NO
KABUPATEN/KOTA
3
Tapanuli Selatan
107
550
5,140186916
59,75
640,10
10,7129707
265,31
1.949,80
4
Tapanuli Tengah
252
3.605
14,30555556
252,94
1.857,20
7,34245276
104,41
974,80
NO
KABUPATEN/KOTA
TAHUN
2013
Luas Panen (Ha)
Produksi (Ton)
Produktivitas (Ton/Ha)
Luas Panen (H
1
Nias
8,3
78,1
9,46666667
15,
2
Mandailing Natal
167,1
1.358,1
8,12698223
3
Tapanuli Selatan
85,1
1.515,5
17,8063682
68,
4
Tapanuli Tengah
121,4
2.089,9
17,2135738
51,
5
Tapanuli Utara
23,5
158,4
6,72897196
28,
6
Toba Samosir
3,2
24,6
7,6875
7
Labuhan Batu
11,9
109,7
9,21848739
13,
8
Asahan
26,1
273,5
10,4749138
33,
9
Simalungun
5,9
86,9
14,7038917
10 Dairi
2,7
25,8
9,73584906
11 Karo
6,0
12,5
2,08333333
15,
12 Deli Serdang
199,4
3.041,8
15,2524695
223,
13 Langkat
61,2
2.190,3
35,7775237
130,
14 Nias Selatan
3,3
5,5
1,69230769
21,
15 H. Hasundutan
3,8
4,1
1,07894737
16 Pakpak Barat
-
-
-
17 Samosir
-
-
-
18 Serdang Bedagai
23,8
436,1
18,3466554
19 Batubara
0,5
4,4
8,8
20 Pd. Lawas Utara
24,0
251,0
10,4583333
16,
21 Padang Lawas
29,5
279,8
9,48474576
70,
22 Lab. Batu Selatan
-
-
-
23 Lab. Batu Utara
0,3
1,9
6,33333333
24 Nias Utara
1,0
10,0
10
5
6
8965517
2
5
10
1
1
2
0
5
884106
60,
0
8
9333333
5
0
1818182
5
4
18666667
6
7
27738928
21,
9
5
83072
623,
Lampiran 2. Data Nilai Ekspor Manggis Sumatera Utara, Nilai Tukar
Nominal, Volume Ekspor, Dummy Variabel, Harga Ekspor Manggis Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2005-2014
Lampiran 3. Data Variabel Setelah Ditransformasi
Tingkat Petani di Provinsi Sumatera Utara, Tahun 2005 -
2014
Lampiran 5a. Tabel Summary Regresi Linier Berganda
Tahun Harga Ekspor Manggis (Rp/Kg)
Harga Domestik Manggis Tingkat
Petani (Rp/Kg) 2005 2474,55 1484,73 2006 2706 1623,6 2007 3168,9 1901,34 2008 3661,2 2196,72 2009 3948 2368,8 2010 4640,48 2784,288 2011 4458,48 2853,4272 2012 5400 3456 2013 5896,87 3773,9968 2014 7765,97 4970,2208
Model Summaryb
Model R R Square
Adjusted R
Square
Std. Error of the
Estimate Durbin-Watson
1 ,934a ,872 ,858 2,00224E8 1,640
a. Predictors: (Constant), Nilai Tukar Nominal, Volume Ekspor , Hambatan Non Tarif,
Harga Ekspor,
b. Dependent Variable: Nilai Ekspor
Lampiran 5b. Tabel Coefficient Regresi Linier Berganda
Lampiran 5c. Tabel ANOVA Regresi Linier Berganda
ANOVAb
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 9,577E18 4 2,394E18 59,723 ,000a
Residual 1,403E18 35 4,009E16
Total 1,098E19 39
a. Predictors: (Constant), Nilai Tukar Nominal, Volume Ekspor, Hambatan Non Tarif, Harga
Ekspor
b. Dependent Variable: Nilai Ekspor
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
Collinearity Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) -2,791E8 3,599E8 -,775 ,443
Nilai Tukar Nominal -12402,921 36644,561 -,022 -,338 ,737 ,852 1,173
Volume Ekspor 4954,285 387,529 ,925 12,784 ,000 ,698 1,433
Hambatan Non Tarif 1,404E8 76048792,055 ,131 1,846 ,073 ,722 1,385
Harga Ekspor 67547,568 10757,409 ,430 6,279 ,000 ,777 1,287
a. Dependent Variable: Nilai Ekspor
Lampiran 6a. Tabel Uji Normalitas (Kolmogorov Smirnov)
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardized
Residual
N 40
Normal Parametersa,b Mean ,0000000
Std. Deviation 1,89678793E8
Most Extreme Differences Absolute ,161
Positive ,161
Negative -,160
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z 1,020
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,249
a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.
Lampiran 6b. Tabel Hasil Uji Glejser
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1 (Constant) 3,865E8 1,870E8 2,067 ,979
Nilai Tukar Nominal -50550,595 19041,159 -,345 -2,655 ,660
Volume Ekspor 906,395 201,367 ,646 4,501 ,943
Hambatan Non Tarif -9402775,421 39516290,807 -,034 -,238 ,813
Harga Ekspor 16779,930 5589,739 ,409 3,002 ,396
a. Dependent Variable: UiUi
Lampiran 8. Tabel Hasil Uji Granger Causality
Lampiran 9. Tabel Coefficient Regresi Linier Sederhana
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1 (Constant) -209,245 60,131 -3,480 ,008
Harga Ekspor ,669 ,013 ,999 51,943 ,000
a. Dependent Variable: Penerimaan Petani Pairwise Granger Causality Tests
Date: 01/10/16 Time: 12:51 Sample: 2005 2014
Lags: 2
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob.
HARGA_EKSPOR does not Granger Cause HARGA_DOMESTIK_TINGKAT_P 8 8.83772 0.0553 HARGA_DOMESTIK_TINGKAT_P does not Granger Cause HARGA_EKSPOR 13.7842 0.0307
