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AJC Research Team
Monthly Report
Saudi Stock Market | October 2021
2021
2
© All rights reservedTASI Movement in October
156.5bn, with an average daily value traded of SAR 7.5bn. The Materials and Banks sectors accounted for 41.2% of the total value traded. Banks and Utilities were the best performing sectors, showing an increase of 8.2%M/M and 7.3%M/M, respectively. The Pharma & Biotech and Consumer Durables sectors were the worst performers, showing a decline of 8.5%M/M and 8.2%M/M, respectively. ACWA POWER was the best performing stock in October, recording 30.4%M/M growth. On the other hand, SISCO was the worst performing stock; posting a decline of 17.4%, M/M. Sipchem recorded the lowest P/E with 11.24x, compared to TASI’s P/E of 25.17x.
TASI started the month at 11,453.3 points and closed at 11,704.1 with an average daily value traded of SAR 7.5bn compared to SAR 7.04bn in September.
TASI rose YTD by 3,014.6 points (up 32.3%), and went up M/M by 208.4 points (up 1.8%M/M). Banks and Utilities sectors showed the highest M/M growth of 8.2%M/M and 7.3%M/M, respectively. On the other hand, Pharma
& Bio Tech and Consumer Durables were the worst performing sectors, recording a drop of 8.5%M/M and 8.2%M/M, respectively.
Materials and Banks registered the highest traded values among the sectors, accounting for 27.0% and 14.2%, respectively, of the total value traded in October.
2-Oct 3-Oct 4-Oct 5-Oct 8-Oct 9-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct 12-Oct 15-Oct 16-Oct 17-Oct 18-Oct 19-Oct 22-Oct 23-Oct 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 29-Oct 31-Oct30-Oct
Value Traded (bn) - RHS Closing Price - LHS 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00
11,200 11,300 11,400 11,500 11,600 11,700 11,800 11,900 12,000
Value Traded per Sector (%)
Materials Banks Energy Utilities
Consumer Services Software & Services Real Estate Mgmt & Dev't Food & Beverages Insurance
Telecommunication Services Others
27.0%
14.2%
7.3% 8.5%
4.8%
4.8%
4.8%
4.1%
4.0%3.7%
16.9%
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Sectors Performance
M/M Performance YTD
-7.4%4.6%5.8%13.0%15.7%16.1%16.2%16.5%18.8%20.7%26.4%30.0%31.8%32.3%36.4%38.0%41.1%41.3%47.5% 66.6% 92.6% 107.2%
-8.0% 12.0% 32.0% 52.0% 72.0% 92.0% 112.0%
Food & Staples Food & BeveragesReal EstateInsuranceTelecomEnergyREITs Commercial ServicePharma & Bio TechConsumer ServicesTransportationCapital GoodsHealthcareMaterialsRetailingUtilitiesTASI Consumer DurablesBanks Diversified FinancialsSoftware & ServicesMedia
3
© All rights reservedTop 10 Companies by Index Weight
Top 10 Highest Dividend Yield
Companies with the Lowest P/E
Al Rajhi Bank had the highest weight in TASI at the end of October at 17.8%. Followed by SNB and Saudi Aramco at 8.4% and 7.8%, respectively.
Najran Cement and SPCC had the largest dividend yields of 7.9% and 6.7%, respectively. The average dividend yield of the market stood at 2.2%.
Sipchem and ALETIHAD traded at the lowest P/E of 11.24x and 11.39 x, respectively. This was followed by ARDCO and ALYAMAMAH STEEL at 11.58x and 11.83x, respectively
*prices as of 1st of November 2021
Al Rajhi Bank and ACWA POWER had the highest total value traded in October at SAR 8.8bn and SAR 8.1bn, respectively.
Followed by Saudi Aramco and Saudi Kayan at SAR 7.1bn and SAR 5.9bn, respectively.
ACWA POWER was the best performing stock in October, recording an increase of 30.4%M/M. This was followed by Al- Rajhi, which went up 13.4%M/M. In contrast, SISCO was the worst performing stock, recording a decline of 17.4%M/M, followed by TANMIAH, down 16.6%M/M.
DAR ALARKAN and SAIB traded at the lowest P/B of 0.56x and 0.91x, respectively. This was followed by ANB and BJAZ at 1.12 x and 1.14x, respectively.
Al Rajhi SNB SAUDI ARAMCO SABIC STC Riyad Bank Banque Saudi Fransi
Alinma Bank SABB Almarai
17.8%
8.4% 7.8%
4.9% 3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 1.9%
0.0%2.0%
4.0%6.0%
10.0%8.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
Dividend Yield Average market dividend yield
Najran Cement SPCC MUSHARAKA REIT Saudi Cement ACC BAHRI QACCO EPCCO DERAYAH REIT Kingdom
7.9% 6.7% 6.5%
5.9% 5.8% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 4.8%
2.2%
0.0%1.0%
2.0%3.0%
4.0%5.0%
6.0%7.0%
8.0%9.0%
11.24 11.39 11.58 11.83 12.43 12.67 12.90 14.19 14.43 14.45
Sipchem ALETIHAD ARDCO ALYAMAMAH STEEL AXA COOPERATIVE SAUDI ELECTRICITY SAIB Saudi Kayan Petro Rabigh TASNEE
Top 10 Companies in Total Value Traded
Top/Worst Performing Companies
Companies with the Lowest P/B
8.8 8.1 7.1
5.9 5.8 5.8 5.3
4.2 4.1 3.8
0.01.0 2.03.0 4.05.0 6.07.0 8.0 10.09.0
ALRAJHI ACWA POWER SAUDI ARAMCO SAUDI KAYAN SOLUTIONS SABIC SIPCHEM TASNEE PETRO RABIGH SEERA
37.74 13.4%
11.7%
11.5%
10.5%
-17.4%
-16.6%
-16.4%
-16.3%
-15.3%
ACWA POWER ALRAJHI DUR CHUBB ALHAMMADI
SISCO TANMIAH ATHEEB TELECOM NAJRAN CEMENT NASEEJ
NORTHERN CEMENT
0.56
0.91 1.12 1.14 1.17 1.18 1.21 1.22 1.25 1.28
DAR ALARKAN SAIB ANB BJAZ Kingdom Jouf Cement SEERA HCC SABB
Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital Research
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
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© All rights reserved• Among other regional markets, Egypt, Kuwait and Oman grew 8.6%, 6.4%
and 3.4%, respectively, Qatar, Abu Dhabi and Dubai grew 2.4%, 2.2%
and 0.7%, respectively.
Regional Markets
Market Close M/M YTD P/E
Dubai (DFM) 2,864 0.7% 14.9% 20.6
Abu Dhabi (ADX) 7,865 2.2% 55.9% 23.1
Kuwait (KSE) 5,978 6.4% 31.3% 65.0
Qatar (QE) 11,765 2.4% 12.7% 16.4
Oman (MSM) 4,075 3.4% 11.4% 11.0
Egypt (EGX30) 11,420 8.6% 5.3% 9.9
• Among major global indices, S&P 500 and Dow Jones increased by 6.9% and 5.8%, respectively. South Korea KOSPI and Japan Nikkei 225 fell by 3.2% and 1.9%, respectively.
International Markets
Global Indices Close M/M YTD P/E
Dow Jones 35,820 5.8% 17.0% 20.2
Nasdaq 15,850 7.9% 23.0% 35.4
S&P 500 4,605 6.9% 22.6% 25.9
FTSE 100 7,238 2.1% 12.0% 19.3
Germany DAX 30 15,689 2.8% 14.4% 17.9
France CAC 40 6,830 4.8% 23.0% 21.3
Japan Nikkei 225 29,647 -1.9% 5.3% 16.8
Russia MOEX 4,150 1.1% 26.2% 9.0
• Russia MOEX posted the highest gains 1.1% among emerging markets, followed by India Sensex at 0.3%.
Hong Kong Hang Seng 25,377 3.3% -6.8% 10.2
South Korea KOSPI 2,979 -3.2% 3.4% 14.5
China Shanghai Composite 3,544 -0.6% 2.1% 15.0
Australia ASX 200 7,371 -0.1% 11.2% 24.0
India Sensex 59,307 0.3% 23.9% 29.3
MSCI EM 1,265 0.9% -2.1% 14.8
MSCI World 3,175 5.6% 18.0% 23.6
Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Commodities Performance
Commodity Name Price M/M Y/Y YTD 3 Yrs 5 Yrs LOW_52WEEK HIGH_52WEEK
Light Crude ($/bbl) 83.89 6.2% 68.1% 34.4% 83.3% 35.4 85.3 80.2
Brent Crude ($/bbl) 84.38 7.5% 62.9% 40.1% 74.7% 35.7 86.7 80.8
Texas crude ($/bbl) 83.57 11.4% 72.2% 54.2% 78.3% 33.6 85.4 77.0
Natural Gas 5.43 -7.5% 113.7% 106.1% 79.3% 2.2 6.5 6.3
GOLD ($/oz) 1783.38 1.5% -6.1% 17.9% 39.6% 1,677 1,966 1,966
Silver ($/oz) 23.90 7.8% -9.5% 32.0% 33.5% 21.4 30.1 30.1
Steel ($/ton) 1803.00 -5.1% 79.4% 262.0% 266.5% 700.0 1,945 1,945
Iron Ore (CNY/MT) 641.50 -10.3% -40.5% -4.8% 31.7% 607.0 1,423 1,423
Wheat ($/bu) 772.75 6.5% 21.4% 38.6% 36.2% 584.5 786.5 786.5
Corn ($/bu) 568.25 5.9% 30.7% 37.3% 38.7% 383.8 638.0 638.0
Sugar ($/lb) 19.27 -5.3% 35.0% 36.0% 25.8% 12.9 20.9 20.9
SMP (EUR/MT) 3010.00 8.3% 35.3% 23.5% 45.9% 2,175 2,640 2,640
Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Oil prices grow significantly in October. Brent crude and Light crude increased 7.5% and 6.2% M/M respectively. Moreover, natural
gas fell by 7.5% M/M, while gold increased 1.5% M/M. Silver prices increased by 7.8% M/M. Sugar and Steel prices fell by 5.3%,
5.1% M/M respectively in October.
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© All rights reservedEconomic Data
Macro Economic Data Q/Q Y/Y
GDP (Q2-21) 735bn SAR 4.05% 30.27%
Reserve Assets (Q3-21) 1745.6bn SAR 4.38% 4.00%
Public Debt (Q3-21) 948.3bn SAR 2.75% 11.85%
Public Debt/GDP (2020) 32.50% - -
Consumer Spending Sep-21 M/M Y/Y
ATM Withdrawals 45.69bn SAR -2.45% -16.06%
Point of Sales 40bn SAR -2.43% 16.98%
Total Spending (ATM & POS) 85.69bn SAR -2.44% -0.64%
No. of ATMs 16.82k -0.06% -10.70%
No. of ATM Transactions 129.21k -2.14% -15.36%
No. of POS Terminal 899.66k 2.24% 31.72%
Inflation Rate (September-21) 0.6%
Repo Rate (March-20) 1.0%
1-Month 3-Months 6-Months 12-Months
Saudi Arabia (SAIBOR) 0.66 0.83 0.88 0.95
US (LIBOR) 0.09 0.13 0.20 0.36
Region Rate M/M (bps) YTD (bps) Y/Y (bps)
Saudi Arabia (SAIBOR-3M) 0.829 2.00 1.1 -1.8
UAE (EIBOR-3M) 0.305 -1.89 -20.7 -9.0
Qatar (QIBOR-3M) 1.159 0.94 3.9 39.3
Bahrain (BHIBOR-3M) 1.500 -2.50 -75.0 -78.3
Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Deposit & Loans – September 21
Deposits and Loans recorded growth of 1.3% M/M in September, while ADR increased to 97.6%.
Dollar Index fell by 0.1% M/M at the end of October. The Sterling Pound and Indian Rupee increased against the US dollar by 1.5% and 0.9% respectively, on M/M basis in October. The Japanese Yen and Euro decreased against the US dollar by 2.4% and 0.2%, respectively. Meanwhile the Chinese Yuan increased by 0.6%.
POS fell by 2.4%M/M in September to SAR 40.0bn, with the total number of transactions standing at 468.9mn (up 0.66%M/M).
Deposits (bn) Loans (bn) ADR
97.6%
82%84%
86%88%
90%92%
94%96%
98%100%
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21
Point of Sale (POS)
Monthly change aginst the US Dollar (%)
Sales(bn) - LHS No. of Transactions (mn) - RHS 0.050.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 400.0 450.0 500.0
10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0
Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21
Source: SAMA, Aljazira Capital Source: SAMA, Aljazira Capital
Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Exchange Rate
%0.9 -%2.4
%0.6
%1.5 -%0.2
-%0.1
-3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0%
Indian Rupee
Japanese Yen Chinese Yuan
Sterling Pound Euro Dollar Index
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© All rights reservedCompany Event
November 1, 2021
ALBILAD SUKUK Eligibility for Cash Dividend November 2, 2021
US Federal U.S. Federal Reserve meeting
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly November 3, 2021
ALKHALEEJ TRNG Eligibility for subscription to rights issue
US Federal U.S. Federal Reserve meeting
E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly MEDGULF Eligibility for subscription to rights issue
SISCO Eligibility for Cash Dividend
SISCO Ordinary general meeting
MEDGULF Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike) ALKHALEEJ TRNG Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike) November 4, 2021
Arabian Contracting Services Co. Final allocation date Arabian Contracting Services Co. Surplus refund date
ALUJAIN Eligibility for Cash Dividend
Saudi Aramco Eligibility for Cash Dividend
OPEC OPEC + meeting
Chemanol A special meeting to review the company’s performance during and post-COVID-19 pandemic Naseej Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike)
Naseej Eligibility for subscription to rights issue
BUPA ARABIA Extraordinary general meeting
November 5, 2021
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly
November 7, 2021
ATAA Eligibility for Cash Dividend
ATAA Ordinary general meeting
Nayifat Start of offering
November 8, 2021
OASIS Ordinary general meeting
Nayifat Close of retail offering
November 9, 2021
BINDAWOOD Judicial hearing
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly
AICC Eligibility for Cash Dividend
AYYAN Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike) AICC Extraordinary general meeting (capital hike)
Chemanol Ordinary general meeting
November 10, 2021
E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly ALKHABEER REIT Eligibility for Cash Dividend
HCC Ordinary general meeting
November 11, 2021
Advanced Eligibility for Cash Dividend
OPEC reports
Saudi Exchange results
November 12, 2021
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly
November 13, 2021
Nayifat Allocation date
November 14, 2021
DERAYAH REIT Cash Dividend Distribution
November 15, 2021
SULAIMAN ALHABIB Cash Dividend Distribution
BJAZ Ordinary general meeting
SADAFCO Extraordinary general meeting
Nayifat Surplus refund date
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© All rights reserved Event CalendarNovember 16, 2021
IEA reports
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly
ALALAMIYA Ordinary general meeting
November 17, 2021
E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly November 18, 2021
ALUJAIN Cash Dividend Distribution
STC Cash Dividend Distribution
November 19, 2021
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly
November 21, 2021
Advanced Cash Dividend Distribution
November 22, 2021
Saudi Aramco Cash Dividend Distribution
ANAAM HOLDING Ordinary general meeting
November 23, 2021
Maadaniyah Eligibility
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly Maadaniyah Extraordinary general meeting (capital reduction)
Wafa Insurance Ordinary general meeting November 24, 2021
E.I.A EIA Report on US Crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly
Saudi Cement Ordinary general meeting
November 26, 2021
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly
November 28, 2021
SAMA SAMA monthly bulletin
November 30, 2021
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly Source: Argaam
Asset Management
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Stocks rated “Overweight” will typically provide an upside potential of over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months.
2. Underweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a premium to its 12 months price target.
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4. Suspension of rating or rating on hold (SR/RH): This basically implies suspension of a rating pending further analysis of a material change in the fundamentals of the company.
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