81
Lampiran 1. Luas Panen, Produksi dan Produktivitas Buah Manggis Menurut Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara
82
25 Nias Barat - - - -
26 Tanjung Balai 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 13 13 - - -
27 Pematang Siantar 1 6 6 1 6 6 - - - 0,45 4 8,888888889
28 Tebing Tinggi 2 9 4,5 2 9 5 - - - 7 65 9,18079096
29 Medan 4 37 9,25 3 28 9 1 32 31,73551275 3 28 10,6385115
30 Binjai 16 118 7,375 11 81 7 8 111 13,84783186 8 163 19,34629664
31 P. Sidempuan 24 120 5 26 130 5 13 119 9,173787081 15 227 14,7476456
32 Gunung Sitoli - - - -
J u m l a h 1.054 7.971 129 2.144 18.093 129 985 10.237 1.864 822 9.387 269
84
85
28 Tebing Tinggi 0,45 2 4,444444444 - - - 4,00 3,60 0,9 4,0 48,1 11,9059406
29 Medan - - - 3,03 84,10 27,7557756 9,45 114,70 12,13756614 2,5 48,0 19,5918367
30 Binjai 2 19 9,5 8,73 66,80 7,65177549 5,35 36,70 6,859813084 7,4 117,2 15,8378378
31 P. Sidempuan 6 137 22,83333333 12,72 202,90 15,9512579 3,75 34,00 9,066666667 8,9 29,5 3,32581736 32 Gunung Sitoli 13 222 17,07692308 7,19 39,00 5,42420028 28,24 82,70 2,928470255 22,5 129,4 5,76135352
J u m l a h 963 9.956 260 606,69 7.750 303,008559 767,31 9.331,60 236,469515 984,4 13.181,8 316,554842
86
NO KABUPATEN/KOTATAHUN
2013 2014
Luas Panen (Ha)
Produksi (Ton)
Produktivitas (Ton/Ha)
Luas Panen (Ha)
Produksi (Ton)
Produktivitas (Ton/Ha)
1 Nias 8,3 78,1 9,46666667 15,1 111,4 7,3872679
2 Mandailing Natal 167,1 1.358,1 8,12698223 9,5 136,3 14,3928194
3 Tapanuli Selatan 85,1 1.515,5 17,8063682 68,7 1.778,8 25,8922853
4 Tapanuli Tengah 121,4 2.089,9 17,2135738 51,5 812,8 15,7825243
5 Tapanuli Utara 23,5 158,4 6,72897196 28,0 272,4 9,72857143
6 Toba Samosir 3,2 24,6 7,6875 3,5 18,9 5,4
7 Labuhan Batu 11,9 109,7 9,21848739 13,8 43,2 3,13953488
8 Asahan 26,1 273,5 10,4749138 33,3 290,7 8,73235206
9 Simalungun 5,9 86,9 14,7038917 7,5 160,4 21,3866667
10 Dairi 2,7 25,8 9,73584906 5,5 42,0 7,63636364
11 Karo 6,0 12,5 2,08333333 15,5 80,5 5,19354839
12 Deli Serdang 199,4 3.041,8 15,2524695 223,6 3.595,8 16,0849922
13 Langkat 61,2 2.190,3 35,7775237 130,9 1.951,6 14,9045364
14 Nias Selatan 3,3 5,5 1,69230769 21,7 94,0 4,32780847
15 H. Hasundutan 3,8 4,1 1,07894737 7,0 21,0 3
16 Pakpak Barat - - - -
17 Samosir - - - -
18 Serdang Bedagai 23,8 436,1 18,3466554 7,9 96,5 12,2617535
19 Batubara 0,5 4,4 8,8 0,1 0,9 9
20 Pd. Lawas Utara 24,0 251,0 10,4583333 16,0 95,0 5,9375
21 Padang Lawas 29,5 279,8 9,48474576 70,3 623,0 8,86454183
87
22 Lab. Batu Selatan - - - 2,0 2,0 1
23 Lab. Batu Utara 0,3 1,9 6,33333333 0,3 0,5 1,66666667
24 Nias Utara 1,0 10,0 10 1,6 16,0 10,1265823
25 Nias Barat 1,5 21,6 14,8965517 1,3 14,6 11,5873016
26 Tanjung Balai 0,2 1,5 10 0,7 7,5 10,5633803
27 Pematang Siantar 0,1 0,1 2 0,1 0,6 12
28 Tebing Tinggi 6,0 180,5 29,884106 60,0 312,2 5,20333333
29 Medan 3,0 38,8 12,9333333 0,9 10,0 10,7526882
30 Binjai 5,5 67,0 12,1818182 8,0 150,5 18,8596491
31 P. Sidempuan 7,5 31,4 4,18666667 8,2 28,7 3,52147239
32 Gunung Sitoli 8,6 36,7 4,27738928 21,4 102,1 4,77549111
J u m l a h 791,9 12.335,5 320,83072 623,6 10.869,9 289,109631
88
Lampiran 2. Data Nilai Ekspor Manggis Sumatera Utara , GDP China, Nilai
Tukar Nominal, Volume Ekspor, Harga Ekspor Manggis
Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2005-2014.
Lampiran 3. Data Nilai Ekspor Manggis Sumatera Utara , GDP China, Nilai
Tukar Nominal, Volume Ekspor, Harga Ekspor Manggis
Provinsi
Sumatera
Utara
Tahun
2005-2014
Setelah
Ditransformasi.
2005
773278545
11736699
9.165
78.561
2474,55
2006
3041823620
31039624
9.020
351.701
2706
2007
520722702
24204058,2
9.054
178.552
3168,9
2008
3716191224
19058376,6
9.153
867.033
3661,2
2009
3284933400
35724700
9.400
822.234
3948
2010
1383487720
40290967,6
8.924
261.739
4640,48
2011
7174886106
47793190,8
8.574
1.408.067
4458,48
2012
3448647000
56381400
9.000
487.761
5400
2013
2613492784
67590697,3
9.667
443.874
5896,87
2014
3701238120
87975690
11.591
404.571
7765,97
89
Lampiran 4. Data Harga Ekspor Manggis dan Harga Domestik Manggis
Tingkat Petani di Provinsi Sumatera Utara, Tahun 2005 -
2014
Lampiran 5a. Tabel Summary Regresi Linier Berganda
Model Summaryb
Model R R Square
Adjusted R
Square
Std. Error of the
Estimate Durbin-Watson
1 ,964a ,929 ,873 6,77723E8 2,596
a. Predictors: (Constant), Harga Ekspor, Volume Ekspor, Nilai Tukar Nominal, GDP
China
b. Dependent Variable: Nilai Ekspor
Tahun
Harga Ekspor
Manggis
(Rp/Kg)
Harga Domestik
Manggis Tingkat
Petani (Rp/Kg)
2005
2474,55
1484,73
2006
2706
1623,6
2007
3168,9
1901,34
2008
3661,2
2196,72
2009
3948
2368,8
2010
4640,48
2784,288
2011
4458,48
2853,4272
2012
5400
3456
2013
5896,87
3773,9968
2014
7765,97
4970,2208
90
Lampiran 5b. Tabel Coefficient Regresi Linier Berganda
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
Collinearity
Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
(Constant) -6,438E8 3,611E9 -,178 ,865
GDP China 62,233 33,759 ,766 1,843 ,125 ,082 12,233
Nilai Tukar Nominal 177838,276 444906,440 ,078 ,400 ,706 ,368 2,715
Volume Ekspor 4331,729 637,234 ,906 6,798 ,001 ,793 1,261
Harga Ekspor -674631,713 531996,237 -,573 -1,268 ,261 ,069 14,464
a. Dependent Variable: Nilai Ekspor
Lampiran 5c. Tabel ANOVA Regresi Linier Berganda
ANOVAb
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 3,028E19 4 7,569E18 16,480 ,004a
Residual 2,297E18 5 4,593E17
Total 3,257E19 9
a. Predictors: (Constant), Harga Ekspor, Volume Ekspor, Nilai Tukar Nominal, GDP China
b. Dependent Variable: Nilai Ekspor
91
Lampiran 6a. Tabel Uji Normalitas (Kolmogorov Smirnov)
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardized
Residual
N 10
Normal Parametersa,b Mean -,0000004
Std. Deviation 5,05145062E8
Most Extreme Differences Absolute ,274
Positive ,178
Negative -,274
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z ,867
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,440
a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.
92
Lampiran 6b. Tabel Hasil Uji Glejser
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1 (Constant) 41974105,142 1,509E9 ,028 ,979
GDP China 11,178 14,109 1,141 ,792 ,464
Nilai Tukar Nominal 86899,054 185940,043 ,317 ,467 ,660
Volume Ekspor 20,074 266,320 ,035 ,075 ,943
Harga Ekspor -206254,748 222337,539 -1,453 -,928 ,396
a. Dependent Variable: AbsUi
93
Lampiran 7. Tabel Durbin-
Watson (DW) α = 5%
obs k'=1 k'=2 k'=3 k'=4 k'=5
N dL du dL du dL du dL du dL du
6 0.610 1.400
-
- - - - 7 0.700 1.356 0.467 1.896 - - - - 8 0.763 1.332 0.559 1.777 0.368 2.287 - - - - 9 0.724 1.320 0.629 1.699 0.455 2.128 0.296 2.588 - - 10 0.879 1.320 0.697 1.641 0.525 2.016 0.376 1.414 0.243 2.822 11 0.927 1.324 0.658 1.604 0.595 1.928 0.444 2.283 0.316 2.645 12 0.971 1.331 0.812 1.579 0.658 1.864 0.512 2.177 0.379 2.506 13 1.010 1.340 0.861 1.562 0.715 1.816 0.574 1.094 0.445 2.390 14 1.045 1.350 0.905 1.551 0.767 1.779 0.632 2.030 0.505 2.296 15 1.077 1.361 0.946 1.543 0.814 1.750 0.685 1.977 0.562 2.220 16 1.106 1.371 0.982 1.539 0.857 1.728 0.734 1.935 0.615 2.157 17 1.133 1.381 1.015 1.536 0.897 1.710 0.779 1.900 0.664 2.104 18 1.158 1.391 1.046 1.535 0.933 1.696 0.820 1.872 0.710 2.060 19 1.180 1.401 1.074 1.536 0.967 1.685 0.859 1.848 0.752 2.023 20 1.201 1.411 1.100 1.537 0.998 1.676 0.894 1.828 0.792 1.991 21 1.221 1.420 1.125 1.538 1.026 1.669 0.927 1.812 0.829 1.964 22 1.239 1.429 1.147 1.541 1.053 1.664 0.958 1.797 0.863 1.940 23 1.257 1.437 1.168 1.543 1.078 1.660 0.986 1.785 0.895 1.920 24 1.273 1.446 1.188 1.546 1.101 1.656 1.013 1.775 0.925 1.902 25 1.288 1.454 1.206 1.550 1.123 1.654 1.038 1.767 0.953 1.886 26 1.302 1.461 1.224 1.553 1.143 1.652 1.062 1.759 0.979 1.873 27 1.316 1.469 1.240 1.556 1.162 1.651 1.084 1.753 1.004 1.861 28 1.328 1.476 1.255 1.560 1.181 1.650 1.104 1.747 1.028 1.850 29 1.341 1.483 1.270 1.563 1.198 1.650 1.124 1.743 1.050 1.841 30 1.352 1.489 1.284 1.567 1.214 1.650 1.143 1.739 1.071 1.833 31 1.363 1.496 1.297 1.570 1.229 1.650 1.160 1.735 1.090 1.825 32 1.373 1.502 1.309 1.574 1.244 1.650 1.177 1.732 1.109 1.819 33 1.383 1.508 1.321 1.577 1.258 1.651 1.193 1.730 1.127 1.813 34 1.993 1.514 1.333 1.580 1.271 1.652 1.208 1.728 1.144 1.808 35 1.402 1.519 1.343 1.584 1.283 1.653 1.222 1.726 1.160 1.803 36 1.411 1.525 1.354 1.587 1.295 1.654 1.236 1.724 1.175 1.799 37 1.419 1.530 1.364 1.590 1.307 1.655 1.249 1.723 1.190 1.795 38 1.427 1.535 1.373 1.594 1.318 1.656 1.261 1.722 1.204 1.792 39 1.435 1.540 1.382 1.597 1.328 1.658 1.273 1.722 1.218 1.789 40 1.442 1.544 1.391 1.600 1.338 1.659 1.285 1.721 1.230 1.786 45 1.475 1.566 1.430 1.615 1.383 1.666 1.336 1.720 1.287 1.776 50 1.503 1.585 1.462 1.628 1.421 1.674 1.378 1.721 1.335 1.771 55 1.528 1.601 1.490 1.641 1.452 1.681 1.414 1.724 1.374 1.768 60 1.549 1.616 1.514 1.652 1.480 1.689 1.444 1.727 1.408 1.767 65 1.567 1.629 1.536 1.662 1.503 1.696 1.471 1.731 1.438 1.76794
Lampiran 8. Tabel Hasil Uji
Granger Causality
Lampiran 9.
Tabel Coefficient Regresi Linier Sederhana
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1 (Constant) -209,245 60,131 -3,480 ,008
Harga Ekspor ,669 ,013 ,999 51,943 ,000
a. Dependent Variable: Harga Domestik tingkat petani Pairwise Granger Causality Tests
Date: 01/10/16 Time: 12:51 Sample: 2005 2014
Lags: 2
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob.
HARGA_EKSPOR does not Granger Cause HARGA_DOMESTIK_TINGKAT_P 8 8.83772 0.0553
HARGA_DOMESTIK_TINGKAT_P does not Granger Cause HARGA_EKSPOR 13.7842 0.0307
