IMPACT PROJECT BASIC RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT UNIT
J. R. CUMPSTON
INSTI'ru1rli OF APPLIED ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH
LIST OF RESEARCH STAFF
Director and Professor:
Forecasting Model with particular reference to the dairy industry - D.T. Johnson
Economics of immigration - B.R. Parmenter
PUBLISHED WORK Reports
ADAMS, P.D. - "Some comparisons of recent estimates of agricultural supply elasticities for the Australian economy", Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Vol. 56 No. 3: 326-60 (December 1988).
ADAMS, P.D. - "Australia", Economic Forecasts: A Monthly Worldwide Survey, Vol. 6, No. 11: 8 and 22 (November 1989).
ADAMS, P.D. - "Australia", Economic Forecasts: A. Monthly Worldwide Survey, Vol. 7 No. 6: 7 and 21 (June 1990).
ADAMS, P.D. "The extended linear expenditure system with financial assets', Economic Letters, 31: 179-82 (1990).
ADAMS, P.D. and DIXON, P.B. - "Macroeconomic forecasts for the
Australian economy: 1989-90 and 1990-91", Australian Economic Review, 1: 5-22 (1990).
ADAMS, P.D. and DIXON, P.B. - "Forecasts for the Australian economy in 1989-90 and 1990-91", Australian Economic Review, 4: 5-31 (1989).
ADAMS, P.D. and DIXON, P.B. - "Effects of subsidising investment", Consultant's Report prepared for the Australian Manufacturing Industry Council, 13 pp. (12 June 1990).
ADAMS, P.D., DIXON, P.B., MEAGHER, G.A., PARMENTER, B.R. and PETER, M.W. - "Survey of selected computable general equilibrium models as background for the Industry Commission's SALTER model", Consultant's report prepared for the Industry Commission, 118 pp. (June 1990).
ADAMS, P.D. with HIGGS, P.J. - "Calibration of computable general equilibrium models from synthetic benchmark equilibrium data sets", Economic Record, Vol. 66 No. 193: 110-26 (1990).
ADAMS, P.D., DIXON, P.B. and PARMENTER, B.R. - "Foreign-debt stabilisation, micro-economic reform and Australia's economic
prospects", Consultant's Report prepared for the Economic Planning Advisory Council, 30 pp. (September 1990).
ADAMS, P.D., DIXON, P.B. and PARMENTER, B.R. - "ORANI projections for 1988/89 to 1999/2000", Consultant's report prepared for CSIRO, 18 pp.
(10 July 1990).
ADAMS, P.D. and PARMENTER, B.R. - "The medium-term significance of international tourism for the Australian economy", Bureau of Tourism Research Occasional Paper No. 6, 89 pp. (October 1990).
BOEHM, E.A. - "Understanding Business Cycles Today: A critical review of theory and fact", in Analysing Modern Business Cycles : Essays Honouring Geoffrey H. Moore; ed. Philip A. Klein, M.E. Sharpe Inc., Armonk, New York: 25-56 (1990).
BOEHM, ERNST A. and MOORE, GEOFFREY H. - "Financial market forecasts and rates of return based on leading index. signals", Paper presented at the Tenth International Symposium on Forecasting, Delphi, Greece:
39 pp. (24 - 30 June 1990).
FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND COMIERCE
CUMPSTON, J.R. - "Workers compensation benefits in Australia", in Insurance in Australia and New Zealand 1990, Craftsman Publishing, Burwood: 31-39 (1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R. - "Motor vehicle accident compensation in Australia", in Insurance in Australia and New Zealand 1990, Craftsman Publishing, Burwood: 22-26 (1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R. - "Actuarial methods for accident compensation
schemes", Quarterly Journal of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia (Sydney): 18-26 (June 1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R., FORD, J.R. and WALSH, J.E. - "Accident compensation, social welfare and superannuation", Paper presented to the Second Accident Compensation Seminar of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia, Canberra: (25 to 28 February 1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R. - "Management reports and statistics for accident compensation schemes", Paper presented at the Second Accident Compensation Seminar of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia, Canberra: (25 to 28 February 1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R and MADDEN, R.C. - "Effects of high weekly benefits to injured workers in New Zealand, South Australia, Western Australia and Tasmania", Paper presented at the Second Accident Compensation Seminar of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia, Canberra: (25 to 28
February 1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R., RENNIE, D.A. and WALSH, J.E. "Compensation for medical misadventure", Paper presented at the 7th General Insurance Seminar of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia, Adelaide: (23 to 26 September 1990).
CUMPSTON, J.R. - "Insurance regulation in Australia", Paper presented at the 7th General Insurance Seminar of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia, Adelaide: (23 to 26 September 1990).
DIXON, P.B. - "Water pricing model: An extended version for
Melbourne", Research Report No 89/1, Melbourne and Metropolitan Board of Works, Melbourne: (92 pp. + iii) (1989).
DIXON, P.B. - "Multi-period disaggregated economic modelling: Do we need it? Can we do it?", Economic Analysis and Policy, Vol. 20 No. 1:
55-71 (March 1990).
DIXON, P.B. - "Foreign debt and Australia's macroeconomic prospects", Growth 38, Centre for Economic Development of Australia: 72-93 (March 1990).
DIXON, P.B., HORRIDGE, J.M. and JOHNSON, D.T. - "Analysing the economic effects of a multifunction polis", Consultant's report prepared for the Bureau of Industry Economics. 31 pp. (1990).
DIXON, PETER B. and JOHNSON, DAVID T. - "Estimates of the macroeconomic effects on Australia of attempting to reduce CO2 emissions by 20 per cent by 2005", in Greenhouse and Energy; ed.
D.J. Swaine, CSIRO, Melbourne: 127-136 (1990).
DIXON, P.B. and PARMENTER, B.R. - "Dynamics in ORANI, A large scale general equilibrium model", IAESR Working Paper No. 1/1990 31 pp.
DIXON, P.B., MADDEN, J.R., and PETER, M.W. - "Simulations of the effects of changing the distribution of general revenue assistance", in Report on Issues in Fiscal Equalisation, Volume II, Commonwealth Grants Commission, ALPS: 229-295 (1990).
HORRIDGE, J.M. - "Estimates of Victorian labour demand by occupation and qualification level", Consultant's report prepared for Pacific Information Systems. 5 pp. (September 1990).
HORRIDGE, J.M. - "Effects of planned protection changes on the Australian motor industry", Consultant's report prepared for the Society of Automotive Engineers. 5 pp. (October 1990).
HORRIDGE, MARK, PEARCE, DAVID and WALKER, AGNES - "World agricultural trade reform: Implications for Australia", Economic Record, Vol. 66 No. 194: 235-48 (1990).
HORRIDGE, J.M. and JOHNSON, D.T. - "The economy-wide effects of fuel saving technological improvements in road freight transport", IAESR Working Paper No. 2/1990. 80 pp. (February 1990).
HORRIDGE, MARK, POWELL, A.A. and WILCOXEN, PETER J. - "Constraining Output responses in long-run closures of ORANI: Some suggestions", Impact Project Preliminary Working Paper No. OP-70, 29 pp. (May 1990).
JOHNSON, DAVID - "Forecasts of macroeconomic and industry growth for Australia, the states, the Melbourne statistical district and the outer western labour region 1989/90 to 2000/1 and 2000/1 to 2010/11", Consultant's report prepared for McLennan, Magasanik Associates.
10 pp. (30 August 1990).
JOHNSON, D.T. - "The nature and extent of poverty among immigrants", Consultant's report prepared for the Bureau of Immigration Research, 60 pp. (October 1990).
JOHNSON, D.T. - "Construction of ORANI-F-MILK and forecasts for the milk industries, 1989/90 to 1995/6", Consultant's report prepared for the Australian Dairy Research and Development Corporation. 49 pp.
(August 1990).
JOHNSON, D.T, LIEW, W.T. and PENSABENE, TONY - "Results of second MAV survey of municipal finances and efficiencies", Consultant's report for Municipal Association of Victoria. 72 pp. (June 1990).
JOHNSON, D.T., POWELL, A.A. and DIXON, P.B. - "Changes in supply of agricultural products", in Agriculture in the Australian Economy; ed.
D.B. Williams, Sydney University Press: 187-200 (1990).
LENTINI, N. - "Government reports", Australian Economic Review 3:48-51 (1989); 4:76-77 (1989); 3:54-58 (1990).
MAZAKELLIS, MICHAEL and PETER, M.W. - "How do expansionary demand policies stimulate employment in neo-classical models?", Paper presented to the Conference of Economists, University of New South Wales. 53 pp. (24 to 27 September 1990).
McDONNELL, J„S. - Public Attitudes to the Arts: 1990, Australia Council, Chippendale: 73 pp. (October 1990).
MEAGHER, G.A. - "A general equilibrium analysis of fiscal incidence in Australia", Paper presented to Conference on Computable General
Equilibrium Modelling: Methodology, Data and Applications, University of Waterloo, Canada, (26 October 1990).
MEAGHER, G.A. - "Revisions to the equations to the ORANI-F Model",. IAESR Research Paper No. 1, 24 pp. (August 1990).
MEAGHER, G.A., AGRAWAL, NISHA and PARSELL, BRUCE F. - "Analysing options for fiscal reform in the presence of involuntary
unemployment", in Flattening the Tax Rate Scale: Alternative Scenarios and Methodologies; ed. John G. Head and Richard Krever, Longman
Professional, Melbourne: 295-320 (1990).
MEAGHER, B.R. and PARMENTER, B.R. - ORANI-NT: A Multisectoral Model of the Northern Territory Economy, Australian National University North Australia Research Unit Monograph, Darwin: (1990).
FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND COMMERCE
PARMENTER, B.R. - "The economics of immigration", (Presidential
address to the Victorian Branch of the Economic Society of Australia), Economic Papers, Vol 9 No. 2: 39-50 (June 1990).
PARMENTER, B.R. - "Review of K. Anderson and R. Carnaut, Australian Protectionism", Economic Record, Vol. 65, No. 189: 208-9 (1989).
PARMENTER, B.R., ADAMS, P.D. and PETER, M.W. - "Australia's medium-run economic prospects, including an analysis of the role of immigration", - Paper presented at the Economic Modelling of Australia Conference, organised by the Economic Modelling Bureau of Australia, Canberra:
25 pp. (14 and 15 June 1990).
PARMENTER, B.R., MEAGHER, G.A., McDONALD, DAINA and ADAMS, P.D. -
"Structural Change in the Australian economy: Historical simulations with ORANI-F", Paper presented to Conference on Economic Modelling, Urbino, Italy: 24 pp. (July 1990).
PETER, M.W. - "Suggestions for elasticity values for the SALTER model:
Supplement to the IAESR survey of multi-country GE models",
Consultant's Report to the Industry Commission, Canberra: 40 pp.
(1990).
Journal Editing
McDONALD, D. - Editor, The Australian Economic Review
LENTINI, N. - Assistant Editor, The Australian Economic Review
THESIS PASSED FOR HIGHER DEGREE MADDEN, J. - Model of the Tasmanian economy
THESES IN PROGRESS
JOHNSON, D.T. - Income equality and poverty in Australia MORLEY, C. - Economic aspects of tourism
PARSELL, B. - Implications for the Australian economy of a reduction in the US budget deficit
PETER, M. - Population change and the distribution of income: a general equilibrium analysis
CUMPSTON, J.R. - Accident compensation in Australia and New Zealand
SUBSTANTIAL GRANTS RECEIVED
AUSTRALIAN RESEARCH COUNCIL - Multisectoral economic modelling:
Forecasting and validating
DEPARTMENT OF EMPLOYMENT EDUCATION AND TRAINING - Structural change in the Australian economy in the 70's and '80s
BUREAU OF TOURISM RESEARCH - The economic impact of international tourism on the Australian economy
BUREAU OF IMMIGRATION RESEARCH - The nature and extent of poverty among immigrants
ACCIDENT TRANSPORT COMMISSION - Levy and claims forecasting project BUREAU OF INDUSTRY ECONOMICS - Analysing the economic effects of a multifunction polis
COMMONWEALTH GRANTS COMMISSION - Simulations of the economic effects of changing the distribution of general revenue assistance
INDUSTRY COMMMISSION - Survey of multi-country general equilibrium models
NATIONAL ENERGY RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION COUNCIL - Urban density, energy use and the environment: Pricing to achieve an optimal outcome
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION - Surveys of consumer attitudes.
INSTITUTE OF EDUCATION
SCHOOL OF EARLY CHILDHOOD STUDIES
LIST OF RESEARCH STAFF
Associate Professor:
G. PARMENTER