Supplemental Table 2. Comparison of Algorithm Performance between COVID and Non-COVID Cohorts
Percent of Decisions Made Without
Lottery
Confidence Interval
Percent of Non- Lottery Decisions Where Algorithm Chose Individual who survived
Confidence Interval
Percent of Decisions Made Without
Lottery
Confidence Interval
Percent of Non- Lottery Decisions Where Algorithm Chose Individual who survived
Confidence Interval
COVID Only Groups of Two
Non-COVID Only Groups of Two
New York 0 0-0 n/a n/a New York 63.5 59.1-67.1 80.1 75.9-85.3
Maryland 64.7 60.8-68.7 71.1 66.3-75.8 Maryland 93 90-95.6 54.3 49.1-60.3
Pennsylvania 81.7 78.4-85.2 69.2 64.6-74 Pennsylvania 95.8 93.9-97.2 64.8 59.1-70.6
Colorado 89.4 86.7-92.2 70.5 66.1-74.3 Colorado 97.4 95.5-99 69.1 64.3-73.4
Raw Sofa 88.3 85.2-91.2 83.9 80.3-87 Raw Sofa 93.6 91.7-95.7 77.7 73.6-83
Raw Sofa With Age 98.1 96.8-99.3 80.7 77.8-83.5 Raw Sofa With Age 98.9 97.8-99.7 76.7 72.8-80.9
Age 97.6 96.4-98.9 59.8 54.8-63.8 Age 98.3 94.3-100 57.1 44.1-70
COVID Only Groups of Five
Non-COVID Only Groups of Five
New York 0 0-0 n/a n/a New York 4.9 3.6-6.3 86.4 75.3-97.2
Maryland 46.6 42.2-51.3 94 85.6-100 Maryland 67.9 65.1-71.2 86.5 83-90
Pennsylvania 57.3 47.9-66.9 87 77.3-95.6 Pennsylvania 84.3 81.5-86.9 88.5 85.8-90.9
Colorado 82.7 79.6-85.5 94.1 87.1-99.6 Colorado 89.9 88-92.3 92.7 90.6-95.1
Raw Sofa 53.9 48.4-59.7 99.5 98.1-100 Raw Sofa 80.2 77.3-83.2 93.7 91.9-95.3
Raw Sofa With Age 94.8 92.6-96.6 98.9 96.9-100 Raw Sofa With Age 96.8 95.6-97.9 93 91.4-94.6
Age 97.6 96.2-98.6 77.1 70.1-84 Age 97.6 96.5-98.5 86.7 84.5-89.1
COVID Only Groups of Ten
Non-COVID Only Groups of Ten
New York 0 0-0 n/a n/a New York 0 0-0 n/a n/a
Maryland 48.6 45.5-51.7 99.8 99.4-100 Maryland 37.7 34.8-40.2 98.4 97.2-99.5
Pennsylvania 50.2 47.6-52.8 93.9 91.9-95.9 Pennsylvania 69.8 67.2-73.1 97.8 96.5-98.9
Colorado 83.7 81.3-86.1 99.2 98.6-99.6 Colorado 79 76.7-81.2 99.1 98.4-99.7
Raw Sofa 50.8 47.3-53.8 100 100-100 Raw Sofa 60.0 56.1-62.8 99.2 98.4-99.8
Raw Sofa With Age 95.6 94.3-96.7 100 99.9-100 Raw Sofa With Age 93.6 92.1-95 99.0 98.2-99.4
Age 98 96.9-98.7 81.7 79.5-84.6 Age 98.6 97.9-99.4 98.2 97.4-99
