LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1. Penduduk Indonesia Menurut Kelompok Umur (x1000)
Kelompok Umur
(jiwa)
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
0-4
20958,2 20706,1 20430,7
20159
19890,9
19622 19809,6
05-Sep
23223,1 22758,6 22303,5
21857
21420,2
21001 20459,5
Okt-14
21482,1 21847,3 22218,7
22596
22980,5
23378 23247,8
15-19
18926,9 19297,9 19676,1
20068
20461,1
20859 21537,5
20-24
16128,3 16437,9 16753,6
17075
17403,1
17746 18248,1
25-29
26667,7 24182,3 21957,5
19911
18055,3
16350 16535,4
30-34
13345,8 13744,8 14155,8
14579
15014,9
15464 15639,2
35-39
11184,2 11705,4 12250,9
12822
13419,2
14046 14412,4
40-44
8081,7
8648,2
9254,5 9903,2
10597,4
11341
11900
45-49
7565,6
7759,3
7957,9 8161,6
8370,6 8587,1
9009,5
50-54
6687,6
6779,9
6873,4 6968,3
7064,5
7164
7321,6
55-59
4831,7
5097,4
5377,8 5673,6
5985,6 6315,7
6419,3
60-64
4526,5
4647,3
4771,4 4898,8
5029,2 5165,3
5240,8
65-69
2749,8
2893,3
3044,4 3203,3
3370,5 3546,8
3698,8
70-74
2029
2171,4
2323,9
2487
2661,6 2848,8
2647,3
75+
1972,3
1949,2
1926,4 1903,9
1881,6 1858,8
2078,2
Kelompok Umur
(jiwa)
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
0-4
19970,4 20138,3 20320,6
20206
20108,3
20181 20240,4
05-Sep
20078,5 19814,6 19610,4
20398
21490
21099
20692
Okt-14
22819,3 22183,1 21505,7
20376
21285,3
21427
21555
15-19
22212,4 22799,3 23171,2
21067
21158,3
21141 21117,5
20-24
18813,2 19426,7 20062,9
19175
20228,9
20440
20644
25-29
16715,4 16923,2 17202,4
18560
18938,4
19231 19502,6
30-34
15784,1 15913,2 16039,2
16331
17349,2
17698 17984,5
35-39
14698,2 14920,1
15102
14844
15328,4
15696 16046,7
40-44
12442,6 12953,4 13411,4
12420
13063,9
13509 13931,2
45-49
9488,2 10006,9 10538,2 9616,3
10310,2
10818 11333,6
50-54
7491,9
7693,6
7950,1 7353,9
7833,9 8211,5
8612,3
55-59
6503,1
6579,3
6665,5 5657,1
6090,4 6294,1
6534
60-64
5374,4
5537,2
5691,8 5304,1
5049,8 5098,6
5196,4
65-69
3875,6
4064,7
4275,4 3553,8
3923,3 4039,2
4156,1
70-74
2556,3
2570,1
2678,9 2829,4
2635,2 2669,2
2763,2
75+
2295,6
2507,1
2707,8 2709,3
3134
3184
3241
Kelompok Umur
(jiwa)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0-4
20298 20349,5 20441,3
20509
20582,1
20652 22678,7
05-Sep
20266,5 19830,1
19927
20011
20100,6
20182 23253,5
Okt-14
21681,6 21801,8 21392,2
20989
20583,9
20182 22671,1
15-19
21093,9 21064,7 21188,5
21319
21457
21591 20880,7
20-24
20847,7 21041,5
21020
21000
20982,8
20970 19891,6
25-29
19722,4 19862,4 20087,6
20336
20580,3
20783 21310,4
30-34
18246,1
18502 18844,4
19105
19312,1
19508 19830,7
35-39
16386,2
16720 17053,6
17390
17726,3
18042 18505,1
40-44
14330,7 14717,7 15093,1
15458
15812,9
16165 16524,9
45-49
11837,1 12318,5 12772,6
13211
13630,1
14042
14041
50-54
9040,9
9495,2
9971,3
10466
10971,9
11472 11561,3
55-59
6803,5
7099,5
7436 7799,3
8194,3 8618,3 8448,57
60-64
5322,6
5459,4
5618,4 5818,6
6046,8 6305,6 6058,76
65-69
4285,2
4454,6
4505,1 4553,2
4620,4 4718,2 4694,03
70-74
2913,2
3110,2
3236,2 3381,2
3513,4 3619,2 3456,33
75+
3306
3377,6
3464
3560
3664,2
3782 3834,59
Lampiran 2. Perhitungan Median Age
Tahun
N/2 - fx
fMd
(N/2 - fx)
fMd x 5
20 + (N/2 - fx)
Median Age
1990
10576450
0,655769672
23,27884836
23,3
1991
10703376
0,651137614
23,25568807
23,3
1992
11009249,5
0,657128492
23,28564246
23,3
1993
11453154
0,670746297
23,35373148
23,4
1994
12050437
0,692431083
23,46215542
23,5
1995
12787000
0,720568927
23,60284463
23,6
1996
14048100
0,769839052
23,84919526
23,8
1997
15479000
0,822773372
24,11386686
24,1
1998
17080100
0,879207482
24,39603741
24,4
1999
18858850
0,939986243
24,69993122
24,7
2000
18153653,5
0,946759758
24,73379879
24,77
2001
19921850
0,984821221
24,92410611
24,99
2002
1080150
0,056168002
20,28084001
20,3
2003
2526350
0,129539138
20,64769569
20,6
2004
4003100
0,202972255
21,01486127
21
2005
5514750
0,277647716
21,38823858
21,4
2006
7056650
0,351293833
21,75646917
21,8
2007
8625450
0,424142662
22,12071331
22,1
2008
10183150
0,494800853
22,47400427
22,5
2009
11738950
0,564847829
22,82423914
22,8
Lampiran 4. Hasil Regresi Model I Untuk Bidang Pendidikan
Dependentt Variable: PENDIDIKAN Method: Least Squares
Date: 11/30/12 Time: 09:29 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -124178.6 121427.0 -1.022660 0.3208 PM 4.332869 1.798176 2.409592 0.0276 PP -0.157614 0.109124 -1.444353 0.1668 PT -11.30400 2.022096 -5.590237 0.0000
R-squared 0.784475 Mean dependentt var 21668.57 Adjusted R-squared 0.746441 S.D. dependentt var 27448.33 S.E. of regression 13821.50 Akaike info criterion 22.07548 Sum squared resid 3.25E+09 Schwarz criterion 22.27444 Log likelihood -227.7926 F-statistic 20.62574 Durbin-Watson stat 0.579816 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000007
Lampiran 5. Hasil Regresi Model II Untuk Bidang Kesehatan
Dependentt Variable: KESEHATAN Method: Least Squares
Date: 11/30/12 Time: 09:26 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -72654.82 20224.45 -3.592425 0.0022 PM 0.736547 0.299498 2.459275 0.0249 PP -0.023485 0.018175 -1.292154 0.2136 PT 3.723897 0.336793 11.05692 0.0000
Lampiran 6. Hasil Uji Multikolinearitas Untuk Model I Dan II
a.
Jumlah penduduk pada kelompok umur muda (X1) terhadap jumlah
penduduk pada kelompok umur pertengahan (X2) dan jumlah penduduk
pada kelompok umur tua (X3)
Dependentt Variable: PM Method: Least Squares Date: 12/01/12 Time: 09:58 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 66454.18 2827.045 23.50659 0.0000 PP 0.009474 0.014128 0.670553 0.5110 PT -0.475437 0.240199 -1.979346 0.0633
R-squared 0.188249 Mean dependentt var 63155.16 Adjusted R-squared 0.098054 S.D. dependentt var 1907.641 S.E. of regression 1811.702 Akaike info criterion 17.97348 Sum squared resid 59080745 Schwarz criterion 18.12270 Log likelihood -185.7216 F-statistic 2.087144 Durbin-Watson stat 0.780429 Prob(F-statistic) 0.153040
b.
Jumlah penduduk pada kelompok umur pertengahan (X2) terhadap
jumlah penduduk pada kelompok umur muda (X1) dan jumlah penduduk
pada kelompok umur tua (X3)
Dependentt Variable: PP Method: Least Squares Date: 12/01/12 Time: 10:02 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -58392.88 261914.4 -0.222946 0.8261 PM 2.572469 3.836341 0.670553 0.5110 PT 2.613267 4.323967 0.604368 0.5531
Log likelihood -244.5645 F-statistic 0.290083 Durbin-Watson stat 2.144875 Prob(F-statistic) 0.751634
c.
Jumlah penduduk pada kelompok umur tua (X3) terhadap jumlah
penduduk pada kelompok umur muda (X1) dan jumlah penduduk pada
kelompok umur pertengahan (X2)
Dependentt Variable: PT Method: Least Squares Date: 12/01/12 Time: 10:03 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 32271.14 11936.37 2.703598 0.0145 PM -0.375970 0.189947 -1.979346 0.0633 PP 0.007611 0.012593 0.604368 0.5531
R-squared 0.184519 Mean dependentt var 9507.833 Adjusted R-squared 0.093910 S.D. dependentt var 1692.511 S.E. of regression 1611.080 Akaike info criterion 17.73876 Sum squared resid 46720398 Schwarz criterion 17.88798 Log likelihood -183.2570 F-statistic 2.036436 Durbin-Watson stat 0.149200 Prob(F-statistic) 0.159486
Lampira 7. Hasil Uji Autokorelasi Melalui Uji Langrange Multiplier Model I
Untuk Bidang Pendidikan
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 2.466985 Probability 0.092304 Obs*R-squared 12.04717 Probability 0.060925
Test Equation:
Dependentt Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 12/02/12 Time: 19:48
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
PM -0.035135 1.999612 -0.017571 0.9863 PP 0.088922 0.103475 0.859357 0.4085 PT -0.826493 1.838577 -0.449529 0.6618 RESID(-1) 0.914049 0.307321 2.974251 0.0126 RESID(-2) -0.360193 0.414155 -0.869705 0.4030 RESID(-3) 0.261633 0.412108 0.634865 0.5385 RESID(-4) -0.241806 0.418693 -0.577526 0.5752 RESID(-5) -0.108854 0.407925 -0.266847 0.7945 RESID(-6) -0.017713 0.338871 -0.052272 0.9592
R-squared 0.573675 Mean dependentt var 4.58E-11 Adjusted R-squared 0.224864 S.D. dependentt var 12742.79 S.E. of regression 11218.99 Akaike info criterion 21.79436 Sum squared resid 1.38E+09 Schwarz criterion 22.29175 Log likelihood -218.8407 F-statistic 1.644656 Durbin-Watson stat 1.853812 Prob(F-statistic) 0.215565
Lampiran 8. Hasil Uji Autokorelasi Melalui Uji Langrange Multiplier Model
II Untuk Bidang Kesehatan
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 2.194432 Probability 0.131569 Obs*R-squared 13.88282 Probability 0.084871
Test Equation:
Dependentt Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 12/02/12 Time: 19:52
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
R-squared 0.661087 Mean dependentt var 1.22E-11 Adjusted R-squared 0.246859 S.D. dependentt var 2122.394 S.E. of regression 1841.892 Akaike info criterion 18.17053 Sum squared resid 30533094 Schwarz criterion 18.76740 Log likelihood -178.7906 F-statistic 1.595950 Durbin-Watson stat 1.669087 Prob(F-statistic) 0.245958
Lampiran 9. Hasil Uji Heterokedastisitas Melalui Uji White Model I Untuk
Bidang Pendidikan
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 0.898820 Probability 0.556410 Obs*R-squared 8.899033 Probability 0.446646
Test Equation:
Dependentt Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares
Date: 12/02/12 Time: 20:12 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -1.23E+10 3.30E+11 -0.037213 0.9710 PM 6968275. 6952692. 1.002241 0.3378 PM^2 -97.36777 95.02596 -1.024644 0.3275 PM*PP 70.36772 134.0620 0.524889 0.6101 PM*PT -451.7716 1106.577 -0.408261 0.6909 PP -4794654. 9751846. -0.491666 0.6326 PP^2 -0.074412 1.692238 -0.043972 0.9657 PP*PT 42.60410 118.8602 0.358439 0.7268 PT 25077701 73067269 0.343214 0.7379 PT^2 -139.3946 1077.241 -0.129400 0.8994
Lampiran 10. Hasil Uji Heterokedastisitas Melalui Uji White Model II Untuk
Bidang Kesehatan
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 1.377949 Probability 0.303301 Obs*R-squared 11.12886 Probability 0.266980
Test Equation:
Dependentt Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares
Date: 12/02/12 Time: 20:11 Sample: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -3.32E+09 1.01E+10 -0.327543 0.7494 PM 132765.8 213577.8 0.621627 0.5469 PM^2 -1.291120 2.919076 -0.442304 0.6668 PM*PP 0.306301 4.118212 0.074377 0.9420 PM*PT -1.276386 33.99262 -0.037549 0.9707 PP -10744.59 299564.2 -0.035867 0.9720 PP^2 -0.031446 0.051983 -0.604929 0.5575 PP*PT -0.194748 3.651233 -0.053338 0.9584 PT -16359.30 2244533. -0.007289 0.9943 PT^2 7.394761 33.09147 0.223464 0.8273
