LAMPIRAN1
Proses Pemilihan Sampel
No
Kode
Nama
Perusahaan
Kriteria
Keterangan
I
II
III
1
ADMG PT POLYCHEM
INDONESIA Tbk
√
√
−
Bukan sampel
2
ARGO
PT ARGO
PANTES Tbk
√
√
√
Sampel 1
3
CNTX PT
CENTURY
TEXTILE
INDUSTRY Tbk
√
√
−
Bukan sampel
4
ERTX
PT
ERATEX
DJAJA Tbk
√
√
−
Bukan sampel
5
ESTI
PT Ever Shine
Tex Tbk
√
√
−
Bukan sampel
6
HDTX
PT
PANASIA
INDOSYNTEC
Tbk
√
√
√
Sampel 2
7
INDR
PT INDO.RAMA
SYNTHETICS
Tbk
√
√
−
Bukan Sampel
8
KARW PT
KARWELL
INDONESIA Tbk
9
MYTX PT APAC CITRA
CENTERTEX
Tbk
√
√
√
Sampel 4
10
PBRX
PT Pan Brothers
Tbk
√
√
√
Sampel 5
11
POLY
PT Asia Pacific
Fibers Tbk
√
√
√
Sampel 6
12
RICY
PT Ricky Putra
Globalindo Tbk
√
−
−
Bukan Sampel
13
SRIL
PT
Sri Rejeki
Isman Tbk
−
−
√
Bukan Sampel
14
SSTM
PT
SUNSON
TEXTILE
MANUFACTUR
ER, Tbk
√
√
√
Sampel 7
15
TRIS
PT
Trisula
International, Tbk
−
√
√
Bukan sampel
16
UNIT
PT NUSANTARA
INTI CORPORA
TBK
√
−
√
Bukan sampel
LAMPIRAN 2
Sampel Penelitian
No
Kode Saham
Nama Perusahaan
1
ARGO
PT Argo Pantes Tbk
2
HDTX
PT Panasia Indosyntec Tbk
3
KARW
PT Karwell Indonesia Tbk
4
MYTX
PT Apac Citra Centertex Tbk
5
PBRX
PT Pan Brothers Tbk
6
POLY
PT Asia Pacific Fibers Tbk
7
SSTM
PT
Sunson Textile
Manufactures, Tbk
LAMPIRAN 3
ARGO -125.015.984.000 1.428.233.566.000 -0,08753189
HDTX 21.030.231.892 1.014.303.374.267 0,02073367
KARW -10.100.452.700 73.647.754.655 -0,137145426
MYTX -101.136.319.879 1.882.934.081.017 -0,053712087
PBRX 35.608.448.938 887.284.106.449 0,040131959
POLY 334.976.849.923 3.988.442.112.390 0,08398689
SSTM 9.918.323.868 872.458.721.356 0,011368244
UNTX -25.288.156.801 153.901.724.876 -0,164313667
KODE PERUSAHAAN
2011
LABA BERSIH TOTAL ASET ROA
ARGO -98.312.202 1.452.870.714 -0,06766755
HDTX 17.285.049.940 1.013.575.088.112 0,017053547
KARW 56.455.813.719 13.173.379.520 4,285598364
MYTX -120.520.153.274 1.848.394.822.216 -0,065202603
PBRX 98.372.913.933 1.515.038.439.895 0,064930969
POLY 105.129.395.502 3.683.205.736.554 0,028542906
SSTM -24.097.995.553 843.450.156.961 -0,02857074
UNTX -1.513.393.477 160.639.854.610 -0,009421034
KODE PERUSAHAAN
2012
LABA BERSIH TOTAL ASET ROA
ARGO -114.724.583.000 1.809.813.835 -63,39026743
HDTX 3.102.049.511 1.362.546.557.862 0,002276656
KARW 55.908.580.000 5.808.366.100.000 0,009625526
MYTX -126.172.495.055 1.803.323.308.102 -0,069966652
PBRX 141.119.880.274 2.003.097.631.825 0,070450825
POLY -235.145.060.000 403.252.291 -583,1214484
SSTM -14.137.186.803 810.275.583.968 -0,017447381
UNTX -22.152.040.000 167.146.110.000 -0,132530993
KODE PERUSAHAAN 2013
LABA BERSIH TOTAL ASET ROA
ARGO 81.749.083.000 2.345.032.586.000 0,034860532
KARW -47.191.580.000 549.348.870.000 -0,085904573
MYTX -49.786.983.213 2.095.467.423.419 -0,023759369
PBRX 104.494.080.000 2.338.425.060.000 0,044685665
POLY -300.619.310.000 3.534.914.040.000 -0,085042891
SSTM -13.228.135.718 801.866.397.035 -0,016496683
UNTX 17.032.250.000 188.070.910.000 0,090562916
KODE PERUSAHAAN
2014
LABA BERSIH TOTAL ASET ROA
ARGO -303.338.970.000 1.458.304.020.000 -0,208008046
HDTX -105.481.256.786 4.221.696.886.907 -0,024985512
KARW -1.582.710.000 536.618.110.000 -0,002949416
MYTX -158.271.000.000 2.041.304.000.000 -0,077534262
PBRX 101.076.940.000 3.664.944.770.000 0,02757939
POLY -799.362.180.000 2.749.762.530.000 -0,290702259
SSTM -12.840.297.828 773.663.346.934 -0,016596751
LAMPIRAN 4
Perhitungan Debt to Asset Ratio 2010-2014
KODEPERUSAHAAN
2010
TOTAL UTANG TOTAL ASET
DEBT TO ASSET RATIO
ARGO
1.216.329.528.000 1.428.233.566.000 0,851632084HDTX
465.702.102.837 1.014.303.374.267 0,459134924KARW
172.447.550.611 73.647.754.655 2,341518101MYTX
1.695.512.272.796 1.882.934.081.017 0,900462895PBRX
719.716.491.254 887.284.106.449 0,811145479POLY
11.900.692.882.309 3.988.442.112.390 2,983794812SSTM
549.285.266.103 872.458.721.356 0,6295831UNTX
317.460.918.173 153.901.724.876 2,062750878KODE PERUSAHAAN
2011
TOTAL UTANG TOTAL ASET
DEBT TO ASSET RATIO
ARGO
1.349.448.214 1.452.870.714 0,92881507KODE
ARGO
1.588.347.551 1.809.813.835 0,877630351HDTX
726.954.645.506 1.362.546.557.862 0,533526463KARW
5.678.463.400.000 5.808.366.100.000 0,977635242MYTX
1.864.250.275.649 1.803.323.308.102 1,033785937PBRX
1.178.597.390.919 2.003.097.631.825 0,588387392POLY
1.201.091.140 403.252.291 2,978510394SSTM
525.337.311.071 810.275.583.968 0,648343997UNTX
362.537.970.000 167.146.110.000 2,168988378KODE
ARGO
2.018.114.949.000 2.345.032.586.000 0,860591431HDTX
1.658.609.326.640 2.378.728.273.722 0,697267252KARW
618.115.750.000 549.348.870.000 1,125178887MYTX
2.199.024.993.140 2.095.467.423.419 1,049419795PBRX
1.347.851.980.000 2.338.425.060.000 0,576393062POLY
11.813.921.840.000 3.534.914.040.000 3,342067645SSTM
530.156.259.856 801.866.397.035 0,661152858UNTX
366.430.520.000 188.070.910.000 1,948363625KODE
ARGO 1.675.328.410.000 1.458.304.020.000 1,148819716
HDTX 3.607.059.196.611 4.221.696.886.907 0,854409801
KARW 635.089.130.000 536.618.110.000 1,183502976
MYTX 23.100.840.000 20.413.040.000 1,131670736
PBRX 1.618.682.020.000 3.664.944.770.000 0,441666143
POLY 11.828.132.510.000 2.749.762.530.000 4,301510542
SSTM 514.793.507.583 773.663.346.934 0,665397307
LAMPIRAN 5
DATA SAMPEL 2010-2014
KODE PERUSAHAAN 2010
Y X1 X2 X3 X4
ARGO 0 0 0 -0,08753 0,851632
HDTX 0 0 0 0,020734 0,459135
KARW 0 0 0 -0,13715 2,341518
MYTX 0 0 0 -0,05371 0,900463
PBRX 0 0 0 0,040132 0,811145
POLY 0 0 0 0,083987 2,983795
SSTM 0 0 0 0,011368 0,629583
UNTX 0 0 0 -0,16431 2,062751
KODE PERUSAHAAN 2011
Y X1 X2 X3 X4
ARGO 0 0 1 -0,06767 0,928815
HDTX 0 0 0 0,017054 0,442335
KARW 1 0 0 4,285598 5,025221
MYTX 0 0 0 -0,0652 0,96549
PBRX 1 0 0 0,064931 0,574706
POLY 1 0 0 0,028543 2,993385
SSTM 0 0 0 -0,02857 0,645414
UNTX 0 1 0 -0,00942 2,069088
KODE PERUSAHAAN 2012
Y X1 X2 X3 X4
ARGO 0 0 0 -63,3903 0,87763
HDTX 1 0 1 0,002277 0,533526
KARW 1 1 1 0,009626 0,977635
MYTX 0 0 0 -0,06997 1,033786
PBRX 1 0 0 0,070451 0,588387
POLY 0 0 0 -583,121 2,97851
SSTM 0 0 0 -0,01745 0,648344
KODE PERUSAHAAN 2013
Y X1 X2 X3 X4
ARGO 1 0 0 0,034861 0,860591
HDTX 0 0 1 -0,09192 0,697267
KARW 0 1 0 -0,0859 1,125179
MYTX 0 0 0 -0,02376 1,04942
PBRX 0 0 0 0,044686 0,576393
POLY 0 0 0 -0,08504 3,342068
SSTM 1 0 0 -0,0165 0,661153
UNTX 1 1 1 0,090563 1,948364
KODE PERUSAHAAN 2014
Y X1 X2 X3 X4
ARGO 1 0 1 -0,20801 1,14882
HDTX 0 0 0 -0,02499 0,85441
KARW 0 1 1 -0,00295 1,183503
MYTX 1 0 1 -0,07753 1,131671
PBRX 0 0 0 0,027579 0,441666
POLY 1 0 0 -0,2907 4,301511
SSTM 0 0 0 -0,0166 0,665397
LAMPIRAN 6
Output SPSS Logistic Regression
Block 0: Beginning Block
Iteration Historya,b,c
Iteration -2 Log likelihood Coefficients
Constant
Step 0
1 48,888 -,800
2 48,869 -,847
3 48,869 -,847
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 48,869
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 3
because parameter estimates changed by less than
,001.
Classification Tablea,b
Observed Predicted
SWITCH Percentage
Correct
,00 1,00
Step 0
SWITCH
,00 28 0 100,0
1,00 12 0 ,0
Overall Percentage 70,0
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is ,500
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Variables not in the Equation
Score df Sig.
Step 0
Variables
AQUALITY ,008 1 ,928
MCHANGE 5,030 1 ,025
GRWTH ,554 1 ,457
DBR 1,494 1 ,222
Overall Statistics 9,399 4 ,052
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Iteration -2 Log likelihood Coefficients
Constant AQUALITY MCHANGE GRWTH DBR
Step 1
1 40,052 -1,739 -,813 1,985 ,003 ,523
2 39,419 -2,100 -1,042 2,348 ,005 ,628
3 39,317 -2,131 -1,071 2,383 ,008 ,636
4 39,237 -2,120 -1,072 2,377 ,012 ,632
5 39,095 -2,088 -1,074 2,359 ,026 ,620
6 38,966 -2,062 -1,073 2,347 ,050 ,607
7 38,831 -2,046 -1,066 2,345 ,099 ,593
8 38,338 -1,953 -1,032 2,333 ,391 ,515
9 37,998 -1,902 -1,029 2,339 ,815 ,477
10 37,665 -1,922 -1,089 2,376 1,561 ,511
11 36,756 -2,027 -1,406 2,579 5,407 ,684
12 36,675 -2,089 -1,565 2,709 6,944 ,753
13 36,674 -2,093 -1,574 2,718 6,999 ,756
14 36,674 -2,093 -1,574 2,718 6,999 ,756
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 48,869
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Chi-square df Sig.
Step 1
Step 12,195 4 ,016
Block 12,195 4 ,016
Model 12,195 4 ,016
Model Summary
Step -2 Log likelihood Cox & Snell R
Square
Nagelkerke R
Square
1 36,674a ,263 ,373
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 14 because
parameter estimates changed by less than ,001.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step Chi-square df Sig.
1 11,545 8 ,173
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
SWITCH = ,00 SWITCH = 1,00 Total
Observed Expected Observed Expected
Step 1
1 4 3,919 0 ,081 4
2 4 3,535 0 ,465 4
3 4 3,423 0 ,577 4
4 3 3,374 1 ,626 4
5 4 3,318 0 ,682 4
6 3 3,158 1 ,842 4
7 1 3,003 3 ,997 4
8 2 2,086 2 1,914 4
9 3 1,404 1 2,596 4
Classification Tablea
Observed Predicted
SWITCH Percentage
Correct
,00 1,00
Step 1
SWITCH
,00 25 3 89,3
1,00 6 6 50,0
Overall Percentage 77,5
a. The cut value is ,500
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 1
AQUALITY
a
-1,574 1,342 1,375 1 ,241 ,207
MCHANGE 2,718 1,083 6,293 1 ,012 15,150
GRWTH 6,999 5,671 1,523 1 ,217 1095,9
15
DBR ,756 ,482 2,459 1 ,117 2,129
Constant -2,093 ,806 6,735 1 ,009 ,123
Variables in the Equation
95% C.I.for EXP(B)
Lower Upper
Step 1
AQUALITY
a
,015 2,876
MCHANGE 1,812 126,672
GRWTH ,016 73629069,866
DBR ,828 5,474
Constant
Correlation Matrix
Constant AQUALITY MCHANGE GRWTH DBR
Step 1
Constant 1,000 ,097 -,483 -,215 -,770
AQUALITY ,097 1,000 -,503 -,390 -,305
MCHANGE -,483 -,503 1,000 ,370 ,369
GRWTH -,215 -,390 ,370 1,000 ,482
DBR -,770 -,305 ,369 ,482 1,000
Descriptive Statistics
N Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation
AQUALITY 40 ,00 1,00 ,1750 ,38481
MCHANGE 40 ,00 1,00 ,2000 ,40510
GRWTH 40 -583,12 4,29 -16,0852 92,50339
DBR 40 ,44 5,03 1,4075 1,10212
SWITCH 40 ,00 1,00 ,3000 ,46410
Step number: 1
Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities
4 + 1 1 + I 1 1 I I 1 1 I F I 1 1 I R 3 + 000 1 + E I 000 1 I Q I 000 1 I U I 000 1 I E 2 +0 0 0000 1 + N I0 0 0000 1 I C I0 0 0000 1 I Y I0 0 0000 1 I
1 +0 00 00 000000 00 0 1 01 0 1 1 0 0 01 1 1 1+ I0 00 00 000000 00 0 1 01 0 1 1 0 0 01 1 1 1I I0 00 00 000000 00 0 1 01 0 1 1 0 0 01 1 1 1I I0 00 00 000000 00 0 1 01 0 1 1 0 0 01 1 1 1I Predicted ---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---
Prob: 0 ,1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ,6 ,7 ,8 ,9 1 Group:
00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111111111111111111111 11111111111111111111111111111
Predicted Probability is of Membership for 1,00 The Cut Value is ,50
Symbols: 0 - ,00 1 - 1,00