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(1)

Transatlantic Relations

Brigid Laffan

(2)

Paradise and Power

On major strategic and international

questions today, Americans are from

Mars and Europeans are from Venus

Robert Kagan

(3)
(4)
(5)

Legacy-Mutual Interdependence

• Co-operation

• Competition

• Asymmetry of Power/capacity

• US helped create European

integration

• US Nuclear Umbrella and NATO

(6)

1990s

• Transatlantic Declaration 1990

• New Transatlantic Agenda 1995

• Enlargement of NATO

• Balkans

• ‘Europe will miss Bill Clinton. He has been a good friend to this continent’

Patten

(7)

European Developments

• Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) into the European Security and Defence Policy

(ESDP)

• Different groups (Atlantist,

European, Neutral)

(8)

Early Bush

• Realist Foreign Policy

– Missile Defence – Kyoto Protocol

– International Criminal Court

• 9/11

• ‘We are all Americans’ Le Monde

(9)

US Response

• State of the Union January 2002

– Axis of evil – Rogue states

– Weapons of mass destruction – War on terrorism

(10)

Iraq

• Deep divisions in Europe

• Public opposition to the war

• Old Europe V. New Europe

– Shift in German Policy

– France/UK(St Malo 1998) – New member states

(11)
(12)

Tensions

• Hard Power

versus soft power

• Multilateralism versus

unilateralism

• Regional Interests versus global

interests

• War on terrorism/

Middle East

(13)

Trajectory

• Pessimists

• Imbalance in

military capacity

(5:1 spending ratio)

* Threat perceptions

* Means

• Optimists

• Cycles of tension

• Convergence of interests and

values

• Winning the peace

(14)

Mars and Venus

must re-write their

marriage contract?

Referensi

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