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Bayesian accelerated life test plans for series systems with Weibull component lifetimes

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Applied Mathematical Modelling

Volume 62, October 2018, Pages 383-403

Bayesian accelerated life test plans for series systems with Weibull component lifetimes

Author links open overlay panelSoumyaRoy Show more

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2018.06.007Get rights and content

Highlights

This article presents optimal Bayesian ALT plans for series systems.

Independent and dependent component lifetimes are considered.

Component lifetimes are assumed to follow Weibull distributions.

Optimal plans are obtained by solving constrained optimization problems.

Global optimality of the ALT plans is ensured using General Equivalence Theorem.

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Abstract

This article presents optimal Bayesian accelerated life test plans for series systems under Type-I censoring scheme. First, the component lifetimes are assumed to follow independent Weibull distributions. The scale parameters of Weibull lifetime distributions are related to the external stress variable through a general stress translation function.

For a fixed number of design points, optimal Bayesian ALT plans are first obtained by solving constrained optimization problems under two different Bayesian design criteria.

The global optimality of the resulting fixed-point optimal designs is then verified via the General Equivalence Theorem. This article also provides the optimized compromise ALT plans which are extremely useful in real-life applications. A detailed sensitivity analysis is then performed to find out the effect of various planning inputs on the

resulting optimal Bayesian ALT plans. A simulation study is then conducted to visualize the resulting sampling variations from the optimal Bayesian ALT plans. Finally, this article considers a series system with dependent component lifetimes. Optimal ALT plans are obtained assuming a Gamma frailty model.

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