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第 3 章 南シナ海問題と米国の対外戦略 梅本 哲也

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3 ❶ ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟࡜⡿ᅜࡢᑐእᡓ␎

ᱵᮏ ဴஓ

ࡣࡌࡵ࡟

ᅜຊఙ㛗ࡢⴭࡋ࠸୰ᅜࡣᾏὒ㐍ฟࢆᛴ࠸࡛࠾ࡾࠊᮾࢩࢼᾏࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡛ࡣ௚ࡢἢᓊᅜ࡜ࡢ㛫

࡛ᦶ᧿ࡀ㧗ࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᮏ✏ࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿἢᓊᅜ㛫ࡢ⣮㆟࡟↔Ⅼࢆ⤠ࡾࠊࡑࢀࡀ⡿ᅜࡢ ᑐእᡓ␎࡜ࡢ㛵ಀ࡛࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ព࿡ࢆ᭷ࡍࡿ࠿ࢆ᥈ࢁ࠺࡜ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ➨1⠇࡛༡ࢩࢼᾏ

ࢆᕠࡿ⣮㆟ࡢἢ㠉ࢆ㏙࡭ࠊ➨2⠇࡛㏆ᖺ࡟࠾ࡅࡿࡑࡢᒎ㛤ࢆ㎺ࡿࠋ➨3⠇࡛⡿ᅜࡢබᘧែᗘࢆ

グ㏙ࡋࡓᚋࠊ➨4⠇࡛⡿ᅜࡢᇶᮏⓗ࡞ᅜ┈ࢆྠᐃࡋࠊࡑࡢほⅬ࠿ࡽ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟ࡢព⩏ࢆ⪃ᐹ ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡜ࡍࡿࠋ

㸯㸬༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟

̿̿

ἢ㠉

༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣఱࡼࡾࡶ㏻ၟ㊰࡜ࡋ࡚ᯡせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᾏୖ㍺㏦ࡉࢀࡿၟᴗ≀㈨ࡣࠊ⥲ࢺࣥᩘ࡟ࡋ࡚

⣙༙ศࠊ㈌ᖯ౯್࡟ࡋ࡚⣙3ศࡢ1ࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆ㏻㐣ࡍࡿࠋࡑࡢ୰࡟ࡣࠊ୰ᮾ᪉㠃࠿ࡽ୰ᅜࡸ

᪥ᮏࠊ㡑ᅜ࡟౪⤥ࡉࢀࡿ▼Ἔࡢ኱༙ࡀྵࡲࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊᮾ࢔ࢪ࢔ㅖᅜࡢ⤒῭≧ἣࡣࠊ⡿

ᅜࢆྵࡴୡ⏺඲యࡢ⤒῭࡟㔜኱࡞ᙳ㡪ࢆ୚࠼ࡿࡇ࡜࡟࡞ࡿࠋ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡀୡ⏺⤒῭ࡢࠕᆅ⌮ⓗ୰

ᚰࠖ࡜ࡶ⛠ࡏࡽࢀࡿᡤ௨࡛࠶ࡿ1

ࡲࡓࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣ▼Ἔཬࡧኳ↛࢞ࢫ࡟ᐩࡴ࡜ࡉࢀࡿࠋ▼Ἔࡢᇙⶶ㔞ࡣ280൨ࣂࣞࣝ஀⮳1050 ൨ࣂࣞࣝ࡜ぢࡽࢀ࡚ࡁࡓࡀ2ࠊ୰ᅜ࡟ࡣ᭱⤊ⓗ࡟1300൨ࣂࣞࣝ௨ୖࡢ⏕⏘ࡀྍ⬟࡜࠸࠺᥎ィࡀ

࠶ࡾࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆࠕ➨2ࡢ࣌ࣝࢩࣕ‴ࠖ࡜࿧ࡪ⪅ࡉ࠼࠸ࡿ3ࠋࡲࡓࠊኳ↛࢞ࢫࡢ᥎ᐃᇙⶶ㔞࡟ࡘ

࠸࡚ࡣࠊ900඙❧᪉ࣇ࢕࣮ࢺ࡜࠸࠺ᩘᏐࡶᣲࡆࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ4ࠋࡉࡽ࡟ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣ⁺ᴗ㈨※࡟ࡶ

ᜨࡲࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿỈᥭࡆࡣࠊୡ⏺ࡢ⁺⋓㔞ࡢ⣙1๭ࢆ༨ࡵࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ5ࠋ ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟Ꮡᅾࡍࡿᓥᕋࠊᒾ♋➼ࡢ㡿᭷ᶒ࡟⧳ࢃࡿἢᓊㅖᅜࡢᑐ❧ࡣࠊ1960ᖺ௦ᮎ㡭࡟⾲㠃

໬ࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୰ᅜࠊྎ‴ࠊ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡀࣃࣛࢭࣝ㸦すἋ㸧ㅖᓥཬࡧࢫࣉࣛࢺ࣮ࣜ㸦༡Ἃ㸧 ㅖᓥࡢ඲య࡟ࡘ࠸࡚㡿᭷ᶒࢆ୺ᙇࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ௚ࠊࢫࣉࣛࢺ࣮ࣜㅖᓥࡢ୍㒊࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࣈࣝࢿ࢖ࠊ

࣐࣮ࣞࢩ࢔ࠊࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࡶ㡿᭷ᶒࢆ୺ᙇࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࠋࡲࡓࠊࣉࣛࢱࢫ㸦ᮾἋ㸧ㅖᓥ࡟ᑐࡋ࡚ࡣ୰

ᅜཬࡧྎ‴ࡀ㡿᭷ᶒࢆ୺ᙇࡋࠊ࣐ࢵࢡࣝࢬࣇ࢕࣮ࣝࢻሁ㸦୰Ἃㅖᓥ㸧࡟㛵ࡋ࡚ࡣ୰ᅜࠊࣇ࢕ࣜ

ࣆࣥࠊཬࡧྎ‴࡟ࡼࡿ㡿᭷ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࡀ஺㘒ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ

ᓥᕋࡢ㡿᭷ᶒࢆᕠࡿಀதࡣࠊ࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮㈨※ࡸỈ⏘㈨※ࡢ⟶㎄ᶒࢆᕠࡿゅ㏲࡟┤⤖ࡍࡿࠋᅜ 㐃ᾏὒἲ᮲⣙࡟ࡼࡾࠊྛᅜࡢ㡿᭷ࡍࡿᓥᕋࡣࠊࡑࡢ࿘ᅖ࡟200ᾏ㔛࡟ཬࡪ᤼௚ⓗ⤒῭Ỉᇦ㸦EEZ㸧

ࢆタᐃࡍࡿᇶ♏࡜࡞ࡾࠊࡉࡽ࡟ࡣ200ᾏ㔛ࢆ㉸࠼࡚኱㝣Ჴࡢᘏఙࢆ୺ᙇࡍࡿᇶ♏࡜࡞ࡾᚓࡿ࠿

ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ࢖ࣥࢻࢿࢩ࢔ࡣᕋ♋ࡢ㡿᭷ᶒࡣ୺ᙇࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊྠᅜࡢ୺ᙇࡍࡿEEZ࡟ࡣࠊ

୰ᅜࡀ⟶㎄ᶒࢆ୺ᙇࡍࡿᾏᇦ࡜㔜࡞ࡿ㒊ศࡀ࠶ࡿ6

୰ᅜࡣ 㡿᭷ ᶒࡢ୺ ᙇ࡟ 㝿ࡋ࡚ ࠊṔྐ ୖࡢ ᰿ᣐ ࡜ࡉࢀ ࡿࡶࡢ ࡟ゝ ཬࡍ ࡿ௚ ࠊࠕ஑ ẁ⥺ࠖ

㸦nine-dashed line㸧ࢆ᥼⏝ࡍࡿሙྜࡀ࠶ࡿࠋࠕ஑ẁ⥺ࠖࡣ1947ᖺ࡟ᅜẸᨻᗓࡢබᘧᆅᅗ࡟ึࡵ

࡚⌧ࢃࢀࡓࡶࡢ࡛ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢ⣙ 9 ๭ࢆᅖ࠸㎸ࡴࡇ࡜࡟࡞ࡿࠋࡓࡔࠊࠕ஑ẁ⥺ࠖࡢព࿡ࡍࡿ࡜

ࡇࢁࡣᚲࡎࡋࡶ᫂☜࡛࡞ࡃࠊࡑࡢෆഃࡣࡍ࡭࡚୰ᅜࡢ୺ᶒࡀཬࡪ㡿ᅵཬࡧ㡿ᾏ࡛࠶ࡿ࡜ࡢ❧ሙ ࡀ⾲ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ࡜࠸࠺ゎ㔘ࡀ࠶ࡿ୍᪉࡛ࠊࡑࢀࡣ୰ᅜࡢ㡿᭷ࡍࡿ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢᓥᕋ࠿ࡽὴ⏕ࡍࡿ

㡿ᾏࠊEEZࠊཬࡧ኱㝣Ჴࡢእ⦕ࢆ♧ࡍࡶࡢ࡟㐣ࡂ࡞࠸࡜࠸࠺ゎ㔘ࡶ࠶ࡿ7

(2)

ࡲࡓࠊ୰ᅜࡣEEZ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⟶㎄ᶒ࡟㛵ࡋ࡚ࠊᅜ㐃ᾏὒἲ᮲⣙࡟⊂⮬ࡢゎ㔘ࢆ᪋ࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࠋἢ ᓊᅜࡣ㈨※ࡢ᥈ᰝࡸ㛤Ⓨ࡟ಀࡿᶒ฼ࡔࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊእᅜࡢ㌷஦άື࡟つไࢆཬࡰࡍᶒ฼ࢆࡶ᭷

ࡍࡿ࡜࠸࠺ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ8ࠋ2001 ᖺ࡟㉳ࡇࡗࡓ⡿㟁Ꮚഄᐹᶵ࡜୰ᅜᡓ㜚ᶵ࡜ࡢ⾪✺஦௳࡟ࡣࠊEEZ

ୖ✵࡛ࡢእᅜ㌷࡟ࡼࡿ᝟ሗ཰㞟ࡸカ⦎ࢆㄆࡵ࡞࠸࡜࠸࠺୰ᅜࡢ❧ሙࡀ཯ᫎࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿἢᓊᅜࡢ⣮㆟ࡣࠊ᫬࡟㌷஦ຊࡢⓎື࡟⧅ࡀࡗࡓࠋ୰ᅜࡣ 1974 ᖺࠊ༡࣋ࢺ ࢼ࣒㌷࡜஺ᡓࡋ࡚ࣃࣛࢭࣝㅖᓥ඲యࢆ༨㡿ࡋࠊ1988ᖺ࡟ࡣ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒㌷ࢆᨷᧁࡋ࡚ࢫࣉࣛࢺ࣮ࣜ

ㅖᓥࡢࢪࣙࣥࢯࣥ㸦㉥⎩㸧♋ࢆ༨ᣐࡋࡓࠋࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࡀ㡿᭷ᶒࢆ୺ᙇࡍࡿࢫࣉࣛࢺ࣮ࣜㅖᓥࡢ

࣑ࢫࢳ࣮ࣇ㸦⨾῭㸧♋ࡶࠊ1995ᖺ࡟୰ᅜࡢᨭ㓄ୗ࡟⨨࠿ࢀࡓࠋࡑࡢᚋࡣ1998ᖺ࡟࣐࣮ࣞࢩ࢔ࠊ 1999ᖺ࡟࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡀࡑࢀࡒࢀಀத୰ࡢᕋ♋ࢆ༨㡿ࡍࡿ࡜࠸࠺⾜Ⅽ࡟ฟࡓ9

࣑ࢫࢳ࣮ࣇ♋஦௳ࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟࡛ᮾ༡࢔ࢪ࢔ㅖᅜ㐃ྜ㸦ASEAN㸧ࡀ㞟ᅋ⾜ືࢆྲྀࡿࡁࡗ࠿

ࡅ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡢ⤖ᯝࠊ2002ᖺ࡟ࡣࠊ୰ᅜ࡜ASEANㅖᅜ࡜ࡢ㛫࡛ࠕ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀᅜ ࡢ⾜ື࡟㛵ࡍࡿᐉゝࠖࡀ⨫ྡࡉࢀࡓࠋࠕ⾜ືᐉゝࠖࡣࠕ⯟⾜ཬࡧୖ✵㣕⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖࡢಖ㞀ࠊᖹ

࿴ⓗᡭẁ࡟ࡼࡿ㡿᭷ᶒၥ㢟ࡢゎỴࠊ↓ேᓥᕋࡢ᭷ே໬⮬ไࠊἲⓗᣊ᮰ຊࢆ᭷ࡍࡿࠕ⾜ືつ⠊ࠖ

ࡢ᥇ᢥ࡟ྥࡅࡓ༠ຊ➼ࢆㅻࡗࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡗࡓ10ࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊ୰ᅜࡣࡑࡢᚋࡶ⣮㆟ࢆከᅜ㛫࡛ฎ⌮

ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡟㞴Ⰽࢆ♧ࡋࠊࠕ⾜ືつ⠊ࠖࡢ⟇ᐃ࡟ࡶᐜ᫆࡟ྠㄪࡋ࡞࠿ࡗࡓࠋ

㸰㸬༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟

̿̿

㏆ᖺࡢືྥ

ࠕ⾜ືᐉゝࠖࡢྜព࡟ࡼࡗ࡚㙠㟼ࡋࡓ࠿࡟ぢ࠼ࡓ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⣮㆟ࡣࠊ2007ᖺ㡭࠿ࡽ෌

ࡧ῝้࡜࡞ࡗࡓ11ࠋࡑࡢ⫼ᬒ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊἢᓊྛᅜࡢ⤒῭ᡂ㛗࡟క࠺▼Ἔ࣭࢞ࢫ㟂せࡢቑ኱࡜᥇

᥀ᢏ⾡ࡢྥୖࠊୡ⏺ⓗ࡞㨶㢮㟂せࡢቑ኱ཬࡧἢᓊᇦࡢ㈨※ᯤῬ࡟ࡼࡿ⁺ᴗ⪅㛫ࡢ➇த⃭໬ࠊࡑ

ࢀࡽ࡜୪⾜ࡋ࡚㉳ࡇࡗࡓἢᓊྛᅜ࡟࠾ࡅࡿẸ᪘୺⩏ࡢ᪸ᥭ࡜࠸ࡗࡓⅬࡀᣲࡆࡽࢀࡿ12ࠋࡉࡽ࡟ࠊ

኱㝣Ჴᘏఙࡢ⏦ㄳᮇ㝈ࡀ2009ᖺ5᭶࡟タᐃࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡓࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊἢᓊྛᅜࡣ஫࠸࡟௚ᅜ࡟ࡼ

ࡿ㡿᭷ᶒࠊ⟶㎄ᶒࡢ୺ᙇ࡟␗㆟ࢆၐ࠼ࡿᙉ࠸ㄏᅉࢆᢪ࠸ࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ13

ࡑ࠺ࡋࡓ୰࡛ࠊ≉࡟୰ᅜࡢᶒ฼୺ᙇࡀᙉ◳࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡗࡓࠋ୰ᅜࡣ௚ࡢἢᓊᅜ࡜ࡢ㛫࡛⟶㎄

ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࡀ㔜࡞ࡿᾏᇦ࡟ᾏୖἲᇳ⾜ᶵ㛵ࡢ┘ど⯪ࢆ✚ᴟⓗ࡟ᒎ㛤ࡋࠊእᅜ௻ᴗ࡟ࡼࡿ▼Ἔ࣭࢞

ࢫࡢ᥈ᰝࡸእᅜ⁺⯪ࡢ᧯ᴗࢆ㜼Ṇࡍࡿጼໃࢆᙉࡵࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇ࠺ࡋࡓ୰ᅜࡢືྥࡣࠊ୰ᅜᾏ

㌷ࡢ඲⯡ⓗ࡞⬟ຊቑ኱ࠊࡑࡋ࡚㐲⯟カ⦎ࡢάⓎ໬ࡸᾏ༡ᓥ࡟࠾ࡅࡿᇶᆅᘓタࢆ㏻ࡌࡓ༡ࢩࢼᾏ

࡛ࡢᐇᅾ㸦ࣉࣞࢮࣥࢫ㸧ᣑ኱࡜ࡶ┦ಗࡗ࡚ࠊ௚ࡢἢᓊᅜ࡟Ṇࡲࡽࡎࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆ฼⏝ࡍࡿከࡃ ࡢᅜࠎ࡟ᠱᛕࢆ⏕ࡌࡉࡏࡿࡇ࡜࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ

୰ᅜࡣ⡿ᅜࡑࡢ௚እᅜࡢ௻ᴗ࡟ᑐࡋࠊ୰ᅜ࡜ࡢྲྀᘬ࡟ᝏᙳ㡪ࢆཬࡰࡋࡓࡃ࡞ࡅࢀࡤࠊ࣋ࢺࢼ

࣒࡜ᥦᦠࡋ࡚ࡢ᥈㖔సᴗࢆ୰Ṇࡍࡿࡼ࠺せồࡋጞࡵࡓ14ࠋ୰ᅜᙜᒁ࡟ࡼࡿእᅜ⁺⯪㸦୺࡜ࡋ࡚

࣋ࢺࢼ࣒⁺⯪㸧ࡢᣡᤕࡣࠊ2008ᖺ࠿ࡽ2009ᖺ࡟࠿ࡅ࡚ⴭࡋࡃቑຍࡋࡓ15ࠋ2009ᖺ3᭶࡟ࡣࠊ ᾏ༡ᓥἈ࡛⡿ᾏ㌷ࡢ㡢㡪ほ Ⰴࠕ࢖ࣥ࣌ࢵ࢝ࣈࣝࠖࡢ⾜ືࢆ୰ᅜ⯪5㞘ࡀጉᐖࡍࡿ࡜࠸࠺஦௳

ࡀⓎ⏕ࡋࠊEEZ࡟࠾ࡅࡿእᅜ㌷ࡢάືࢆつไࡍࡿᶒ฼ࢆᕠࡿ⡿୰ࡢ┦㐪ࡀᨵࡵ࡚ᾋࡁ᙮ࡾ࡜࡞

ࡗࡓࠋ࣐࣮ࣞࢩ࢔ࡀᐇຠᨭ㓄ࡍࡿࢫ࣮࣡ࣟ㸦ᙎ୸㸧♋௜㏆࡛ࠊ୰ᅜࡢ┘ど⯪࡜࣐࣮ࣞࢩ࢔㌷ࡢ Ⰴ⯪࣭⯟✵ᶵ࡜ࡀᑐᓖࡋࡓࡢࡣ2010ᖺ4᭶࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ୰ᅜࡢ┘ど⯪ࡣ2011ᖺ3᭶ࠊࣇ࢕ࣜࣆ

ࣥ㏆ᾏࡢ࣮ࣜࢻሁ࡛ࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࡢ㈨※ㄪᰝ⯪ࢆ⌧ሙ࠿ࡽ㏣࠸㐵ࡾࠊ5᭶࡟ࡣ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒Ἀ࡛࣋ࢺ ࢼ࣒㈨※ㄪᰝ⯪ࡢ᥈ᰝࢣ࣮ࣈࣝࢆษ᩿ࡋࡓࠋ

୰ᅜࠊࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࠊྎ‴ࠊ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡢྛᅜࡣ 2012 ᖺࠊࣃࣛࢭࣝㅖᓥཬࡧࢫࣉࣛࢺ࣮ࣜㅖᓥ

࡟ᑐࡍࡿ㡿᭷ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࢆᙉ໬ࡍࡿᥐ⨨ࢆྲྀࡗࡓ16ࠋࡲࡓࠊ࣐ࢵࢡࣝࢬࣇ࢕࣮ࣝࢻሁ࡟ྵࡲࢀࡿ

(3)

ࢫ࣮࢝࣎ࣟ♋㸦㯤ᒾᓥ㸧࡛ࡣࠊ2012ᖺ4᭶௨㝆ࠊ୰ᅜ࡜ࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࡢⰄ⯪ࡀᑐᓖࢆ⥆ࡅࡓࡀࠊ 6᭶࡟ࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥ⯪ࡀ᧔཰ࡋࡓࡢ࡟ᑐࡋࠊ୰ᅜ⯪ࡣ᧔཰ࢆᣄࢇࡔࠋࢫ࣮࢝࣎ࣟ♋࡛ࡢ╮ࡳྜ࠸

ࡣࠊ୰ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿ㡿᭷ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࡀᐇ㉁ⓗ࡟ᣑ኱ࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࢆព࿡ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋᚑ᮶ࠊ୰ᅜࡣ ࢫ࣮࢝࣎ࣟ♋㏆㎶࡛ᣢ⥆ⓗ࡞ᐇᅾࢆ㐩ᡂࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠿ࡗࡓࡀࠊࡑࢀ௨㝆ࡣ୰ᅜࡢⰄ⯪ࡀ᩿⥆ⓗ࡞

ᐇᅾࢆ⥔ᣢࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡗࡓ࠿ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿ17

2012ᖺ6᭶ࠊ୰ᅜࡣࢫࣉࣛࢺ࣮ࣜㅖᓥࠊࣃࣛࢭࣝㅖᓥࠊཬࡧ࣐ࢵࢡࣝࢬࣇ࢕࣮ࣝࢻሁࡢᓥᕋ

ࢆ⟶㎄ࡍࡿࠕ୕Ἃᕷࠖࡢタ⨨ࢆⓎ⾲ࡋࡓࠋࡑࡋ࡚7᭶࡟ࡣࠊ୕Ἃᕷ࡟㔜せᣐⅬࡢ㜵⾨ࢆᢸᙜࡍ

ࡿࠕ㆙ഛ༊ࠖࢆタ⨨ࡍࡿィ⏬ࡀᢎㄆࡉࢀࡓࠋ

ࡇࢀࡲ࡛ࡢ࡜ࡇࢁࠊ୰ᅜࡢᅜ᭷௻ᴗࡣࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢಀதᾏᇦ࡛ࡣ▼Ἔࡢ᥇᥀ࢆ⾜ࡗ࡚ࡇ࡞࠿

ࡗࡓࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊ2012ᖺ6᭶ࠊ୰ᅜᾏὒ▼Ἔ⥲බྖ㸦CNOOC㸧ࡣࠊ⟶㎄ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࡀ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒࡜

㔜࡞ࡿᾏᇦࡢ㖔༊ࢆእᅜ௻ᴗ࡜ࡢඹྠ㛤Ⓨ࡟ᥦ౪ࡍࡿ࡜Ⓨ⾲ࡋࠊ8᭶࡟ࡣࣃࣛࢭࣝㅖᓥ㏆ഐࡢ 㖔༊ࢆ➇தධᮐ࡟᥃ࡅࡓࠋ୰ᅜ௻ᴗࡣ㐲࠿ࡽࡎ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢ୰㒊ࠊ༡㒊࡛ࡢヨ᥀࡟ࡶ஌ࡾฟࡍ࠿

ࡶ▱ࢀࡎࠊࡑ࠺ࡋࡓሙྜࠊࡑࢀࡣ୰ᅜᨻᗓ࡟ࡼࡿ㡿᭷ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࢆ⿵ᙉࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜఩⨨௜ࡅࡽࢀ

ࡼ࠺ࠋ2012ᖺ5᭶ࠊCNOOCࡢ఍㛗ࡣࠊ᥀㛓⿦⨨ࢆࠕ⛣ືᘧ㡿ᅵࠖ㸦mobile national territory㸧ࠊ ࠕᡓ␎ⓗᡭẁࠖ㸦strategic instrument㸧࡜࿧ࢇࡔ࡜ఏ࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊ࣮ࣜࢻሁ௜㏆ࡢ ᾏᗏ࡟ࡣከ㔞ࡢኳ↛࢞ࢫࡀ╀ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿ࡜᥎ᐃࡉࢀࡿ࡜ࡇࢁ࠿ࡽࠊࡑࢀࢆᕠࡗ࡚୰ᅜ࡜ࣇ࢕ࣜࣆ

ࣥ࡜ࡢத࠸ࡀ⏕ࡎࡿྍ⬟ᛶࡶ࠶ࡿ18

㸱㸬⡿ᅜࡢබᘧែᗘ

༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟࡟ᑐࡍࡿ⡿ᅜࡢබᘧែᗘࡣࠊ㸦1㸧㡿᭷ᶒࡢத࠸࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣఱࢀࡢἢᓊᅜࢆࡶᨭ ᣢࡏࡎࠊ୰❧ࢆሀᣢࡍࡿࠊ㸦2㸧⣮㆟ࡢᖹ࿴ⓗ࡞ゎỴࢆ୺ᙇࡋࠊከᅜ㛫࡛ࡢฎ⌮ࢆዡບࡍࡿࠊ㸦3㸧 ࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖཬࡧEEZ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㌷஦άືࡢᶒ฼ࢆ᧦ㆤࡍࡿ̿̿࡜࠸࠺ලྜ࡟せ⣙ࡋᚓࡿࠋ

2010ᖺ7᭶ࠊࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁࡣASEANᆅᇦࣇ࢛࣮࣒ࣛ㸦ARF㸧ฟᖍࡢࡓࡵゼࢀࡓࣁࣀ

࢖࡛グ⪅఍ぢࡋࠊ⡿ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖࠊࠕᾏὒඹ᭷ᆅࠖ㸦maritime commons㸧 ࡢ⮬⏤࡞฼⏝ࠊཬࡧࠕᅜ㝿ἲࡢᑛ㔜ࠖࢆࠕᅜ┈ࠖ࡜┳೴ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ᪨ࢆ᫂ゝࡋࡓࠋ⡿ᅜ࡜ࡋ࡚ࠕ㝣 ᆅ࡟㛵ࡍࡿ➇ྜࡍࡿ㡿᭷ᶒㄽ㆟࡟࠾࠸࡚ఱࢀࡢ⫪ࢆᣢࡘࡇ࡜ࡶࡋ࡞࠸୍ࠖ᪉࡛ࠊ㡿᭷ᶒ࡟ಀࡿ

⣮㆟ࢆࠕᙉせ࡞ࡋ࡟ࠖゎỴࡍࡿࡓࡵࡢᙜ஦ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿࠕ༠ㄪⓗ࡞እ஺㐣⛬ࠖࢆᨭᣢࡋࠊዴఱ࡞ࡿ

ᙜ஦ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿࠕṊຊࡢ⾜౑ࡲࡓࡣጾᄐࠖ࡟ࡶ཯ᑐࡍࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊASEANཬࡧ୰ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿ2002 ᖺࡢࠕ⾜ືᐉゝࠖࢆᨭᣢࡋࠊᙜ஦ᅜࡀࠕ⾜ືつ⠊࡛ࠖྜពࡍࡿࡼ࠺ዡບࡍࡿ̿̿࡜ࡢ❧ሙࢆ⾲

᫂ࡋࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ19

ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓ࢜ࣂ࣐ᨻᶒࡢጼໃࡣࠊࡑࡢᚋࡶ୍㈏ࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ୍౛ࢆᣲࡆࢀࡤࠊ2012ᖺ7

᭶࡟ࣉࣀ࡛ࣥ࣌ࣥ㛤࠿ࢀࡓ ARF ࡟࠾࠸࡚ࠊࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁࡣࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖࠊࠕᖹ࿴࡜Ᏻ ᐃࡢ⥔ᣢࠖࠊࠕᅜ㝿ἲࡢᑛ㔜ࠖࠊࠕ㞀ᐖ࡞ࡁྜἲ㏻ၟࠖࢆࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⡿ᅜࡢࠕᅜ┈ࠖ࡜⾲

⌧ࡋࡓࠋࡲࡓࠊࡑࡇ࡛ࡶ⡿ᅜࡀࠕ㝣ᆅ࡟ᑐࡍࡿ➇ྜࡍࡿ㡿᭷ᶒ୺ᙇ࡟㛵ࡋ࡚ࠝ≉ᐃࡢࠞ❧ሙࢆ

ྲྀࡽ࡞࠸ࠖࡇ࡜ࡀ☜ㄆࡉࢀࠊࡲࡓᙜ஦ᅜࡣ⣮㆟ࢆࠕᙉせ࡞ࡋ࡟ࠖࠊࠕጾᄐ࡞ࡋ࡟ࠖࠊࠕ⬣㏕࡞ࡋ࡟ࠖࠊ ࠕṊຊ⾜౑࡞ࡋ࡟ࠖゎỴࡍࡿࡓࡵࠕ༠ㄪⓗࠖୟࡘࠕእ஺ⓗࠖ࡟ྲྀࡾ⤌ࡴ࡭ࡁࡇ࡜ࡀᙉㄪࡉࢀࡓࠋ ࡑࡢୖ࡛ࠊࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥࡣࠕ⾜ືᐉゝࠖࡢ⢭⚄ཬࡧලయⓗෆᐜࡢ㑂Ᏺࢆッ࠼ࠊᣊ᮰ຊ࠶ࡿࠕ⾜ື

つ⠊ࠖࡢ⟇ᐃࢆಁࡋࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ20

ࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖཬࡧEEZࡢᛶ᱁࡜ࡢ㛵㐃࡛ࠊ⡿ᅜࡣ≉࡟୰ᅜࡢᶒ฼୺ᙇ࡟␲ၥࢆ࿊ࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࠋ

࣐࣮ࢩ࢙ࣝᅜົḟᐁ⿵௦⌮ࡣ2009ᖺ5 ᭶ࡢ㆟఍ドゝ࡛ࠊࠕ㡿ᅵ࡛࠶ࡿ㝣ᆅ࠿ࡽὴ⏕ࡋ࡞࠸“㡿

(4)

ᾏ”ࡲࡓࡣఱࡽ࠿ࡢᾏὒ༊ᇦࡢ୺ᙇࠖ࡟ࠕᠱᛕࢆᢪ࠸࡚ࠖ࠸ࡿ࡜㏙࡭ࠊ࠿࠿ࡿ୺ᙇࡣࠕᅜ㝿ἲ

࡟ྜ⮴ࡋ࡞࠸ࠖ࡜᩿ࡌࡓࠋࡲࡓࠊࠕ࢖ࣥ࣌ࢵ࢝ࣈࣝࠖ஦௳࡛๓㠃࡟ฟࡓࠊ⮬ᅜࡢEEZෆ࡛እᅜ

㌷ࡢάືࢆไ㝈ࡋᚓࡿ࡜ࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢぢゎࡣࠊࠕᅜ㝿ἲ࡟⿬௜ࡅࡽࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠖ࡜ㄽᐃࡋࡓࠋࡉ

ࡽ࡟ࠊ࣐࣮ࢩ࢙ࣝ࡟ゝࢃࡏࢀࡤࠊ୰ᅜࡢᶒ฼୺ᙇ࡟ࡣࠕከ኱ࡢ᭕᫕ࡉࠖࡀకࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊࡑࡢᑐ

㇟࡜࡞ࡿᾏᇦࡢ⢭☜࡞ቃ⏺ࡶࠊࡑࢀࡀᾏᇦ඲యࢆ㡿ᾏ࡜ࡍࡿ୺ᙇ࡞ࡢ࠿ࠊᡈ࠸ࡣ㣬ࡃࡲ࡛㝣ᆅ

࡜ࡢ㛵ಀ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㡿ᾏࡢ୺ᙇ࡞ࡢ࠿ࡍࡽࡶ᫂ࡽ࠿࡛ࡣ࡞࠿ࡗࡓ21

ࡲࡓࠊྠࡌࡃ2009ᖺ5᭶࡟㆟఍࡛ࢩ࢙࣮࢔ᅜ㜵ḟᐁ⿵௦⌮ࡀドゝࡋࡓ࡜ࡇࢁ࡟ࡼࢀࡤࠊᅜ 㐃ᾏὒἲ᮲⣙࡟཯ᫎࡉࢀࡓ័⩦ᅜ㝿ἲࡣࠊࡍ࡭࡚ࡢᅜ࡟ᑐࡋ࡚EEZෆ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⯟⾜ཬࡧୖ✵㣕

⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࢆಖドࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᅜ㐃ᾏὒἲ᮲⣙ࡀ᥇ᢥࡉࢀࡓ 1982 ᖺ௨᮶ࠊ⡿ᅜࡣ୍㈏ࡋ࡚ࠕEEZ ෆ࡛㐺⏝ࡉࢀࡿ⯟⾜ࡢᶒ฼ཬࡧ⮬⏤ࡣࠊእὒ࡟࠾࠸࡚㐺⏝ࡉࢀࡿᶒ฼ཬࡧ⮬⏤࡜㉁ⓗཬࡧ㔞ⓗ

࡟ྠ୍࡛࠶ࡿࠖ࡜࠸࠺❧ሙࢆྲྀࡗ࡚ࡁࡓ࡜࠸࠺ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ22

ࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁࡀୖグࣁࣀ࢖࡛ࡢⓎゝ࡛ࠊᙜ஦ᅜࡣ㡿᭷ᶒࠊ⟶㎄ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࢆᅜ㐃ᾏὒἲ ᮲⣙࡟๎ࡗ࡚㏣ồࡍ࡭ࡁ࡛࠶ࡿ࡜㏙࡭ࡿ࡜ྠ᫬࡟ࠊ័⩦ᅜ㝿ἲ࡟ᚑ࠼ࡤࠊᾏᇦ࡟ᑐࡍࡿࠕṇᙜ

࡞ࠝ⟶㎄ᶒࡢࠞ୺ᙇࠖࡣࠊ㝣ᆅ࡟ᑐࡍࡿࠕṇᙜ࡞ࠝ㡿᭷ᶒࡢࠞ୺ᙇࠖ࠿ࡽὴ⏕ࡍࡿ࡜㔥ࢆ่ࡋ ࡓࡢ࡟ࡣ23ࠊࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞⫼ᬒࡀ࠶ࡗࡓࠋ

ᙉ◳ࡉࢆቑࡍ୰ᅜࡢᶒ฼୺ᙇ࡟ᑐࡍࡿ⡿ᅜᨻᗓࡢ㆙ᡄࡣࠊ2012ᖺ8᭶࡟᪂ࡓ࡞ẁ㝵࡟㐩ࡋࡓࠋ ᅜົ┬ࡀ๪ሗ㐨ᐁ௦⾜ྡ࡛ኌ᫂ࢆⓎ⾲ࡋࠊࠕ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⥭ᙇࡢቑຍࠖ࡟ࠕᠱᛕࠖࢆ⾲᫂

ࡋࡓୖ࡛ࠊ≉࡟୕Ἃᕷࡢ⾜ᨻᶵ㛵࡜ࡋ࡚ࡢ᪼᱁ཬࡧಀத༊ᇦࢆ⟶㎄ࡍࡿࠕ᪂㥔ᒡᆅࠖࡢタ⨨࡟

ゝཬࡋࠊࠕ┦㐪ࢆゎỴࡋࡼ࠺࡜ࡍࡿ༠ㄪⓗ࡞እ஺ດຊ࡟㏫⾜ࡋࠊᆅᇦ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⥭ᙇࢆࡉࡽ࡟ቑ

኱ࡉࡏࡿࠖࡶࡢ࡜ㄽホࡋࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ24ࠋ⡿ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟ࡢᙜ஦ᅜࡢ୰ࠊ1 ᅜࢆྡᣦࡋࡋ࡚

ᢈุࡍࡿࡢࡣࠊࡇࢀࡀึࡵ࡚࡛࠶ࡗࡓ25

ࡑࡢ㛫ࠊ⡿ᅜࡣእ஺࣭Ᏻ඲ಖ㞀ᨻ⟇ࡢ࢔ࢪ࢔ࠕ᪕ᅇࠖ㸦pivot㸧ࢆᡴࡕୖࡆ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ2012ᖺ 1

᭶࡟⟇ᐃࡉࢀࡓ᪂ࡓ࡞ᅜ㜵ᡓ␎ᣦ㔪࡟࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊ⡿㌷ᒎ㛤ࡢ㔜ᚰࢆࠕ࢔ࢪ࢔ኴᖹὒᆅᇦ࡟ྥࡅ

࡚෌ㄪᩚࡍࡿࠖ᪨ࡀ⾲᫂ࡉࢀࡓ26ࠋᾏර㝲ࡀ㇦ᕞ໭㒊࡟ᚠ⎔ᐇᅾࡋࠊࡲࡓࢩ࣏࣮ࣥ࢞ࣝ࡟ࡣἢ ᓊᡓ㜚Ⰴࡀᚠ⎔ᒎ㛤ࡍࡿ㐠ࡧ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࠊࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥ➼࡜ࡢ㜵⾨༠ຊࡶ㐍ᒎࢆぢࡏ࡚

ࡁࡓ27ࠋࡇ࠺ࡋࡓ⡿ᅜࡢᨻ⟇ᒎ㛤࡟ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ୰ᅜࡢືྥࢆ≌ไࡍࡿ≺࠸ࡀྵࡲࢀ࡚

࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࡣ᫂ⓑ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ

㸲㸬⡿ᅜࡢᑐእᡓ␎࡜ࡢ㛵ಀ

᭱㏆࡟⮳ࡾࠊ⡿ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆᕠࡿ୰ᅜࡢືྥ࡟⚄⤒ࢆᑤࡽࡏ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣࠊࡑࡇ࡟⮬ࡽࡢᑐ እᡓ␎࡟ᑐࡍࡿ㔜኱࡞ᣮᡓࡀ₯ࢇ࡛࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࢆ┳ྲྀࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ࠿ࡽ࡟௚࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ

⡿ᅜࡢእ஺࣭Ᏻ඲ಖ㞀ᨻ⟇࡟࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊᩛᛶࡢᅜᐙࡸࡑࡢ㐃ྜ࡟ࡼࡿḢᕞࡑࡢ௚ᮾ༙⌫࡟࠾

ࡅࡿ㔜せᆅᇦࡢᨭ㓄ࢆ㜼ࡴࡇ࡜ࡀᯡせ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀ࡚ࡁࡓࠋḢள኱㝣ࡀᩛᑐ㝕Ⴀ࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ไࡏࡽ

ࢀࡿ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ஦ែࡀ㉳ࡇࡗࡓሙྜࠊ⡿ᅜࡢ㔜どࡍࡿᅜ㝿⤒῭ࡢ㛤ᨺᛶࡀ༴ᶵ࡟ℜࡍࡿࡤ࠿ࡾ࡛

࡞ࡃࠊ⡿ᅜࡣ⮬ࡽࡼࡾࡶேཱྀࠊ㈨※࡟࠾࠸࡚㐶࠿࡟ඃ㉺ࡍࡿ┦ᡭ࡜ྥࡁྜ࠺ࡇ࡜ࢆవ൤࡞ࡃࡉ

ࢀࡿ࠿ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿ28ࠋࡑࡢࡓࡵࠊ➨ 2ḟୡ⏺኱ᡓᚋࡢ⡿ᅜࡣࠊḢள኱㝣ࡢ⦕㎶࡟఩⨨ࡍࡿㅖᅜ࡜

ྠ┕᮲⣙ࢆ⥾⤖ࡋࠊྠ┕ᅜ࡟᰾ᡓຊ࡟ࡼࡿࠕᣑ኱ᢚṆࠖࢆᥦ౪ࡍࡿ࡜ྠ᫬࡟ࠊ⡿㌷ࢆ኱つᶍ࡟

ࠕ๓᪉ᒎ㛤ࠖࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ

࢔ࢪ࢔࣭ኴᖹὒ࡟ど㔝ࢆ㝈ࡗ࡚ࡶࠊࣈࢵࢩࣗ㸦∗㸧ᨻᶒࡢ࣮࣮࣋࢝ᅜົ㛗ᐁࡀ㏙࡭ࡓࡼ࠺࡟ࠊ

⡿ᅜࡢఏ⤫ⓗ࡞ᅜ┈ࡣ̿̿ࠕၟᴗୖࡢᶒ฼ࢆಖᣢࡍࡿࠖࡇ࡜࡜୪ࢇ࡛̿̿ࠕ⡿ᅜ୪ࡧ࡟ࡑࡢྠ

(5)

┕ᅜཬࡧ཭ዲᅜ࡟ᩛᑐⓗ࡞ዴఱ࡞ࡿ༢୍ࡢぞᶒⓗ࡞ᅜᐙࡲࡓࡣࠝᅜᐙࡢࠞ㐃ྜࡢฟ⌧ࢆࡶ㜵Ṇ ࡍࡿࠖࡇ࡜࡜つᐃࡋᚓࡓ29ࠋ⡿ᅜࡣ᪥ᮏࠊ㡑ᅜࠊࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࠊ㇦ᕞࠊཬࡧࢱ࢖࡜ࡢྠ┕㛵ಀࠊ ࡑࡢ௚ࡢᅜࠎ࡜ࡢᥦᦠ㛵ಀࠊࡑࡋ࡚୰ᅜ࡬ࡢ㛵୚ᨻ⟇ࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚ࠊ࡝ࡢᇦෆᅜ࡟ࡼࡿᆅᇦぞᶒࡢ

㏣ồࢆࡶᢚ࠼࡚ࡁࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ

⡿ᅜࡀᑐእᨻ⟇࡟࠾ࡅࡿᇶᮏⓗ࡞฼┈࡜᝿ᐃࡍࡿࡶࡢࡢከࡃࡣࠊ➨㸰ḟୡ⏺኱ᡓᚋࡢ⮬⏤୺

⩏ⓗ㸦ࣜ࣋ࣛࣝ㸧࡞ᅜ㝿⛛ᗎࢆᵓᡂࡍࡿㅖ✀ࡢつ๎ࠊつ⠊࡟⧊ࡾ㎸ࡲࢀ࡚ࡁࡓࠋ౛࠼ࡤࠊᅜ㐃 ᾏὒἲ᮲⣙࡟ྲྀࡾධࢀࡽࢀࡓࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖࡢಖ㞀ࡣࠊ㛤ᨺⓗ࡞ᅜ㝿⤒῭ࡢ⥔ᣢࡸḢள኱㝣࡬

ࡢ㌷஦ⓗ࡞㛵୚࡟ᚲ㡲࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡓࠋࡲࡓࠊᅜ㐃᠇❶࡟┒ࡾ㎸ࡲࢀࡓṊຊ⾜౑ࡸࡑࡢጾᄐࡢཎ

๎⚗Ṇࡣࠊ㔜せᆅᇦ࡟࠾ࡅࡿໃຊᆒ⾮࡬ࡢᣮᡓࢆᢚไࡍࡿຠᯝࢆ᭷ࡍࡿ࡜ゝࡗ࡚ࡼ࠿ࡗࡓࠋ 㸨

࡜ࡇࢁࡀࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ୰ᅜࡢᶒ฼୺ᙇ࡟ࡣࠊ୰ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿᆅᇦぞᶒࡢ☜❧࡟⧅ࡀࡿせ

⣲ࡀྵࡲࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ౛࠼ࡤࠊ୰ᅜ㸦ࡢ୺ᙇࡍࡿ㸧EEZ ෆ࡛᝟ሗ཰㞟ࡀฟ᮶࡞ࡃ࡞ࡗࡓሙྜࠊ

୰ᅜࡢ㌷஦ືྥࢆ┘どࡍࡿ⡿ᅜࡢ⬟ຊࡣῶ㏥ࡏࡊࡿࢆᚓ࡞࠸30ࠋࡲࡓࠊ๓᪉ᒎ㛤ࡋࡓ⡿㌷࡟ࡼ

ࡿ̿̿ᡈ࠸ࡣᆅᇦࡢྠ┕ᅜࠊᥦᦠᅜ࡜ඹྠࡋ࡚ࡢ̿̿カ⦎ࡶ῝้࡞ไ⣙ࢆཷࡅࡿࡇ࡜࡟࡞ࡿࠋ

୰ᅜᾏ㌷ࡀ̿̿ࠕ❧ධ㜼ᐖࠖ㸦anti-access㸧⬟ຊࡢ☜❧ࢆ୺║࡜ࡋ࡚̿̿ᣑ඘ࢆ⥆ࡅࡿ୰࡛ࠊ ௬࡟⡿ᅜࡀࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞஦ែࢆ⏑ཷࡍࡿ㸦࡜ཷࡅྲྀࡽࢀࡿ㸧ࡼ࠺࡞ࡇ࡜ࡀ࠶ࢀࡤࠊྠ┕ᅜࠊᥦ ᦠᅜࡢ㜵⾨࡟㛵ࡍࡿ⡿ᅜࡢ⣙᮰࡟ࡣಙ㢗ࡀᢪࡅ࡞ࡃ࡞ࡾࠊ≉࡟ᮾ༡࢔ࢪ࢔ㅖᅜࡣࠕࣇ࢕ࣥࣛ

ࣥࢻ໬ࠖࡢ㐨ࢆ㎺ࡽࡊࡿࢆᚓ࡞ࡃ࡞ࡿ࠿ࡶ▱ࢀ࡞࠸31

୰ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟ぞࢆၐ࠼ࡿࡇ࡜࡟࡞ࢀࡤࠊ࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮㈨※ࢆྵࡵࠊࡑࡇࢆ㏻㐣ࡍࡿ≀㈨࡟

኱ࡁࡃ౫Ꮡࡍࡿ᪥ᮏࡸ㡑ᅜࢆᙉせࡋࠊᡈ࠸ࡣࡑࡢᏙ❧ࢆᅗࡿࡇ࡜ࡶヨࡳࡽࢀࡼ࠺32ࠋ࢔ࢪ࢔࡟

࠾ࡅࡿᆅᇦぞᶒࢆ㐩ᡂࡋࡓ୰ᅜ࡟࡜ࡗ࡚ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣ⡿ᅜ࡟࡜ࡗ࡚ࡢࠕᣑ኱࢝ࣜࣈᾏࠖ࡟┦ᙜ ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜࡞ࡿ➻࡛࠶ࡾ33ࠊࡑ࠺࡞ࡗࡓᬡ࡟ࡣࠊ୰ᅜࡣ௚ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿ⮬ࡽࡢࠕໃຊᅪࠖ࡬ࡢ⤒῭

㐍ฟࢆࡶ㜼ࡶ࠺࡜ࡍࡿ୰ᅜ∧ࠕ࣮ࣔࣥࣟ୺⩏ࠖࢆᐇ⾜ࡍࡿ࠿ࡶ▱ࢀ࡞࠸34

ࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞≧ἣࡀ⌧ᐇࡢࡶࡢ࡜࡞ࡗࡓሙྜࠊୡ⏺඲యࡢໃຊᆒ⾮࡟ࡶ⤯኱࡞ᙳ㡪ࡀ⌧ࢀࡿ࡛

࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡲࡎࠊ㏻ၟ㊰࡜ࡋ࡚ࡢ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢ㔜せᛶ࡟㚷ࡳࢀࡤࠊࡇࡇ࡟ᨭ㓄ࢆཬࡰࡍࡇ࡜ࡣࠊୡ

⏺⤒῭ࡢ㤳᰿ࡗࡇࢆᢲࡉ࠼ࡿࡇ࡜࡟➼ࡋ࠸ࠋࡲࡓࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢไᅽࡣࠊ࢖ࣥࢻ࿘㎶࡟୍㐃ࡢᣐ

Ⅼࢆ☜ಖࡋࡼ࠺࡜ࡍࡿࠕ┿⌔ࡢ㤳㣭ࡾࠖᡓ␎࡜┦ಗࡗ࡚ࠊ୰ᅜᾏ㌷ࡢ࢖ࣥࢻὒ㐍ฟ࡟ᐤ୚ࡍࡿ

࡜ぢࡽࢀࡿ35ࠋࡉࡽ࡟ࠊࠕᣑ኱࢝ࣜࣈᾏࠖࡢไぞࡣࠊ⡿ᅜ࡟ᑐࡋ࡚す༙⌫ࡢᨭ㓄ࢆྍ⬟࡟ࡋࡓࡢ

ࡳ࡞ࡽࡎࠊࡸࡀ࡚ࡣᮾ༙⌫࡟࠾ࡅࡿໃຊศᕸࢆᕥྑࡍࡿຊࢆࡶ୚࠼ࡓࡀࠊ୰ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆࠕໃ ຊᅪࠖ࡟⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ㝿࡟ࡣࠊࡑࢀ࡜㢮ఝࡢࡇ࡜ࡀ㉳ࡇࡿ࠿ࡶ▱ࢀ࡞࠸ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ36

ణࡋࠊ୰ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢᨭ㓄ࡀ࢔ࢪ࢔ࢆ㉸࠼ࡓໃຊศᕸ࡟୚࠼ࡿ⾪ᧁ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ␃ಖ ࡀ௜ࡅࡽࢀᚓࡿࠋ୰ᅜࡀᆅᇦぞᶒࡢ☜❧࡟㏆࡙࠸ࡓ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡶࠊḢᕞࠊ୰ᮾࠊ᪥ᮏࠊ࢖ࣥࢻࠊཬ ࡧࣟࢩ࢔ࡀ⊂❧ࡋࡓຊࡢ୰ᚰ࡛࠶ࡾ⥆ࡅࠊࡲࡓࡣ⡿ᅜࡢᙳ㡪ୗ࡟Ṇࡲࡿ࡜࠸࠺≧ἣ࡟࠶ࡗ࡚ࡣࠊ

୰ᅜࡀ̿̿෭ᡓᮇࡢࢯ㐃ࡢࡼ࠺࡟̿̿Ḣள኱㝣ࡢໃຊᆒ⾮ࢆ⬣࠿ࡍࡇ࡜ࡣ࡞࠸37ࠋࡲࡓࠊ୰ᅜ ࡣෆ㝣࡟࠾ࡅࡿ₯ᅾⓗ࡞ᩛᑐᅜࢆព㆑ࡏࡊࡿࢆᚓࡎࠊᾏὒࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚㌷஦ຊࢆᢞᑕࡍࡿែໃࢆᣑ

኱ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡇ࡜࡟ࡣከ኱ࡢᅔ㞴ࡀక࠺࡛࠶ࢁ࠺38ࠋࡓࡔࠊࡇ࠺ࡋࡓ␃ಖࡢ୺ᙇࡶࠊ⡿ᅜࡀᆅᇦ

࡟࠾ࡅࡿ̿̿≉࡟᪥ᮏ࡜ࡢ̿̿ྠ┕㛵ಀࢆሀᣢࡋࠊࡲࡓ๓᪉ᒎ㛤ࡍࡿ⡿㌷ࡢᡓຊࡀᙉ໬ࡉࢀࡿ

࡜࠸࠺๓ᥦࡢୗ࡛࡞ࡉࢀࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ

୰ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿᆅᇦぞᶒࡢ㏣ồ࡟ࡣࠊ⡿ᅜࡀ࢔ࢪ࢔ࡢྠ┕ᅜ࡟ᥦ౪ࡋ࡚ࡁࡓ᰾රჾ࡟ࡼࡿᣑ኱ᢚ

(6)

Ṇࢆ࡝ࡇ࠿ࡢ᫬Ⅼ࡛᥀ࡾᔂࡍࡇ࡜ࡀᚲせ࡜࡞ࡿࡀࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟ࡣࡑ࠺ࡋࡓḟඖࢆࡶᏎࢇࡔࡶ

ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ

୰ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡬ࡢ㐍ฟࢆᅗࡗ࡚ࡁࡓࡢࡣࠊ⡿ᅜ࡟ᑐࡍࡿ᰾ᨷᧁࡢ⬟ຊࢆ☜ಖࡍࡿࡓࡵ࡛ࡶ

࠶ࡿࠋ୰ᅜࡣ᫴⣭㸦094ᆺ㸧ࡢᙎ㐨࣑ࢧ࢖ࣝᦚ㍕ཎᏊຊ₯ỈⰄ㸦SSBN㸧࡟ᦚ㍕ࡍࡿᕧᾉ㸰ྕ㸦JL-2㸧

࡜࠸࠺₯ỈⰄⓎᑕᙎ㐨࣑ࢧ࢖ࣝ㸦SLBM㸧ࡢ㛤Ⓨࢆ㐍ࡵࠊ᰾ᢚṆຊࡢ୺ᰕࡢ୍ࡘ࡜ࡋࡼ࠺࡜ࡋ

࡚ࡁࡓࠋ࡜ࡇࢁࡀࠊSLBMᡓຊࡀ௵ົࢆ㐙⾜ࡍࡿ࡟㝿ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊSSBNࢆᾏୖࠊ✵୰࠿ࡽࡢᨷᧁ

࠿ࡽᏲࡿࡇ࡜ࡢฟ᮶ࡿࠕ⪷ᇦࠖࡀᚲせ࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡲࡓJL-2ࡣࠕ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࠿ࡽࣟࢧࣥࢮࣝࢫ࡟฿㐩 ࡋᚓ࡞࠸ࠖࡇ࡜࠿ࡽ39ࠊSSBN ࡟እὒ࡬ࡢฟཱྀࢆ୚࠼ࡿࡇ࡜ࡶᚲせ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚ࡃࡿࠋ࡜ࡇࢁࡀࠊ ࡇࢀࡽࡢ᮲௳ࢆ඘ࡓࡋࠊୟࡘእὒ࠿ࡽヨࡳࡽࢀࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺⡿ᅜࡢࠕ㜼Ṇࠖ㸦interdiction㸧άື࡟

⬤ᙅ࡛࡞࠸ሙᡤࡣࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏ௨እ࡟࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿ40ࠋᾏ༡ᓥࡢᾏ㌷ᇶᆅᣑᙇࡢࠕ୺せ࡞⌮

⏤ࠖ࡟ࠊࠕ㸦SSBN ࡢᇶᆅ࡜ࡋ࡚ᶵ⬟ࡉࡏࡿࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡾ㸧୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᢚṆຊࢆᙉ໬ࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࠖࡀྵ

ࡲࢀࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡉࢀࡿᡤ௨࡛࠶ࡿ41

ࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞ほⅬ࡟❧ࡗࡓሙྜࠊ୰ᅜ࡟࡜ࡗ࡚ࡢ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣࠊࢯ㐃࡟࡜ࡗ࡚ࡢࠕ࣮࢜࣍ࢶࢡᾏࠖ

࡟ヱᙜࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜࡞ࡿ㸦ࡲࡓࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣࠕ໭ி†ࠖ࡟࡞ࡿ࡜࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡶ࠶ࡿ42㸧ࠋ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆ

ᡭ୰࡟཰ࡵࡿࡇ࡜ࡀฟ᮶ࢀࡤࠊ⡿ᅜࡢᑐ₯ỈⰄᡓຊ࡟ጉࡆࡽࢀࡿࡇ࡜࡞ࡃࠊኴᖹὒࡸ࢖ࣥࢻὒ

࡟㐍ฟࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀྍ⬟࡟࡞ࡿ࡜ᮇᚅࡉࢀᚓࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ

୰ᅜࡀ㏻ᖖᡓຊࡸᡓᇦ᰾ᡓຊࡢ㏆௦໬ࢆ⥅⥆ࡍࡿഐࡽࠊ⡿ᮏᅵࢆ᰾ᨷᧁࡍࡿ☜ᐇ࡞⬟ຊࢆቑ ࡋ࡚࠸ࡗࡓሙྜࠊ⡿ᅜࡢᥦ౪ࡍࡿᣑ኱ᢚṆࡢಙ៰ᛶࡣືᦂࢆ᮶ࡋࡸࡍࡃ࡞ࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ᪥ᮏ➼

࡟ᑐࡋ࡚㏻ᖖරჾࡸᡓᇦ᰾රჾ࡛ᨷᧁࢆ௙᥃ࡅ࡚ࡶࠊ⡿ᅜࡣ඲㠃᰾ᡓத࡬ࡢ⣮தつᶍᣑ኱ࢆᚰ 㓄ࡍࡿవࡾࠊ᰾ሗ᚟ࡢጾᄐࢆᐇ⾜࡟⛣ࡍࡇ࡜ࢆ㌋㌉ࡍࡿ࠿ࡶ▱ࢀ࡞࠸̿̿࡜୰ᅜࡀ⪃࠼ࡿྍ⬟

ᛶࡀ㧗ࡲࡿ࡜᝿ീࡉࢀࡿ࠿ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ

ࡓࡔࠊ⡿ᅜ࡜ࢯ㐃㸭ࣟࢩ࢔࡜ࡢ㛫࡛ࡣࠊ஫࠸࡟᰾ሗ᚟ࡢࡓࡵࡢᡓຊࢆ඘ศ࡟ഛ࠼ࡓ≧ែࠊࡘ

ࡲࡾࠕ┦஫☜ド◚ቯࠖ㸦mutual assured destruction㸧≧ἣࡢಖ඲ࢆࠕᡓ␎ⓗᏳᐃࠖࡢ♏▼࡜ᤊ࠼ࡿ

ഴྥࡀᙉ࠿ࡗࡓࠋ࢜ࣂ࣐ᨻᶒࡀ⡿ᅜࡢ࣑ࢧ࢖ࣝ㜵⾨య⣔࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊࠕࣟࢩ࢔࡜ࡢ㛫࡛ࡢᡓ␎ࣂ

ࣛࣥࢫ࡟ᙳ㡪ࢆ୚࠼ࡿࡇ࡜ࢆពᅗࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠖ࡜୺ᙇࡍࡿࡢࡶ43ࠊࡑ࠺ࡋࡓഴྥࡢ⾲ࢀ

࡜ゝ࠼ࡿࠋ

୍᪉ࠊ⡿ᅜᨻᗓࡀ୰ᅜࡢᙉຊ࡞᰾ሗ᚟ࡢ⬟ຊࢆ๓ᥦ࡜ࡋࡓࠕᡓ␎ⓗᏳᐃࠖࢆᵓ᝿ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ࠿

࡝࠺࠿ࡣࠊᚲࡎࡋࡶศ࡛᫂࡞࠸ࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊ⡿ᅜෆ࡟࠶ࡗ࡚ࡣࠊ୰ᅜ࡜ࡢ㛫࡛ࡶࠊ཮᪉ࡢ᰾ಖ᭷

̿̿⾜ࡁ╔ࡃ࡜ࡇࢁࠕ┦஫☜ド◚ቯࠖ≧ἣࡢᡂ❧̿̿ࡀ㛵ಀࡢᏳᐃ࡟㈨ࡍࡿ࡜ࡢពぢࡶ⪺࠿ࢀࠊ ࡑ࠺ࡋࡓ❧ሙ࠿ࡽࡣࠊ⡿ᅜࡣ᰾ᡓຊࢆ኱つᶍࠊ㠀⬤ᙅ࡞ࡶࡢ࡟ࡋࡼ࠺࡜ࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢດຊࢆጉࡆ

ࡿ࡭ࡁ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸࡜ࡢ㆟ㄽࡶᐤࡏࡽࢀࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ44ࠋ⡿୰ࡀࠕ┦஫☜ド◚ቯࠖ≧ἣ࡟᥋㏆ࡋ࡚ࡶࠊ ࡑࢀࡔࡅ࡛ᣑ኱ᢚṆࡀ↓ຠ࡟࡞ࡿࡇ࡜ࡣ࡞࠸ࡀࠊࡑ࠺ࡋࡓ୰࡛୰ᅜࡢᆅᇦぞᶒࢆᢲࡋṆࡵࡼ࠺

࡜ᛮ࠼ࡤࠊ⡿ᅜ࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊ࢔ࢪ࢔࡟࠾ࡅࡿྠ┕㛵ಀࠊᥦᦠ㛵ಀࢆᨻ἞ⓗࠊ㌷஦ⓗ࡟⿵ᙉࡍࡿᡭ❧

࡚ࢆㅮࡎࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ୍ᒙ⥭せ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚ࡃࡿࡇ࡜ࡣ␲࠸࡞࠸࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ 㸨

ࡉࡽ࡟ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆᕠࡿ୰ᅜࡢ᣺ࡿ⯙࠸࡟㐺ษ࡟ᑐฎࡋᚓ࡞࠿ࡗࡓሙྜࠊ⡿ᅜࡢᇶᮏⓗ࡞฼

┈ࢆయ⌧ࡋࡓᅜ㝿つ๎࣭つ⠊ࡢ㔜せ࡞㒊ศࡀ༴⫾࡟ℜࡍࡿᜍࢀ࡞ࡋ࡜ࡋ࡞࠸ࠋ

≉࡟ࠊ⮬ᅜEEZ࡟࠾ࡅࡿᶒ฼࡟㛵ࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢ୺ᙇࡣࠊᆅᇦ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⡿㌷ࡢάື࡟ไ㝈ࢆຍ࠼

ࡿࡔࡅ࡛࡞ࡃࠊEEZ ࡢ඲⯡ⓗ࡞ᛶ᱁࡟ᙳ㡪ࢆ୚࠼࠿ࡡ࡞࠸ࠋࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖࢆ๓㠃࡟ᢲࡋฟࡍ

⡿ᅜࡢ❧ሙࡣࠊᅜ㐃ᾏὒἲ᮲⣙⥾⣙ᅜࡢ኱༙࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ඹ᭷ࡉࢀ࡚ࡁࡓ45ࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊ୰ᅜࡢゎ㔘

(7)

࡟ࡣ࢖ࣥࢻࡸࣈࣛࢪࣝࡶྠㄪࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ௚46ࠊ୰ᅜ௨እࡢ༡ࢩࢼᾏἢᓊㅖᅜࡢ୰࡛ࡣࠊ࣐࣮ࣞࢩ

࢔ࡸ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡀEEZ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ௚ᅜࡢ㌷஦άືࢆఱࡽ࠿ࡢᙧ࡛つไࡋࡼ࠺࡜ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ47ࠋୡ⏺ࡢ ᾏὒࡢࠕ4 ๭㏆ࡃࠖࡀἢᓊ࠿ࡽ 200ᾏ㔛௨ෆࡢᾏᇦ࡛࠶ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽ48ࠊ୰ᅜ࡬ࡢᨭᣢࡀᗈࡀࡗ

࡚ᾏὒἲࡢゎ㔘࡟ኚ᭦ࡀ᪋ࡉࢀࠊከᩘࡢἢᓊᅜࡀࡑ࠺ࡋࡓつไࢆᐇ⾜ࡍࡿ࡟⮳ࡿ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ஦ែ

ࡀ㉳ࡇࡗࡓሙྜࠊ⡿ᅜࡢ๓᪉ᒎ㛤ࢆ㏻ࡌࡓྠ┕㛵ಀࠊᥦᦠ㛵ಀࡢ⥔ᣢࡣࠊୡ⏺୰࡛኱ࡁ࡞ไ⣙

ࢆㄢࡏࡽࢀࡿࡇ࡜࡟࡞ࡿࠋࡑࡢࡼ࠺࡞ព࿡࡛ࠊEEZࢆᕠࡿ୰ᅜࡢᶒ฼୺ᙇࡣࠊ⡿ᅜ࡟࡜ࡗ࡚ࠕ᭱

኱ࡢᠱᛕࠖࢆᵓᡂࡍࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ49

ణࡋࠊ୰ᅜᾏ㌷ࡀᑗ᮶ࠊᮏ᱁ⓗ࡟እὒ࡟㐍ฟࡋࡓᬡ࡟ࡣࠊᾏὒἲ࡟㛵ࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢどᗙࡶࠊ௚

ᅜ㌷࡟ࡼࡿࠕ❧ධࠖࡢ㜼Ṇ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⮬ᅜ㌷࡟ࡼࡿࠕ❧ධࠖࡢ☜ಖ࡟㔜ࡁࢆ⨨ࡃࡶࡢ࡬࡜ኚ໬

ࡍࡿ࠿ࡶ▱ࢀ࡞࠸ࠋ㌷஦άື࡬ࡢつไࢆᙉㄪࡍࡿゎ㔘ࡣࠊࠕάື⠊ᅖࡢ㐲ᾏ࡬ࡢᣑ኱ࢆ┠ㄽࡴ

୰ᅜᾏ㌷࡟࡜ࡗ࡚ࡣ୧ลࡢ๢࡜࡞ࡾ࠿ࡡ࡞࠸ࠖ࡜ぢࡽࢀࡿ࠿ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿ50

ࡲࡓࠊ௬࡟୰ᅜࡀṊຊࡢ⾜౑ࡲࡓࡣࡑࡢጾᄐࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢᨭ㓄ࢆ㐩ᡂࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡇ࡜

ࡀ࠶ࢀࡤࠊࡑࢀࡣ̿̿༢࡟ᆅᇦ࡟࠾ࡅࡿࠊཬࡧᆅᇦࢆ㉸࠼ࡓໃຊศᕸࡢኚ໬࡟Ṇࡲࡽࡎ̿̿⌧

⾜ࡢᅜ㝿⛛ᗎࡑࡢࡶࡢࢆ᰿ᗏ࠿ࡽᦂࡿࡀࡋ࠿ࡡ࡞࠸࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ⡿ᅜࡀᾏὒἲ࡟๎ࡋࡓᶒ฼୺ᙇ

ࢆᙉㄪࡋࠊἲⓗᣊ᮰ຊࢆᖏࡧࡓࠕ⾜ືつ⠊ࠖࡢ⟇ᐃࢆᨭᣢࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࡢࡶࠊࠕつ๎࡟ᇶ࡙࠸ࡓࠖ

㸦rules-based㸧⛛ᗎࡢᵓ⠏ࢆಁ㐍ࡍࡿ࡜࠸࠺ࠕ㛗ᮇⓗ࡞┠ᶆࠖࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿ࠿ࡽ࡟௚࡞ࡽ࡞࠸51

⡿ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟࡛ࠕᘬࡁୗࡀࡿࠖ㸦blink㸧࡜ཷࡅྲྀࡽࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ጼໃࢆぢࡏࡓሙྜࠊ⮬⏤

୺⩏ⓗ࡞ᅜ㝿⛛ᗎࡀᙅయ໬ࡋࠊつ๎ࠊつ⠊ࡀᆅᇦⓗ࡟ศ๭ࡉࢀࡿࠕ㌿᥮Ⅼࠖࡢ฿᮶ࡀ᪩ࡲࡿ࡜

ࡢ㆙࿌ࡀⓎࡏࡽࢀࡿᡤ௨࡛࠶ࡿ52

ࡴࡍࡧ࡟࠿࠼࡚

༡ࢩࢼᾏ̿̿ࡑࡋ࡚ࠊᮾࢩࢼᾏ̿̿࡟㛵ࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢゝືࡣࠊᕋ♋ࡢ㡿᭷ᶒࡸࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠖ

ࡢၥ㢟ࢆ㉸࠼࡚ࠊࠕ୰ᅜࡀ࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᅜᐙ࡟࡞ࡿ࠿ࠖ㸦what sort of power China will become㸧ࢆ༨

࠺ヨ㔠▼࡜࡞ࡾᚓࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ53ࠋ᧺㢌ࡍࡿ୰ᅜ࡟࠾࠸࡚ࠊ⡿ᅜ୺ᑟ࡛ᙧᡂࠊ⥔ᣢࡉࢀ࡚ࡁࡓ ᅜ㝿つ๎࣭つ⠊ࢆᇶᮏⓗ࡟ཷࡅධࢀࡿࠕ⌧≧⥔ᣢࠖᚿྥࠊࡇࢀࢆᢤᮏⓗ࡟ᨵኚࡋࡼ࠺࡜ࡍࡿࠕ⌧

≧ᡴ◚ࠖᚿྥࡢఱࢀࡀඃໃ࡜࡞ࡿ࠿ࡀၥࢃࢀࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࡲࡓࠊࡇࡢࡇ࡜࡟ࡘ࠸࡚⡿ᅜ ࡀ࡝࠺⌮ゎࡋࠊࡑࢀࢆᑐእᡓ␎࡟࡝࠺ྲྀࡾධࢀ࡚࠸ࡃ࠿ࡀࠊᅜ㝿㛵ಀࡢᑗ᮶ࢆỴᐃⓗ࡟つᐃࡍ

ࡿࡇ࡜࡟࡞ࡿ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ

̿ ὀ ̿

1 Patrick M. Cronin and Robert D. Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength: U.S. Strategy and the South China Sea,” in Cronin, ed., Cooperation From Strength: The United States, China, and the South China Sea, Center for a New American Security, January 2012, p. 7.

2 U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, 2012 Report to Congress [௨ୗࠊUSCC2012

␎], p. 234.

3 Cronin and Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength,” p. 9.

4 Cronin and Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength,” p. 9.

5 USCC2012, p. 229.

6 ἢᓊྛᅜ࡟ࡼࡿ㡿᭷ᶒཬࡧ⟶㎄ᶒࡢ୺ᙇࡣࠊUSCC2012, pp. 215, 217-218ཬࡧM. Taylor Fravel,

“Maritime Security in the South China Sea and the Competition over Maritime Rights,” in Cronin, ed., Cooperation from Strength, p. 34࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ᴫほࡋᚓࡿࠋ

7 USCC2012, pp. 219-220; Cronin and Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength,” p. 14.

8 㜵⾨┬㜵⾨◊✲ᡤࠗ୰ᅜᏳ඲ಖ㞀࣏࣮ࣞࢺ2011࠘㸦ᖹᡂ24ᖺ12᭶㸧21㸫22㡫ࠋEEZࡢἲⓗᛶ᱁

(8)

࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ㭯⏣㡰ࠕ᤼௚ⓗ⤒῭Ỉᇦ㸦EEZ㸧ࠖࠗእ஺࠘➨12ྕ㸦ᖹᡂ24ᖺ3᭶㸧ࡀཧ⪃࡟࡞ࡿࠋ

9 Fravel, “Maritime Security,” p. 34.

10 㜵⾨┬㜵⾨◊✲ᡤ⦅ࠗᮾ࢔ࢪ࢔ᡓ␎ᴫほ2012࠘㸦ᖹᡂ24ᖺ3᭶㸧131㡫ࠋ

11 ࢟ࣕࣥ࣋ࣝ⡿ᅜົḟᐁ⿵ࡣࠊࠕᆅᇦࡀ⥭ᙇቑ኱ࡢ᪂ࡓ࡞᫬ᮇ࡟ධࡗࡓࠖࡢࡣࠊṇ࡟ࠕ2007ᖺࠖ ࡛

࠶ࡿ࡜ࡢㄆ㆑ࢆ♧ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋKurt Campbell, “Testimony,” U.S. Senate, Committee on Foreign Relations, Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Maritime Territorial Disputes and Sovereignty Issues in Asia(hearings), September 20, 2012, p. 3.

12 Robert Scher, “Testimony,” U.S. Senate, Committee on Foreign Relations, Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs [௨ୗࠊMaritime Issueshearings࡜␎], p. 2; Campbell, “Testimony,” p. 3.

13 Fravel, “Maritime Security,” pp. 36-37.

14 ࣐࣮ࢩ࢙ࣝ⡿ᅜົḟᐁ⿵௦⌮࡟ࡼࢀࡤࠊࡑ࠺ࡋࡓ≧ἣࡀ⌧ࢀࡓࡢࡣࠕ2007ᖺኟࠖࡔࡗࡓ࡜ゝ࠺ࠋ Scot Marciel, “Testimony,” Maritime Issueshearings, p. 4. ᐇ㝿ࠊ୰ᅜࡣ2007ᖺཬࡧ2008ᖺࠊ࢚ࢡ ࢯ࣭࣮ࣥࣔࣅࣝཬࡧBP࡟ࡼࡿヨ᥀ࢆ೵ṆࡉࡏࡓࠋRichard P. Cronin, “Testimony,” Maritime Issues hearings, p. 4.

15 ణࡋࠊ௚ࡢἢᓊᅜ࡟ࡼࡿ୰ᅜ⁺⯪ࡢᣡᤕࡶ㢖⦾ࡔ࡜ゝ࠺ࠋFravel, “Maritime Security,” p. 38.

16 USCC2012, pp. 217-218.

17 ࢫ࣮࢝࣎ࣟ♋࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⥭ᙇ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ㜵⾨┬㜵⾨◊✲ᡤࠗ୰ᅜᏳ඲ಖ㞀࣏࣮ࣞࢺ2012࠘㸦ᖹᡂ 24ᖺ12᭶㸧18㸫20㡫ཬࡧUSCC2012, pp. 231-233ࢆཧ↷ࠋ

18 USCC2012, pp. 234-235.

19 Hillary Rodham Clinton, “Remarks at Press Availability,” National Convention Center, Hanoi, Vietnam, July 23, 2010.

20 Hillary Rodham Clinton, “Remarks to the ASEAN Regional Forum,” Phnom Penh, Cambodia, July 12,

2012. ࡉࡽ࡟ࠊࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥࡣࠊ㡿᭷ᶒၥ㢟ࡢゎỴࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸༊ᇦ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮㈨※ࡢࠕඹ

ྠ᥈ᰝ࣭㛤Ⓨࠖ࡟ಀࡿ༠ᐃࢆྵࡴ᪂ࡋ࠸༠ຊⓗ࡞ྲྀࡾỴࡵࡢ᥈ồ࡟ࡶゝཬࡋࡓࠋ

21 Marciel, “Testimony,” pp. 3-4, 6-7.

22 Scher, “Testimony,” pp. 3-4.

23 Clinton, “Remarks at Press Availability.”

24 Patrick Ventrell, “South China Sea,” U.S. Department of State, Office of the Spokesperson, August 3, 2012, <http://iipdigital.usembassy.gov>.

25 USCC2012, p. 238.

26 Leon E. Panetta, Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense, January 2012, p.

272.ࡓࡔࠊ⡿ẚ㛫ࡢ┦஫㜵⾨᮲⣙࡜༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⣮㆟࡜ࡢ㛵㐃ࢆᕠࡿ⡿ᅜࡢ❧ሙࡣᚲࡎࡋࡶ᫂☜

࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊᅜົ┬ࡢἲᚊ㢳ၥࡣྠ᮲⣙ࡀ㡿ᅵ⣮த࡟㐺⏝ࡉࢀࡿ࠿࡟ࡘ࠸࡚᫂ゝࢆ㑊ࡅ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ USCC2012, p. 233.

28 ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓ㆟ㄽࢆᒎ㛤ࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊNicholas John Spykman, America’s Strategy in World Politics:

The United States and the Balance of Power(New York: Harcourt, Brace and World, 1942) ࡀྂ඾ⓗ࡛

29࠶ࡿࠋJames A. Baker, III, “America in Asia: Emerging Architecture for a Pacific Century,” Foreign Affairs, Vol.

70, No. 5 (Winter 1991/92), pp. 3-4.

30 Sarah Raine, “Beijing’s South China Sea Debate,” Survival, Vol. 53, No. 5 (October-November 2011) ࡣࠊ ᾏ༡ᓥࡢᾏ㌷ᇶᆅࢆᕠࡿ≧ἣࢆྵࡵࠊ୰ᅜࡢ㌷஦ែໃࢆ┘どࡍࡿ⬟ຊࢆ⥔ᣢࡋࡓ࠸࡜࠸࠺⡿ᅜࡢ ḧồ̿̿ཬࡧ୰ᅜ࡟ࡼࡿࡑࡢᣄྰ̿̿ࢆࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ⥭ᙇቑ኱ࡢせᅉ࡜ࡋ࡚㔜どࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ

㸦pp. 70-71㸧ࠋ

31 ࠕࣇ࢕ࣥࣛࣥࢻ໬ࠖ࡬ࡢゝཬࡣࠊCronin and Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength,” pp. 7, 17࡟࠶ࡿࠋ

32 Blumenthal, “Testimony,” p. 5.

33 Cronin and Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength,” p. 14.

34 Blumenthal, “Testimony,” p. 5.

35 Blumenthal, “Testimony,” p. 5. ణࡋࠊ୰ᅜࡣ̿̿ྎ‴ࡢేྜ࡟ᡂຌࡋ࡞࠸㝈ࡾ̿̿࢖ࣥࢻὒ࡟ᾏ

㌷ຊࢆᮏ᱁ⓗ࡟ᢞᑕࡋᚓࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡿࡲ࡛࡟㛗ᮇࢆせࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡉࢀࡿࠋMichael J. Green and Andrew Shearer, “Defining U.S. Indian Ocean Strategy,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 35, No. 2 (Spring 2012), pp. 179-181.

36 Cronin and Kaplan, “Cooperation from Strength,” p. 14.

37 Robert J. Art, “The United States and the Rise of China: Implications for the Long Haul,” in Robert S.

Ross and Zhu Feng, eds., China’s Ascent: Power, Security, and the Future of International Politics (Ithaca,

(9)

NY: Cornell University Press, 2008), p. 272.

38 Robert S. Ross, “China’s Naval Nationalism: Sources, Prospects, and the U.S. Response,” International Security, Vol. 34, No. 2 (Fall 2009). ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓ⌮⏤࡟ࡼࡾࠊࡑࡇ࡛ࡣ୰ᅜᾏ㌷ࡢቑᙉࡣࠕ⡿ᅜࡢᾏὒ Ᏻ඲ಖ㞀࡟ᑐࡍࡿᣮᡓ࡜ࡣ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠖ࡜᩿ゝࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ㸦p. 75㸧ࠋ

39 Tetsuo Kotani, “Why China Wants South China Sea,” The Diplomat, July 18, 2011.

40 Leszek Buszynski, “The South China Sea: Oil, Maritime Claims, and U.S.-China Strategic Rivalry,”

Washington Quarterly, 35-2 (Spring 2012), p. 146.

41 Fravel, “Maritime Security,” p. 40.

42 Shinzo Abe, “Asia’s Democratic Security Diamond,” December 27, 2012, <www.project-syndicate.org>.

43 Robert M. Gates, Nuclear Posture Review Report, April 2010, p. x.

44 ౛࠼ࡤࠊArt, “The United States and the Rise of China,” pp. 274-275, 283ࠊCharles Glaser, “Will China’s Rise Lead to War?: Why Realism Does Not Mean Pessimism,” Foreign Affairs, 90-2 (March/April 2011), p. 83ࢆཧ↷ࠋ

45 Peter Dutton, “Testimony,” Maritime Issues hearings࡟ࡼࢀࡤࠊ⥾⣙ᅜࠕ157࠿ᅜ୰⣙140࠿ᅜࠖࡀ⡿

ᅜ࡟ྠពࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ㸦p. 6㸧ࠋ

46 Fravel, “Maritime Security,” p. 35.

47 ࡲࡓࠊබᘧ࡟ࡣ⡿ᅜࡢ❧ሙࢆᨭᣢࡍࡿࣇ࢕ࣜࣆࣥࠊ࢖ࣥࢻࢿࢩ࢔➼ࡶࠊỈ㠃ୗ࡛ࡣ୰ᅜࡢどᗙ࡬

ࡢඹឤࢆ⾲᫂ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ࡜ゝ࠺ࠋDutton, “Testimony,” pp. 6-7.

48 Scher, “Testimony,” p. 4.

49 USCC2012, p. 239.

50 Dutton, “Testimony,” p. 6ࠊࠗ୰ᅜᏳ඲ಖ㞀࣏࣮ࣞࢺ2011࠘21㡫㸦ᘬ⏝ࡣᚋ⪅ࡼࡾ㸧ࠋ

51 Campbell, “Testimony,” p. 5.

52 Michael Auslin, “Tipping Point in the Indo-Pacific,” American Interest, March/April 2011.

53 Raine, “Beijing’s South China Sea Debate,” p. 83.

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