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(1)

MANAGEMENT FOR SUSTAINABLE

USE OF INTERNATIONAL SEMI

ENCLOSED SEA, JAPAN SEA

Takafumi YOSHIDA and Jing ZHANG (Northwest Pacific Region Environmental Cooperation Center)

Akihiko MORIMOTO and Ryota SHIBANO (Ehime University)

Naoki HIROSE and Katsumi TAKAYAMA (Kyushu University)

Xinyu GUO, Naoki YOSHIE, Yucheng WANG and Taishi KUBOTA (Ehime University)

(2)

Characteristics of Japan Sea

2

Mid-long term

change

High nutrient input Japan Meteorological Agency

Strokal et.al 2014

Rise of sea surface temperature

Increase of nutrient input from China

Kuroshio Current

Taiwan Warm Current

CHINA

Winter cooling

JAPAN

RUSSIA

(3)

How to manage the coastal area

of Japan Sea?

First step

To understand impacts of the East China Sea and

climate change on Japan Sea, and its mechanisms

Second step

To consider the most appropriate adaptation

Final step

To propose management measures for sustainable use

of coastal area of Japan Sea

(4)

Research Method: Ecosystem Numerical Models

4

Studied by

Kyushu University Studied by

Ehime University

Characteristic

Detailed classification of phyto-zooplankton

Objective

Understanding response to change of nutrient condition

Studied by

Ehime University

Low trophic High trophic

Characteristic

Simplification of phyto-zooplankton data assimilation by DO

Objective

Forecasting long-term trend

Characteristic

Transportation of eggs and larvae and their survival under environmental and feed condition

Linking to low trophic level through zooplankton

Objective

Effective/efficient setting of MPAs

Sakurai, 2014

Konishi et al., 2011

Japanese common squid (Todarodes pacificus)

(5)

First step:

Understanding impacts from the East China Sea

5

Origin of nutrient

Ja

Spring Summer Autumn Winter

Ratio of three different sources of waters in the surface of Japan Sea Utilization ratio of three different sources of nutrient (N) Origin of sea water

Spring Summer Autumn Winter

(6)

First step:

Understanding environmental changes

in the past, present and the future

6

 Scenario of climate change:

RCP8.5, RCP2.6

 Scenario of nutrient input:

+2%, Stable

 South-North water transfer

project

50 years ago Current 50 years later 100 years later

SST

DIN

Chlorophyll-a

(7)

First step:

Understanding mechanisms of response

of low and high trophic marine species

×104 ×107

Correlation coefficient: 0.77

40 80 120 160 200 240 280 320 360 400 440

(8)

Second step: Appropriate Adaptation

International Joint Monitoring

8

Regular monitoring

by each country Wide area monitoring

How to monitor impacts from the East China Sea and future

environmental changes?

Future environment

(9)

9

Dynamic MPA for Japanese Common Squid Dynamic MPA for Snow Crab

Second step: Appropriate Adaptation

Dynamic MPA for sustainable use of fishery resources

Total number of eggs transported into Japan Sea

Total number of eggs from dynamic MPA

30-40%

Ratio of protected eggs/larvae by dynamic MPA

(10)

10

Second step: Appropriate Adaptation

Land-Sea Integrated Management in local area

DREA MS_T

Coastal area of Japan Sea is strongly influenced by impacts from the East China Sea

How to manage the coastal area?

Toyama Bay:

Rich groundwater

Submarine groundwater discharge

Human control

(11)

11

Second step: Appropriate Adaptation

Land-Sea Integrated Management in local area

Management of groundwater on land

Snowfall

Decreasing Total snowfall

Use of groundwater

1977 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Increasing

Countermeasures: Usage restriction, groundwater recharge

(12)

Final step: Management measures

Three-layers management for sustainable use

of coastal area in Japan Sea

First layer (Wide area management)

International joint monitoring

Nutrient control in wide area

Second layer (Management in Japan Sea)

Dynamic MPA

Third layer (Local management)

Land-Sea Integrated management

12

Japan Sea

East China Sea

(13)

13

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