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BOOK Cambridge International AS & A Level Mathematics: Probability & Statistics 1

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Muhammad Rizki Shofari

Academic year: 2023

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Acknowledgements

Representation of data

Why do we collect, display and analyse data?

Types of data

The number of letters in the words of a book is an example of discrete quantitative data. The times it takes the athletes to complete a 100-meter race are an example of continuous quantitative data.

Representation of discrete data: stem-and-leaf diagrams

Continuous data can take any value (possibly within a limited range), as shown in the diagram. Describe the student in the middle of the line and find the largest possible number of boys in the line who are not standing next to a girl.

Representation of continuous data: histograms

The following table shows the intervals between the classes and the number of animals in the two classes. Given that the frequency densities of the four classes of percentage scores are in a ratio, find the value of p and q.

Representation of continuous data: cumulative frequency graphs

9 The following table shows the age of the students at a university, expressed as a percentage. Explain why, from your graphs, you cannot get an accurate estimate of the number of these 242 sticks that are acceptable.

Comparing different data representations

Name a type of representation that shows that the majority of eggs have a mass of 54 to 60 g. 8 The following table shows the focal lengths, lmm, of the 84 zoom lenses sold by a retailer.

Checklist of learning and understanding

Given that a–b=7 and that the sum of the eight numbers correct to the nearest whole number is 24. Given that the height of the column representing the combined classes must be 30 cm, find the correct height for the.

Measures of central tendency

Three types of average

The mode and the modal class

Find the modal class of the 270 pencil lengths, given to the nearest centimeter in the following table. Find the least possible frequency of the modal class, given that the modal class is 4–10.

The mean

Combined sets of data

Means from grouped frequency tables

The following example shows a situation where using incorrect bounds leads to an incorrect estimate of the mean. Calculate an estimate of the difference between the mean heights of these two groups of children.

Coded data

The median

In a set of n ordered values, the mean is at the value halfway between 1 and n. To find the average number of customers served on each of these days, we need to find their positions in the ordered rows of the back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram.

Estimating the median

There are no historical examples of the use of the mean, median, or mode before the 17th century. He used the number in the middle of the smallest and largest values ​​(what we would call the midrange) and ignored everything but the minimum and maximum values.

Choosing an appropriate average

Investigate the effect this has on the mode, mean, median and shape of the curve. What the shape says about the mean, median, and mode values.

Measures of variation

How do we best summarise a set of data?

The range

The interquartile range and percentiles

Ungrouped data

Find the interquartile range of the 13 pooled values ​​shown in the following stem-and-leaf plot.

Grouped data

Variance and standard deviation

Find the standard deviation for the values ​​of x given in the following table, correct to 3 significant figures. Calculate an estimate of the standard deviation of the heights of the 20 children listed in the following table. Some features of the standard deviation are compared with the interquartile range in the following table.

Calculating from totals

Correct to 1 decimal place, the standard deviation of the number of pages in the 15 books together is 31.2. And how can we find the variance and standard deviation of the original data from the coded data. Use the coded values ​​to calculate the standard deviation of the number of brothers, to 3 decimal places.

Appendix to Section 3.3

Probability

If we do this, how likely is that?

Experiments, events and outcomes

Random selection and equiprobable events

The probability of an event occurring is equal to the proportion of equally likely outcomes that are favorable to the event. There are 19 possible outcomes: 11 are favorable for the meeting to choose a boy and eight are favorable for the meeting to choose a girl, as shown in the following table.

Exhaustive events

Trials and expectation

Mutually exclusive events and the addition law

Mutually exclusive events have no common favorable outcomes, meaning that it is not possible for both events to occur, so P(Ain )B =0. For example, when rolling an ordinary die, the event even and the factor are mutually exclusive because they do not share favorable outcomes. Events are not mutually exclusive if they have at least one favorable outcome in common, which means that both events can occur, i.e. P(Ain )B ≠0.

Venn diagrams

Independent events and the multiplication law

Find the probability that the sum of the points of three tosses of a regular fair die is less than 5. 1 Using a tree diagram, find the probability that exactly one head is obtained when two fair coins are tossed. Evaluate k and find the probability that the sum of the three points is less than 5.

Application of the multiplication law

Conditional probability

9 The additional information 'given that a girl is chosen' reduces the number of possible choices from 20 to 9 and Rose is one of those nine girls. Given that the sum of the two numbers rolled is even, find the probability that the two numbers are the same. Given that a player's score is greater than 6, find the probability that it is not greater than 8.

Independence and conditional probability

Dependent events and conditional probability

Given that he is late for school, find the probability that he rides a bicycle; that is, find P(C L|. Find the probability that the number is a multiple of 5, given that none of its digits is a 5. Find the probability that three randomly selected members have all read fewer than eight books , given that.

Permutations and combinations

Simple situations with millions of possibilities

The factorial function

A shorthand method of doing this is to use the factorial function, called 'quadrifactorial' and written 4.

Permutations

We can show that six three-digit numbers can be made from 5, 6, and 7 by considering how many choices we have for the digit we put in each position in the arrangement. Finally, we place the remaining digit on the right side, as shown in the following diagram. If her youngest child sits on the adjacent chair to her left, in how many ways can the remaining children sit.

Find the number of ways in which five cars and x+2 vans can be parked in a row. If two more boys are added to the group, the number of possible arrangements increases by a factor of 420. 4 Two students should find out how many ways they can plant two trees and three bushes in a row.

Alternatively, the shortest man can be placed in one of the four positions, and the remaining five positions can be filled in 5P5 fashion, i.e. 4 × 5. The remaining four positions can be filled by any of the other four men (one of whom one is the shortest man) in 4P4 fashion, as shown. Start with 3: We need to place 1 on the far right (one choice), and the remaining two positions can be filled in 2P2 fashion by the other two numbers, as shown.

Combinations

How many different three-digit numbers can be made from five cards, each with one of the digits and 9 written on it. 6 From six boys and seven girls, find how many ways there are to select a group of three children that consists of more girls than boys. In how many ways can she arrange seven of the objects in a row along the shelf if her clock is to be included.

Problem solving with permutations and combinations

3 Find the probability that the arrangement of all the letters in the word PALETTE will be chosen at random. Find the probability that the first card in a row is odd and the three cards are in the middle. Therefore, find the probability that this event does not occur in two consecutive throws of three dice.

Probability distributions

2 Two dice are randomly selected from a bag of three red dice and three blue dice. Show that the chosen dice are more likely to be red when the choices are made with replacement than when the choices are made without replacement.

Tools of the trade

Discrete random variables

Probability distributions

Three DVDs are selected and the following table shows the probability distribution for M, the number of movies selected. Set up the probability distribution for X, the number of right-handed, red-haired people selected, and state what assumption must be made to do so. The probability distribution for H, the number of heads obtained, is shown in the following table.

Expectation and variance of a discrete random variable

Expectation

From this table of expected frequencies, we can calculate the mean (expected) score over 1600 trials. The same value for E(X) is obtained if we use relative frequencies (i.e. probabilities) instead of frequencies.

Variance

A probability distribution for a discrete random variable is a representation of all its possible values ​​and their respective probabilities. 1 Find the mean and variance of the discrete random variable X whose probability distribution is given by. Find the probability that the result is at least 4 in at least 1 of the 3 tosses.

The binomial and geometric distributions

Two special discrete distributions

The binomial distribution

Find the probability that less than 39 people in a random sample of 40 have rhesus positive blood. Find the probability that exactly five out of eight randomly selected people succeed on their first attempt. Find the probability that there is exactly one person in the sample who is color blind.

Expectation and variance of the binomial distribution

The geometric distribution

The following table shows the probability that the first success occurs on the rth trial. A random variable X having a geometric distribution is denoted by X~ Geo( )p, and the probability that the first success occurs on the rth trial is X is the number of candies selected and eaten, up to and including the first red candies.

Mode of the geometric distribution

Expectation of the geometric distribution

4 Let T be the number of times a fair coin is tossed, up to and including the toss in which the first tail is obtained. 5 Let X be the number of times an ordinary mushroom is rolled, up to and including the roll in which the first 6 is obtained. X is the number of randomly selected people, up to and including the first person who has this defective gene.

The normal distribution

Why are errors quite normal?

Continuous random variables

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