PALMS:
PALMS:
Michael Yoe Aufa Al Ghifari Amaris Rea Ananda Michael YoeAufa Al Ghifari Amaris Rea Ananda
Accelerate SNI Emission Goals
While surviving harsh market conditions
Proposed by Proposed by
PUK Team
Scaling Up a Holistic strategy to
Timeframe
2
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Strategy Conclusion Background
Climate change have imminent effects on the agribusiness industry while their progress on sustainability have been slow
Climate change effects could potentially cost the agribusiness industry millions..
…Yet, they are still one of the biggest causes of climate change and their actions has been very slow
Agribusines s activities accounts to
18,4% of GHG Emissions
Land use and Agricultural Expansion
Product Processing
Progress in sustainability is awfully slow
• 43%
of Forest 500 companies still do not have deforestation commitments• 34%
of companies with deforestation commitment have not reported on their progress in the last two years*Forest 500 companies are 500 companies and institutions that causes the most deforestations, mainly consisting of agri-companies
Climate Change Risks ImplicationsFinancial Cost of Action Higher soil moisture evaporation
Behavioral change from pollinators Intense drought and wildfire
Intense rain and frequent floods
Transportation
Use of Fertilizers in Plantations
Magnitude of Impact
Likelihood of Occurance High
Low High
Fast
<1 Year Moderate 1-2 Year
3 1
1 – 10M /year 1 – 10M /year 1 0– 50M /year
1 – 10M /year 1M/site 3.5M/site
<100k/site 3M/site
2 4
1
3 2
4
Background Company Analysis
Problem Analysis Strategy Conclusion
3
So now, SNI is committed to becoming an agribusiness company with positive impact on social and environmental aspect
SNI, an agribusiness company providing processed
palm-oil tree products, is facing financial headwinds.. …Their revenue also still comes at a huge toll towards the environment
SNI’s energy mix still consist of 100% fossil
fuels (aside from
purchased electricity which is mostly fossil), with
notably high diesel consumption
3x
SNI’s GHG emissions is
among the highest in the industry, being
nearly 3x the average CPO mills
SNI’s Energy Mix in 2022
SNI’s GHG Emission per ton CPO produced compared to industry
average
CPO Palm Kernels PKO Palm Sugars Vegetables
SNI’s Product Offerings
With various industry headwinds, SNI is currently facing financial losses
CPO Price in 2022 SNI Financial Performance
Losses are mainly driven by dipping CPO prices and reduced CPO & PK
- 65,7%
Categories Output
Emissions (Ton CO2e)
Financial
CPO Produced (Tonnes) Market Share (source: BPS)
Scope 1 Scope 2 Scope 3 Net Revenue
(idr bio) Net Profit
(idr bio)
262.532,2
0,5%
732.451 15.625 No Information
24.332 1.971
4.042 No Information
1.411.747 2.293 12.098
SNI
940.964,2
2,1%
700.000
1,56%
1.251.042 163.048 No Information
57.004 2.829
114.571
0,02%
114.415 54.155 No Information
Background Company Analysis
Problem Analysis Strategy Conclusion
We are taking a look further into the industry to identify SNI’s position within the market...
5
316,69 0,15
14.190 -77 1.053.400
32.060 0,04 458.000
1,02%
Within the CPO market, when compared with its competitor, SNI is in a dangerous position where it is losing in 3 categories (Output, emissions, and financials)...
*) Source: All companies listed are publicly traded; the data is sourced from their 2021 sustainability report
Comparing SNI with their competitors, we found out that SNI is inferior in
multiple aspects…
4
Furthermore, SNI also faces threats in their core palm oil business with the rise of sunflower oil in recent years
The rise of sunflower oils has threatened the palm oil commodity market…
…But, recent studies have found that while sunflower may be a good alternative to conventional palm oil, it is still insufficient
Problems with Sunflower
Oil
Sunflower oils cost $350-450/ton more compared to CPO. Also rocketed 1000% post Russian war.
Sunflower oils still require 6x more land to produce oil compared to CPO.
Ineffective Cost
Sustainability Doubts
Recent studies has shown that building a
more sustainable palm oil is better than fully transition to
sunflower oils.
This has led companies to reverse their ban on palm oil.
CAGR 5,2%
Global Sunflower Oil Market Growth
Palm oil regulations in the European market
has led to a growing demand for palm oil alternatives, one of it
being sunflower oil growing at 5,2%.
Sunflower Oil Production in 2020
The biggest producers of Sunflower oil is
Russia and Ukraine. The war
has made sunflower oil prices
rockets by 1000%
GHG Emission for different oil variants
Background Company Analysis Problem Analysis Strategy Conclusion
Key Question
How can SNI’s palm oil reduce their GHG Emission for their core palm business and survive current conditions?
According to The Edge Research (2021)
Source: Maximize Market Research Ltd (2021)
Root Cause Breakdown–
Issue Tree Analysis
Problem Statement
How could SNI tackle Challenges among its environment, social, and governance to achieve net zero emissions goals by 2030 while surviving the market conditions?
To reduce GHG Emission in their core business, SNI must encounter the following problems
Problem Analysis
Background Company Analysis Strategy Conclusion
6
Root Cause Analysis
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
7
PALMS Strategy vs. Root Problem
Governance
Environment Social
Polyculturing
Energy
Energy Transition to
Biomass Independent
Farmer Development Agri-Efficiency
Improvement
√
√
√
Waste
Management Crop Emission Soil
Management Farmer
Awareness Lacking Emission Goals
√
√
√
√ √
√
√
√ √
√ Strategy
Now how does the PALMS strategy correlate to the identified problem?
P.A.L.M.
S.
P.A.L.M.
S.
1. Polyculturing
2. Agri-Efficiency Improvement 3. Leading Farmers Program 4. Moving to Biomass
5. Slow Diversification 1. Polyculturing
2. Agri-Efficiency Improvement 3. Leading Farmers Program 4. Moving to Biomass
5. Slow Diversification
Strategy
> >
Issue Tree
Strategy
Slow
Diversification Building a safety net for SNI and create future business opportunities
S
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
8
PALMS Strategy:
A L M
P
As SNI have expanded to sell vegetables and other products, polyculturing is necessary to reduce cost
Cost savings. Reduced overall cost of water and fetilizer usage.
By implementing Polyculturing, SNI would improve net profit by 1,67 mio USD and reduce CO2e scope 1 by 35% by
year 2030
Additional Profit. Although there is less palm oil can be planted, the additional revenue gathered from supporting plants contributes to 43%
more revenue per m2
Potential Plants. such as rubber, cassava, corn, or beans are shown (through research) for palm tree
polyculturing
Effects on CO2 emissions:
Up to 60% Less Emissions*
Compared Yield Effect:
Up to 120% More Crop physical-yields
Polyculturing, intercropping, or tumpang sari is the practice of growing multiple species of agricultural crops within the same space &
time.
Corn
Oil Palms
Key Takeaway
*) Dhandapani, Selvakumar, et al. (2020). Is Intercropping an Environmentally-Wise Alternatice to Established Oil Palm Monoculture in Tropical Peatlands?
A M S P
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
9
PALMS Strategy:
L
Improving Agri-efficiency Is a crucial step to upgrade the upstream production
Vermicomposting Nursery Improvement Drip Fertigation
Less water consumption
Drip fertigation is a method of mixing
water and
fertilizer within the drip system
35
%
Agri-Efficiency
Yield improvement are done at the start of the process, which includes:
1. Genetic Engineering
technology through CRISPR and collaboration with research institutes.
2. Selective breeding plants which tends to produce more yield and more.
3. Improving seedling
development techniques Effects up to:
Drip fertigation leads to farming efficiency and inclusive nutrient
distribution
*) Rupani, Parveen Fatemeh, Ibrahim, M. Hakimi. (2014). Vermicomposting biotechnology: Recycling of palm oil mill waste into valuable products. USM
Eliminating 80% PPF and POME waste and transportation emissions via local vermicomposting
Research* shows 25-35% richer
nutrients, good physical properties, and optimal maturity in vermicomposts
Vermicomposting reuses POME sludge and PPF through earthworm to create friendly
fertilizers.
L M S P A
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
10
Leading Farmers Development Program can help solve bottlenecks in the supply side; raising farmers’ awareness and sustainability capabilities
4 Months Training-Development Program
Sustainable Farming
Process Management
• Financial Support for Sustainable Farming Implementations• Guaranteed markets for palm oil fruits with
certain quality standards
• Environmentally friendly plantations
Needs training and involvement from all
smallholders
Infoware
• Reduce scope 1 emissions
1. Unskilled farmers in implementing sustainability 2. Low awareness levels among farmers
SNI Farmers
Independen t Farmers
Plantation Developmen
t
Maintenance
• Land Preparation
• Plant Insertion
• Sustainable Planting Technologies
• Weed control
• Ablation
• Sustainable Fertilization
• Harvesting Method
• Documentation of Activities
• Sustainability reporting
• Standards, norms and guidelines
Bottlenecks in sustainable
sourcing
• Access to higher quality palm oil fruits
Benefit for FarmersBenefit for Farmers
Benefit for SNI
P A L M S
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
11
Biomass is a renewable energy to substitute traditional fossil fuel usage made from living organisms, such as plants and animals.
Lower risks than fossil fuel Build circular economy scheme
• Burning biomass merely releases the CO2.
• But, as long as the amount of CO2 released as a fuel matches the amount absorbed during its development, it is carbon neutral.
• Production os SNI lead to wastes and residues that don’t have any economic value.
• It can be used as a potential bioenergy source, allowing to extract all of the potential energy.
Waste Digestor Treatment Fuel and
Electricity Engine
Solid waste (oil palm, fibre, shells)
and liquid waste (fresh fruit brunches)
are collected
With 600C, wastes are processed in order to achieve homogenous
composition
Stabilized substance by
decreasing temperature using
plate heat exchanger
Biodegradatio n of substance to be biomass
75% - 85%
efficiency increased
WHA T
WHY
HOW
Increasing 4.93% of scope 1 GHG emission from 2021 to 2022 urge SNI moving energy source to biomass
PALMS Strategy:
BENEFITS
Lower risks than fossil fuel
M S
P A L
With the new alternative to the market, SNI must assess other options in the market in order to stay relevant
PALMS Strategy:
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
How to Integrate SFO into the SNI’s portfolio
• SFO is growing rapidly with 5,2%
CAGR
• The Russian-Ukraine war has left a gap in the SFO market export
By slowly diversifying, SNI would gain access to more profit and protection from market changes.
Key Takeaway
WHY HOW
SNI will ride the upstream momentum on all markets (CPO and SFO)
By 2030, SNI will profit by owning more than 0,02% SFO market shares (globally), SFO contributing to 40% of SNI’s profit.
Diversification is a way to protect SNI’s Assets from future risks in the CPO market
Leveraging market &
geopolitical momentum by slowly reinvesting in potential cash cows, such as SFO
DIVERSIFICATIO N
1 .
Building cost structure and slowly harvesting market cash
2
cows.
CAGR*
CPO vs. CFO
5,2 2,75 %
%
Source: GAPKI News Report. Indonesia (2017). Proyeksi Vegetable Oil Dunia 2025
Integrating current strategies for decarbonization efforts as SNI has access to the infrastructure and knowledge for this effort
3 .
12
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
13
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS: Financial Projection and Environmental Analysis
Financial Impact
24%
IRR in 2030135
Cash Flow in 2030 (million USD)Up toProfit
27%
increasing
View Appendix A1. for detailed Financial Analysis
Cashflow Analysis
FINANCIAL PROJECTION (in USD million)
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue 76,7 84,37 92,807 102,0877 112,29647 112,8579524 124,1437476 117,9365602
Net Income (Total Cash
Inflow) 21,348 42,759 61,117218 70,58862594 82,73148606 87,31347121 103,1451416 104,4597043
Polyculturing 1,37 1,507 1,6577 1,82347 2,005817 2,2063987 2,42703857 2,669742427
Agri-Efficiency
Improvement 2,978 3,4834 2,10764 1,475196 1,3767429 1,46944071 1,604015037 1,760930258
Leading Farmers
Development Program 0,166 1,0226 1,12486 1,0164 1,11804 1,229844 1,3528284 1,48811124
Moving to Biomass 0,6 3,842 1,7292 0,97992 0,576432 0,3343392 0,19599552 0,115754112
Slowly Open Diversification 2,8 2,315 2,27025 2,0746125 2,007343125 2,029502531 2,116379095 2,252569107
Total Cash Outflow 7,314 9,855 6,6194 5,294986 5,0770319 5,24002261 5,579877527 6,034538037
Total Cash Flow 14,034 32,904 54,497818 65,29363994 77,65445416 82,0734486 97,56526404 98,42516626
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
14
EMISSION ANALYSIS: GHG Projection and Environmental Analysis
Emission Impact
Reduced Carbon Emission by Year
By 2030, SNI’s carbon emission is
53,8% Less than
2021
(689.907,07 tonnes less)
SBTi Framework
What temperature goal should SNI align its Scope 1 and Scope
targets?
What type of Scope 1 and Scope 2 target SNI should set?
Is a scope 3 target required?
What type of Scope 1 and Scope 2 target SNI should set?
Scope 1
596.81 0
(tCO2e in Y8)
Scope 2
42.882
(tCO2e in Y8)
Scope 3
50.216
(tCO2e in Y8)
In preindustrial level
1.5°C
Limiting warming to
Scope 3
<
Hence, Scope 3 emission is
40%
not the first prioritization
86,5%
FLAG Sector Approach:
Reduction 3.03%/yr until 2030
FLAG Commodity Approach:
Reduction 3.1%/yr until 2030
6,22% 7,28%
: Scope 1 emission
*based on SBTi FLAG Guidance (globally, 2050)
4.6 1 1.69 1.63
1.3
Scope
1 &2 Scope 3
*FLAG sector, by 2050
-95% -67%
Land Use ChangeImproved Agriculture
Improved Sustainable Forest
Management Reserved Soil
Enhanced Agricultural Soil
Carbon
GtCO2/yr
Strategy
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
15
All the initiatives above are meaningless if SNI doesn’t set feasible targets through roadmap
2024
2025
2026
2028
2030
...Moving Faster… ...Scaling Up…
Initial Targets
• Cut off 16% use of fossil fuel-based usage
• Prioritize SNI farmers to get educated by leading farmers
development program
• Achieve 10% less water consumption
• Achieving 3/10 waste efficiency.
• All SNI farmers successfully pass leading
development program
• Producing better quality (<20%
fault) and higher quantity
• 5/10 waste is used to
generate clean energy
• Water efficiency reaching 35%
• All independent farmers are attending leading development program
• Maintain relationship and expand 30%
partner (independent farmers)
• 7/10 waste used to provide energy
efficiency
• Higher quantity (+40%) production from 2023
• 100% clean energy usage
• Increased 57%
soil quality driving to higher quality of CPO, PK, and PKO
• -42% land usage and -25% cost savings
Roadma
p Year
Strategy
16
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS–Timeline
The P.A.L.M.S Solution can viably be implemented according to a 3-year timeline for the moving faster phase. The 5-year rest of the timeline are reserved to gradually upscale the startegy to existing production process
Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2025 Planning
Land Preparation
Research and Testing
Gradually scaling the implementation Research and Testing
Procurement
Gradually scaling the implementation Planning
Leading Farmers Development Program Farmers Recruitment
Planning
Research and Testing
Procurement
Implementation Planning
Polyculture
Agri-efficiency Initiatives
Leading Farmers Development
Program
Moving to Biomass Fuels
P A L
M
StakeholderAlignment Stakeholder
Alignment
Stakeholder Alignment
Stakeholder Alignment
Slowly
Diversifying
S
RnD and Planning InfrastructureDevelopment Implementation and Decarbonization Improvement
Strategy
17
Company Analysis Problem Analysis Conclusion
Background
SNI Should be Able to Mitigate the Risks that has been identified…
Impact
Li ke lih o o d
These are the key risks identified..
Which can be averted through..
Very Rapid (<1 mo) Moderate (1-3 years)
Rapid (< 1 year) Rapid (< 1 year) Slow (>3 years)
Critical Line
Low engagement from farmers for farmers development program
1
2 3
4
1
4
Provides benefits through multiple partnership
schemes
Financial risks
3
Look for co-financingschemes with other CPO companies/governments
Resistance to change from stakeholders
5
Establish clearcommunications early on and accountable reporting
2
Varying plants to beintercropped with oil palms Polyculturing results in
lower-than-expected yields
Biomass waste are insufficient for energy conversion
Source biomass waste from smallholders/other palm oil companies
5
Conclusion
18
Company Analysis Problem Analysis
Background Strategy
Conclusion By implementing P.A.L.M.S. strategy, SNI will not just become environmentally sustainable but also economically stronger
All in all, P.A.L.M.S. Solution will result in 46,13% less scope 1 carbon emission whilst gaining from an increased revenue of 130 Mio USD for SNI in 2028.
P P A A L L M M
Polyculturing has significant effect on water usage, waste generation, final yield, and carbon emissions for Oil Palm plantations.
Agri-Improvement, consists of drip fertigation, vermicompost, and nursery improvement which leverages technology to focus on upstream production.
Leadership for Farmers Program (LFP) aims to educate small to middle sized oil palm farmers to enhance CPO production.
Moving to Biomass eliminates the need of biomass transportation within SNI and refocusing PPF and POME waste to circular source of energy.
Reduce overall cost of production by 27% whilst reducing 34% CO2e
100% all outsourced raw FFB are produced from LFP farmers by 2030
Act as an intermediate source before SNI adopts zero-emission energy
Multibeneficial relation between oil palms and surrounding crops
S S
Slowly diverse business model by producing sustainable sunflower oil to expand market and follow demand.SFO as core product in SNI’s total portfolio and further GHG reduction efforts introduced
Thank You.
Thank You.
Michael Yoe Aufa Al Ghifari Amaris Rea Ananda Michael YoeAufa Al Ghifari Amaris Rea Ananda
Proposed by Proposed by
PUK Team
Appendix A1. Financial Projection Analysis (1)
CASH INFLOW (in USD million)
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Income from CPO and PK (Based
on volume of production) 76,7 84,37 92,807 102,0877 112,29647 112,8579524 124,1437476 117,9365602
Income from Sunflower Oil (Based on volume of
production) 0 15,34 18,408 20,2488 24,29856 29,158272 34,9899264 41,98791168
Income from Other Branch
(Palm Sugar and Vegetables 10,24 14,336 25,8048 28,38528 31,223808 34,3461888 37,78080768 41,55888845
Total Income 86,94 114,046 137,0198 150,72178 167,818838 176,3624132 196,9144817 201,4833603
Operating Expenses 60,12 63,126 65,01978 66,9703734 68,9794846 71,04886914 73,18033521 75,37574527
Gross Margin (-Net Operating
Expenses) 24,138 45,828 64,800018 75,37626594 88,95541806 94,78218961 111,3607318 113,4968536
Payment to Providers of Capital 2,79 3,069 3,6828 4,78764 6,223932 7,4687184 8,21559024 9,037149264
Net Income 21,348 42,759 61,117218 70,58862594 82,73148606 87,31347121 103,1451416 104,4597043
CASH OUTFLOW (in USD million)
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
POLYCULTURING Local Collaboration and
Marketing Budget 0,17 0,187 0,2057 0,22627 0,248897 0,2737867 0,30116537 0,331281907
Implementation Cost 1,2 1,32 1,452 1,5972 1,75692 1,932612 2,1258732 2,33846052
AGRI-EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT
Research and Development Cost 0,194 0,291 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mixer Drip Fertilizer Technology 1,3 1,56 0,312 0,0624 0,01248 0,002496 0,0004992 0,00009984
Vermicompost Development 0,903 0,9933 1,09263 1,201893 1,3220823 1,45429053 1,599719583 1,759691541
Genetic Engineering Technology 0,581 0,6391 0,70301 0,210903 0,0421806 0,01265418 0,003796254 0,0011388762
Appendix A1. Financial Projection Analysis (2)
LEADING FARMERS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM
Training and Operation Cost 0,166 0,1826 0,20086 0 0 0 0 0
Financial Support for
Stakeholders 0 0,84 0,924 1,0164 1,11804 1,229844 1,3528284 1,48811124
MOVING TO BIOMASS Research and Development
Cost 0,6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Digestor Infrastructure 0 1,29 0,774 0,4644 0,27864 0,167184 0,1003104 0,06018624
Treatment machine 0 1,44 0,288 0,1152 0,0576 0,02304 0,009216 0,0036864
Biogas Engine Converter 0 1,112 0,6672 0,40032 0,240192 0,1441152 0,08646912 0,051881472
SLOWLY OPEN DIVERSIFICATION Harvesting (Shelling and Pre-
Pressing) 1,1 1,21 1,331 1,4641 1,61051 1,771561 1,9487171 2,14358881
Extraction Machine 1,7 1,105 0,93925 0,6105125 0,396833125 0,2579415313 0,1676619953 0,108980297
Total Cash Outflow 7,314 9,855 6,6194 5,294986 5,0770319 5,24002261 5,579877527 6,034538037
Income After Initiatives (Totel
Cash Flow) 14,034 32,904 54,497818 65,29363994 77,65445416 82,0734486 97,56526404 98,42516626
Appendix A2. Carbon Emission Analysis
Yearly Progress (Ton CO2eq)
Strategy Year 1 (2023) Year 2 (2024) Year 3 (2025) Year 4 (2026) Year 5 (2027) Year 6 (2028) Year 7 (2029) Year 8 (2030)
Polyculturing 1.465,49 14.654,85 58.619,40 73.274,25 117.238,80 131.893,65 131.893,65 146.548,50
Drip Fergiation 0,00 576,66 1.153,32 1.729,98 2.594,97 3.459,96 4.324,95 5.045,78
Vermicomposting 0,00 11.827,40 17.741,10 23.654,80 35.482,20 47.309,60 53.223,30 65.050,70
Nursery Improvement 0,00 1.152,67 1.729,00 2.305,33 11.526,66 57.633,32 92.213,30 103.739,97
Leading Farmers Program 0,00 105.502,87 168.804,59 179.354,88 183.574,99 185.685,05 185.685,05 185.685,05
Moving to Biomass 9.191,85 36.767,42 73.534,83 110.302,25 147.069,66 183.837,08 183.837,08 183.837,08
Subtotal 10.657,34 170.481,86 321.582,24 390.621,48 497.487,28 609.818,65 651.177,33 689.907,07
Strategy Current CO2e Source
Current CO2e (Ton
CO2eq)
Sum of Current CO2e (Ton
CO2eq)
Reduced
Emission (%) Method of Calculation Polyculturing Crop
sequestration 418.710,00 418.710,00 35,00%https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3 389/ffgc.2020.00070/full
Drip Fergiation Fertilizer use 57.666,00 57.666,00 10,00% Benchmarking with FMCG company
Vermicomposting Palm Oil Effluent 118.274,00 118.274,00 100,00%https://www.researchgate.net/publicati on/297849624_Studies_on_Vermicompost_P roduction_of_Palm_Oil_Mill_Effluent_Sl udge_Using_Eudrillus_eugeniae Nursery Improvement
Reduced fertilizer 57.666,00
678.039,00 17,00%Reduced fertilizer and land conversion due to higher yield
Land Conversion 620.373,00 Leading Farmers
Program
Fertilizer use 57.666,00
678.039,00 31,12%Forest fire reduction and land conversion reduced
Land Conversion 620.373,00
Moving to Biomass
Gasoline, pertalite,
kerosene 21.322,00
186.881,00 98,37%IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources
Diesel 147.954,00
Purchased
Electricity 17.605,00