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Financial Distress Predictionin Indonesia
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Document details
References (20)
4 of 10
Financial distress prediction in Indonesia
(Article), , ,
Department Management Faculty Economics and Business, Diponegoro University, Prof. Sudarto Street Campus Tembalang, Semarang, Indonesia
Department Accounting Faculty Economics and Business, Dian Nuswantoro University, Imam Bonjol Street, Semarang, Indonesia
Abstract
Altman in 1968 specified that there were five ratios of company difficulties, namely Working Capital to Total Assets (WCTA), Retained Earning to Total Assets (RETA), Earning Before Interest and Tax to Total Assets (EBITTA), Market Value of Total Liabilities (MVETL), Sales to Total Assets (STA). The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of WCTA, RETA, EBITTA, MVETL, and STA on predictions of the occurrence of Financial Distress conditions. The population of this study is the annual report of Manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2012-2016 with a purposive sampling method resulting in 40 total samples. Using Logistic regression analysis with SPSS 21.0 proves that Market Value of Equity to Total Liabilities (MVETL) and Sales to Total Assets (STA) have a significant negative effect on prediction of Financial Distress . Working Capital to Total Assets (WCTA), Retained Earning to Total Assets (RETA) and Earning Before Interest and Tax to Total Assets (EBITTA) have no effect on
financial distress predictions. © 2019 World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society. All rights reserved.
SciVal Topic Prominence
Topic:
Prominence percentile: 97.484
Author keywords
Altman Z-score Bankruptcy Financial distress
Altman, E.I.
(1968) The Journal of Finance, 23 (4), pp. 589-609. . doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1968.tb00843.x
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WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics Volume 16, 2019, Article number #28, Pages 251-260
Chabachib, M.a Kusmaningrum, R.H.a Hersugondo, H.a Pamungkas, I.D.b
a
b
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Earnings management | Earnings | Accrual-based earnings
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FINANCIAL RATIOS, DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS AND THE PREDICTION OF CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY
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(Open Access)
(2013) Jurnal Teknologi (Sciences and Engineering), 64 (1), pp. 85-91. . doi: 10.11113/jt.v64.1181
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The Presence of Earnings Manipulation Incentive as a Prerequisite for Positive Accounting Theory the Benefits of Higher-Quality Audit to be Realized: The Case of Indonesia
(2010) Universitas Gadjah Mada (UGM) and Universitas Gadjah Mada Working Paper Series.
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(2012) Fundamentals of financial management.. . Cengage Learning
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Financial Performance and management differences: A Comprehensive Study on Couse of Financial Distress for Albanian Businesses
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(2001) Corporate Governance: The international journal of business in society, 1 (1), pp. 15-23.
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Aplikasi Analisis Multivariete IBM SPSS 23 (2016) Semarang. Universitas Diponegoro.
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(2012) Analisis Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Menggunakan Model Altman Z-Score Modifikasi 1995 (Studi Kasus pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Go Public di Indonesia Tahun 2008 sampai dengan Tahun 2010)
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(2015) Aplikasi Prediksi Financial Distress Menggunakan Metoda Altman: Studi Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2010-2013
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(2010) International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 52, pp. 81-90. .
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WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics
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Modelling R&D Strategy to Fulfil Customer Demands through Digital Transformation
Denizhan Cay, Nazli Goker, Mehtap Dursun
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #59, pp. 525-531
IFRS Application and Its Impact on the Accounting Information Quality:
Palestine as a Case Study Tariq Darabee, Aydin Karapinar
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Detection Fraudulent Financial Statement: Beneish M-Score Model Soni Agus Irwandi, Imam Ghozali, Faisal, Imang Dapit Pamungkas
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #30, pp. 271-281
Application of Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process in Prioritizing and Ranking Critical Success Factors of Innovation Startups
Tran Van Trang, Nguyen Quang Vinh, Quang Hung Do
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #29, pp. 261-270
Financial Distress Prediction in Indonesia
Mochammad Chabachib, Renny Hapsari Kusmaningrum, H. Hersugondo, Imang Dapit Pamungkas
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #28, pp. 251-260
Code of Ethics versus Annual Report: Analysis of Environmental Disclosures
Pierluigi Santosuosso
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #27, pp. 239-250
Efficiency and Stochastic Dominance in the European Equity Mutual Fund Market
Pablo Solórzano-Taborga, Ana Belén Alonso-Conde, Javier Rojo-Suárez
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #26, pp. 226-238
Export Performance: The Role of Product Quality and Market Orientation Noor Hasmini AbdGhani, Nik Kamariah NikMat, Yaty Sulaiman
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #25, pp. 215-225
An Analysis of Citizens’ Understanding on Sharia Tourism in Pekanbaru City, Indonesia
Zulkifli, Boy Syamsul Bakhri, Muhammad Yusuf
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The Influence of Information Technology on Innovation Processes for Software Production in Kosovo
Emin Neziraj, Husnija Bibuljica
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #23, pp. 195-204
Organizational Culture and Employee Performance: An Analysis of a Post- Acquisition
Kusni Ingsih, Sih Darmi Astuti, Ana Kadarningsih
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #22, pp. 185-194
A Note on Number Theoretic Approach to Credit Creation in Banking and Other Financial Intermediaries
A. G. Shannon, Fazluz Zaman, Tonmoy Choudhury
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #21, pp. 178-184
Market Orientation on Performance in Indonesian Service Company: The Mediating Role of Service Innovation
Nur Afifah, Ilzar Daud
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #20, pp. 171-177
The Impact of Quality Management Systems on Financial Liquidity in Companies in Group Purchasing Organizations
Grzegorz Zimon, Dominik Zimon
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #19, pp. 163-170
Fun at Work and Employee Performance: The Roles of Job Satisfaction and Organizational Commitment in Manufacturing Companies
Indi Djastuti, Susilo Toto Rahardjo, Lala Irviana, Udin Udin
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #18, pp. 153-162
Potential of Export-Oriented Import Substitution in the Eurasian Economic Union: the Case Study of the Agro-Industrial Complex
Vasily S. Starostin, Veronika Yu. Chernova, Elena A. Fedorenko
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Natural Catastrophe Models for Insurance Risk Management Pavla Jindrová, Viera Pacáková
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #2, pp. 9-17
Structures of Revenue, Expenditure, and Welfare of Household Farmers in Kampar Regency, Riau Indonesia
Asrol, Heriyanto
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1109-9526 / 2224-2899, Volume 16, 2019, Art. #1, pp. 1-8
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The Performance of Commercial Banking Industry:
How it is Determined?
An Evidence of the Listed Commercial Banks at ADX
MOHAMMED IBRAHIM SULTAN OBEIDAT
1a, ADNAN -$:$%5,
1b,NADEEN “MOHAMMED ADNAN” DARKAL
2c1
Business Administration Dept., Al Ain Campus, Al Khawarizmi International College, Al Ain, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
2
Business Administration Dept., School of Economics and Business, Jadara University, Irbid, JORDAN
a
m.obeidat@khawarizmi.com ,
bAdnan.tahir@khawarizmi.com ,
cnnnonly@hotmail.com
Abstract: - The study objects for determining whether some selected accounting and marketing-based factors affecting the performance of listed commercial banks at Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange. The performance of commercial banks is measured through Return on Equity (ROE), while five independent variables were examined to determine whether each of them has a significant effect on the performance of commercial banks, including, capital adequacy, bank size, loan ratio, liquidity ratio, and Tobin’s Q. To achieve the objectives of the study, the required data, covering the period 2008-2016, was collected from eight out of 12 listed commercial banks at ADX. Four banks were excluded because no complete information along the period of the study regarding these banks four banks is available. Descriptive statistics are used in data analysis, whereas, simple and multiple linear regression were used in hypotheses testing underline 0.05 predetermined coefficient of significance. The study demonstrates that capital adequacy, bank size, and bank liquidity, each of which, has a significant effect on the performance of commercial banks, whereas, no significant effect had been found for loan ratio and Tobin’s Q.
Key Words: Financial Performance, Bank Size, Capital Adequacy, Liquidity, Loan Ratio, Tobin’s Q.
1 Introduction
The efficiency of commercial banking industry is of high importance for economic growth of different countries [Rashid, 2010]. Commercial banks are considered as the most important component of the financial system of any country and different societies. Five components are normally existing and constructing the countries’ financial system.
These components are financial markets, financial institutions, financial instruments, financial services, and money. Actually, the consideration of these five components reveals that commercial banks play the most important role among the five components of the financial system. Commercial banking industry also plays an important role in money supply, and therefore its existence is important for business organizations and producing units. Let us imagine a society without commercial banks to perceive how much the existence of commercial banks is necessary for purchasing, trading, purchasing, importing, selling, and exporting, especially when raw materials are imported from outside the
boarders and goods are produced to be sold outside the country, and when the seller and buyer are in the same country, but they are far from each other [Brigham and Houston, 2011]. In addition, nobody can deny the role of commercial banking industry in the monetary policy of countries. Furthermore, commercial banks play a vital role in the allocation process of economic resources of most countries, and can activate investments and simplifies and attract more foreign investments [Ongore and Kusa, 2013].
Accepting deposits from those who have excess amounts of cash than their needs, and lending these deposits to those who have less cash than their needed amounts, is the main activity the commercial banks exercise, but many other activities are performed by these banks. Business organizations borrow a large amounts of cash from commercial banks to pay for purchasing assets and other expenses when their net cash flows are less than the required payments. These borrowings may be short- term or long term borrowings, depending on cash
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS Mohammed Ibrahim Sultan Obeidat, Adnan Jawabri, Nadeen “Mohammed Adnan” Darkal
E-ISSN: 2224-2899 532 Volume 16, 2019
Rev., vol. 77, 2002, pp. 35–59.
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WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS Tariq Darabee, Aydin Karapinar
E-ISSN: 2224-2899 523 Volume 16, 2019
Approximation of Minimum Initial Capital of the Discrete Time Surplus Process using Separated Claim Technique for Motor
Insurance
SOONTORN BOONTA Faculty of Science and Engineering
Kasetsart University Muang, Sakon Nakhon
THAILAND soontorn.bo@ku.th
WATCHARA TEPAROS Faculty of Science and Engineering
Kasetsart University Muang, Sakon Nakhon
THAILAND watchara.tha@ku.th
Abstract: - In this paper, we compute what minimum initial capital an insurance company has to hold to ensure that the ruin probability (insolvency probability) is not greater than the given quantity of the discrete time surplus process using separating claim technique. 365 claims of motor insurance are separated into standard and large claims. The criteria of separation is at the 80th percentile; if claim is less than or equal the 80th percentile, it is called standard claim and claim is called large claim if it is greater than the 80th percentile. We also perform some simulations to estimate the ruin probability as well as calculate the minimum initial capital using regression analysis.
Key-Words: - ruin probability, discrete time surplus process, minimum initial capital.
1 Introduction
The basic knowledge of a surplus process of non- life insurance can be defined as
Surplus = Initial capital + Income – Outflow.
For the classical surplus process, we consider claim Y
noccurred and the time T
nsuch that 0 T
1T
2 ... . The discrete time surplus process is defined by
0 1
, ,
n
n n k
k
U u cT Y U u n
(1)
where u 0 is initial capital, c 0 is premium rate.
Nyrhinen (2001), Cai and Dickson (2004), and Gao, et al. studied the discrete time surplus process in cooperating a constant interest rate
rin order to obtain the upper bound of the ruin probabilities by constructing the corresponding Lundberg’s bounds for the ruin probabilities. The surplus process is of the form
1
(1 ) ,
0,
n n n
U U
r Y U u n (2)
where
ris a constant interest rate.
Chan and Zhang (2006) studied the discrete time surplus process (1) under the assumption that
n
,
T n n and a set of claims { , Y n
n } is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). They proposed the recursive and explicit formulas of ruin probability with only exponential and geometric claim. Sattayatham et al. (2013) generalized the model of Chan and Zhang that { , Y n
n } is i.i.d. but not necessary a set of exponential or geometric claims. Since the formula of ruin probability was difficult to find explicitly, they proposed the ruin probability in the recursive form and applied Newton-Raphson method to compute the minimum initial capital.
We observe that model of Chan and Zhang did not include the interest rate
rin the model and according to the model (2) of Nyrhinen, Cai and Dickson that they were not able to express the ruin probabilities explicitly. In this paper, we want to
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS Soontorn Boonta, Watchara Teparos
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