74
2003 16296315,83 3367688000 184828310 78805,61 2687877000 679811000 4835793 2004 17520517,96 5192768000 199190680 83328,95 4239409000 953359000 4756078 2005 17014238,12 5741081000 131764940 87897,8 4563075000 1178006000 5166132 2006 19208679,15 6980888000 606802640 93347,4 5523901000 1456987000 4859647 2007 19633337,71 9192778000 931772860 99792,27 7082899000 2109879000 5082797 2008 19163776,16 12958042000 300917080 106172,36 9261977000 3696065000 5540263 2009 19348964,2 9184353000 241516750 111559,22 6460117000 2724236000 5765643 2010 19368137,27 12724026000 321829190 118640,9 9147778000 3576248000 6125571 2011 21411566,15 16836731000 658466720 126587,62 11883269000 4953462000 5912114 2012 23377770,19 15558687000 645300000 134461,5 10393936000 5164751000 5751682 2013 24160635,71 14706518000 887452000 142537,12 9598008000 5108510000 5899560
Lampiran 2 Hasil Regresi Linier Dependent Variable: PROD
Method: Least Squares Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:48 Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
KP 0.000339 8.78E-05 3.856591 0.0048 PMA 0.003464 0.001388 2.495309 0.0372 C 14611906 827501.1 17.65787 0.0000
R-squared 0.850903 Mean dependent var 19682176 Adjusted R-squared 0.813629 S.D. dependent var 2463016. S.E. of regression 1063302. Akaike info criterion 30.81866 Sum squared resid 9.04E+12 Schwarz criterion 30.92717 Log likelihood -166.5026 Hannan-Quinn criter. 30.75025 F-statistic 22.82819 Durbin-Watson stat 1.552006 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000494
75 Lampiran 3
Hasil Uji Multikolineritas Variance Inflation Factors
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:50 Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Coefficient Uncentered Centered
Variable Variance VIF VIF
KP 7.71E-09 9.274135 1.438913 PMA 1.93E-06 5.485985 1.438913
C 6.85E+11 6.662186 NA
Lampiran 4 Hasil Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 2.310289 Prob. F(2,6) 0.1803 Obs*R-squared 4.785649 Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.0914
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:51 Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
KP -4.94E-05 8.70E-05 -0.568288 0.5905 PMA 0.000548 0.001336 0.409861 0.6961 C -23094.44 719297.9 -0.032107 0.9754 RESID(-1) -0.161042 0.421152 -0.382384 0.7154 RESID(-2) -1.005336 0.476715 -2.108883 0.0795
R-squared 0.435059 Mean dependent var -3.81E-10 Adjusted R-squared 0.058432 S.D. dependent var 951046.1 S.E. of regression 922842.3 Akaike info criterion 30.61126 Sum squared resid 5.11E+12 Schwarz criterion 30.79212
76 Log likelihood -163.3619 Hannan-Quinn criter. 30.49725
F-statistic 1.155144 Durbin-Watson stat 1.431332 Prob(F-statistic) 0.415636
Lampiran 5 Hasil Uji Normalitas
Lampiran 6
Hasil Uji Heterokedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic 17.75943 Prob. F(5,5) 0.0034 Obs*R-squared 10.41363 Prob. Chi-Square(5) 0.0643 Scaled explained SS 2.335053 Prob. Chi-Square(5) 0.8011
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/21/16 Time: 22:52 Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 11
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 1.69E+11 6.51E+11 0.259069 0.8059 0
1 2 3 4
-1499995 -999995 -499995 5 500005 1000005 1500005
Series: Residuals Sample 2003 2013 Observations 11
Mean -3.81e-10 Median 2079.224 Maximum 1494978. Minimum -1319086. Std. Dev. 951046.1 Skewness 0.125301 Kurtosis 1.847872
Jarque-Bera 0.637176 Probability 0.727175
77 KP 123.5754 149.0313 0.829191 0.4448
KP^2 -3.30E-09 1.11E-08 -0.296123 0.7790 KP*PMA 1.22E-07 1.93E-07 0.633746 0.5541 PMA -4816.386 1947.686 -2.472876 0.0563 PMA^2 4.69E-06 2.44E-06 1.921272 0.1127
R-squared 0.946693 Mean dependent var 8.22E+11 Adjusted R-squared 0.893387 S.D. dependent var 7.94E+11 S.E. of regression 2.59E+11 Akaike info criterion 55.70271 Sum squared resid 3.36E+23 Schwarz criterion 55.91975 Log likelihood -300.3649 Hannan-Quinn criter. 55.56590 F-statistic 17.75943 Durbin-Watson stat 2.043438 Prob(F-statistic) 0.003363
