South Africa was one of the signatories to the United Nations Millennium Declaration but a commitment to reducing poverty in the country started well before the international millennium targets were set in the form of the Reconstruction and Development Programme which set out to meet the basic needs that were incorporated into the formulation of the democratic government’s policy framework from 1994 (Statistics South Africa, 2007). The South African Institute of Race Relations Survey (2014/2015b) reveals statistics which indicate that progress is being made towards poverty reduction in South Africa, but at a straggler’s pace (Figure 2.9).
Figure 2.9 outlines the trend in the rate of relative poverty in South Africa from 1996 to 2012. Relative poverty defines the basis for the South African BOP market in this study.
IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 566 (2011, cited in The South African Institute of Race Relations Survey, 2010/2011a, p. 307) defines people living in relative poverty as “those living in households with incomes less than the poverty income which varies according to household size and changes every year – the larger the household, the larger the income required to keep its members out of poverty”. Poverty income levels in South Africa ranged from R443 per month for one individual to R1 770 for a household
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of eight members or more in 1996, and from R1 450 to R5 170 likewise in 2012. In 2007, National Treasury and Statistics South Africa (StatsSA) proposed that the official poverty line should be determined as a measure of the money income needed to attain a basic minimal standard of living. According to Statistics South Africa and National Treasury (2007), the last constructed national poverty line in 2007 was R431 per person based on 2006 prices.
Figure 2.9
Percentage of South Africans living in relative poverty, 1996 – 2012
Adapted from IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 676, 2013 cited in the South African Institute of Race Relations: South Africa Survey (2014/2015b). Proportion of people living in relative poverty by race, 1996-2012. Online. Accessed March 16, 2015, from the World Wide Web: http://irr.org.za/reports-and-publications/south-africa-survey/
south-africa-survey-online-2014/downloads/the-assets-and-incomes-chapter, p. 43.
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From Figure 2.9 it is evident that the proportion of South Africans living in relative poverty has decreased by only 4.7% over a period of 16 years (from 40.2% in 1996 to 35.9% in 2012). This very negligible decrease in relative poverty was primarily due to the steady increase in relative poverty from 1996 (40.2%) to 2002 where it peaked at 49.1%. The relative poverty line then showed a downward trend up until 2007 (42%) and thereafter rose by 0.9% in 2008 (42.9%) due to setbacks as a result of the global economic recession which was exacerbated by the food and energy crisis (United Nations Millennium Development Goals Report, 2011).
A closer look at how the relative poverty figure of 35.9% for 2012 is spread across the racial divide is imperative (Figure 2.10).
Figure 2.10
Percentage of South Africans living in relative poverty according to race, 2012
Adapted from IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 676, 2013 cited in the South African Institute of Race Relations: South Africa Survey (2014/2015b). Proportion of people living in relative poverty by race, 1996-2012. Online. Accessed March 16, 2015, from the World Wide Web: http://irr.org.za/reports-and-publications/south-africa-survey/
south-africa-survey-online-2014/downloads/the-assets-and-incomes-chapter, p. 43.
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As evident in Figure 2.10, the African race group has the largest proportion (41.9%) of South Africans living in relative poverty. 24.5% of the Coloured and 11.1% of the Indian race groups are also living in relative poverty. The proportion of the White population (0.8%) living in relative poverty is substantially lower than the proportions of the other race groups.
It is also crucial to ascertain how the relative poverty figure of 35.9% for 2012 is spread geographically across the different provinces in South Africa (Figure 2.11).
Figure 2.11
Percentage of South Africans living in relative poverty according to province, 2012
Adapted from IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 676, 2013 cited in the South African Institute of Race Relations: South Africa Survey (2014/2015a). Proportion of people living in relative poverty by province, 1996-2012. Online. Accessed March 16, 2015, from the World Wide Web: http://irr.org.za/reports-and-publications/south-africa- survey/south-africa-survey-online-2014/downloads/the-assets-and-incomes-chapter, p. 45.
26 It is evident from Figure 2.11 that:
The province with the highest proportion of South Africans living in relative poverty is KwaZulu-Natal (45.3%).
Eastern Cape (42.2%) has the second highest proportion of South Africans living in relative poverty, followed by the North West (41.4%) and Limpopo (41.1%) provinces.
The lowest prevalence of South Africans living in relative poverty is in Western Cape (26.7%) and Gauteng (25.7%).
Another measure used to determine the rate of South African poverty is the proportion of people living on less than $2 per day (Figure 2.12). This is an internationally recognised measure which sets an absolute level of poverty and allows for easy and meaningful comparison between the different countries of the world (South African Institute of Race Relations Survey, 2010/2011b).
27 Figure 2.12
Percentage of people living on less than $2 per day by province in South Africa, 2010
Adapted from IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 566, 2011 cited in the South African Institute of Race Relations: South Africa Survey (2010/2011b). Proportion of people living on less than $2 a day by province, 1996-2010. Online. Accessed January 20, 2012, from the World Wide Web: http://www.sairr.org.za/services/publications/south-africa- survey/south-africa-survey-online-2010-2011/downloads/pp209-312.Employ.20Jan12 .pdf, p. 311.
Based on this $2 per day (absolute) poverty line, the South African provincial statistics in Figure 2.12 reveal that:
Northern Cape (8.5%) has the highest concentration of people living below the $2 per day poverty line.
KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape and the North West also have relatively high proportions of people living below the $2 per day poverty line.
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Gauteng (2.1%) and Western Cape (3.3%) have significantly lower proportions of poor people who survive on less than $2 per day than all of the other provinces.
Absolute poverty had decreased at a much faster rate in South Africa between 1996 and 2011 than relative poverty (Figure 2.9 and Figure 2.13).
Figure 2.13
Percentage of people living on less than $2 per day (absolute poverty) in South Africa, 1996 – 2011
Adapted from IHS Global Insight Southern Africa, Regional eXplorer ver 626, 2012 cited in the South African Institute of Race Relations: South Africa Survey (2012). Proportion of people living on less than $2 a day by province, 1996-2011. Online. Accessed March 16, 2015, from the World Wide Web: http://irr.org.za/reports-and-publications/south-africa- survey/south-africa-survey-2012/downloads/pp285-326.Assets-inc.07Dec12.pdf, p. 324.
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Based on the statistics reflected in Figure 2.9, relative poverty exhibited a proportionate decrease of 6.22% (from 40.2% in 1996 to 37.7% in 2011) whilst the proportionate decrease in absolute poverty, as indicated by the statistics in Figure 2.13, was a mammoth 83.3%
(from 16.2% in 1996 to 2.7% in 2011). Figure 2.13 illustrates that there was a steady increase in the proportion of South Africans living below the $2 per day poverty line from 1996 (16.2%) to 1999 (19.1%) and subsequently dropped to 18% in 2000. An increase in the proportion of South Africans living below the $2 per day poverty line was again reported in 2001 (18.9%) and 2002 where the absolute poverty rate peaked at 21.1%. Thereafter, there was a downward trend in the proportion of poor people who survive on less than $2 per day from 2002 (21.1%) to 2011 (2.7%) (Figure 2.13).