Corporate Presentation
DECEMBER 2010
INDONESIA’ S CEMENT INDUSTRY
1.
Semen Padang
5. 9 mn t on
CEMENT INDUSTRY
2008
2009
2010F
1)
CEMENT INDUSTRY AT A GLANCE
•
Production Capacity : 46. 6 mio ton
49. 8 mio ton
51. 7 mio ton
•
Domestic Growth
: 11. 5%
2. 5%
6. 5%
•
Domestic Ut ilization : 82%
78%
80%
•
Supply
Domestic
: 38. 1 mio ton
39. 1 mio ton
42. 0 mio ton
Export
: 4. 9 mio tons
4. 0 mio tons
3. 2 mio ton
Import
2): 1. 5 mio tons
1. 5 mio tons
-Singapor e Kuala
Lum pur
SMGR
COMPARISON: CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA 2009
ilip
in
a
kg/ capit a
167
kg
INDONESIA CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA (1997 – 2009)
123
128
141
96
94
110
125
130
130
140
144
145
152
162
167
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
kg/ per capita
Source: Indonesian Cement Associat ion & BPS St at ist ic
INDONESIA HAS EXPERIENCED SOLID ECONOMIC AND DOMEST IC CEMENT
CONSUMPT ION GROWT H
Growth
Domest ic consumpt ion (LHS)
GDP growt h % (RHS)
(mio t ons)
DOMEST IC CEMENT CONSUMPT ION, CEMENT GROWT H, GDP GROWT H AND CONST RUCT ION GROWT H IN
INDONESIA
COMPANY PROFILE
1957 : Inaugurat ion of Gresik I, inst al l ed capacit y of 250, 000 t on cement per annum
1991 : Init ial Publ ic Of f ering, Market Cap IDR0.63t n, resul t ing sharehol ding st ruct ure
post IPO:
●
Government of Republ ic of Indonesia: 73%
●
Publ ic: 27%
1995 : Acquisit ion of PT Semen Padang (Persero) and PT Semen Tonasa (Persero)
1998 : Cemex became a st rat egic part ner, Market Cap IDR4. 9t n
Public
(48. 99%)
The Government of t he Republic of Indonesia
(51. 01%)
PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk.
PT Semen Padang
(99. 99%)
PT Semen Tonasa
(99. 99%)
Six subsidiaries
Non-cement producers
BRIEF HISTORY
BRIEF HISTORY
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
1OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
1SMGR IS THE #1 CEMENT COMPANY IN INDONESIA
0,0
SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)
SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)
SMGR’ s COMPARATIVE & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE HAS DRIVEN SMGR TO
BE THE MARKET LEADER IN INDONESIA
SMGR’ s COMPARATIVE &
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
MARKET SHARE + 45%
MARKET
LEADER
Distribution warehouses in all areas of Java, Bali, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi and Irian
14 large packing plants
Nationwide distribution network
Operate 4 special sea ports: Padang, Tuban, Gresik, Biringkassi
Total installed cap. EoY 2008: 18.0 mn tons and EoY 2009: 19.0 mn tons
SMGR’ s PRODUCTION FACILITIES ARE WELL SUPPORTED BY STRATEGICALLY
LOCATED MARKETING AND DISTRIBUTION FACILITIES
(2009)
T eluk Bayur
Sumat era
Kalimant an
Sulawesi
T anj ung Priok Jakart a
Samarinda
Banj armasin
Palu
Bit ung
Ambon
Makassar Biringkasi
Bali T abanan Denpasar Singaraj an DI Yogyakart a
Lempuyangan Jant i Cent ral Java T egal Purwokert o Kudus Magelang Solo/ Palur Alas T uwo Moj opahit Sayung West Java
Serang T angerang Bogor Cibit ung Bandung T asik Malaya Cirebon Narogong Belawan
Singapore Kuala Lumpur
T uban
Surabaya
Cement Plant
Packing Plant
Port
War ehouse
East Java Margomulyo T anj ung Wangi Bangkalan Swabina Aleh
Pelabuhan T uban
Pelabuhan Gresik
Installed Cap.:
5.9 mn tons
Installed Cap.:
9.0 mn tons
8728
1539
1999
7532
2892
3387
4.342
2234
3.326
2523
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Re ve nue
Gross Profit
Ope rating Profit
Ebitda
Ne t Profit
(Rp billions)
CAGR
(2005 – 2009)
Revenue
18%
Gross Profit
24%
Operating Income
30%
EBITDA
24%
Net Income
35%
Total assets
15%
Total Equity
23%
STRONG BALANCE SHEET AND RETURNS
Cash balance (IDR bn)
Total debt (IDR bn)
2. 939
5. 282
3. 836
1. 424
1. 929
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
CAGR
(05—09
) 39%
151
854
224
159
180
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
CAGR (05
—09) -35%
* Include short t erm invest ment
Debt/ EBITDA
0,10x
0,40x
0,03x
0,06x
0,05x
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Return on Assets
17,3%
13,7%
25,7%
20,8%
23,8%
2. 5%
3.0%
2.7%
5. 2%
4.1%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Average: 3, 5%
1.8%
I NTP
SMCB
SMGR
SMGR DIVIDEND YIELD IN THE LAST 5 YEARS
1)SMGR DIVIDEND YIELD IN THE LAST 5 YEARS
1)*): f or FY2009
2009 DIVIDEND YIELD
1)2009 DIVIDEND YIELD
1)REGULAR DIVIDENDS
REGULAR DIVIDENDS
Key determinants of dividend policy:
•
Historical dividend payout trends
•
Comparison with peers
•
Proj ected cash-flows available for dividends (after taking into account
potential expansionary capex etc)
•
Analyst and investor expectations
•
Shareholder profile
REGULAR DIVIDEND PAYMENTS WITH ATTRACTIVE YIELD
1)shares pri ce
3980
5160 5300
5600
5000
4000
9,900 9,800
9,200
1805.521830.92
2139.28
2359.21
2745.83
2447.3 2349.1
1832.5
1355.4 1434.07
2020.78
2467.592534.35
2777.3 2913.68
3,069.283,081.88
MARKET UPDATE
(11M2010)
MARKET UPDAT E (Cement Sales 11M2010)
*)
DESCRIPTION
11M2010
11M2009
CHANGE
(%)
DOMESTIC
15. 90
16. 17
(1. 7)
EXPORT
0. 24
0. 61
(59. 8)
GRAND TOTAL
16. 15
16. 78
(3. 8)
SMGR Sales Volume
(million t ons)
DESCRIPTION
11M2010
11M2009
CHANGE
(%)
Jakart a
3. 43
3. 28
4. 7
Bant en
1. 88
1. 74
8. 2
West Java
5. 31
5. 03
5. 6
Cent ral Java
4. 06
4. 13
(1. 9)
Yogyakart a
0. 54
0. 56
(3. 3)
East Java
4. 59
4. 58
0. 2
Total Java
19. 84
19. 35
2. 5
Sumat era
8. 73
7. 93
10. 1
Kal imant an
2. 57
2. 28
12. 9
Sul awesi
2. 72
2. 75
(0. 8)
Nusa Tenggara
2. 18
2. 02
7. 8
Mal uku & Papua
0. 80
0. 82
(1. 8)
TOTAL
INDONESIA
36. 87
35. 16
4. 9
Export Semen
0. 69
1. 19
(41. 7)
Export Cl inker
1. 89
2. 59
(27. 1)
Tot al Export
2. 58
3. 78
(31. 7)
Indust ry Sales Volume
(million t ons)
*) Source: Indonesia Cement Associat ion, un-audit ed figures
MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY (11M2010)
Domestic Consumption – Java remains as the
largest market
*)23.7%
7.4%
7.1%
5.9%
2.3%
East of Indonesia
Nusa Tenggara
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
Java
53.6.%
Sumatera
Domestic Market Share
*)*)
Source: ASI (Indonesi a Cement Associ at i on)
MARKET SHARE (%)
SMGR
INTP
SMCB
BSWA ANDLS
BTRJA
DOMESTIC MARKET CONSUMPTION
Retail (residential) sector is the largest
consumer of cement in Indonesia
Bag
80%
Bulk
20%
Key Drivers of Domestic cement demand:
•
National Economic Growth
•
Favorable Interest Rat e Environment
•
Infrastructure Expansion
•
Per Capita Consumption increase from current low levels
•
Ready-mix (inf rast ruct ure):
±
50%
•
Fabricat or (pre-cast , f iber cement , cement based indust ry):
±
45%
•
Proj ect s (mort ar, render):
±
5%
•
Ready-mix (inf rast ruct ure):
±
50%
•
Fabricat or (pre-cast , f iber cement , cement based indust ry):
±
45%
•
Proj ect s (mort ar, render):
±
5%
•
Housing:
±
90%
•
Cement based indust ry:
±
10%
•
Housing:
±
90%
•
Cement based indust ry:
±
10%
±
±
FINANCIAL UPDATE
(9M2010)
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (9M-2010 RESULTS)
EBITDA
(Rp bill ion)
NET INCOME
(Rp bil lion)
NET INCOME
(Rp bil lion)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
9M06
9M07
9M08
9M09
9M10
27. 1
29. 2
31. 6
32. 5
34. 5
NET INCOME Margin
(%)
NET INCOME Margin
(%)
9M06
9M07
9M08
9M09
9M10
3546
9M-06
9M-07
9M-08
9M-09
9M-10
2522
9M-06
9M-07
9M-08
9M-09
9M-10
Description
(Rp bn)
9M-09
9M-10
Change
(%)
Net Revenue
10,404
10,292
(1.1)
Cost of Revenue
5,647
5,356
(5.1)
Gross Profit
4,757
4,936
3.8
Operating Income
3,059
3,207
4.8
EBITDA
3,379
3,546
4.9
Net Income
2,408
2,522
4.7
EPS (full amount)
STRATEGIC PROJECTS
Cement Finish Grinding
Preparation Bored Pile
Coal Storage
Steel Structure Pile Cap PreparationCement Silo
Jetty Extension Area
T
New Power Plant Area
New Plants
Location
Capacity
(mn tons)
Investment
(US$ mn)
Construction
Start
Completed
Java
2. 5
304
2008
2012
Sulawesi
2. 5
290
2008
2011
Sub Total
5. 0
594
Start
Completed
Sulawesi
2 x 35
114
2010
2012
TOTAL CAPEX
US$ 708mn
STRATEGIC PROJECTS
M ain Substation
Elect rical Equipment Foundation
Progress of Tonasa V Cement Plant Project
Progress of Tuban IV Cement Plant Project
Progress of Pow er Plant Project - Tonasa 2 x 35 M W
Packer Tuban IV
Cement Silo Tonasa V
PROGRESS OF CEMENT & POWER PLANT PROJECTS – Nov. 15, 2010
Description
Weight
Planning
Actual
Preparat ion
0. 61%
70. 15%
76. 62%
Management
3. 77%
58. 15%
68. 45%
Engineering
4. 34%
75. 53%
82. 86%
Procurement
61. 94%
66. 02%
68. 15%
Const ruct ion
27. 46%
37. 01%
23. 10%
Commissioning
1. 88%
0. 00%
0. 00%
Total
100 %
56. 95%
55. 20%
Description
Weight
Planning
Actual
Preparat ion
0. 98%
74. 47%
82. 09%
Management
3. 43%
64. 81%
65. 89%
Engineering
4. 53%
92. 74%
96. 32%
Procurement
60. 40%
72. 98%
73. 25%
Const ruct ion
28. 67%
38. 95%
38. 97%
Commissioning
1. 99%
3. 52%
3. 52%
Total
100 %
62. 47%
62. 91%
Description
Weight
Planning
Actual
Preparat ion
2. 63%
74. 31%
73. 35%
Management
4. 60%
52. 13%
52. 18%
Engineering
5. 75%
11. 54%
13. 10%
Procurement
55. 13%
6. 71%
4. 49%
Const ruct ion
26. 45%
0. 56%
1. 71%
Commissioning
5. 44%
0. 00%
0. 00%
PRODUCTION CAPACITY (Mio Ton)
20. 5
24. 0
27. 0
17. 7
16.7
15. 2
1.0
0. 7
1.8
2007
2008
2009
2010F
2011F
2012F
2013F
17. 1
18. 0
19. 0
19. 5
Export sal es
▪
Domest ic sal es
▪
Detailed capex schedule (US$ mm)
Detailed capex schedule (US$ mm)
9 55 29
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
To t al
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Key Items (Capex)
(US$ Mio)
Capaci t y Expansion
594
Power Plant s
114
De-bot t lenecki ng
106
Human Capit al Mast er Plan & ICT
40
Ot hers
101
Mai nt enance
227
Ef f i ciency Improvement
35
Mandat ory
45
Total Capex
1. 262
ENVIRONMENTAL FOCUS
Generate revenue
Emissions reduction programs
Carbon credits trading
Environmental
Management
Reduce operating expense
Energy efficiency programs
Technology-driven cost
savings
Promote company image
Domestic capacity expansion
Investment communities
SMGR IS FOCUSED ON DRIVING VALUE THROUGH AN
ENVIRONMENTALLY-SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS PLATFORM
1. Alternat ive Fuel
The use of al t ernat i ve f uel is t he company’ st rat egy pl an in order t o improve non
renewabl e energy ef f iciency as wel l as consume f riendl y environment al energy.
2. Wast e Heat Recovery Power Generation
Ut il ize exhaust (wast e gas) f rom pre-heat er &
cool er t o produce el ect ricit y (power pl ant ).
3. Shifting Coal Consumption from
High-Medium CV to Low CV by 2011
4. Environmental Management System:
• Environment Monit oring Program
• Environment Management Program
FUTURE OF INDONESIA’ S CEMENT INDUSTRY
Pessimist
: 5. 5%
Moderate
: 6. 5%
Optimist
: 7. 0
%
Annual Growth Rates
NATIONAL DEMAND IS FORECAST TO RISE TO 142mm TONS BY 2030
Indonesia Cement Market Growth 2010-2030
43 46
49
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Pessimist
Moderate
Optimist
Indonesia’ s demand growth will make it the largest cement producer in Southeast Asia
Sour ce: Int er nal Resear ch
2020:
76 mio
t ons
2030:
142 mio
tons
2030:
142 mio
DEMAND IN 2010-2030 WILL INCREASINGLY SHIFT TO THE OUTER ISLANDS
SMGR with its wide geographical presence is well positioned to tap the growth
throughout Indonesia
Malaysia
Timor Leste Malaysia
Malaysia
Timor Leste Timor Leste Timor Leste
22
50
17 MT (618%)
Sulawesi
13 MT (406%)
East of Indonesia
5 MT (625%)
2010
2030
Key
Figures are in MT
21, 0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Bag Consumpt i on
Bul k Consumpt i on
SO FAR INFRASTRUCTURE EXPANSION HAS BEEN RELATIVELY SLOW
Tr anspor tati on 2,458
Rai l ways 11,960
Tol l r oads 15,248
Po wer 3,695
W ater resour ces 779
Proj ect Value by Sector (US$ million) 2010-2014
Toll Road
Proj ect Status
No. of
proj ects
Proj ect
value
(USD mio)
Length
(Km)
Cement
demand
(MT)
Proj ects Ready For Offer
3
1, 000
135
405
Priority Proj ects
8
2, 474
342
1, 026
Potential Proj ects
19
11, 774
857
2, 571
TOTAL
30
15, 248
1, 334
4, 002
INDONESIA PLANS TO INVEST HEAVILY IN INFRASTRUCTURE – PARTICULARLY
TOLL-ROADS
TOTAL VALUE:
US$34, 140 mn
IN ADDITION TO CEMENT DEMAND FROM TOLL ROAD PROJECTS, THE MULTIPLIER
EFFECT WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN RETAIL CEMENT DEMAND
Riau
S. Sumatera
216,000
S. Sumatera
216,000
N. Sumatera
408,000
N. Sumatera
408,000
W. Sumatera
165,000
W. Sumatera
165,000
N. Sulawesi
138,000
N. Sulawesi
138,000
Potential cement demand : Toll road projects 2010 to 2014
SMGR LONG TERM STRATEGIC FOCUS
SMGR
SMGR
THE OVERALL
STRATEGY
COMBINES
6
CRITICAL
ELEMENTS
THE OVERALL
STRATEGY
COMBINES
6
6
CRITICAL
ELEMENTS
1. Undertake Capacity Growth
2. Manage Energy Security
3. Enhance Company Image
4. Move Closer To The Customer
5. Enable Corporate Growth
6. Manage Key Risks
1. Undertake Capacity Growth
2. Manage Energy Security
3. Enhance Company Image
4. Move Closer To The Customer
5. Enable Corporate Growth
APPENDIX
INDONESIA AT A GLANCE
Area
: 1. 9 million km
2
Capital City
: Jakarta
Significant Islands
: Java, Sumatera, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Nusa Tenggara Islands, Papua
•
Population (2009)
: 230 Million
•
Population Growt h
: 1. 3% p. a.
2008
2009
2010F
•
Annual GDP Growt h
:
6. 1%
4. 5%
5. 5%
•
Annual Inflation rate
:
11. 1%
2. 8%
5. 5%
•
BI Rate (year end)
:
9. 25%
6. 5%
7. 25%
Singapor e Kuala
Lum pur
Jakarta
*
Sumatera
Java
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
Papua
Main Office:
Main Building of Semen Gresik
Jln. Veteran Gresik 61122 –
Indonesia
Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745
Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264
Representative Office:
Gedung The East, 18
thFloor,
Jln. Lingkar Mega Kuningan Kav. E3.2 No. 1,
Jakarta 12950 – Indonesia
Phone : (62-21) 5261174 – 5
Fax
: (62-21) 5261176
www.semengresik.com
THANK YOU
THANK YOU
IMPORTANT NOTICE
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION, RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER.
THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others:
● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia;
● the effects of competition;
● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices;
● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue;
● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates;
● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets;
● labor unrest or other similar situations; and
● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation.
We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained.
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.
