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Chapter 1

Introduction to Expert Systems

1- An expert system is a computer system that acts in all respects, with the decision-making capabilities of a human expert.

2- Expert System Main Components are Knowledge base and Inference engine.

3- An expert’s knowledge is specific to one problem domain.

4- The expert’s knowledge about solving specific problems is called the knowledge domain.

5- From the advantages of Expert Systems are :

• Increased availability

• Reduced cost

• Reduced danger

• Performance

• Multiple expertise

6- The knowledge of an expert system can be represented in a number of ways, including IF-THEN rules.

7- The process of building an expert system:

• Eliciting knowledge by the knowledge engineer

• Coding the knowledge by the knowledge engineer

• Evaluation by the expert

8- The algorithm is an ideal solution guaranteed to yield a solution in a finite amount of time.

9- When an algorithm is not available or is insufficient, we rely on artificial intelligence (AI).

10- Shallow knowledge is based on empirical and heuristic knowledge.

11- Deep knowledge is based on basic structure, function, and behavior of objects.

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12- Elements of an Expert System are :

• User interface

• Exploration facility.

• Working memory.

• Inference engine.

• Agenda.

• Knowledge acquisition facility.

• Knowledge Base.

13- Production rules can be expressed in IF-THEN pseudo code format.

14- In rule-based systems, the inference engine determines which rule antecedents are satisfied by the facts.

15- the inference engine determines the executions of the rules by the following cycle :-

 conflict resolution

 execution ( act)

 match

16 - General Methods of Inference are :-

 Forward chaining (data-driven)

 Backward chaining (query/Goal driven)

17- Forward chaining - reasoning from facts to the conclusions resulting from those facts.

18- Backward chaining- reasoning in reverse from a hypothesis, a potential conclusion to be proved to the facts that support the hypothesis.

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Chapter 2

Reasoning Under Uncertainty

1- Uncertainty is essentially lack of information to formulate a decision.

2- Deductive reasoning – deals with exact facts and exact conclusions 3- Inductive reasoning – premises support the conclusion but do not

guarantee it.

4- Errors Related to Hypothesis are :-

 Type I Error – accepting a hypothesis when it is not true – False Positive.

 Type II Error – Rejecting a hypothesis (theory) when it is true – False Negative

5- Errors Related to Measurement are:-

 Errors of precision

 Errors of accuracy

 Unreliability

 Random fluctuations

 Systematic errors result from bias

6- Where deduction proceeds from general to specific, induction proceeds from specific to general.

7- When rules are based on heuristics, there will be uncertainty.

8- Experimental probability defines the probability of an event, as the limit of a frequency distribution.

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9- Subjective probability deals with events that are not reproducible and have no historical basis on which to extrapolate.

10- Compound probabilities can be expressed by:

11- Independent events are events that do not affect each other. For pair wise independent events,

12- The probability of an event A occurring, given that event B has already occurred is called conditional probability.

13- Temporal Reasoning is reasoning about events that depend on time.

14- Transition matrix – represents the probabilities that the system in one state will move to another.

15- State matrix – depicts the probabilities that the system is in any certain state.

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