Observations on
current developed country
mitigation pledges
Tove Maria Ryding
Developed country pledges: Where are parties after
Cancun?
1. Adopted: 2
o
C goal
2. Agreed: consider moving to 1.5
o
C
3. Recognised: 25-40% range for developed countries
4. Agreed: scaled-up effort necessary to
•
achieve the global goal
•
move developed countries into 25-40% range
Current developed country pledges are far below the IPCC
3
Source: Adapted from The Emissions Gap report, UNEP, 2010
How big is the gap?
Global emissions
, GtCO
2e
Consistent with 1.5
oC
56 GtCO
2e
under
business-as-usual
53 GtCO
2e
in case of low, unconditional pledges and lenient rules
49 GtCO
2e
in case of higher, conditional pledges and strict rules
44 GtCO
2e or far less needed for 1.5
oC/2
oC
5-9 GtCO
2e
remaining gap
Clarifications needed
1. Developed countries must clarify
what their true
emissions will be
, i.e. their assumptions on forests and
other land use accounting, the use of carbon offsets and
hot air carry-over, in order to close all loopholes.
2. Developed countries with current pledges below the
25-40% range must explain how their low pledges
•
should be
compensated for by other developed
countries
making higher cuts instead,
Clarifications needed
(continued)
3. Developed countries whose pledges are
•
below their current Kyoto targets, and/or
•
below BAU under existing domestic legislation and
targets (e.g. efficiency targets),
must explain
how those pledges constitute progress
.
4. Developed countries must explain how their 2020
pledges will allow them to
achieve near-zero
Climate Action Network
–
International is a coalition of 550
civil society organisations worldwide committed to limiting
climate change to ecologically sustainable levels.
CAN-I
David Turnbull, [email protected] Julie-Anne Richards,
Canada
Graham Saul, [email protected]
United States Angela Anderson, [email protected] Latin America Victor Campos, [email protected] Brazil
Rubens Born, [email protected] Gaines Campbell, [email protected]
Mexico
Ana Romero, [email protected]
Eastern Africa / Uganda
Geoffrey Kamese, [email protected]
North Africa (Maghreb)
Mohammed Bendada, [email protected]
South Africa
Dorah Lebelo, [email protected]
Southern Africa
Rajen Awotar, [email protected]
West Africa
Emmanuel Seck, [email protected]
CAN Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia
Irina Stavchuk, [email protected]
Europe
Matthias Duwe, [email protected] Ulriikka Aarnio, [email protected]
France
Sébastien Blavier, [email protected] Morgane Créach, [email protected]
China
Fei Xiaojing, [email protected] Patrick Schroeder, [email protected]
South Asia
Sanjay Vashist, [email protected] or [email protected]
Southeast Asia
Gurmit Singh, [email protected]
Japan
Kimiko Hirata, [email protected]
Australia
George Woods, [email protected]
Cook Islands
David Ngatae, [email protected]
Federated States of Micronesia
Marstella Jack,[email protected]
Tuvalu
Policy Working Groups
Adaptation
Harjeet Singh, [email protected] Sven Harmeling, [email protected] Rachel Berger, [email protected]
Finance
Steve Herz, [email protected] Mahlet Eyassu, [email protected]
REDD
Gaines Campbell, Vitae Civilis, [email protected] John Lanchbery, RSPB, [email protected]
Flex Mechs
Eva Filzmoser, CDM-Watch, [email protected] Naoyuki Yamagishi, WWF, [email protected]
LULUCF
Chris Henschel, CPAWS, [email protected] Melanie Coath, RSPB, [email protected]
Mitigation
Nina Jamal, IndyAct, [email protected] Erica Hope, CAN-E, [email protected]
Bunkers
Art Williams, Sierra Club, [email protected]
Technology
Victor Menotti, IFG, [email protected]
Tirthankar Mandal, WWF, [email protected]
Shared Vision
Nina Jamal, IndyAct, [email protected]
Capacity Building
Pat Finnegan, [email protected] Mona Matepi, [email protected]
MRV
Erika Rosenthal, Earth Justice, [email protected] Niranjali Amerasinghe, CIEL, [email protected] Martin Wagner, [email protected]
Legal
Stephen Porter, CIEL, [email protected]
Srinivas Krishnaswamy, [email protected]
