Week's. IHSG on the Week (23/9/13-27/9/13) 4, , , /23/2013 9/24/2013 9/25/2013 9/26/2013 9/27/2013

(1)

Weekly Trading Plan

Monday, September 30

th

₂₀₁₃

4423.72

-160.10

738.97 -3.49%

-34.96

Vol (Mn):

18 -4.52%

Val (Bn):

23 F Net B (Bn):

(3,638)

Weekly LQ-45

Weekly IHSG

Sector

Last

(%)

PER

PBV

Agriculture

1777.67

-0.21%

0.8

2.8 Mining

1459.45

-5.89%

4.3

2.8 Basic Industry

492.52 -3.35%

4.6

1.5 Misc Industry

1192.10

-4.74%

12.0

1.1 Consumer

1905.68

-3.13%

20.0

7.5 Property

390.70 -5.55%

28.3

2.8 Infrastructure

954.85 -3.59%

9.8

0.0 Finance

791.65 35.36%

20.8

0.0 Trade

790.66 -2.35%

27.9

0.0 Composite

4423.72

0.00%

14.5

0.0 International

Close

WoW Chg

(%)

DJIA

15,258.24

-192.85

-1.25%

Nasdaq

3,781.59

6.86 0.18%

S&P 500

1,691.75

-18.16

-1.06%

FTSE 100

6,512.66

-83.77

-1.27%

Nikkei 225

14,760.07

17.65 0.12%

Hang Seng

23,207.04

-295.47

-1.26%

STI

3,209.5

-27.54

-0.85%

Exchange Rates

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

USD / IDR

11494

453.00 4.10%

US $ Index

80.27 -0.12

-0.15%

EUR / USD

1.3500

0.00 -0.26%

USD / JPY

97.82 -1.44

-1.45%

GBP / USD

1.6171

0.01 0.90%

USD / CNY

6.119

0.00 -0.01%

AUD / USD

0.9306

-0.01

-1.35%

Others

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

S&P 500 Vlty (VIX)

15.46

2.34 17.84%

Baltic Dry

2,046.00

142.00 7.46%

Recommendation Flashback

1 your

reliable

partner

1 relitrade.com

Please see back page for disclaimer

Stock

Rec.

09/23/2013

(opn)

Stop Loss Loss

Week's

Highest

Date

Potential

Gain

Week's

Lowest

Date

Potential

Gain

SMRA

SB

1030

960 -6.8%

1030

9/23/2013

0.0%

880 9/25/2013

-14.6%

SMGR

S

14500

0.0%

15500

9/24/2013

6.9%

13800

9/26/2013

-4.8%

JSMR

PS

5750

0.0%

5850

9/23/2013

1.7%

5700

9/26/2013

-0.9%

INCO

PS

2625

2650

1.0%

2675

9/23/2013

1.9%

2350

9/26/2013

-10.5%

LQ-45 Close

769.99

749.2

737.03

735.5

738.97 LQ-45 % Chg

-0.51%

-2.70%

-1.62%

-0.21%

0.47%

Frgn Net Buy (Bn)

16 -625.85

-571.73

-573.8

-1881.99

4.11

3.40

4.97

4.08

5.27

3.42

4.70

3.66

3.96

3.55 4,562.86

4,460.11

4,406.76

4,405.89

4,423.72

3,500.00

3,700.00

3,900.00

4,100.00

4,300.00

4,500.00

4,700.00

4,900.00

9/23/2013

9/24/2013

9/25/2013

9/26/2013

9/27/2013

Value (Bn) Vo lume (Mn) IHSG

-0.46%

-2.25%

0.40%

-0.02%

-1.20%

(2)

Weekly Trading Plan

Weekly Technical Review

IHSG

S1

4417

R1

4515

S2

4306

R2

4612

S3

4235

R3

4722

Comment:

2 your

reliable

partner

2 relitrade.com

Please see back page for disclaimer

Comment:

JCI moved sideways along the trading day last week, trading range 4353-4574, closed

at the minor support level at the end of the week.

By the first session today, the index gapped down, moves in negative territory, below

the support and the medium term bullish trend-line, signaling a short term reversal.

ADX, on short period downtrend, the DI(-) line points up.

Stochastic golden cross, broad upside potential.

Long term bullish & medium term bearish movement.

This week stop-loss level 4306.

There is a potential rebound movement at the mid week, breaks up confirmation level

at 4470 with the next upside potential at 4612.

(3)

Weekly Trading Plan

Sectoral Highlight

MINING

S1

1425

R1

1502

S2

1361

R2

1565

3 your

reliable

partner

3 relitrade.com

Please see back page for disclaimer

S2

1361

R2

1565

S3

1304

R3

1616

Comment:

The index declined along the trading days last week, trading range 1454-1552.

By the first session today, the index gapped down, continuing the bearish movement,

forming a potential spinning bottom formation with the pattern of dragonfly doji

candle. This pattern indicates a rebound signal.

Stochastic on the oversold state, starts consolidating, broad upside potential.

Long term bullish, shorter term bearish movement.

Stop-loss level 1425, upside potential 1502.

(4)

Weekly Trading Plan

Sectoral Highlight

INCO

S1

2200

R1

2350

S2

2075

R2

2475

4 your

reliable

partner

4 S2

2075

R2

2475

S3

1930

R3

2600

Comment:

INCO declines significantly last week, after pulled back and broke down the medium

term bearish trend line and Dead-crossed MA25 & MA200.

By the first session this week, The Candlestick forms a Southern star candle pattern,

The index moves slightly on positive territory. Bullish reversal signal.

Stochastic, INCO has moved at oversold state, Golden-cross potential. RSI bearish

momentum at oversold area. Bullish reversal signal.

Upside scenario:

Intraday resistance 2350 (sell fractal), if the price able to move above this level, it will

continue its movement towards level 2500 (Tries to break up medium bearish trend).

Downside scenario:

Stop loss at level 2150. Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a break down appeared, the

price will continue to the 1800 level (Maximum tolerance long term bullish trend).

(5)

Weekly Trading Plan

HEAD OFFICE

Reliance Building

Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A,

Pluit Penjaringan

Jakarta 14450

T

T +62 21 661 7768

F

F +62 21 661 9884

RESEARCH DIVISION

Jasa Adhi Mulya

Wilson Sofan

Wibowo Suhaidi

Lanjar Nafi Taulat I

[email protected]

EQUITY DIVISION EQUITY DIVISIONEQUITY DIVISION EQUITY DIVISION

Jakarta JakartaJakarta Jakarta--- Pluit-PluitPluitPluit

Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T + 62 21 661 7768 F + 62 21 661 9884 Jakarta Jakarta Jakarta Jakarta --- Sudirman-SudirmanSudirmanSudirman Menara Batavia 27th floor Jl.KH.Mas Mansyur Kav 126 Jakarta 10220

T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010 Jakarta

Jakarta Jakarta

Jakarta –––– KebonKebonKebonKebon JerukJerukJerukJeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2 Jakarta 11530 T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157 BSD BSDBSD BSD

Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494 Malang MalangMalang Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 Bandung Bandung Bandung Bandung Jl.Cisangkuy No.58 Bandung 40115 T + 62 22 721 8200 F + 62 22 721 9255 Tasikmalaya Tasikmalaya Tasikmalaya Tasikmalaya

Ruko Tasik Indah Plaza No. 21 Jl. KHZ Mustofa No. 345 Tasikmalaya 46121 T + 62 265 345000 F + 62 265 345003 Yogyakarta Yogyakarta Yogyakarta Yogyakarta

Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121 Surakarta Surakarta Surakarta Surakarta

Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478 Balikpapan Balikpapan Balikpapan Balikpapan Ruko Bukit Indah Blok I No3 RT 34

Jl. MT Haryono, Gunung Bahagia

Surabaya SurabayaSurabaya Surabaya ---- GubengGubengGubengGubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196 Surabaya SurabayaSurabaya

Surabaya –––– DiponegoroDiponegoroDiponegoroDiponegoro Jl. Diponegoro 141-143 Surabaya 60264 T + 62 31 567 0388 F + 62 31 561 0528 Denpasar DenpasarDenpasar Denpasar

Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099 Pontianak PontianakPontianak Pontianak

Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284 Makassar Makassar Makassar Makassar

Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634 Pekanbaru Pekanbaru Pekanbaru Pekanbaru

Jl. Sumatera No. 9, Simpang Empat Pekanbaru - Riau 28000 T + 62 761 7894368 F + 62 761 7894370 Medan Medan Medan Medan

Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597 Jakarta

Jakarta Jakarta Jakarta –––– CentroCentroCentroCentro

Ruko Centro Residence Kav. 4-5 Tower C Lt. 1 No. 26-29 Jl. Macan, Daan Mogot Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 56945227 F +62 21 56945226

5 your

reliable

partner

5

Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615

Jl. MT Haryono, Gunung Bahagia Balikpapan Selatan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317 POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI

POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI

UPN “Veteran” Jakarta UPN “Veteran” Jakarta UPN “Veteran” Jakarta UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138 President University President University President University President University

Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya

Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030

Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24

Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534 STIE "AUB" Surakarta STIE "AUB" Surakarta STIE "AUB" Surakarta STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147 Universitas Surabaya Universitas Surabaya Universitas Surabaya Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204

Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB

Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585 Universitas Negeri Malang Universitas Negeri Malang Universitas Negeri Malang Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888

Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782 Universitas Brawijaya Universitas Brawijaya Universitas Brawijaya Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420 STIE Malangkucecwara STIE Malangkucecwara STIE Malangkucecwara STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619 Universitas Jember Universitas Jember Universitas Jember Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419 STIESIA Surabaya STIESIA Surabaya STIESIA Surabaya STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163

Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani

Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840

Disclaimer

Disclaimer::::

Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari sumber-sumber yang dianggap

terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan

keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT

Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.

Politeknik Kediri Politeknik KediriPoliteknik Kediri Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. +62354) 683128 F. +62354) 683128 Universitas Negeri Makassar Universitas Negeri MakassarUniversitas Negeri Makassar Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru, Makassar 90222 T. +62411-889464 / 881244 F. +62411-887604

Analyst: Wilson Sofan, Lanjar Nafi Telp: 021-57930008 Ext.148