• Tidak ada hasil yang ditemukan

Government works Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper International Standard Book Number Hardback) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2023

Membagikan "Government works Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper International Standard Book Number Hardback) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources"

Copied!
458
0
0

Teks penuh

Discrete Distributions ..3-1 Bernoulli Distribution ..3-1 Binomial Beta Distribution ..3-1 Beta Pascal Distribution ..3-3 Binomial Distribution ..3-3 Discrete Weibull Distribution ..3-3 Geometric Distribution ..3 -3. Hypergeometric Distribution ..3-33 Negative Binomial Distribution..3-33 Poisson Distribution..3-34 Rectangular (Discrete Uniform) Distribution. . 36 F Distribution..3-36 Gamma Distribution ..3-36 Semi-Normal Distribution..3-36 Laplace (Double Exponential) Distribution. -Squared distribution..3-37 Non-central distribution..3-38 Non-central distribution..3-38 Normal distribution..3-38 Pareto distribution ..3-38 Rayleigh distribution ..3-39 t-Distribution..3 - 39 Triangular Distribution ..3-39 Uniform Distribution ..3-39 Weibull Distribution ..3-40 Variation Generating Techniques ..3-40 Notation ..3-40 Variation Generating Algorithms ..3-40 References ..3-4.

Efficacy of Mathematical Modeling

Mathematical calculations have played a major role in the development and progress of our modern world. Virtually all of our common consumer products have origins that can be traced to mathematical calculations.

Industrial Engineering and Computations

The analytical approach of IE is used to solve complex and important problems facing humanity. The practice of IE is about making the right choices in a dynamic environment of competing alternatives.

FIGURE 1.1 Bridge proposals connecting Hometown to Worktown. (Adapted from Toczek, J.
FIGURE 1.1 Bridge proposals connecting Hometown to Worktown. (Adapted from Toczek, J.

Definition and Applications

Orientation to STEM

IE Catchphrases

Span and Utility of IE

Heritage from Industrial Revolution

Historical Accounts

He was soon promoted to time clerk, journeyman, lathe operator, gang boss and machine shop foreman. Gilbreth made it possible to more accurately apply science to workplace analysis and design.

Chronology of Applications

1945 Shigeo Shingo presented the concept of production as a network of processes and operations and identified batch delays as a source of delay between processes, at a technical meeting of the Japan Management Association. 1946 The first fully electronic digital computer ENIAC (Electronic Numerical Integrator and Computer) was built at the University of Pennsylvania.

Importance of IE Calculations

The process of using number sense and skills, relationships and calculations to determine how work works. The process of understanding the structure and function of living systems, especially humans, and how they interact with the working environment.

Importance of Calculations Guide

Basic Queuing Equations

L average number of customers in the queuing system Lq average queue length (customers waiting in line). Ls the average number of customers in service W the average time a customer spends in the system Wq the average time a customer spends waiting in line.

Queuing Birth---Death Processes

Laws of Motion of Queuing Birth and Death

Queuing Birth---Death Law 1

Queuing Birth---Death Law 2

Queuing Birth---Death Law 3

This is clearly not the case in most practical operational situations, although the lack of statistical significance may allow us to ignore some real-life limitations.

Data Types for Computational Analysis

Nominal Scale

Ordinal Scale

Interval Scale

Ration Scale

Cardinal Scale

Quadratic Equation

Overall Mean

Chebyshev’s Theorem

Permutations

Combinations

Failure

Probability Distribution

Probability

Distribution Function

Expected Value

Variance

Binomial Distribution

Poisson Distribution

Mean of a Binomial Distribution

Normal Distribution

Cumulative Distribution Function

Population Mean

Standard Error of the Mean

The higher the degrees of freedom, the closer that distribution will resemble a standard normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

Chi-Squared Distribution

Definition of Set and Notation

Here, setA is a subset of setB because every element of setA is also an element of setB, so it is written as . The union of setA and setB is the set of all elements belonging to A or B or both, and is written as .

Set Terms and Symbols

SetsAndBars equal if and only if they have exactly the same elements, and the equality is written as

Venn Diagrams

A set without elements is called an empty set and is denoted by { } =Φ. Here setA is the subset of setB because every element of setA is also an element of setB and hence it is written as. SetsAndOnly equal if and only if they have exactly the same elements, and the equality is written as.

Operations on Sets

De Morgan’s Laws

The complement of the union of two sets is equal to the intersection of their complements (Equation 2.2). The complement of the intersection of two sets is equal to the union of their complements (Equation 2.3).

Counting the Elements in a Set

How many five card poker hands can be dealt from a standard deck of 52 cards. Note: The order in which the five cards may be dealt is not important.

Probability Terminology

Basic Probability Principles

Random Variable

Mean Value ˆ x or Expected Value μ

Series Expansions

According to this theorem, it is possible to expand the power (a+x)nin into a sum involving terms of the form bacxd, where the coefficient of each term is a positive integer, and the sum of the exponents afandxin each term ern. The approximation can most simply be derived forn, an integer, by approximating the sum over the terms of the factor with an integral, so that.

Mathematical Signs and Symbols

Greek Alphabets

Algebra

Laws of Algebraic Operations

Special Products and Factors

Powers and Roots

Sum of Arithmetic Progression to n Terms

Sum of Geometric Progression to n Terms

Generalized Mean

Trigonometric Solution of the Cubic Equation

Solution of Quadratic Equations

Partial Fractions

Repeated Linear Factors N (x)

General terms

Repeated Linear Factors

Factors of Higher Degree

Geometry

Triangles

Right Triangle

General Triangle

Menelaus’ Theorem

Ceva’s Theorem

Quadrilaterals

Rectangle

Rhombus

Trapezoid

General Quadrilateral Let

Theorem

Cyclic Quadrilateral

Prolemy’s Theorem

Cyclic-Inscriptable Quadrilateral

Segment of a Parabola Area = 2

Planar Areas by Approximation

Solids Bounded By Planes

Cube

Rectangular Parallelepiped (or Box) Let a, b, and c be the lengths of its edges

Truncated Triangular Prism

Pyramid

Frustum of a Pyramid

Prismatoid

Regular Polyhedra

A perfect sphere is completely symmetrical about its center, with all points on the surface at the same distance from the center. A cylinder is one of the most basic curvilinear geometric shapes, the surface formed by the points at a fixed distance from a given straight line, the axis of the cylinder. A cone is a three-dimensional geometric shape that tapers smoothly from a flat, usually circular base to a point called the apex or vertex.

More precisely, it is the solid figure bounded by a planar base and the surface (called the lateral surface) formed by the locus of all straight line segments joining the apex to the circumference of the base.

Zone and Segment of Two Bases

Lune

Spherical Sector

Spherical Triangle and Polygon

Spheroids

Ellipsoid

Oblate Spheroid

Prolate Spheroid

Distance d between Two Points

Equation of a Line Joining Two Points

Equation of a Line in Terms of x -intercept a = 0 and y-intercept b = 0

Normal Form for Equation of a Line The equation of the line in the intercept form is given by

General Equation of a Line

Area of a Triangle with Vertices

Transformation of Coordinates Involving Pure Translation

Transformation of Coordinates Involving Pure Rotation

Transformation of Coordinates Involving Translation and Rotation

Polar Coordinates (r, θ)

Catenary, Hyperbolic Cosine

Cardioid

Circle

Cassinian Curves

Logarithmic Identities

A series expansion is the representation of a given function as the sum of powers in one of its variables or by the sum of powers of another (usually elementary) function f(x).

Limiting Values

Inequalities

Polynomial Approximations

Exponential Function Series Expansion

Fundamental Properties

Definition of General Powers

Logarithmic and Exponential Functions

Periodic Property

The surface area (see Figure 2.7) and the volume of a cone are given, respectively, by the surface area of ​​a cone=πr2+πrs,.

FIGURE 2.7 Surface area of a cone.
FIGURE 2.7 Surface area of a cone.

Slopes

Trigonometric Ratios

In a triangle there are some angles or subdivided angles that are related in some way.

FIGURE 2.10 Triangle equations.
FIGURE 2.10 Triangle equations.

Sine Law

Cosine Law

Expanding

Factoring

Roots of a Quadratic Equation

Law of Exponents

Logarithms

Note: It's the density (g/cm3=kg/m3), miss the mass (kg), Fish the volume, it's the distance (m), to the velocity (m/s), is the time(s), ais the acceleration (m/s2), vfis the final velocity (m/s), viis the initial velocity (m/s), Fgis the force of gravity (N), Gis the universal gravitational constant (G=6.67×10−11N) m2/kg2 ),m1andm2are the masses of the two objects (kg),pis the momentum (kg m/s),Wis the work or electrical energy (J),Pis the power (W), K.E.

TABLE 2.3 Transforms of Functional Products
TABLE 2.3 Transforms of Functional Products

Discrete Distributions

Beta Binomial Distribution p(x) = 1

Beta Pascal Distribution

Binomial Distribution p(x) =

Geometric Distribution

Negative Binomial Distribution p(x) =

Rectangular (Discrete Uniform) Distribution p(x) = 1

Continuous Distributions

Beta Distribution

Chi Distribution

Exponential Distribution

Noncentral F Distribution f (x) =

Triangular Distribution

Distribution Parameters Average

Normal Probability Plot

Comparison of Poisson Rates

Distribution Functions − Parameter Estimation Bernoulli

Poisson

Beta

Erlang

Log−Normal

Normal

Uniform

Weibull

ANOVA

Notation

Standard Error (Internal)

Interval Estimates

Tukey Interval

Scheffe Interval

Bartlett Test Test statistic

Hartley’s Test

Adjustment for Ties

Freidman Test

Regression Notation

Note: When the 'non-constant' option is selected, the total sum of squares is not average corrected. So the R2 value is of little use, because the sum of the residuals is not zero.

Nonlinear Regression

Ridge Regression Additional notation

Quality Control

Subgroup statistics Subgroup means

X Bar Charts Compute

If limits other than 3-sigma limits are used, such as 2-sigma limits, all limits are adjusted proportionally.

Capability Ratios

R Charts

S Charts

U Charts

NP Charts

CuSum Chart for the Mean Control mean = μ

Periodogram (Computed using Fast Fourier Transform) If n is odd

Categorical Analysis Notation

Chi-Square

Fisher’s Exact Test

Lambda

Uncertainty Coefficient

Somer’s D

Contingency Coefficient C =

Conditional Gamma

Consider a random sampling process in which all outcomes depend only on chance, that is, each outcome is equally likely to occur. If is a uniform sample space and the sum of the desired outcomes is E, the probability of the desired outcomes is. The random variable X is the number of tails that are scored. X can only take the values ​​1, 2, .

The random variable is its lifetime in hours. Y can take on any positive real value, so Y is a continuous random variable.

Mean Value x or Expected Value μ

Discrete Distribution Formulas Probability mass function, p(x)

Extreme-Value Distribution

Variate Generation Techniques ∗

Variate Generation Algorithms

The cumulative hazard function for the time of the next event conditional on surviving until time is In the accelerated life model, where H(t)=H0(tΨ(z)), the time of the next event is generated by z. Equating the conditional cumulative hazard function to −log(u), the time to the next event in the case of proportional hazards is generated by z.

The exponential power distribution (Leemis, 1987) is a flexible two-parameter distribution with cumulative hazard function.

Table 3.2 shows formulas for generating event times from a renewal or nonhomo- nonhomo-geneous Poisson process (NHPP)
Table 3.2 shows formulas for generating event times from a renewal or nonhomo- nonhomo-geneous Poisson process (NHPP)

Sample Average

Application Areas

Sample calculations Given

Sample Variance

The variance and the closely related standard deviation are measures of the extent of the spread of items in a data distribution.

Sample Calculations Given

Sample Standard Deviation

The standard deviation is widely used as a measure of dispersion because it is computationally simple to understand and use.

Sample Standard Error of the Mean

Skewness

Standardized Skewness

Kurtosis

Standardized Kurtosis

Weighted Average

Estimation and Testing

Distribution Functions and Parameter Estimation

Bernoulli Distribution

Discrete Uniform Distribution ˆ

Erlang Distribution

Exponential Distribution βˆ = 1

Uniform Distribution

Chi-Square Test for Distribution Fitting

Kruskal−Wallis Test Average rank of treatment

Regression

Statistical Quality Control

Subgroup Statistics Subgroup means

Bar Charts

CuSum Chart for the Mean

Time-Series Analysis

Categorical Analysis

Somer’s D Measure

Pearson’s R Measure R =

Tau C Measure

Combination

Fundamentals of Economic Analysis

Simple Interest

Compound Interest

The effective interest rate is the simple interest rate that would yield the same accumulated amount in one year as the nominal interest rate, compounded times per year. The principal P is often called the present value and the accumulated value A is called the future value because it will be realized at a future date. How much money should be deposited in a bank that pays interest at 3% per year, increasing monthly, so that at the end of five years the accumulated amount is $15,000.

Annuities

Let's consider the future value of $1,000 paid at the end of each month into an account that pays 8% annual interest for 30 years. Note: This is much larger than the amount of the payments because many of these payments accrue interest over many years.

Amortization of Loans

Interest and Equity Computations

Suppose a manufacturing productivity improvement project is to be financed by borrowing $500,000 from an industrial development bank. The first payment on the loan must be made exactly 1 month after financing is approved. Note that very little equity is accumulated during the first 3 years of the loan schedule.

The effects of inflation, depreciation, property appreciation and other economic factors are not included in the analysis presented above, but the decision analysis should include such factors whenever they are relevant to the credit situation.

Equity Break-Even Formula

Sinking Fund Payment

Economic Methods of Comparing Investment Alternatives

Present Value Analysis

S estimated departure value of assets at the end of their useful life and investment interest rate. Therefore, the general equation for analyzing the annual value is NAV= −CR−A. 5.12) Internal rate of return analysis.

Incremental Analysis

Guidelines for Comparison of Alternatives

Asset Replacement and Retention Analysis

First Defender Cost: The current market value of the defender is the correct estimate for this term in the replacement study. First Challenger Cost: This is the amount that must be recovered if you replace a defender with a challenger. Sunk Cost: This is the difference between an asset's book value (BV) and its market value (MV) in a given period.

The useful life, on the other hand, is the period an asset is kept in productive service.

Replacement Analysis Computation

Marginal Cost: This is the additional cost associated with increasing production by one additional unit using the current asset. Pre- and post-tax analysis: Replacement analysis can be based on pre- or post-tax cash flows; However, it is always better to use after-tax cash flows to account for the effect of taxes on replacement decisions.

Depreciation Methods

Depreciation Terminology

Market value: This is the estimated amount that is realizable if the asset was sold in an open market. Depreciation or recovery rate: This is the fraction of the first cost that is removed each year through depreciation. Depending on the method of depreciation, this rate may vary for each recovery period.

Semi-Annual Convention: This is used in the Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS) adjusted depreciation method, which will be discussed later.

Depreciation Methods Let

Declining Balance (DB) Method The DB annual depreciation charge is

Sums-of-Years’ Digits (SYD) Method The annual depreciation charge is

MACRS Method

Effects of Inflation and Taxes

Gambar

FIGURE 1.1 Bridge proposals connecting Hometown to Worktown. (Adapted from Toczek, J.
FIGURE 2.1 Probability distribution plot.
FIGURE 2.2 Example of probability density function on plot.
FIGURE 2.3 Cumulative probability plot.
+7

Referensi

Dokumen terkait

The operating cash flow return on assets model analysis reveals that the cash flow returns have decreased by 17 per cent during the pre merger period compared to an increase of 54 per