Analisis Dana Perimbangan Dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dengan Dana Penyesuaian Sebagai Variabel Moderating Pada Pemerintah Provinsi Di Pulau Sumatera

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PDRB?

DAU?

DAK?

DBH?

PAD?

DP?

Mean

18466.30 3698.873 595.0075 2133.712 1280.073 744.9578

Median

10402.05 943.9950 130.4400 979.6150 942.9750 294.5550

Maximum

67932.31 18693.81 9226.580 15977.12 4809.360 4088.820

Minimum

2214.750 58.86000 0.000000 50.59000 80.28000 0.000000

Std. Dev.

17257.14 4675.834 1479.007 3111.381 1074.280 1052.162

Skewness

1.334497 1.608810 5.156507 2.763152 1.529919 1.639834

Kurtosis

3.718139 4.913252 30.53711 11.50149 5.129103 5.197544

Jarque-Bera

12.73208 23.35602 1441.084 171.3589 23.15947 25.97570

Probability

0.001719 0.000008 0.000000 0.000000 0.000009 0.000002

Sum

738651.8 147954.9 23800.29 85348.49 51202.90 29798.31

Sum Sq. Dev.

1.16e+10 8.83e+08 85310989 3.78e+08 450089986 43174728

Observations

40

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Method: Pooled Least Squares Date: 06/26/15 Time: 08:16

Sample: 2010 2013 Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 10

Total pool (balanced) observations: 40

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1667361. 355095.7 4.695527 0.0001

DAU? 1.736790 0.693266 2.505231 0.0188

DAK? -1.379606 1.153554 -1.195961 0.2425

DBH? -2.142724 0.803567 -2.666517 0.0130

PAD? -1.193957 1.888885 -0.632096 0.5328

Fixed Effects (Cross)

_ACEH--C 616004.3

_SUMUT--C 385825.3

_SUMBAR--C -1005086.

_RIAU--C 2700722.

_KEPRI--C -613020.9

_JAMBI--C -354455.4

_SUMSEL--C 667227.2

_BENGKULU--C -1346787.

_BABEL--C -1452390.

_LAMPUNG--C 401961.1

Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.623109 Mean dependent var 1463357.

Adjusted R-squared 0.434664 S.D. dependent var 1532469.

S.E. of regression 1152245. Akaike info criterion 31.02154

Sum squared resid 3.45E+13 Schwarz criterion 31.61265

Log likelihood -606.4308 Hannan-Quinn criter. 31.23527

F-statistic 3.306577 Durbin-Watson stat 1.912976

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Estimation Command: =====================

LS(CX=F) PDRB? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? Estimation Equations:

=====================

PDRB_ACEH = C(6) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_ACEH + C(3)*DAK_ACEH + C(4)*DBH_ACEH + C(5)*PAD_ACEH

PDRB_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT + C(5)*PAD_SUMUT

PDRB_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR + C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR

PDRB_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU

PDRB_KEPRI = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_KEPRI + C(3)*DAK_KEPRI + C(4)*DBH_KEPRI + C(5)*PAD_KEPRI

PDRB_JAMBI = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JAMBI + C(3)*DAK_JAMBI + C(4)*DBH_JAMBI + C(5)*PAD_JAMBI

PDRB_SUMSEL = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL + C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL

PDRB_BENGKULU = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BENGKULU + C(3)*DAK_BENGKULU + C(4)*DBH_BENGKULU + C(5)*PAD_BENGKULU

PDRB_BABEL = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BABEL + C(3)*DAK_BABEL + C(4)*DBH_BABEL + C(5)*PAD_BABEL

PDRB_LAMPUNG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG + C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG

Substituted Coefficients: =====================

PDRB_ACEH = 616004.326985 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_ACEH - 1.37960596354*DAK_ACEH - 2.14272413614*DBH_ACEH - 1.19395653981*PAD_ACEH PDRB_SUMUT = 385825.264953 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_SUMUT -

1.37960596354*DAK_SUMUT - 2.14272413614*DBH_SUMUT - 1.19395653981*PAD_SUMUT PDRB_SUMBAR = -1005086.3438 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_SUMBAR - 1.37960596354*DAK_SUMBAR - 2.14272413614*DBH_SUMBAR -

1.19395653981*PAD_SUMBAR

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PDRB_JAMBI = -354455.36097 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_JAMBI - 1.37960596354*DAK_JAMBI - 2.14272413614*DBH_JAMBI - 1.19395653981*PAD_JAMBI PDRB_SUMSEL = 667227.209974 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_SUMSEL -

1.37960596354*DAK_SUMSEL - 2.14272413614*DBH_SUMSEL - 1.19395653981*PAD_SUMSEL PDRB_BENGKULU = -1346786.96696 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_BENGKULU - 1.37960596354*DAK_BENGKULU - 2.14272413614*DBH_BENGKULU -

1.19395653981*PAD_BENGKULU

PDRB_BABEL = -1452389.98623 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_BABEL - 1.37960596354*DAK_BABEL - 2.14272413614*DBH_BABEL - 1.19395653981*PAD_BABEL PDRB_LAMPUNG = 401961.107848 + 1667361.43142 + 1.73679049706*DAU_LAMPUNG - 1.37960596354*DAK_LAMPUNG - 2.14272413614*DBH_LAMPUNG -

1.19395653981*PAD_LAMPUNG

Dependent Variable: PDRB?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects) Date: 06/26/15 Time: 08:18

Sample: 2010 2013 Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 10

Total pool (balanced) observations: 40

Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1268321. 356420.0 3.558501 0.0011

DAU? 1.303345 0.566484 2.300764 0.0275

DAK? -1.018104 1.023950 -0.994291 0.3269

DBH? -1.259595 0.627235 -2.008170 0.0524

PAD? 0.988308 1.641473 0.602086 0.5510

Random Effects (Cross)

_ACEH--C -97668.58

_SUMUT--C 183633.6

_SUMBAR--C -398078.0

_RIAU--C 1159607.

_KEPRI--C -257426.5

_JAMBI--C -111472.8

_SUMSEL--C 370833.2

_BENGKULU--C -556720.4

_BABEL--C -575642.9

_LAMPUNG--C 282935.7

Effects Specification

S.D. Rho

Cross-section random 609753.5 0.2188

Idiosyncratic random 1152245. 0.7812

Weighted Statistics

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Adjusted R-squared 0.098254 S.D. dependent var 1318016.

S.E. of regression 1251592. Sum squared resid 5.48E+13

F-statistic 2.062363 Durbin-Watson stat 1.353960

Prob(F-statistic) 0.106860

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.196059 Mean dependent var 1463357.

Sum squared resid 7.36E+13 Durbin-Watson stat 1.008155

Estimation Command: =====================

LS(CX=R) PDRB? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? Estimation Equations: