A tabled summary of the results from the respondents representing 17% of NCT Class 1 Eucalyptus suppliers and 32% of respondents, across all the districts, can be found in
Appendix C. In section 5.2.1 below a frequency table showing the results across all districts is presented followed by an in depth discussion of these results.
5.2.1. Discussion of All District results
The following table shows a summary of the statements ranked from highest (largest impact) to lowest (least or no impact).
Table 5.1: All districts ranked average scores from highest to lowest impact.
All Districts Average Scores ranked from highest scoring statements to lowest
No Statement Impact
14 At a mill delivered price of R230/ton I will stop/slow down harvesting and bank my timber. 53 4 A R20 decrease relative to alternative buyers in the price that NCT pays for eucalyptus pulpwood will
reduce my NCT supplies. 40
10 My supplies to other non-pulpwood markets e.g. pole markets and special markets reduce my
pulpwood available to NCT. 39
15 At a mill delivered price of R250/ton I will stop/slow down harvesting and bank my timber 36
7 Labour and/or contractor problems reduce my supplies. 34
3 A R10 decrease relative to alternative buyers in the price that NCT pays for eucalyptus pulpwood will
reduce my NCT supplies. 29
6 My other farming activities reduce my timber supplies. 27
8 A lack of transport reduces my supplies. 23
9 The possible non-payment of commitment bonuses reduces my supply volumes. 20 2 A R5 decrease relative to alternative buyers in the price that NCT pays for eucalyptus pulpwood will
reduce my NCT supplies. 16
16 At a mill delivered price of R270/ton I will stop/slow down harvesting and bank my timber 16
5 A lack of service from NCT reduces my supplies. 15
1 Supplies to other agents or buyers initiated in the last 24 months reduce my NCT supply volumes. 14 13 NCT systems and procedures have prompted me to reduce my NCT supplies. 8 17 At a mill delivered price of R290/ton I will stop/slow down harvesting and bank my timber 5 11 Recent investments made by NCT, in for example Durban Woodchips and Pulp United, has
prompted me reduced my supplies to NCT. 3
12 The fact that NCT as a co-operative has not converted to a company has prompted me to reduce my
NCT supplies. 2
Total 22
Overall members indicated that out of all factors listed the banking of timber at R230/ton is the factor that is most likely to affect their supplies, followed by selling to the competition, non-pulpwood markets, labour and contractor problems, other farming activities, lack of transport, non payment of commitment bonuses, lack of service from NCT, NCT systems and
procedures, recent investments made by the co-operative and lastly the fact that NCT has not converted from a co-operative to a company.
The graph below shows the impact of the statements listed in the questionnaire in relation to one another in a visual format, reiterating the analysis above. Statement numbers with a nil value have been removed from the graph for ease of reading.
Diagram 5.1: Statements impacting on All Districts' supply volumes.
16 17 1 2
15 59
1
/ ^ \ 3
14 i
/^^^Hf5
1 3 ^ 1 2 ^
Hr
611-^ 1 0 ^
9 8 7
Diagram 5.2, has been designed to assist with a broader interpretation of the impact of the various issues listed on supply. In this diagram the 17 statements have been grouped into four topics and have been allocated a weighted percentage. Two of the topics namely price
competition and banking relate in one way or another to the sensitivity of suppliers to price and economical circumstances. In order to see the combined impact of these two topics, or in other words the impact of the economy, the areas in the chart relating to these have been shaded with a bubble pattern.
Diagram 5.2: Impact of grouped statements on all districts' supply volumes.
NCT Issues 8%
^ ^ ^ Operational R ^ Issues
B f f i [ a > 3i%
Banking . V v V v V y V ^ V v V / v V A 1
31% /.'*y////«v/«Vv'vV/J
31%
t*,Wjr
31%
31%
^5*#*S^%£r
31%
31%
N&^ijKH
31%
Price
Competition
30%
The data in this graph fits the graphs of Northern and Southern Natal best, in that it mirrors the combined impact of price competition and banking in these two districts, as well as the operational impact. Banking, price competition and operational issues are on par with each other.
In order to identify the area of focus required per district the following table sets out each of the 17 statements with each of the four districts weighted scores. The highest score per statement has been highlighted in orange, indicating the district that is most sensitive to the specific issue.
Table 5.2: Weighted scores across all Districts and all statements
No Statement Greytown N-Natal S-Natal Zululand
1 Supplies to other agents or buyers initiated in the last 24
months reduce my NCT supply volumes. 0 17 15 6
2
A R5 decrease relative to alternative buyers in the price that NCT pays for eucalyptus pulpwood will reduce my NCT supplies.
0 25 15 0
3
A R10 decrease relative to alternative buyers in the price that NCT pays for eucalyptus pulpwood will reduce my NCT supplies.
0 35 30 25
4
A R20 decrease relative to alternative buyers in the price that NCT pays for eucalyptus pulpwood will reduce my NCT supplies.
35 53 46 38
5 A lack of service from NCT reduces my supplies. 0 20 14 13
6 My other farming activities reduce my timber supplies. 38 22 25 50 7 Labour and/or contractor problems reduce my supplies. 44 33 33 31
8 A lack of transport reduces my supplies. 31 20 24 19
9 The possible non-payment of commitment bonuses
reduces my supply volumes. 6 28 18 13
10
My supplies to other non-pulpwood markets e.g. pole markets and special markets reduce my pulpwood available to NCT.
38 28 47 13
11 Recent investments made by NCT, in for example Durban Woodchips and Pulp United, has prompted me reduced my supplies to NCT.
0 5 3 0
12 The fact that NCT as a co-operative has not converted to a company has prompted me to reduce my NCT supplies.
0 7 0 0
13 NCT systems and procedures have prompted me to
reduce my NCT supplies. 0 7 12 0
14 At a mill delivered price of R230/ton I will stop/slow
down harvesting and bank my timber. 25 65 53 31
15 At a mill delivered price of R250/ton I will stop/slow
down harvesting and bank my timber 6 50 37 6
16 At a mill delivered price of R270/ton I will stop/slow
down harvesting and bank my timber 0 20 17 0
17 At a mill delivered price of R290/ton I will stop/slow
down harvesting and bank my timber 0 8 4 0
In each instance the highest score has been highlighted per statement. In the table above the highest number of highlighted blocks fall below the Northern Natal heading, indicating that this district is the affected by more of the statements than any of the other districts sampled.
Northern Natal scored the highest score for 12 out of the 17 statements.