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Teks penuh

(1)

Prepared by:

Fernando & Yvonn

Quijano

11

Chapter

Input Demand:

The Capital Market

(2)

1:

The Capital Market

and the Investment Decision

Capital, Investment, and Depreciation

Capital

Investment and Depreciation

The Capital Market

Capital Income: Interest and Profits

Financial Markets in Action

Capital Accumulation and Allocation

The Demand for New Capital and the Investment Decision

(3)

PT

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

CAPITAL

capital

Those goods produced by the

economic system that are used as inputs

to produce other goods and services in the

future.

(4)

1:

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

Tangible Capital

physical, or tangible, capital

Material

things used as inputs in the production of

future goods and services. The major

categories of physical capital are

nonresidential structures, durable

(5)

PT

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

Social Capital: Infrastructure

social capital, or infrastructure

Capital

that provides services to the public. Most

social capital takes the form of public works

(roads and bridges) and public services

(6)

1:

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

Intangible Capital

intangible capital

Nonmaterial things that

contribute to the output of future goods and

services.

human capital

A form of intangible capital

that includes the skills and other knowledge

that workers have or acquire through

(7)

PT

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

The Time Dimension

The value of capital is only as great as the value of the services it will render

over time.

Measuring Capital

When we speak of capital, we refer not to money or to financial assets such as bonds and

stocks, but instead to the firm’s physical plant, equipment, inventory, and intangible assets.

capital stock

For a single firm, the current

market value of the firm’s plant, equipment,

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1:

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

investment

New capital additions to a

firm’s capital stock. Although capital is

measured at a given point in time (a stock),

investment is measured over a period of

time (a flow). The flow of investment

increases the capital stock.

(9)

PT

CAPITAL, INVESTMENT, AND DEPRECIATION

TABLE 11.1

Private Investment in the U.S. Economy, 2004

GDP = 11,734.3

Gross private domestic investment = 1,928.1

BILLIONS OF CURRENT DOLLARS

AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL GROSS

INVESTMENT

AS A

PERCENTAGE OF GDP

Nonresidential structures 298.4 15.5 2.5 Equipment and software 900.4 46.7 7.7 Change in inventories 55.4 2.9 0.5 Residential structures and equipment 673.8 34.9 5.7 Total gross private investment 1928.1 100.0 21.0 depreciation 1206.2 62.6 10.3 Net investment =

gross investment depreciation 721.9 37.4 6.2

depreciation

The decline in an asset’s

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1:

THE CAPITAL MARKET

capital market

The market in which

households supply their savings to firms

that demand funds to buy capital goods.

The funds that firms use to buy capital goods come, directly or indirectly, from

households. When a household decides not to consume a portion of its

income, it saves. Investment by firms is the

demand for capital

. Saving by

households is the

supply of capital

. Various financial institutions facilitate the

(11)

PT

THE CAPITAL MARKET

FIGURE 11.1

$1,000 in Savings Becomes $1,000 of Investment

(12)

1:

THE CAPITAL MARKET

bond

A contract between a borrower and a

lender, in which the borrower agrees to pay

the loan at some time in the future, along

with interest payments along the way.

financial capital market

The part of the

capital market in which savers and investors

interact through intermediaries.

(13)

PT

THE CAPITAL MARKET

capital income

Income earned on savings

that have been put to use through financial

capital markets.

interest

The payments made for the use of

money.

CAPITAL INCOME: INTEREST AND PROFITS

(14)

1:

THE CAPITAL MARKET

share of common stock

A certificate that

represents the ownership of a share of

a business, almost always a corporation.

Profits

dividend

Profits that are paid directly to

shareholders.

(15)

PT

THE CAPITAL MARKET

Functions of Interest and Profit

(16)

1:

THE CAPITAL MARKET

(17)

PT

THE CAPITAL MARKET

CAPITAL ACCUMULATION AND ALLOCATION

(18)

1:

THE DEMAND FOR NEW CAPITAL

AND THE INVESTMENT DECISION

Firms have an incentive to expand in industries that

earn positive profits

that is, a rate of return above

normal

and in industries in which economies of

scale lead to lower average costs at higher levels of

(19)

PT

THE DEMAND FOR NEW CAPITAL

AND THE INVESTMENT DECISION

FORMING EXPECTATIONS

The Expected Benefits of Investments

The investment process requires that the potential investor evaluate the

expected flow of future productive services that an investment project will yield.

The Expected Costs of Investments

The ability to lend at the market rate of interest means that there is an

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1:

THE DEMAND FOR NEW CAPITAL

AND THE INVESTMENT DECISION

COMPARING COSTS AND EXPECTED RETURN

expected rate of return

The annual rate

of return that a firm expects to obtain

(21)

PT

THE DEMAND FOR NEW CAPITAL

AND THE INVESTMENT DECISION

TABLE 11.2

Potential Investment Projects and Expected Rates of Return for a Hypothetical

Firm, Based on Forecasts of Future Profits Attributable to the Investment

PROJECT

D. New automated billing system

100,000

12

E. Ten new delivery trucks

400,000

10

F. Advertising campaign

1,000,000

7

(22)

1:

(23)

PT

THE DEMAND FOR NEW CAPITAL

AND THE INVESTMENT DECISION

Only those investment projects in the economy that are expected to yield a rate of return

higher than the market interest rate will be funded. At lower market interest rates, more

investment projects are undertaken.

(24)

1:

THE DEMAND FOR NEW CAPITAL

AND THE INVESTMENT DECISION

A perfectly competitive profit-maximizing firm will keep investing in new capital

up to the point at which the expected rate of return is equal to the interest rate.

This is analogous to saying that the firm will continue investing up to the point at

which the marginal revenue product of capital is equal to the price of capital, or

MRP

K

= P

K

, which is what we learned in Chapter 10.

(25)

PT

A FINAL WORD ON CAPITAL

The concept of capital is one of the central ideas in

economics. Capital is produced by the economic

system itself. Capital generates services over time, and

it is used as an input in the production of goods and

(26)

1:

expected rate of return

financial capital market

REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS

human capital

intangible capital

interest

interest rate

investment

physical, or tangible, capital

profit

(27)

PT

CALCULATING PRESENT VALUE

Appendix

PRESENT VALUE

TABLE 11A.1

Expected Profits from a $1,200

Investment Project

evaluate an investment

project is the interest rate

that you could earn by

(28)

1:

present discounted value (

PDV

), or present

value (

PV

)

The present discounting value of

R

dollars to be paid

t

years in the future is the

amount you need to pay today, at current

interest rates, to ensure that you end up with

R

dollars

t

years from now. It is the current

market value of receiving

R

dollars

in

t

years.

(29)

PT

TABLE 11A.2

Calculation of Total Present Value of a Hypothetical Investment

Project (Assuming r = 10 Percent)

END OF…

$(

r

)

Total Present Value

1,126.06

(30)

1:

FIGURE 11A.1

Investment Project:

Go or No?

(31)

PT

LOWER INTEREST RATES, HIGHER

PRESENT VALUES

TABLE 11A.3

Calculation of Total Present Value of a Hypothetical Investment

Project (Assuming

r

= 5 Percent)

(32)

1:

If the present value of an expected stream of earnings

from an investment exceeds the cost of the investment

necessary to undertake it, then the investment should

be undertaken. However, if the present value of an

expected stream of earnings falls short of the cost of

the investment, then the financial market can generate

the same stream of income for a smaller initial

Gambar

TABLE 11.1  Private Investment in the U.S. Economy, 2004
FIGURE 11.1  $1,000 in Savings Becomes $1,000 of Investment
FIGURE 11.2  Financial Markets Link Household Saving and Investment by Firms
TABLE 11.2  Potential Investment Projects and Expected Rates of Return for a Hypothetical
+4

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