Shifting Paradigms
Planning/Design Time Scales
0 50 100 150 200
Tribal house, NE India Traditional house Multistoried flats Bridges Nuclear reactor
Years
Life of structures
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Humid tropics Farmer
Arid farmer Orchard owner Indian politician Real Estate developer City planner Indian administrator Cimate Change
Decision Timeframe
Addressing Transforming (Time) , Transitional (Space) and
Transient (Shock) Challenges
•
Expansion & Densification
(Transformation)
•
Changing Rural urban boundary issues (
Transitional areas
undergoing transformation)
•
Economy
•
Resource use intensification
(transformation)
•
Climate change
(Transformation & Transient processes)
•
Resource uncertainties
•
Shrinking edges ( sea level rise/Flood plains)
•
Disasters (Floods)
Incorporating these phenomena in planning process
–
A challenge to be addressed by urban planners and citizens
Paths to Anticipatory culture
• Rediscovering time scales
• understanding process of change (Looking back- looking forward)
• We are victims of past, what we do would impact our own children)
• Developing common visions across multiple stockholders
• Scenarios and visioning exercises
• Worst case scenario building
• Understanding and including uncertainties
• Multi-stakeholder Institutions>> consensus ( Surat Climate change trust)
• Understanding limits Natural/hydrological/Marine boundaries
• Consumer >> Conservationist culture (maintaining stocks and limiting outflows)
• Learning to Internalise uncertainties and surprises in planning
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