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Discussion on "ABMI and Financial Cooperation in East Asia"

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Japan-China-Korea (A3) Conference

Monetary and Financial Cooperation in the Region

Handout

Soyoung Kim

Seoul National University

May 24, 2012 RIETI, Tokyo

Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/

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Discussion on “ABMI and Financial Cooperation in East Asia”

Soyoung Kim

Department of Economics Seoul National University

(3)

Summary

• Excellent and comprehensive review on AMBI

– Backgrounds and developments – Limitations

– China’s role, future directions

• Backgrounds and Future

• Some Limitations in relation to Policies

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On Backgrounds…

• Asian financial crisis initiated discussion on regional financial cooperation in East Asia.

• After crisis, East Asian countries established various mechanisms for regional financial cooperation to

prevent future crisis in the region (CMIM, ABMI…)

• Global financial crisis was also an important impetus on further developments.

the existing regional cooperation is very limited

to defend regional economy against shocks originated from other regions.

to deal with global imbalances

new developments in global financial architecture

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… and Future

• Developments of regional financial cooperation in East Asia have been mostly related to crisis, so it is not

surprising that the main objective was crisis-prevention.

• However, in the future, other possible objectives of financial cooperation should be pursued further.

International financial market integration can provides various benefits (if crisis does not occur): risk sharing, intertemporal consumption smoothing, recycling regional saving for long term investments,…

In this respect, ABMI is at least as important as CMIM.

ABMI should be further developed.

ACMI comprising all types of financial assets is even more important.

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Some Limitations in Relation to Policies

Convertibility of Currency

Limited convertibility makes further developments of ABMI difficult.

It also prevents private sectors from participating in the financial markets.

Capital Controls

size matters but efficient allocation is also important

It is hard to achieve efficient allocation under capital controls, and the benefits will be reduced under capital controls.

SR capital mobility might be restricted (to prevent crisis) but LR capital mobility should not be.

Exchange Rate Policies

Improper exchange rate policies, combined with capital controls, might have a negative effect.

Relative pricing function may be distorted and allocation may be inefficient.

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