D A I LY R E P O R T RESEARCH. Equity MARKET PREDICTION TODAY COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE. Friday, December 29 th 2017

Friday, December 29

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2017

D A I LY R E P O R T

Daily Report is also available in BNI Sekuritas website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id

RESEARCH

Equity

MARKET PREDICTION TODAY

JCI today is predicted to increase after reaching

new high again

The Dow Jones Index on Thursday was closed 0.26% higher to 24,837.51 while the S&P500 was closed up 0.18% at 2,687.54. The rising Dow Jones Index was driven by gains in banking and energy stocks due to rising oil prices. Shares of healthcare and telecommunication sectors became the driver of strengthening index. Oil price stood at US$ 59.84 per barrel, up 0.33% on Thursday. Meanwhile, European bourses on Thursday were closed mostly in mixed territory. The FTSE increased by 0.03% to 7,622.88 meanwhile the DAX index fell by 0.69% to 12,979.94. Most European bourses moved higher due to positive sentiment of real estate and consumer sectors shares which posted a gain of 0.52% and 0.27% respectively.

Meanwhile, Asian bourses at the end of trading session on Thursday closed in negative territory. The Nikkei index closed negatively by 0.56% to 22.783,98 due to the sentiment from stocks in energy and financial sectors which declined by 1.15% and 1.13%, respectively. Meanwhile, JCI on Thursday closed positively by 0.59% to 6.314,05 driven by stocks in telecommunication and basic industry sectors. Asian bourses on Friday morning are mostly opened higher due to regional sentiments such as from the strengthening of oil prices while Nikkei Index is opened higher as a responese of strengthening on manufacturing and information technology index which rose by 0.39% and 0.40% respectively. Therefore, JCI today is predicted to increase after reaching new high again. JCI movement is forecasted in the range of 6,277.75 – 6,332.19 with the support level at 6,277.75 and resistance level at 6,332.19. Our top stocks picks for today trading sessions are TLKM, BBRI, PTPP, and WSKT.

Analyst: Ankga Adiwirasta (ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id)

COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE

 Build a new building, PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) will spend Rp1 trillion. HOLD. Analyst: Ankga Adiwirasta. Global Indices Closing Change %Chg %Ytd P/E

Americas INDU Index 24,837.51 63.21 0.26 25.68 20.87 SPX Index 2,687.54 4.92 0.18 20.04 22.57 CCMP Index 6,950.16 10.825 0.16 29.11 61.32 IBOV Index 76,402.08 329.54 0.43 26.86 18.91 EMEA UKX Index 7,622.88 2.2 0.03 6.72 22.75 CAC Index 5,339.42 -29.42 -0.55 9.81 18.35 RTSSTD Index 13,625.24 -28.14 -0.21 (7.54) 6.85 IBEX Index 10,093.10 -72.1 -0.71 7.92 15.19 FTSEMIB Index 22,120.95 -80.32 -0.36 15.01 3.88 AEX Index 547.06 -1.54 -0.28 13.22 18.68 SMI Index 9,405.80 -24.64 -0.26 14.43 24.63 Asia / Pacific NKY Index 22,857.83 73.85 0.32 19.58 19.60 HSI Index 29,863.71 266.05 0.90 35.74 13.90 SHCOMP Index 3,296.39 20.602 0.63 6.21 16.71 TWSE Index 10,567.64 80.97 0.77 14.20 15.47 KOSPI Index 2,467.49 30.82 1.26 21.76 12.85 JCI Index 6,314.05 36.881 0.59 19.21 23.07 SET Index 1,743.29 -9.6 -0.55 12.98 16.84 PCOMP Index 8,535.09 44.18 0.52 24.77 23.04 SENSEX Index 33,848.03 -63.78 -0.19 27.12 24.31 FSSTI Index 3,399.10 7.43 0.22 17.99 11.09 Description Last Previous %Chg Market Capitalization (IDR Trillion) 6,992.62 6,951.96 0.58 Transaction Volume (Million Shares) 5,979.00 4,576.06 30.66 Transaction Value (IDR Million) 6,769.00 4,151.24 63.06 Stocks Value (IDR) 1,132.13 907.17 24.80 Net Foreign (IDR Million) (572,978.25) 208,417.38 -374.92 Commodities Last Previous %Chg Nickel (US$/Ton) 12,350.00 12,110.00 1.98 Copper (US$/Ton) 7,289.00 7,240.00 0.68 Tins (US$/Ton) 19,925.00 19,695.00 1.17 Oil (US$/BBL) (*) 59.84 59.64 0.34 Gas (US$/MMBTU) 7.69 8.93 -13.95 Coal (US$/Ton) (**) 101.20 100.20 1.00 Gold (USD/OZ) 1,294.63 1,294.95 -0.02 CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) 655.00 655.00 0.00 CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2,415.00 2,376.00 1.64 (*) WTI Cushing (**) McCloskey Newscatle

ADR Stocks Last (US$) % Conversition Last (IDR) (US$) Chg (IDR)

Stocks Code Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (IDR) Telkom TLK US 32.03 2.14 10,613.01 4390.00 Company/Industry Updates Recommendation TP (IDR) PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero Tbk (BBRI) HOLD 3,650

Bloomberg Code

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HIGHLIGHT NEWS

 PT Benakat Integra Tbk (BIPI) had signed a sale purchase agreement and

receivables with PT Pratama Media Abadi on December 22nd, 2017. The Company will transfer 55.05% shares in its subsidiary, PT Indelberg Oil Indonesia and 2.13% shares of PT Indelberg Indonesia to Pratama.

 PT Express Transindo Utama Tbk (TAXI) had signed a loan agreement in

amount of Rp16.5 billion on December 22nd, 2017 with its main shareholder, PT Rajawali Corpora, to support the company’s business and operation.  The subsidiary of PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA), Anugrah Krida Retailindo

(AKRIDA), has increased its authorized capital to Rp400 billion from Rp100 billion and issued capital of Rp61 billion to Rp176 billion.

 PT Waskita Beton Precast Tbk (WSBP) estimates to achieve revenues from

customers in amount of Rp4.63 trillion by the end of 2017 or increases more than triple from Rp978.96 billion in 2016.

(Source: www.iqplus.info)

Net Foreign BUY Accumulation

USD/IDR Currency and JCI

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 -50,000,000 -40,000,000 -30,000,000 -20,000,000 -10,000,000 0 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 4 /0 1 /2 0 1 7 1 3 /0 1 /2 0 1 7 2 4 /0 1 /2 0 1 7 2 /0 2 /2 0 1 7 1 3 /0 2 /2 0 1 7 2 3 /0 2 /2 0 1 7 6 /0 3 /2 0 1 7 1 5 /0 3 /2 0 1 7 2 4 /0 3 /2 0 1 7 5 /0 4 /2 0 1 7 1 7 /0 4 /2 0 1 7 2 8 /0 4 /2 0 1 7 1 0 /0 5 /2 0 1 7 2 2 /0 5 /2 0 1 7 2 /0 6 /2 0 1 7 1 3 /0 6 /2 0 1 7 2 2 /0 6 /2 0 1 7 1 1 /0 7 /2 0 1 7 2 0 /0 7 /2 0 1 7 3 1 /0 7 /2 0 1 7 9 /0 8 /2 0 1 7 2 1 /0 8 /2 0 1 7 3 0 /0 8 /2 0 1 7 1 1 /0 9 /2 0 1 7 2 0 /0 9 /2 0 1 7 2 /1 0 /2 0 1 7 1 1 /1 0 /2 0 1 7 2 0 /1 0 /2 0 1 7 3 1 /1 0 /2 0 1 7 9 /1 1 /2 0 1 7 2 0 /1 1 /2 0 1 7 2 9 /1 1 /2 0 1 7 1 1 /1 2 /2 0 1 7 2 0 /1 2 /2 0 1 7

Accumulation JCI Index

12,900 13,000 13,100 13,200 13,300 13,400 13,500 13,600 13,700 4,800 5,000 5,200 5,400 5,600 5,800 6,000 6,200 6,400

JCI Index USDIDR

No Stock Top Value (IDR)

1 BBNI IJ 1,046,699,000,000

2 BMRI IJ 997,246,800,000

3 BBCA IJ 465,484,500,000

4 TLKM IJ 385,207,800,000

5 ASII IJ 348,809,500,000

No Stock Top Volume (Shares)

1 MYRX IJ 852,378,600.00

2 TRAM IJ 782,210,200.00

3 RIMO IJ 465,330,500.00

4 BUMI IJ 373,630,700.00

5 IIKP IJ 253,896,000.00

No Top Gainers % Change

1 ARTA IJ 25

2 CAMP IJ 24.79

3 JMAS IJ 24.64

4 CSIS IJ 24.58

5 BTEK IJ 23

No Top Losers % Change

1 TBMS IJ -17.93

2 MLPT IJ -17.2

3 TRUS IJ -16.13

4 SKBM IJ -14.88

5 RDTX IJ -13.93

No Leading Movers % Change

1 BBRI IJ 2.25

2 BBCA IJ 1.86

3 TLKM IJ 2.09

4 INTP IJ 4.87

5 HMSP IJ 0.43

No Lagging Movers % Change

1 ASII IJ -1.23

2 BMRI IJ -0.63

3 MYOR IJ -4.20

4 ICBP IJ -1.11

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COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE

News: Build a new building, PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) will spend Rp 1 trillion

BBRI plans to build a new building at Jl Gatot Subroto, number 62. The new building will be named BRI Tower Gatot Subroto which is expected to become a new icon in the strategic and prestigious areas in the capital city. Gatot Subroto BRI Tower will occupy an area of 8,589 square meters with a construction area of 95,437 square meters. According to information from the contractor, PT Pembangunan Perumahan (PT PP), the construction cost of the building is Rp 1.3 trillion to Rp 1.4 trillion. However, BBRI wants the construction cost of the new BRI building in Gatot Subroto to below Rp 1 trillion.

Analyst Opinion:

We view positively on BBRI’s plan to build a new building. This building is one of the company's efforts to optimize its assets. On the other hand, with the new building, it will increase efficiency because currently there are some working units of BBRI in the Jakarta area with lease status. The new building will consist of 37 floors and 5 basements. The needs of office space, both from BBRI and industry itself, are significant increasing. BBRI will take this opportunity to rent the floor in BRI Gatot Subroto Tower for public. In general, BBRI performance in 9M17 recorded a positive result, BBRI’s net profit reached Rp 20.54 trillion (+ 4.5% QoQ/+8.2% YoY). The increase in net profit was driven by higher interest income (+ 2.4% QoQ/+9.2% YoY) while interest expense only grew by 3.0% YoY. PPoP increased by 16.6% YoY to Rp 40.35 trillion. NIM was recorded at the level of 8.02% (vs 7.83% 1Q17) as CoF decreased. Loan grew by 0.9% QoQ/10.0% YoY to Rp 694.20 trillion, driven by the growth of across all segments except SOE. Meanwhile, deposits increased by 0.3% QoQ/10.9%YoY, so, the LDR reached 90.09% level (vs. 92.82% 1Q17 vs. 89.57% 1H17). NPLs were at 2.33% (vs. 2.26% 1Q17 vs 2.34% 1H17), dominated by NPLs in SME segment and NPL in non-SOE corporate segment, while SML was at 5.51% (vs. 5.41 % 1Q17), driven by high SML in the non-SOE corporate segment, particularly from the cement sector. The coverage Ratio increased significantly to the level of 210.2% (vs. 166.6% at 9M16) as the increase in provision fees. We view that BBRI still has the potential to improve its performance in FY17E and FY18E, followed by seasonal factor of microcredit, where growth is usually better in 2H. However, we are still wary of the possibility of an NPL increase in the future. Currently, BBRI has a valuation with P/BV18E of 2.3x, which is below the average of 2 Years P/BV of 2.7x. Over the past year, this valuation has shown a consolidation trend due to the slowing growth of the banking industry. The valuation of BBRI is always above the industry average, which currently stands with P/BV of 1.3x. We believe that the current stock price of BBRI has reflected the company's performance in FY17E. We expect that in the next few year, it will a larger portion of fee-based income for BBRI (currently the lowest among BUKU IV). Recommendation: HOLD

with a target price (TP) of Rp 3,650 per share.

Analyst: Ankga Adiwirasta (ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id) Income Statement (in IDR bn)

FY16

Interest income 59,461 75,122 85,433 94,788 98,031 101,968

Interest expense (15,356) (23,679) (27,155) (28,577) (29,047) (32,047)

Interest income - net 44,105 51,443 58,278 66,211 68,983 69,921

Other operating income - net 8,348 9,299 12,409 17,218 15,756 20,870

Other operating expenses (21,702) (25,796) (30,181) (35,736) (37,908) (42,723)

Salaries & employee benefit (12,232) (14,166) (16,599) (18,707) (19,914) (21,336)

G&A (6,841) (8,265) (9,286) (10,679) (12,281) (14,123) Others (2,630) (3,365) (4,296) (4,499) (5,713) (7,263) PPoP 30,072 34,027 39,412 47,757 45,560 46,610 Provision (3,946) (5,719) (8,900) (13,791) (11,001) (8,900) Operating income 26,126 28,307 30,511 33,966 34,559 37,710 Non-operating income 1,782 2,497 1,981 9 2,474 2,598

Income before tax 27,909 30,804 32,493 33,975 37,033 40,308

Tax - net (6,556) (6,578) (7,083) (7,241) (8,073) (8,787)

Minority interest (10) (12) (13) (14) (15) (14)

Net Profit 21,343 24,215 25,396 26,228 28,945 31,507

FY18E

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RESEARCH TEAM

Phone : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax : +62 21 57935831 Email : research@bnisekuritas.co.id Website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id Norico Gaman (Head of Research Division) norico@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3934 Investment Strategy Maxi Liesyaputra (Head of Equity Research Department) maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3968 Construction, Property, Infrastructure, Cement Ariawan

(Head of Fixed Income Research Department)

ariawan@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2098

Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond

Andri Zakarias Siregar (Head of Technical Analysis Research Department)

andri.zakarias@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2054

Market Strategy, Currency, Commodities, Bond & Stocks

Thennesia Debora (Equity Analyst) thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2123 Transportation, Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Plantation, Health Care

Ankga Adiwirasta (Equity Analyst)

ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3986

Consumer Good, Banking, Metal Mining, Telecommunication, Tower Infrastructure

Dessy Lapagu (Equity Analyst)

dessy@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2051

Poultry, Crops, Fishery, Retail, Coal Mining, Pharmaceutical

Ahmad Hapiz (Fixed Income Analyst)

ahmad.hapiz@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3978

Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond

R. Venia Allani Meissalina (Research Analyst/Assistant)

venia.allani@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2050

Data Administrator

Indah Lestari Permata H. (Research Analyst/Assistant)

indah.lestari@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2073

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EQUITY TEAM

CM : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax No : +62 21 57935831

Entis Sutisman ext. 3945 entis@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Equity Department Fian Pusparini ext. 3958 fian@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Institutional Relation Yulinda ext. 3950 yulinda@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales

Teguh Hendro ext. 3948 teguh@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Danovan Yazir ext. 3929 danovan@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Dharmawan P. ext. 3916 prasetyo@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Fachrial Bayu ext. 3966 fachrial@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Dini Desita ext. 3981 dinidesita@bnisekuritas.co.id Client Relation Putri Erinasari ext. 3920 putri.erinasari@bnisekuritas.co.id Client Relation Iffa Rizqi Izzata ext. 3931 iffa@bnisekuritas.co.id Client Relation

Jufrani Amsal ext. 3957 amsal@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Channel Distribution Division Fahma Riniarti ext. 3917 ririn@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Channel Development P. Sariningsih ext. 3984 p.sariningsih@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Branch Supervision

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RESEARCH

Equity

MAIN OFFICE - JAKARTA

PT BNI SEKURITAS

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PEKANBARU

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MANADO

BNI KLN Megamas, Lt. 3, Kawasan Mega Mas Blok I C1 Jl. Piere Tendean, No. 20, Manado

Phone: (62-431) 847256 Fax: (62-24) 847256 e-mail: manado@bnisekuritas.co.id

ACEH

Kantor Cabang BNI Banda Aceh Lt.2 Jl. KH. Ahmad Dahlan No. 111, Banda Aceh

Phone: (62-651) 31109 Fax: (62-651) 31107

BANJARMASIN Gd. Bank BNI Antasari Lt. 2 Jl. Pangeran Antasari No. 44 RT 008, Banjarmasin

Phone: (62-511) 3253735 Fax: (62-651) 3253754 e-mail: banjarmasin@bnisekuritas.co.id

This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SEKURITAS or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.

Dokumen ini tidak diperuntukan sebagai suatu penawaran, atau permohonan dari suatu penawaran, permintaan untuk membeli atau menjual efek dan segala hal yang berhubungan dengan efek (seperti efek yang disebutkan disini, atau dari emiten yang sama, dari waran atau hak memesan efek atau kepentingan lain dari efek tersebut). Seluruh informasi dan opini yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini dengan cara baik telah dihimpun dari atau berasal dari sumber-sumber yang dapat dipercaya dan diandalkan. Tidak ada pengatasnamaan atau jaminan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dari BNI SEKURITAS atau pun pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI, termasuk pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI dari mana dokumen ini dapat diperoleh, terhadap keakuratan atau kelengkapan dari informasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini. Seluruh pendapat dan perkiraan dalam laporan ini merupakan pertimbangan kami pada tanggal tertera dan dapat berubah sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan.