7 ekspor Tenaga Kerja PMDN

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DATA VARIABEL

Thn PDRB Ekspor _TK BD _INF _SBI Kurs UMP PMDN

1985 3886495 358664 ₃₀₁₇₆₄ 212.6 _2.79 _18.4 1587 25000 210095 1986 4131717 246854 ₃₂₈₀₃₈ 219.5 _11.29 _16.88 1612 25000 228637 1987 4492442 239753 ₃₅₅₅₁₆ 228.5 _7.32 _15.35 1644 25000 243583 1988 4999214 298875 ₃₈₄₃₂₆ 287.4 _11.24 _18.42 1686 36000 312260 1989 5478875 306558 ₄₁₄₅₁₅ 310.8 _6.64 _18.99 1770 36000 287488 1990 5934565 453732 ₄₄₆₂₃₉ 321.7 _7.56 _17.7 1843 57900 264438 1991 6364634 312387 ₄₇₉₅₂₆ 336.9 _8.99 _19.63 1950 57900 321400 1992 6832672 275775 ₅₁₄₃₉₃ 383.2 _4.56 _22.65 2030 67500 432144 1993 18215459 432887 ₅₅₁₀₆₅ 458.7 _9.75 _17.78 2087 93000 441531 1994 19942023 453357 ₆₈₉₅₆₇ 515.6 _8.97 ₁₃ 2161 112500 309781 1995 21753805 265347 ₆₂₉₉₉₀ 584 _9.16 ₁₃ 2249 126500 443599 1996 23714737 327768 ₆₇₂₄₈₇ 660.8 _6.66 ₁₇ 2342 138000 490249 1997 25065405 3443555 ₇₁₇₁₁₂ 771 _9.9 ₁₇ 2909 151000 440249 1998 22332689 2713661 ₇₀₁₄₂₁ 342.5 _79.01 ₁₆ 10014 174000 29118 1999 22898424 2606216 ₇₃₀₁₂₂ 449 _1.68 ₂₅ 7855 210000 39979 2000 24016650 2437764 ₈₃₃₁₃₈ 416.8 _5.9 ₂₂ 9525 254000 56057 2001 24911050 2294796 _5206535 916.2 _15.5 _13.31 10265 340000 519744 2002 25925360 7082899 _5283857 1021.3 _9.49 _16.18 9261 464000 339603 2003 27071250 2687877 _5239910 1352 _4.46 _13.79 8571 505000 504056 2004 28688853 4239409 _5514170 1501.5 _6.64 _8.25 9223 537000 532653 2005 87897790 4563075 _5803112 1830.6 _22.91 _11.75 9857 600000 265674 2006 93330100 5523900 _5491696 2184.7 _5.97 _12.89 9087 737794 596055 2007 99792270 7082899 _5648000 2717.9 _6.42 _8.6 9334 761000 1672463

Juta Rp 00 us$ orang milyar Rp % % RP/US$ Rp Juta Rp

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7 ekspor

Tenaga Kerja

PMDN

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0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

pdrb (milyar Rp) ekspor Juta US$) TK (ribu jiwa) BD (milyar Rp) INF (%)

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0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

ekspor Juta US$) TK (ribu jiwa) BD (milyar Rp) INF (%)

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118 Lampiran 1 Data Variabel

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119 LAMPIRAN 2 :

Hasil Output Regresi Berganda

Dependent Variable: PMDN

Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:46 Sample: 1986 2007

Included observations: 22

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120 LAMPIRAN 3 :

Uji Asumsi Klasik : Normalitas Data

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

-200000 0 200000

Series: Residuals Sample 1986 2007 Observations 22

Mean -1.19E-11 Median -14486.01 Maximum 236679.9 Minimum -212261.3 Std. Dev. 127511.4 Skewness 0.266287 Kurtosis 2.022073

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121 Uji Asumsi Klasik : Uji Heterokedastisitas

White Heteroskedasticity Test:

F-statistic 0.820547 Probability 0.648431 Obs*R-squared 14.66158 Probability 0.476058

Test Equation:

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122 Uji Asumsi Klasik : Uji Autokorelasi

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:

F-statistic 1.888459 Probability 0.197219 Obs*R-squared 5.623107 Probability 0.060112

Test Equation:

Dependent Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:48

Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.

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123 Uji Asumsi Klasik : UJI MULTIKOLINEARITAS

Dependent Variable: KURS

Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:49 Sample: 1986 2007

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -13437.89 8150.187 -1.648783 0.1214 AK 3.099836 1.443718 2.147119 0.0498 BDP -0.014571 0.006453 -2.258001 0.0404 EKSP 2.350703 0.967944 2.428552 0.0292 INF -4.517477 35.75597 -0.126342 0.9013 KE 1967.281 1544.496 1.273736 0.2235 PDRB -0.003560 0.029637 -0.120123 0.9061 SBK 6.290485 242.5529 0.025934 0.9797 R-squared 0.833945 Mean dependent var 5191.409 Adjusted R-squared 0.756918 S.D. dependent var 3625.523 S.E. of regression 1787.505 Akaike info criterion 18.09032 Sum squared resid 44732437 Schwarz criterion 18.48706 Log likelihood -190.9935 F-statistic 10.34150 Durbin-Watson stat 1.568081 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000136

Dependent Variable: AK Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:50 Sample: 1986 2007

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124 Uji Asumsi Klasik : UJI MULTIKOLINEARITAS

Dependent Variable: BDP Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:51 Sample: 1986 2007

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -246073.2 308904.2 -0.796601 0.4390 AK 21.23659 58.75214 0.361461 0.7232 KURS -18.32194 8.114230 -2.258001 0.0404 EKSP 143.0365 14.59695 9.799070 0.0000 INF -2337.665 1104.152 -2.117158 0.0526 KE 76474.03 54125.06 1.412913 0.1795 PDRB -0.973658 1.018780 -0.955710 0.3554 SBK 2786.195 8569.016 0.325148 0.7499 R-squared 0.738424 Mean dependent var 203258.5 Adjusted R-squared 0.907636 S.D. dependent var 208566.2 S.E. of regression 63386.24 Akaike info criterion 25.22717 Sum squared resid 5.62E+10 Schwarz criterion 25.62391 Log likelihood -269.4989 F-statistic 30.48023 Durbin-Watson stat 2.022339 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

Dependent Variable: EKSP Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:51 Sample: 1986 2007

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125 Uji Asumsi Klasik : UJI MULTIKOLINEARITAS

Dependent Variable: INF Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:52 Sample: 1986 2007

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -48.76010 65.24505 -0.747338 0.4672 EKSP 0.013722 0.007801 1.758968 0.1004 BDP -0.000104 4.90E-05 -2.117158 0.0526 AK -0.001754 0.012426 -0.141146 0.8898 KURS -0.000252 0.001995 -0.126342 0.9013 KE 8.689208 11.96484 0.726229 0.4797 PDRB -2.56E-05 0.000221 -0.115795 0.9095 SBK 2.674829 1.665015 1.606490 0.1305 R-squared 0.515575 Mean dependent var 11.55136 Adjusted R-squared 0.273363 S.D. dependent var 15.66493 S.E. of regression 13.35326 Akaike info criterion 8.296686 Sum squared resid 2496.334 Schwarz criterion 8.693428 Log likelihood -83.26354 F-statistic 2.128608 Durbin-Watson stat 2.149677 Prob(F-statistic) 0.108466

Dependent Variable: KE Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:52 Sample: 1986 2007

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126 Uji Asumsi Klasik : UJI MULTIKOLINEARITAS

UJI MULTIKOLINEARITAS

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -119113.0 73693.15 -1.616338 0.1283 KE -22807.61 13382.52 -1.704284 0.1104 INF -37.32131 322.3052 -0.115795 0.9095 EKSP 17.10096 9.342854 1.830378 0.0886 BDP -0.062903 0.065818 -0.955710 0.3554 AK 23.79356 13.58845 1.751014 0.1018 KURS -0.289213 2.407640 -0.120123 0.9061 SBK 473.3250 2182.568 0.216866 0.8314 R-squared 0.785141 Mean dependent var 27411.86 Adjusted R-squared 0.677712 S.D. dependent var 28379.48 S.E. of regression 16111.15 Akaike info criterion 22.48770 Sum squared resid 3.63E+09 Schwarz criterion 22.88444 Log likelihood -239.3647 F-statistic 7.308443 Durbin-Watson stat 1.428973 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000851

Dependent Variable: SBK Method: Least Squares Date: 01/26/10 Time: 00:53 Sample: 1986 2007

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127 DESKRIPTIF VARIABEL

TK BDP EKSP INF KE

Mean 4514.500 203258.5 3019.591 11.55136 0.272727 Median 4591.500 154454.5 2646.500 7.880000 0.000000 Maximum 5210.000 763672.0 7083.000 79.01000 1.000000 Minimum 3135.000 15125.00 1135.000 1.680000 0.000000 Std. Dev. 531.2077 208566.2 1707.618 15.66493 0.455842 Skewness -0.661988 1.642887 1.257889 3.874490 1.020621 Kurtosis 3.049373 5.074470 3.725599 17.18753 2.041667

Jarque-Bera 1.609070 13.84142 6.284330 239.5551 4.661314 Probability 0.447296 0.000987 0.043189 0.000000 0.097232

Sum 99319.00 4471687. 66431.00 254.1300 6.000000 Sum Sq. Dev. 5925814. 9.13E+11 61235119 5153.192 4.363636

Observations 22 22 22 22 22

KE KURS PDRB PMDN SBK

Mean 0.272727 5191.409 27411.86 402054.4 17.76636 Median 0.000000 2625.500 22615.00 325931.5 17.80000 Maximum 1.000000 10265.00 99792.00 1672463. 23.16000 Minimum 0.000000 1283.000 3947.000 56057.00 14.05000 Std. Dev. 0.455842 3625.523 28379.48 319080.4 2.366727 Skewness 1.020621 0.213924 1.726500 2.936662 0.748710 Kurtosis 2.041667 1.141135 4.722058 12.68537 3.155646

Jarque-Bera 4.661314 3.335231 13.64797 117.6105 2.077620 Probability 0.097232 0.188696 0.001087 0.000000 0.353875

Sum 6.000000 114211.0 603061.0 8845196. 390.8600 Sum Sq. Dev. 4.363636 2.76E+08 1.69E+10 2.14E+12 117.6293

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