW)

• Indonesia have 75 GW total hydropower potential and 5,940 MW installed capacity (7.9% of potential)

• The Largest hydropower potential is in Papua and Kalimantan, but its development is still constrained by the construction of hydropower infrastructure.

• Installed capacity data included minihydro and microhydro powerplant.

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (EBTKE,2012) , reprocessed by NEC

Java

Bali, Nusa

Tenggara

(56)

191 243

1,214

1,815

2,650

70 20

855 1,146

1,550

120 223 359

669 1,100

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

Production Export Domestic

NATIONAL BIO-FUEL PRODUCTION

(Thousand KL)

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (2012) , reprocessed by NEC Note : *) tentative figure

Biodiesel Installed Capacity: 4.25 million KL, and bioethanol: 153 million KL

55

(57)

CO2 Emissions

(58)

NATIONAL COMMITMENT TO REDUCE GHG

41%

(1.189 Giga Tonne CO

₂

e)

Domestic effort

Domestic effort and international support

New Energy Development

57 Presidential Regulation Number 61 Year 2011 to reduce greenhouse gasses (GHG) emission by 2020 (Indonesia Commitment in G-20 Pittsburgh and COP15)

26%

(0.767 Giga Tonne CO

₂

e)

Forestry, Peat, Agriculture

680 Mt (89%)

Energy

Sector 30 Mt (4%)

Wastes 48 Mt

(6%)

Industry Transport and

9 Mt (1%)

Energy

Conservation

(59)

INDONESIA’S POSITION IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

DI KAWASAN ASEAN

(60)

0 100 200

500 100150 200250 300350

Brazil Ecuador Venezuela

0 20 40 60 80 100

Azerbaijan Kazakhstan Norway Russian… U.K

500 100150 200250 300

Iran Iraq Kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UEA

0 10 20 30 40 50

0 5 10 15 20

Australia Brunei China India Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Vietnam

Midle East 64%

Ex Uni Soviet 6.30%

Amerika Utara 8%

Indonesia 0,20%

China 2.30%

Others 18,90%

Indonesia Oil reserves is 0.2 % of the world total oil reserves

59 WORLD OIL RESERVES

(Thousand MMbbl)

Source: BP Statistical Review, by 2012

(61)

0 200 400

0 100 200 300 5000 10001500 2000

0 500 1000 1500

0 100 200

0 50 100 Midle East 150

33,8%

Rusia 38.8%

North Amerika 5,6%

Indonesia 1.4%

Others 20,4%

60

200 4060 10080 120140

Australia Bangladesh Brunei China India Indonesia Malaysia Pakistan Papua New… Vietnam

WORLD NATURAL GAS RESERVES

(TCF)

Indonesia gas reserves is 1.4 % of the world total gas reserves

(62)

246 BT North America

861 BT Total World

21 BT Indonesia 13 BT

South &

Central America

30 BT Europe

33 BT Africa

61 BT

India 115 BT

China 157 BT

Rusia

Indonesia Coal reserves is 2.5 % of he world total coal reserves

76 BT Australia

China

11,1%

Rusia 23.4%

North America

24,3%

Indonesia 3.1%

Others 38,1%

WORLD COAL RESERVES

Billion Ton

61

(63)

(Million Ton)

COAL PRODUCTION-EXPORT COMPARISON

Production Export

Note: In 2012, Indonesian coal exports to China was 92,15 million and to India was 64,371 million tons

62

(64)

SHARE OF ASEAN PRIMARY ENERGY PRODUCTION

Source: ASEAN Center for Energy, 2011

Note : Data of other ASEAN member states are not yet provided

63 Indonesia 65%

Cambodia 1%

Brunei Darussalam

3%

Singapore 0%

Thailand 13%

Philippines 4%

Malaysia

13% Lao P.D.R

1%

(65)

SHARE OF ASEAN ENERGY DEMAND

64

Source: ASEAN Center for Energy, 2011

Indonesia 44%

Cambodia 1%

Brunei Darussalam

3%

Singapore

3% Thailand 20%

Philippines 6%

Malaysia 23%

Lao P.D.R 1%

• Southeast Asia’s energy demand increases by over 80% between 2013 and 2035 (IEA)

• Oil demand rises from 4.4 mb/d today to 6.8 mb/d in 2035, natural gas demand increases by 80% to 250 bcm

EXECUTIVE REFERENCE DATA Energy Management Towards The National Energy Security