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That research also uses global ridge regression as a weight estimation method. The dominance of RBFNN model was also reported by [3] and [12]. It is used by adding the single positive regulatory parameter λ to the Sum Square Error (SSE), so that the function to be minimized is written in the following equation. 5) The optimal weight vector produced by global ridge regression method is.

Figure 1. The time series plot of the arrival foreign  tourist flows to Yogyakarta
Figure 1. The time series plot of the arrival foreign tourist flows to Yogyakarta

Discussion

While the number of clusters ideally depends on those three other aspects. So, the best RBFNN model is model with Gaussian activation function, 19 clusters and proportion training test data 75%-25%, which is estimated by global ridge regression method. The architecture of the best RBFNN model is model with inputs 𝑥𝑡−1, 𝑥𝑡−2, ⁡𝑥𝑡−3⁡, ⁡𝑥𝑡−4and 𝑥𝑡−5, 19 single output neurons and 1 bias on the hidden neurons.

Figure 4.The Best Architecture of RBFNN  Model
Figure 4.The Best Architecture of RBFNN Model

Conclusion

Estimating The Break-Point of Segmented Simple Linear Regression using Empirical Likelihood Method

Introduction

Literature Review

  • The Segmented Simple Linear Regression
  • The Empirical Likelihood

Set the value of E Yi when Xi n, then adjust the regression model in each segment so that it continues at the breakpoints. We do not need the data to follow some parametric distribution in order to construct the empirical likelihood function.

1log

The Empirical Likelihood Ratio

If the value of R F is so small that it is less than the critical value of the distribution of X, then the ratio of X having an expected value E X  is small.

Estimating the Break-point of Segmented Simple Linear Regression

  • Estimating one Break-point

1log1

Estimating N Break-point

The single breakpoint estimation algorithm can be used to determine whether there are more than breakpoints. An identical algorithm can be used to detect the breakpoint on the cluster  Xi,Yi nik*1.

Case Study

  • Data
  • Segmented Simple Linear Regression with One Break-point
  • Segmented Simple Linear Regression with More Than One Break-point
  • Discussion

We can say that the segmented regression model with 1 breakpoint is better than the usual simple regression model. We could see that the segmented regression model with one breakpoint has the lowest SSE.

Figure 1. Scatter Plot Time vs Chlorine’s Content
Figure 1. Scatter Plot Time vs Chlorine’s Content

Conclusion

Therefore, we can say that the segmented regression model with one breakpoint is the best model among the three for the chlorine data. It is better if we can detect more than one breakpoint at the same time.

Risk Factor of Formaldehyde Detection on Sales Location of Jambal Rotisalted Fish (Arius Thalassinus) in Yogyakarta

This research calculates the concentration of formaldehyde in fish muscles using TCA extraction and Nash reagent. The purpose of this research is the detection of formaldehyde in fish and shellfish using nass's reagent and TCA.

Riaz Uddin et al, 2011 Detection of formalin in fish samples collected in Dhaka City, Bangladesh. Castell and Barbara Smith, 1972 Measurement of formaldehyde in fish muscles using TCA extraction and the Nash reagent.

Qualitative detection of formalin detection kit for fish developed by Bangladesh Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (BCSIR). Noordiana N et al, 2011 Formaldehyde content and quality characteristic of selected fish and seafood from wet markets.

Material & Methodology

  • Data
  • Method
    • Schiff solution
    • Sample Detection
    • Data analysis

Two drops of concentrated HCl were added to the salted fish extract. Positive samples were determined when the color remained purple, otherwise negative. A., "RISK FACTOR OF DETECTION OF FORMALDEHYDE AT THE POINT OF SALE OF SALT ROTI FISH (Arius Thalassinus) IN YOGYAKARTA".

Results and Discussion

  • Result
  • Discussion

Descriptive analysis in Figure 1, 2 and Table 1 showed that samples of salted fish yambal roti coming from traditional markets were formaldehyde positive detected and samples were negative. But no statistically significant relationship between the location of sale and the detection of formaldehyde in salted fish yambal roti (pvalue > 0.05).

Table 2. Chi – square analysis  Sig. of Chi-square test  Odd Ratio (OR) of  sales location
Table 2. Chi – square analysis Sig. of Chi-square test Odd Ratio (OR) of sales location

Cluster Analysis and Its Various Problems

Material & Methodology

The three applications of distance measurements in this study were also performed using the bootstrap method to see consistency in determining the best distance measurement. Cophenetic correlation coefficient was used to determine the best distance measurement of the hierarchical clustering method, and the criteria used to evaluate the clustering results of the k-means algorithm is coefficient silhouette.

Literature Review

  • Distance Measurement Autocorrelation Distance
  • Cluster Analysis Hierarchical Method

This approach was performed by fitting the time series sample to a straight line. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) is an algorithm for calculating the distance between two time series by determining the optimal warping path.

Table  1  shows  that  DTW  distance  is  the  largest  value  of  Cophenetic  correlation  (0.9896)
Table 1 shows that DTW distance is the largest value of Cophenetic correlation (0.9896)

Volatility Modelling Using Hybrid Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) -Support Vector Regression (SVR)

  • Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH)
  • Support Vector Regression (SVR)
  • Kernel Function
  • Selection Parameters
  • Hybrid ARCH-SVR
  • Value atRisk(VaR)
  • Result
  • Determination of Kernel function and parameters for hyperplane
  • Calculation of VaR using the best model

The best parameters of the kernel function are determined by sampling some of the values ​​in a specific range to build the hyperplane. While the results of the predictive value of the stock return volatility can be seen in Figure 2.

Table 1. Determination of the best ARCH model for return stocks of  PT. Indofood Sukses Makmur, Tbk
Table 1. Determination of the best ARCH model for return stocks of PT. Indofood Sukses Makmur, Tbk

Optimization of Fuzzy System Using Point Operation Intensity Adjustment for Diagnosing Breast Cancer

The Modeling Process

After the data is extracted, the data is classified by becoming 80% training data and 20% test data. System testing is done by determining the accuracy base on true data and false data.

Results and Discussion

The domain value and curve width are different. The output is defined by representing a combination of a triangular curve and a trapezoidal curve. Equation (2) used to determine the membership rate. The selected maximum value, which is the basic union operating function [8] used, as shown in equation (3).

Conclusion

From Table 2, the accuracy values ​​of fuzzy system without point operation are 94.79% for training data and 50% for testing data. The accuracy of the fuzzy system with the adjustment of the intensity of operation at points are analogous and the value is 96.875% for the training data and 91.67% for the test data.

Appendix

Thurston Method, Area Development Project Impact Evaluation in Pasaman Barat

Integrated Regional Rural Development of West Pasaman

Consequently, the relative importance of the factors contributing to the changes in the West Pasaman score is presented in Table 1. As expected, the method presented in this paper can be used to measure the relative importance of the four projects developed in West Pasaman.

Table 1.  Relative Importance Of Factors Contributing to Changes in West Pasaman
Table 1. Relative Importance Of Factors Contributing to Changes in West Pasaman

Simulation Study of Robust Regression in High Dimensional Data Through the LAD-LASSO

LAD-LASSO

Then the LASSO formula was modified by Fan and Li 2001 [4] to avoid the bias. As can be seen, the LAD-𝐿𝐴𝑆𝑆𝑂 criterion combines the LAD criterion and the lasso penalty, and therefore the resulting estimator is expected to be strong against outliers and also enjoy a sparse representation.

Simulation Study

A., “A simulation study of robust regression in high-dimensional data via LAD-LASSO”. where 𝜆 > 0⁡ is the tuning parameter. Robust regression shrinkage and consistent variable selection through LAD-lasso”, JBES ace in variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its Oracle properties,” Journal of the American Statistical Association.

An Implementation of Genetic Algorithm to Generate the Most Compromised Decision when Information of the Alternativesis

Incomplete

Basic Notation and Problem Definition

An implementation of the genetic algorithm to generate the most compromised decision when the information of the alternative. S., "An implementation of the genetic algorithm to generate the most compromised decision when the information of the alternatives is incomplete".

Proposed Approach

The basic idea of ​​the approach is that the preference ranking vector should have high matching with the criteria. Assume that Rk is the correlation between criterion k and the preference rank vector s, or Rk = corr(zk, s).

Illustrative Example

To compare how good the result of the proposed algorithm is, we performed 2000 repetitions of random permutation. We could see that the best result with this procedure is about 0.713, which is worse than the one we obtained with a genetic algorithm.

Figure 1. The distribution of minimum correlation of 1000 random preference order
Figure 1. The distribution of minimum correlation of 1000 random preference order

Estimation of MedianGrowth Charts for Children Based on Biresponse Semiparametric Regression Model

Related Works/Literature Review

We then analyzed the 50th percentiles to assess the median growth chart of children based on bi-response semiparametric regression where the response variables, i.e., weight (kg) and height (cm), while a parametric predictor variable is gender and a non-parametric predictor variable is age (month). M., "Estimation of median growth curves for children based on bi-response semiparametric regression model using local linear estimator".

18)with

Then we assessed the median growth chart of weight-for-age and height-for-age for boys and girls. The median growth chart of weight-for-age and height-for-age for boys was higher than girls.

Figure 1. Comparison between smoothed median  (observed median of weight-for-age for boys)
Figure 1. Comparison between smoothed median (observed median of weight-for-age for boys)

Feature Reduction of Wayang Golek Dance Data Using Principal Component Analysis (Pca)

  • Motion Capture (mocap) Technique
  • Sensor Kinect
  • Principal component Analysis (PCA)
    • The Principal Component Analysis Based Formed Covariance Matrix
    • The Principal Component Analysis Based Formed Correlation Matrix
  • Material & Method
  • Reference

Kinect sensor motion capture (mocap) is Biovision Hierarchy (BVH) movement data of Wayang Golek Menak Yogyakarta dancers. Kinect sensor motion capture (mocap) results are Biovision Hierarchy (BVH) movement data of Wayang Golek Menak Yogyakarta dancers.

Figure 1. Flowchart of Research
Figure 1. Flowchart of Research

The Ability The Chi Squares StatisticsTo Rejecting The Null Hypothesis on Contingency Tables 2x2

Contingency Table 2x2 Analysis

Nugraha, Jaka., "The Ability of the Chi-Square Statistics to Reject the Null Hypothesis on 2x2 Contingency Tables". If an expected frequency is lower than five, you have alternatives: Yates correction (Yates' Chi-square test) and the N - 1 chi-square test.

Calculation ofMinimumSamples Size

The Yates correction (Yates, 1934) is equivalent to Pearson's chi-square, but with a continuity correction. In cases where the expected frequency is below 5, the Yates correction brings the result more in line with the true probability. Campbell (2007) conducted a very extensive sampling study on 2x2 tables comparing different chi-square statistics under different sample sizes and different baseline designs.

Properties of Functions F(K;  ;X)

In general, Yates' statistics require larger sample sizes than probability statistics, Campbell's statistics, and Pearson's statistics to be able to detect individual differences. In more detail, to determine the statistical differences the probability statistics, Campbell's statistics and Pearson's statistics took short intervals.

Table 3. Tablecontingencyatk=0.4 andk=0.5
Table 3. Tablecontingencyatk=0.4 andk=0.5

Predictive Simulation of Amount of Claims with Zero Truncated Negative Binomial Distribution

Modeling of the Claims

  • Modeling of Frequency
  • Modeling of Amount of Claims

Determining the amount of the claim requires modeling that includes elements of the frequency or number of visits used by health services, and a large proportion of the cost for each visit. So the modeling of the claims is multiplying frequency models by the cost model (quantity of claims model). FPM) and a comparison of these models can be seen in Duan, et.all[2].

Amount of Claims Prediction with ZTNB

Modeling the claims is modeling based on the frequency of claims, assuming a negative binomial distribution. From the results of the test, by removing extreme data, a p-value = 0.072 was obtained, which states that the data frequency of claims follows the negative binomial distribution.

Tabel 3.1 Observation Data for Each Group
Tabel 3.1 Observation Data for Each Group

Deterministic and Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Risk Analysis in Bantul Regency

Maulina Supriyaningsih 1 , and Atina Ahdika 1

  • Material & Methodology 1 Data
    • Ground Motion Model (Attenuation Relationship)
    • The Probabilistics Calculation
  • Results and Discussion 1 Result

In [6], Lin & Lee (2008) studied about the ground motion attenuation characteristics of subduction zone earthquakes occurring in northeastern Taiwan. 6] Lin, P.-S., dan Lee, C.-T., "Ground Motion Attenuation Relationships for Subduction Zone Earthquakes in Northeast Taiwan", Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America.

Figure 1. Seismic Source Zone for Indonesia Region [4]
Figure 1. Seismic Source Zone for Indonesia Region [4]

Applying Extrapolation Technique to Flexible Binomial Model for Efficiency of American Option Valuation

  • Related Work
  • Flexible Binomial Model
  • Repeated Richardson Extrapolation
  • Repeated Richardson Ekstrapolation on Flexibel Binomial Model
  • Numerical Result
  • Conclusion
  • Future Works
  • Acknowledgement
  • Reference

Primandari, A.H., Brilliant, I.H., "Application of the Extrapolation Technique to the Flexible Binomial Model for the Valuation Efficiency of American Options". The flexible binomial model with Richardson extrapolation is done by taking 100 initial time steps and 5 iterations.

Figure 1. The Effect Of Tilt Parameter In Binomial Tree
Figure 1. The Effect Of Tilt Parameter In Binomial Tree

Small Area Estimation Considering Skewness Data and Spatially Correlated Random Area Effects

A Brief of Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictor, Spatial Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictor and Empirical Best Prediction

In the standard SAE method, parameter estimation is based on a linear mixed model, which assumes that the variable of interest follows a normal distribution and that there is independence between small ranges.

Spatial Empirical Best Predictor (SEBP)

Final Remarks

This research tries to compare binary, uniform and kernel Gaussian W in SAR panel data model to get the best W based on RMSE value. Comparison of Binary, Uniform, and Kernel Gaussian Weight Matrix in Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) Panel Data Model and The.

Comparison of Binary, Uniform and Kernel Gaussian Weight Matrix in Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) Panel Data Model and The

The result is that Uniform W has the smallest RMSE value for almost all combinations of location number (n) and period number (t). So, if we run SAR-Panel Data Model, then it will be better if we use Uniform W to build correlation matrix. There are some types of W, they are Uniform W, Binary W, Inverse distance W and some W from real cases of economic conditions or transportation conditions from the area. This research aims to compare Binary W, Uniform W and Kernel Gaussian W in SAR panel data model using RMSE value obtained by simulation.

Application

  • Related Works
  • Rudimentary
    • Data Panel Analysis
    • Spatial Weighted Matrix (W)
    • Spatial Autoregressive Panel Data Model (SAR-Panel Data) Autoregressive spatial models expressed in the following equation
  • Material and Proposed Method
    • Data
    • Proposed Method
  • Results and Discussion

Thus, it can be concluded that Uniform W is better than Binary and Kernel Gaussian W in SAR panel data model. In this study, the comparison of binary, uniform and kernel Gaussian weight matrix in Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) Panel Data Model has been presented.

Table 1. Data structure
Table 1. Data structure

Persistence Process of Stock Price Movements Based On Markov Chain Analysis

Data

Method

In addition, the state will be persistent if the initial state of the stock price is in the "jump down", "jump up" and "drastically up" states. In this paper, the stock price movement inertia index proposed in Proposition 1 was formulated.

Figure 1.Markov Chain
Figure 1.Markov Chain

Application of Fuzzy Logic to Diagnose Severity of Coronary Heart Disease: Case Study in dr. Zainoel Abidin General

Using Fuzzy Logic to Diagnose the Severity of Coronary Heart Disease: A Case Study Dr.

Hospital, Banda Aceh Indonesia

For the patients who have lower than normal level of the variables were excluded in this study. So we can check the diseases and risks in the patient according to the values ​​of the variables.

Figure 1 Membership functions of blood pressure
Figure 1 Membership functions of blood pressure

Statistics Application On Terestrial Phenomena Of Metallic Mining’s Activity

Scale of Theory

  • Resources and Reserves
  • Error Tolerance and Level of Accuracy
  • Geostatistics
    • Variography

In statistical theory, the probability confidence level of a data distribution can be formulated by. The different confidence level values ​​can be described by a normal distribution table and summarized in Table 4.

Table 4.  Z value at Various Confidence Levels  Level
Table 4. Z value at Various Confidence Levels Level

Reserves Estimate

  • Characteristics of Ore
  • Estimate Simulation

Limonite is the result of the weathering of soft yellowish-brown soil, which contains nickel and iron in an arbitrary ratio. Estimated reserves of nickel ore deposits are based on the data shown in Figure 2 and Table 5.

Discussion

In the future advantage, resources or reserves can be improved to increase the added value with optimal utilization. To reach the higher accuracy prediction of resources or reserves metallic deposits can be expressed with standard deviation value.

Empirical Study of Student’s Stage Thinking

According To Bloom And Van Hiele Learning Theories In Mathematics Instruction

Related works / literature review

In the learning process, there is an interaction which somehow involves the external matter of the student and the teacher, including the environment. The level of item difficulty in modern measurements is directly related to the feature of the item.

Material and method

The item number 20 in the Van Hiele's classification has a lower difficulty than in the introductory level and item number 11, an item in the deduction level, has a lower difficulty than in the order level. In fact, there is the result of simulation in the form of student worksheets that can be analyzed using the IRT approach.

Conclusions

The simulation data analysis using the difficulty level of the real data has a weakness, that is, the simulation result is in the form of the difficulty level of the classical test theory so that the difficulty level data obtained is based on the respondents . ability. However, due to the limitation of the researcher's ability to use other programs to calculate the difficulty level of the worksheets result from the simulation, then the researcher only uses the data that exists in the form of the classical difficulty level.

Service Quality in Religious and Common Tourism

Methodology

SQA10 Trash cans are clean and sufficient SQA11 There is a special way to switch off SQA12 There is a safe children's playground. There were differences between the results of religious and general tourism for the most important service item, the least important service item and the minimum service gap.

Table 3. Reliability and Validity Test
Table 3. Reliability and Validity Test

Maximum Likelihood Estimation In Intervention Analysis Model Multy Input Step Function: the impact of sea highway policies on

The first modeling is to determine the hypothesized order of b, s, and r of the first intervention model. To determine the order of the first intervention, you can see the residual diagram in Figure 4.2 below.

Figure 4.1: Graphic of Stock Price TMAS.JK   Explanatory text
Figure 4.1: Graphic of Stock Price TMAS.JK Explanatory text

Indonesia’s Province Segmentation Based On Flood Disaster Impact With Self Organizing Maps (Som) Algorithm

Introduction

There are some grouping methods like K Means, K Medoid, etc, but Indonesia's situation is unique, some islands have different (external) characteristics. It is very suitable to handle the flood case of Indonesia and the result can be combined with GIS mapping method.

Related Works

Material and Methodology

It is usually set to be the grid radius, decreasing each time step. Fifth step, each node found within the radius of the BMU calculated in step 4 is adjusted to make them more like the input vector with this formula.

Result

The characteristics are unique because the members of this group have a lower degree of damage to the healthy object if the flood occurs, but the highest number of casualties due to the dead and missing compared to the other members of the group. The characteristics of this group is a large number of damages and many settlements are in severe damage if floods occur.

The Utilization Density Functional Theory in Structure Determination And Hydrogen Storage

DensityFunctionalTheory

The energy of N electrons in an external potential Vext(r) is written as a function of the electron density 𝑛(𝑟). The total electronic energy E is said to be a function of the electron density, donated 𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡[𝑛(𝑟) ], in the sense that for a given function 𝑛(𝑟), as written as below,. Kurniawan., "Utilization Density Functional Theory in Structure Determination and Hydrogen Storage Properties of Ca(BH4)2∙2NH3 Compounds".

Material

  • Determination of structure
  • Hydrogen storage properties

To better provide some insight into the hydrogen storage properties of the Ca(BH4) 2∙2NH3 crystal, further study concerns the complex structure of this octahedrally shaped compound with ionic Ca2+ as the center and surrounded by four BH4 − molecule in lateral position and two NH3 molecules in vertical position. In this case, the modeling of a good geometrical structure of the compound Ca(BH4)2∙2NH3 is a necessary condition to correctly understand the crystal structure of Ca(BH4)2∙2NH3, the lattice parameters and its properties as a deposition material hydrogen.

Fig. 2. Structure of Ca(BH 4 ) 2 ∙2NH 3  crystal lattice
Fig. 2. Structure of Ca(BH 4 ) 2 ∙2NH 3 crystal lattice

Statistical Analysis of the difference Absolut Neutrophil Count (ANC) in the level sepsis patients

Rizka Asdie 2

Diagnosis of the infection and the patient with sepsis is often difficult because of the often multiple and complex underlying disease. The basic standard of care and individual organ support management of the patient with severe sepsis are 4 factors: infection control, hemodynamic support, immunomodulatory interventions, and metabolic/endocrine support.

The subjects with the inclusion and exclusion criteria of sepsis were taken informed consent and examination of laboratory.

Figure 2. Distribution of Subject data.
Figure 2. Distribution of Subject data.

Gambar

Figure 1. Scatter Plot Time vs Chlorine’s Content
Figure 4. Regression Linear Plot for each Cluster Data
Figure 5. Segmented Simple Linear Regression with 3 Break-points
Figure 1.Results of 17 samples in formaldehyde detection test using Schiff solution come from 17 traditional  markets in Yogyakarta
+7

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