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(1)

Services in free trade agreements

Ochiai, Dee and Findlay

(2)

Aims

z

Review services treatment of a group of agreements

z See Table 1

z

Two criteria

z Ease of extension to new members

z Beyond the GATS

(3)

State of play in GATS

z Significant gains from services reform, according to quantitative work, but

z ‘most commitments have been confined to locking in status quo access conditions, or even less, at the

time of the negotiations’

z With the exception of recent accession countries

z Even in new Round, ‘few….new commercial opportunities’ have been tabled

z Contributors: complexity, novelty plus lack of institutional support and coordination problems,

z Developed countries seeking more liberalisation

(4)

State of play (cont.)

z

Sectors

z

Commitments dominated by producer services

z

Health and education received few commitments

z

Modes

z

mode 2 (consumption abroad) is the most liberal,

z

mode 1 and 3 is mixed (commitments made but with qualifications), and

z

mode 4 commitments are limited.

(5)

State of play (cont.)

z Continuing negotiations on rules including regulation

z Inappropriate application of regulation can offset commitments on MA and NT

z Big interest to services providers, some capacity issues for developing countries

z Developing countries

z Concern for domestic political reaction to foreign penetration and establishment in local services markets

z also contributes to the demands for safeguard mechanisms

A consequence has been greater interest in FTAs:

to capture profits, to manage risks

(6)

Method of our paper

z

Compile information

z

Compare and score

z Scale of zero to 1

z Higher score is more open

(7)

Items

z

Form and content

z

Domestic regulation

z

Market access/national treatment

z

Rules of origin

z

Bilateral vs multiple member

(8)

Form #1

z

Negative vs positive list

z North America (-), Europe (+), Asia (case by case)

z No significant differences in extent of commitments

z Negative list agreements may have better text on future liberalisation

z Sectoral classification schemes vary!

(9)

Form #2

z

Sectoral exclusions (Table 3)

z At high rates!

z But generally better than the GATS (Table 4)

z Source of the country variation within an agreement

ƒ Sectoral coverage could varies between agreements due to

‘sensitivities’ which vary in bilateral settings

ƒ compare to GATS… exclusions but without discrimination

z

Interaction

z horizontal commitments (Table 5a)

z reservations (Table 5b)

(10)

Form #3

z

Investment

z Sometimes treated in 2 places

z And in Japan-Singapore, -ve list in the investment chapter, +ve list in services

(11)

Domestic regulation

z

Not much beyond the GATS

z Mutual recognition

z Transfer payments

z Transparency

z Subsidies

z Business practices

(12)

Roy, Marchetti and Lim

z

Evidence of new ‘bindings’ in PTAs, compared to GATS

z

Negative list agreements tended to bind existing policy

z

Depth of commitment varies by countries/sectors

z More extensive in agreements with the US

(13)

RML - qualifications

z

Limited commitments if US not involved

z

Larger countries make fewer additional commitments

z

Protection remains in large developed countries

z

Largest countries don’t have PTAs amongst themselves

z

Implications of commitments are

discriminatory [tend to be NT measures?]

(14)

MA vs NT

z

The distinction between market access and national treatment

z Maybe some advantage in the negative list approach

z ...which adopts MA and NT as general commitments

z

Significant impediments to MA remain

z Welfare gains from MA reform

z Risk of bias in trade negotiations towards NT

(15)

Bilateral vs Multiple

z

Not much difference

z

Maybe bilaterals are more likely to include domestic regulation

z But restrictions remain

z

Membership

z Levels of liberalisation

z Relatively low when both are developing countries

z Higher if one member is a developed country

(16)

Rules of origin

z

If a separate section generally either

z Location of business operations

z Ownership

(17)

Overall assessment

z

Overall indicators

z CER is consistently more liberal than other

agreements but results vary by modes of supply.

z

Comparison between options for calculation

of summary statistics

(18)

To conclude..

z

Extension of benefits

z

Difficult given different architectures

z

Beyond the GATS

z

Better sectoral coverage

z but still low and with limitations

(19)

Implication

z A country belonging to more than one agreement:

now more common…..

z * Market response?

z - Choose the low-cost entry route, “Investment deflection”

ƒ Creates an advantage to the hub country, leads to more pressure on origin rules

z * Host country concerns about sequencing

z - First mover advantages for early negotiators

z - But are those firms efficient suppliers of intermediate or final services?

z Risk management gains for investors and hosts from a multilateral approach

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