Technical Analyst
Analyst
: Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected])
Research Assistant
: Venia Allani Meissalina ([email protected])
Indah Lestari ([email protected])
Teknikal Saham
Harian
ANALISA DAN REKOMENDASI
Rabu, 10 Agustus 2016
Pola Bearish Harami & Penutupan > 5Day MA Membatasi Peluang Kenaikan IHSG.
IHSG menunjukkan peluang kenaikan dalam range baru 5.200-5.600, didukung Stochastic Overbought, Fase
Akumulasi, closed di atas 5-Day MA, candle Bearish Harami, trend Volume meningkat, menunjukkan
mo-mentum kenaikan terbatas dibayangi kerawanan profit taking. IHSG selama bertahan di atas 5.368 masih
dukung target kenaikan short term ke (4.848 DONE/4.875 DONE/4.945 DONE/5.006 DONE/5.071
DONE/5.134 DONE/5.198 DONE/5.282 DONE/5.358 DONE/5.382 DONE/5.424 DONE/5.524/5.646. Resist:
5.468/5.500/5.524/5.572. Support: 5.424/5.386/5.358/5.323. Perkiraan range: 5.400 - 5.480.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
IHSG
5.358/5.323
5.424/5.386
5,440
5.468/5.500
5.524/5.572
Technical Analyst Team : Indah Lestari, Venia A. Meissalina
Tabel Teknikal Saham
* Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya
* Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2
* Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2
* Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi up-
trend baru
* Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal
* Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2
* Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2
* Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance ber-
dasarkan pola grafik
* Jika harga naik diatas 5-DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut
* Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu
* Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit
* Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun
* Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya mem-
berikan dividen secara reguler
* 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang)
* 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah)
Rabu, 10 Agustus 2016
Ticker Trend
Last
Price
R2
R1
5-DAY
MA
S1
S2
Commentary
BLUE CHIP
AALI
↘
TRADING BUY 15100 15685 15200 15050 14900 14600 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi BMRI↗
TRADING BUY 11800 12350 11900 11165 11550 11285 Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi LPKR↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS 1160 1230 1195 1170 1150 1100 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi MNCN↗
TRADING BUY 2190 2300 2210 2160 2175 2025 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Distribusi PTBA↗
TRADING BUY 10375 11050 10600 10390 10050 9450 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi UNVR↔
TRADING BUY 45600 47650 45550 45500 45400 43200 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi WIKA↗
TRADING BUY 3270 3580 3350 3206 3210 2985 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi2
nd& 3
rdLINERS
ACES
↗
TRADING BUY 960 985 970 953 950 935 Stochastic Bearish; MACD AkumulasiASRI
↗
AKUMULASI BUY 555 573 565 535 543 537 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi DOID↗
BUY ON WEAKNESS 290 311 300 280 281 270 Stochastic Bullish; MACD AkumulasiKAEF
↗
TRADING BUY 1450 1580 1520 1492 1400 1340 Stochastic Overbought; MACD AkumulasiPPRO
↗
TRADING BUY 820 855 835 776 805 775 Stochastic Overbought; MACD AkumulasiSRIL
↔
TRADING BUY 268 281 276 269 263 256 Stochastic Bearish; MACD NetralSSMS
↘
BUY 1610 1720 1670 1613 1580 1550 Stochastic Oversold; MACD DistribusiAnalisa Teknikal Saham
BBCA: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Evening
Star, Stochastic Overbought.
Rekomendasi: BUY 14.700-14.800 target 15.300/15.550
stop loss di bawah 14.450.
TLKM: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Dark
Cloud Cover, Stochastic Bullish.
Rekomendasi: BUY 4.300-4.330 target 4.400/4.440 stop
loss di bawah 4.250.
BSDE: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Bullish
Breakaway, Stochastic Bullish.
ADRO: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Candle Bullish
Closing Marubozu, Stochastic Bullish.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
BBCA
14.450/14.150 14.900/14.725
15,000
15.100/15.300 15.550/15.850
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
TLKM
4.260/4.210
4.330/4.300
4,370
4.400/4.440
4.490/4.530
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
ADRO
1.110/1.060
1.180/1.150
1,200
1.220/1.250
1.285/1.330
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
BSDE
2.200/2.150
2.280/2.240
2,310
2.330/2.370
2.400/2.450
Analisa Teknikal Saham
ADHI: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; Black Candle,
Sto-chastic Bearish.
Rekomendasi: BUY 2.720-2.760 target 2.810/2.830 stop
loss di bawah 2.710.
SMGR: Trend Bullish & Fase Akumulasi; White
Candle-stick, Stochastic Overbought.
Rekomendasi: BUY 11.450-11.550 target 11.685/11.775
stop loss di bawah 11.100.
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
SMGR 11.345/11.090 11.500/11.450
11,600
11.685/11.800 12.100/12.885
Support 2
Support 1
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
ADHI
2.630/2.570
2.720/2.680
2,760
2.800/2.840
2.890/2.950
Improving : Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan
Leading : Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan
dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya
Lagging :
Sektor yang belum meningkat namun
berpeluang
meningkat
Weakening :
Sektor terlemah di IHSG
Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG
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