Week's. IHSG on the We e k (11/02/13-15/02/13) 4, ,213 11/2/ /2/ /2/ /2/ /2/2012

(1)

Weekly

Trading Plan

Monday, February 18

th

₂₀₁₂

4609.79

118.52

789.82 2.64%

20.97 Vol (Mn):

34,279

2.73%

Val (Bn):

24,455

F Net B (Bn):

1,647

Weekly LQ-45

Weekly IHSG

Sector

Last

(%)

PER

PBV

Agriculture

2051.84

1.98%

0.9

3.2 Mining

1992.32

3.62%

5.9

3.9 Basic Industry

551.71 3.66%

5.2

1.6 Misc Industry

1353.09

-0.03%

13.6

1.2 Consumer

1642.41

2.95%

17.2

6.5 Property

376.01 3.17%

27.3

2.7 Infrastructure

955.38 2.44%

9.8

3.1 Finance

617.76 3.05%

16.3

2.2 Trade

763.52 2.20%

27.0

9.1 Composite

4609.79

2.64%

15.1

4.1 International

Close

WoW Chg

(%)

DJIA

13,981.76

-11.21

-0.08%

Nasdaq

3,192.03

-1.84

-0.06%

S&P 500

1,519.79

1.86 0.12%

FTSE 100

6,328.26

64.33 1.03%

Nikkei 225

11,173.83

20.67 0.19%

Hang Seng

23,444.56

229.40 0.99%

STI

3,283.1

12.77 0.39%

Exchange Rates

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

USD / IDR

9670

13.00 0.13%

US $ Index

80.60

0.42 0.52%

EUR / USD

1.3341

0.00 -0.23%

USD / JPY

92.38 -0.62

-0.67%

GBP / USD

1.5486

-0.03

-2.01%

USD / CNY

6.239

0.00 0.06%

AUD / USD

1.0290

0.00 -0.20%

Others

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

S&P 500 Vlty (VIX)

12.46 -0.56

-4.30%

Baltic Dry

753.00

5.00 0.67%

Recommendation Flashback

Stock

Rec.

18/02/2013

(opn)

Stop Price Loss

Week's

Highest

Date

Potential

Gain

Week's

Lowest

Date

Potential

Gain

UNTR

SB

19450

19000

-2.3%

20250

12/2/2012

4.1%

19350

15/2/2012

-0.5%

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UNTR

SB

19450

19000

-2.3%

20250

12/2/2012

4.1%

19350

15/2/2012

-0.5%

SMRA

SB

2000

1950

-2.5%

2100

15/2/2012

5.0%

1930

11/2/2012

-3.5%

CTRP

PS

800

790 -1.3%

860 18/2/2012

7.5%

790 11/2/2012

-1.3%

BDMN

TB

6000

5950

-0.8%

6050

11/2/2012

0.8%

5900

11/2/2012

-1.7%

LQ-45 Close

771.33

780.52

784.91

786.3

789.82 LQ-45 % Chg

0.32%

1.19%

0.56%

0.18%

0.45%

Frgn Net Buy (Bn)

157

312.47

470.03

314.19

393.017 IHSG on the We e k (11/02/13-15/02/13)

IHSG on the We e k (11/02/13-15/02/13)

2,802

4,341

5,213

6,304

_5,795

3,456

6,579

6,637

9,021

8,586

4,503.25

4,548.24

4,571.57

4,588.67

4,609.79

4,000.00

4,100.00

4,200.00

4,300.00

4,400.00

4,500.00

4,600.00

4,700.00

11/2/2012

12/2/2012

13/2/2012

14/2/2012

15/2/2012

V a lu e ( B n ) V o lu me ( Mn ) I H S G

0.27%

1.00%

-0.26%

0.37%

0.51%

(2)

Weekly

Trading Plan

Weekly Technical Review

IHSG

S1

4575

R1

4624

S2

4519

R2

4687

S3

4472

R3

4730

Comment:

JCI surged significantly last week, with 4 green candle in a row. Trading range

4496-4616.

By the first session this week, the index continues the bullish movement. Elliot wave,

the extension of the 3

rd

_{wave seen, target level 4640.}

Stochastic is at an overbought state with consolidating movement. Broad downside

potential.

Long term bullish movement.

(3)

Weekly

Trading Plan

Sectoral Highlight

MINING

3 your

reliable

partner

3 S1

1905

R1

1998

S2

1827

R2

2097

S3

1757

R3

2203

Comment:

The index surged significantly last week, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at the end

of the week. Trading range 1920-2011.

By the first session, the index moves slightly at positive territory, signaling a sideways

tendency.

DI (+) moves downward, signaling a technical correction movement.

Stochastic is at oversold state with dead cross appearance. Broad downside potential.

Long term bullish, shorter term bearish movement, stop-loss 1970. Downside target

1822 (maximum bullish tolerance).

(4)

Weekly

Trading Plan

Stock Trading Plan

ADRO

S1

1620

R1

1730

S2

1490

R2

1860

S3

1330

R3

2025

Comment:

ADRO price has increased quite significantly last week. Trading range 1570-1650.

Starts consolidating at the beginning of last week with the appearance of northern star

candle. At the beginning of this week, the candle continues the bearish trend with the

appearance of evening star candle, this indicates a bearish continuation.

Stochastic appears to be at overbought state; dead cross indication. There is a broad

downside potential.

DI (+) is pointing downside, this indicates a downtrend movement

Long term bullish, shorter term bearish movement.

(5)

Weekly

Trading Plan

Sectoral Highlight

AGRICULTURE

5 your

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partner

5 S1

2013

R1

2054

S2

1965

R2

2097

S3

1908

R3

2155

Comment:

The index surged significantly last week, closed near the resistance level last week.

Trading range 2005-2052.

By the first session, the index forms a spinning top candle pattern slightly in negative

territory.

Stochastic is at oversold state start consolidating. Broad downside potential.

Long term bullish, medium term bearish movement, stop-loss 2041. Downside target

1995 (maximum bullish tolerance).

(6)

Weekly

Trading Plan

Stock Trading Plan

BWPT

S1

1290

R1

1370

S2

1250

R2

1430

S3

1200

R3

1490

Comment:

BMTR price increased slightly last week. Trading range 1300-1350. Starts consolidating

at the beginning of this week with the appearance of tweezers top candle.

Stochastic is approaching overbought state; there is a broad downside potential.

DI (+) starts declining, a weak upside movement

Long term bullish, medium term bearish movement.

Exit strategy

Stop loss at level 1320, distribute partially if price breaks down to this level because it

will continue to decline to level 1290 (pullback level)

(7)

Weekly

Trading Plan

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