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Monthly Report Saudi Stock Market | October 2021

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+966 11 2256248

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AJC Research Team

Monthly Report

Saudi Stock Market | October 2021

2021

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© All rights reserved

TASI Movement in October

156.5bn, with an average daily value traded of SAR 7.5bn. The Materials and Banks sectors accounted for 41.2% of the total value traded. Banks and Utilities were the best performing sectors, showing an increase of 8.2%M/M and 7.3%M/M, respectively. The Pharma & Biotech and Consumer Durables sectors were the worst performers, showing a decline of 8.5%M/M and 8.2%M/M, respectively. ACWA POWER was the best performing stock in October, recording 30.4%M/M growth. On the other hand, SISCO was the worst performing stock; posting a decline of 17.4%, M/M. Sipchem recorded the lowest P/E with 11.24x, compared to TASI’s P/E of 25.17x.

TASI started the month at 11,453.3 points and closed at 11,704.1 with an average daily value traded of SAR 7.5bn compared to SAR 7.04bn in September.

TASI rose YTD by 3,014.6 points (up 32.3%), and went up M/M by 208.4 points (up 1.8%M/M). Banks and Utilities sectors showed the highest M/M growth of 8.2%M/M and 7.3%M/M, respectively. On the other hand, Pharma

& Bio Tech and Consumer Durables were the worst performing sectors, recording a drop of 8.5%M/M and 8.2%M/M, respectively.

Materials and Banks registered the highest traded values among the sectors, accounting for 27.0% and 14.2%, respectively, of the total value traded in October.

2-Oct 3-Oct 4-Oct 5-Oct 8-Oct 9-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct 12-Oct 15-Oct 16-Oct 17-Oct 18-Oct 19-Oct 22-Oct 23-Oct 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 29-Oct 31-Oct30-Oct

Value Traded (bn) - RHS Closing Price - LHS 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00

11,200 11,300 11,400 11,500 11,600 11,700 11,800 11,900 12,000

Value Traded per Sector (%)

Materials Banks Energy Utilities

Consumer Services Software & Services Real Estate Mgmt & Dev't Food & Beverages Insurance

Telecommunication Services Others

27.0%

14.2%

7.3% 8.5%

4.8%

4.8%

4.8%

4.1%

4.0%3.7%

16.9%

Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital

Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital

Sectors Performance

M/M Performance YTD

-7.4%4.6%5.8%13.0%15.7%16.1%16.2%16.5%18.8%20.7%26.4%30.0%31.8%32.3%36.4%38.0%41.1%41.3%47.5% 66.6% 92.6% 107.2%

-8.0% 12.0% 32.0% 52.0% 72.0% 92.0% 112.0%

Food & Staples Food & BeveragesReal EstateInsuranceTelecomEnergyREITs Commercial ServicePharma & Bio TechConsumer ServicesTransportationCapital GoodsHealthcareMaterialsRetailingUtilitiesTASI Consumer DurablesBanks Diversified FinancialsSoftware & ServicesMedia

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Top 10 Companies by Index Weight

Top 10 Highest Dividend Yield

Companies with the Lowest P/E

Al Rajhi Bank had the highest weight in TASI at the end of October at 17.8%. Followed by SNB and Saudi Aramco at 8.4% and 7.8%, respectively.

Najran Cement and SPCC had the largest dividend yields of 7.9% and 6.7%, respectively. The average dividend yield of the market stood at 2.2%.

Sipchem and ALETIHAD traded at the lowest P/E of 11.24x and 11.39 x, respectively. This was followed by ARDCO and ALYAMAMAH STEEL at 11.58x and 11.83x, respectively

*prices as of 1st of November 2021

Al Rajhi Bank and ACWA POWER had the highest total value traded in October at SAR 8.8bn and SAR 8.1bn, respectively.

Followed by Saudi Aramco and Saudi Kayan at SAR 7.1bn and SAR 5.9bn, respectively.

ACWA POWER was the best performing stock in October, recording an increase of 30.4%M/M. This was followed by Al- Rajhi, which went up 13.4%M/M. In contrast, SISCO was the worst performing stock, recording a decline of 17.4%M/M, followed by TANMIAH, down 16.6%M/M.

DAR ALARKAN and SAIB traded at the lowest P/B of 0.56x and 0.91x, respectively. This was followed by ANB and BJAZ at 1.12 x and 1.14x, respectively.

Al Rajhi SNB SAUDI ARAMCO SABIC STC Riyad Bank Banque Saudi Fransi

Alinma Bank SABB Almarai

17.8%

8.4% 7.8%

4.9% 3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 1.9%

0.0%2.0%

4.0%6.0%

10.0%8.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

Dividend Yield Average market dividend yield

Najran Cement SPCC MUSHARAKA REIT Saudi Cement ACC BAHRI QACCO EPCCO DERAYAH REIT Kingdom

7.9% 6.7% 6.5%

5.9% 5.8% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 4.8%

2.2%

0.0%1.0%

2.0%3.0%

4.0%5.0%

6.0%7.0%

8.0%9.0%

11.24 11.39 11.58 11.83 12.43 12.67 12.90 14.19 14.43 14.45

Sipchem ALETIHAD ARDCO ALYAMAMAH STEEL AXA COOPERATIVE SAUDI ELECTRICITY SAIB Saudi Kayan Petro Rabigh TASNEE

Top 10 Companies in Total Value Traded

Top/Worst Performing Companies

Companies with the Lowest P/B

8.8 8.1 7.1

5.9 5.8 5.8 5.3

4.2 4.1 3.8

0.01.0 2.03.0 4.05.0 6.07.0 8.0 10.09.0

ALRAJHI ACWA POWER SAUDI ARAMCO SAUDI KAYAN SOLUTIONS SABIC SIPCHEM TASNEE PETRO RABIGH SEERA

37.74 13.4%

11.7%

11.5%

10.5%

-17.4%

-16.6%

-16.4%

-16.3%

-15.3%

ACWA POWER ALRAJHI DUR CHUBB ALHAMMADI

SISCO TANMIAH ATHEEB TELECOM NAJRAN CEMENT NASEEJ

NORTHERN CEMENT

0.56

0.91 1.12 1.14 1.17 1.18 1.21 1.22 1.25 1.28

DAR ALARKAN SAIB ANB BJAZ Kingdom Jouf Cement SEERA HCC SABB

Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital

Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital Research

Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital

Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital

Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital

Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital

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• Among other regional markets, Egypt, Kuwait and Oman grew 8.6%, 6.4%

and 3.4%, respectively, Qatar, Abu Dhabi and Dubai grew 2.4%, 2.2%

and 0.7%, respectively.

Regional Markets

Market Close M/M YTD P/E

Dubai (DFM) 2,864 0.7% 14.9% 20.6

Abu Dhabi (ADX) 7,865 2.2% 55.9% 23.1

Kuwait (KSE) 5,978 6.4% 31.3% 65.0

Qatar (QE) 11,765 2.4% 12.7% 16.4

Oman (MSM) 4,075 3.4% 11.4% 11.0

Egypt (EGX30) 11,420 8.6% 5.3% 9.9

• Among major global indices, S&P 500 and Dow Jones increased by 6.9% and 5.8%, respectively. South Korea KOSPI and Japan Nikkei 225 fell by 3.2% and 1.9%, respectively.

International Markets

Global Indices Close M/M YTD P/E

Dow Jones 35,820 5.8% 17.0% 20.2

Nasdaq 15,850 7.9% 23.0% 35.4

S&P 500 4,605 6.9% 22.6% 25.9

FTSE 100 7,238 2.1% 12.0% 19.3

Germany DAX 30 15,689 2.8% 14.4% 17.9

France CAC 40 6,830 4.8% 23.0% 21.3

Japan Nikkei 225 29,647 -1.9% 5.3% 16.8

Russia MOEX 4,150 1.1% 26.2% 9.0

• Russia MOEX posted the highest gains 1.1% among emerging markets, followed by India Sensex at 0.3%.

Hong Kong Hang Seng 25,377 3.3% -6.8% 10.2

South Korea KOSPI 2,979 -3.2% 3.4% 14.5

China Shanghai Composite 3,544 -0.6% 2.1% 15.0

Australia ASX 200 7,371 -0.1% 11.2% 24.0

India Sensex 59,307 0.3% 23.9% 29.3

MSCI EM 1,265 0.9% -2.1% 14.8

MSCI World 3,175 5.6% 18.0% 23.6

Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital

Commodities Performance

Commodity Name Price M/M Y/Y YTD 3 Yrs 5 Yrs LOW_52WEEK HIGH_52WEEK

Light Crude ($/bbl) 83.89 6.2% 68.1% 34.4% 83.3% 35.4 85.3 80.2

Brent Crude ($/bbl) 84.38 7.5% 62.9% 40.1% 74.7% 35.7 86.7 80.8

Texas crude ($/bbl) 83.57 11.4% 72.2% 54.2% 78.3% 33.6 85.4 77.0

Natural Gas 5.43 -7.5% 113.7% 106.1% 79.3% 2.2 6.5 6.3

GOLD ($/oz) 1783.38 1.5% -6.1% 17.9% 39.6% 1,677 1,966 1,966

Silver ($/oz) 23.90 7.8% -9.5% 32.0% 33.5% 21.4 30.1 30.1

Steel ($/ton) 1803.00 -5.1% 79.4% 262.0% 266.5% 700.0 1,945 1,945

Iron Ore (CNY/MT) 641.50 -10.3% -40.5% -4.8% 31.7% 607.0 1,423 1,423

Wheat ($/bu) 772.75 6.5% 21.4% 38.6% 36.2% 584.5 786.5 786.5

Corn ($/bu) 568.25 5.9% 30.7% 37.3% 38.7% 383.8 638.0 638.0

Sugar ($/lb) 19.27 -5.3% 35.0% 36.0% 25.8% 12.9 20.9 20.9

SMP (EUR/MT) 3010.00 8.3% 35.3% 23.5% 45.9% 2,175 2,640 2,640

Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital

Oil prices grow significantly in October. Brent crude and Light crude increased 7.5% and 6.2% M/M respectively. Moreover, natural

gas fell by 7.5% M/M, while gold increased 1.5% M/M. Silver prices increased by 7.8% M/M. Sugar and Steel prices fell by 5.3%,

5.1% M/M respectively in October.

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Economic Data

Macro Economic Data Q/Q Y/Y

GDP (Q2-21) 735bn SAR 4.05% 30.27%

Reserve Assets (Q3-21) 1745.6bn SAR 4.38% 4.00%

Public Debt (Q3-21) 948.3bn SAR 2.75% 11.85%

Public Debt/GDP (2020) 32.50% - -

Consumer Spending Sep-21 M/M Y/Y

ATM Withdrawals 45.69bn SAR -2.45% -16.06%

Point of Sales 40bn SAR -2.43% 16.98%

Total Spending (ATM & POS) 85.69bn SAR -2.44% -0.64%

No. of ATMs 16.82k -0.06% -10.70%

No. of ATM Transactions 129.21k -2.14% -15.36%

No. of POS Terminal 899.66k 2.24% 31.72%

Inflation Rate (September-21) 0.6%

Repo Rate (March-20) 1.0%

1-Month 3-Months 6-Months 12-Months

Saudi Arabia (SAIBOR) 0.66 0.83 0.88 0.95

US (LIBOR) 0.09 0.13 0.20 0.36

Region Rate M/M (bps) YTD (bps) Y/Y (bps)

Saudi Arabia (SAIBOR-3M) 0.829 2.00 1.1 -1.8

UAE (EIBOR-3M) 0.305 -1.89 -20.7 -9.0

Qatar (QIBOR-3M) 1.159 0.94 3.9 39.3

Bahrain (BHIBOR-3M) 1.500 -2.50 -75.0 -78.3

Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital

Deposit & Loans – September 21

Deposits and Loans recorded growth of 1.3% M/M in September, while ADR increased to 97.6%.

Dollar Index fell by 0.1% M/M at the end of October. The Sterling Pound and Indian Rupee increased against the US dollar by 1.5% and 0.9% respectively, on M/M basis in October. The Japanese Yen and Euro decreased against the US dollar by 2.4% and 0.2%, respectively. Meanwhile the Chinese Yuan increased by 0.6%.

POS fell by 2.4%M/M in September to SAR 40.0bn, with the total number of transactions standing at 468.9mn (up 0.66%M/M).

Deposits (bn) Loans (bn) ADR

97.6%

82%84%

86%88%

90%92%

94%96%

98%100%

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21

Point of Sale (POS)

Monthly change aginst the US Dollar (%)

Sales(bn) - LHS No. of Transactions (mn) - RHS 0.050.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 400.0 450.0 500.0

10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0

Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21

Source: SAMA, Aljazira Capital Source: SAMA, Aljazira Capital

Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital

Exchange Rate

%0.9 -%2.4

%0.6

%1.5 -%0.2

-%0.1

-3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0%

Indian Rupee

Japanese Yen Chinese Yuan

Sterling Pound Euro Dollar Index

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Company Event

November 1, 2021

ALBILAD SUKUK Eligibility for Cash Dividend November 2, 2021

US Federal U.S. Federal Reserve meeting

American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly November 3, 2021

ALKHALEEJ TRNG Eligibility for subscription to rights issue

US Federal U.S. Federal Reserve meeting

E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly MEDGULF Eligibility for subscription to rights issue

SISCO Eligibility for Cash Dividend

SISCO Ordinary general meeting

MEDGULF Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike) ALKHALEEJ TRNG Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike) November 4, 2021

Arabian Contracting Services Co. Final allocation date Arabian Contracting Services Co. Surplus refund date

ALUJAIN Eligibility for Cash Dividend

Saudi Aramco Eligibility for Cash Dividend

OPEC OPEC + meeting

Chemanol A special meeting to review the company’s performance during and post-COVID-19 pandemic Naseej Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike)

Naseej Eligibility for subscription to rights issue

BUPA ARABIA Extraordinary general meeting

November 5, 2021

BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly

November 7, 2021

ATAA Eligibility for Cash Dividend

ATAA Ordinary general meeting

Nayifat Start of offering

November 8, 2021

OASIS Ordinary general meeting

Nayifat Close of retail offering

November 9, 2021

BINDAWOOD Judicial hearing

American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly

AICC Eligibility for Cash Dividend

AYYAN Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike) AICC Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike)

Chemanol Ordinary general meeting

November 10, 2021

E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly ALKHABEER REIT Eligibility for Cash Dividend

HCC Ordinary general meeting

November 11, 2021

Advanced Eligibility for Cash Dividend

OPEC reports

Saudi Exchange results

November 12, 2021

BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly

November 13, 2021

Nayifat Allocation date

November 14, 2021

DERAYAH REIT Cash Dividend Distribution

November 15, 2021

SULAIMAN ALHABIB Cash Dividend Distribution

BJAZ Ordinary general meeting

SADAFCO Extraordinary general meeting

Nayifat Surplus refund date

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© All rights reserved Event Calendar

November 16, 2021

IEA reports

American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly

ALALAMIYA Ordinary general meeting

November 17, 2021

E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly November 18, 2021

ALUJAIN Cash Dividend Distribution

STC Cash Dividend Distribution

November 19, 2021

BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly

November 21, 2021

Advanced Cash Dividend Distribution

November 22, 2021

Saudi Aramco Cash Dividend Distribution

ANAAM HOLDING Ordinary general meeting

November 23, 2021

Maadaniyah Eligibility

American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly Maadaniyah Extraordinary general meeting (capital reduction)

Wafa Insurance Ordinary general meeting November 24, 2021

E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly

Saudi Cement Ordinary general meeting

November 26, 2021

BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly

November 28, 2021

SAMA SAMA monthly bulletin

November 30, 2021

American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly Source: Argaam

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Asset Management

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Brokerage

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Corporate Finance

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Custody

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Advisory

Head Office: King Fahad Road, P.O. Box: 20438, Riyadh 11455, Saudi Arabia، Tel: 011 2256000 - Fax: 011 2256068

Al-Jazira Capital is a Saudi Investment Company licensed by the Capital Market Authority (CMA), license No. 07076-37

RESEAR CH DIVISION RA TING TERMINOL OGY

Disclaimer

AlJazira Capital, the investment arm of Bank AlJazira, is a Shariaa Compliant Saudi Closed Joint Stock company and operating under the regulatory supervision of the Capital Market Authority. AlJazira Capital is licensed to conduct securities business in all securities business as authorized by CMA, including dealing, managing, arranging, advisory, and custody. AlJazira Capital is the continuation of a long success story in the Saudi Tadawul market, having occupied the market leadership position for several years. With an objective to maintain its market leadership position, AlJazira Capital is expanding its brokerage capabilities to offer further value-added services, brokerage across MENA and International markets, as well as offering a full suite of securities business.

1. Overweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a discount to its 12 months price target.

Stocks rated “Overweight” will typically provide an upside potential of over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months.

2. Underweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a premium to its 12 months price target.

Stocks rated “Underweight” would typically decline by over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months.

3. Neutral: The rating implies that the stock is trading in the proximate range of its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Neutral” is expected to stagnate within +/- 10% range from the current price levels over next twelve months.

4. Suspension of rating or rating on hold (SR/RH): This basically implies suspension of a rating pending further analysis of a material change in the fundamentals of the company.

The purpose of producing this report is to present a general view on the company/economic sector/economic subject under research, and not to recommend a buy/sell/hold for any security or any other assets. Based on that, this report does not take into consideration the specific financial position of every investor and/or his/her risk appetite in relation to investing in the security or any other assets, and hence, may not be suitable for all clients depending on their financial position and their ability and willingness to undertake risks. It is advised that every potential investor seek professional advice from several sources concerning investment decision and should study the impact of such decisions on his/her financial/legal/tax position and other concerns before getting into such investments or liquidate them partially or fully. The market of stocks, bonds, macroeconomic or microeconomic variables are of a volatile nature and could witness sudden changes without any prior warning, therefore, the investor in securities or other assets might face some unexpected risks and fluctuations. All the information, views and expectations and fair values or target prices contained in this report have been compiled or arrived at by Al- Jazira Capital from sources believed to be reliable, but Al-Jazira Capital has not independently verified the contents obtained from these sources and such information may be condensed or incomplete. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this report. Al-Jazira Capital shall not be liable for any loss as that may arise from the use of this report or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The past performance of any investment is not an indicator of future performance. Any financial projections, fair value estimates or price targets and statements regarding future prospects contained in this document may not be realized. The value of the security or any other assets or the return from them might increase or decrease. Any change in currency rates may have a positive or negative impact on the value/return on the stock or securities mentioned in the report. The investor might get an amount less than the amount invested in some cases. Some stocks or securities maybe, by nature, of low volume/trades or may become like that unexpectedly in special circumstances and this might increase the risk on the investor. Some fees might be levied on some investments in securities. This report has been written by professional employees in Al-Jazira Capital, and they undertake that neither them, nor their wives or children hold positions directly in any listed shares or securities contained in this report during the time of publication of this report, however, The authors and/or their wives/children of this document may own securities in funds open to the public that invest in the securities mentioned in this document as part of a diversified portfolio over which they have no discretion. This report has been produced independently and separately by the Research Division at Al-Jazira Capital and no party (in-house or outside) who might have interest whether direct or indirect have seen the contents of this report before its publishing, except for those whom corporate positions allow them to do so, and/or third-party persons/institutions who signed a non-disclosure agreement with Al-Jazira Capital. Funds managed by Al-Jazira Capital and its subsidiaries for third parties may own the securities that are the subject of this document. Al-Jazira Capital or its subsidiaries may own securities in one or more of the aforementioned companies, and/or indirectly through funds managed by third parties. The Investment Banking division of Al-Jazira Capital maybe in the process of soliciting or executing fee earning mandates for companies that is either the subject of this document or is mentioned in this document. One or more of Al-Jazira Capital board members or executive managers could be also a board member or member of the executive management at the company or companies mentioned in this report, or their associated companies. No part of this report may be reproduced whether inside or outside the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia without the written permission of Al-Jazira Capital. Persons who receive this report should make themselves aware, of and adhere to, any such restrictions. By accepting this report, the recipient agrees to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

Referensi

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1* Affiliation 1; University of Darussalam Gontor, Indonesia [email protected] Correspondence 2 Affiliation 2; University of Darussalam Gontor, Indonesia