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Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah terhadap Dolar Amerika, Tingkat Suku Bunga dan Tingkat Inflasi terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan perkebunan yang terdaftar di BEI Tahu 2007 –2012

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(1)

No.

Nama Emiten

Variabel

Inflasi

(%)

Suku Bunga BI (%)

Kurs

(Rp)

Harga Saham (Rp)

1

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI)

6,40

8,60

7.717,34

17.113

2

PT PP London Sumatera Tbk (LSIP)

6,40

8,60

7.717,34

7.275

3

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

(UNSP)

6,40

8,60

7.717,34

1.514

4

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA)

6,40

8,60

7.717,34

503

5

PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO)

6,40

8,60

7.717,34

2.661

Lampiran 2. Data Variabel Independen dan Dependen Tahun 2008

No.

Nama Emiten

Variabel

Inflasi

(%)

Suku Bunga BI (%)

Kurs

(Rp)

Harga Saham (Rp)

1

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI)

10,31

8,67

8.240,32

20.367

2

PT PP London Sumatera Tbk (LSIP)

10,31

8,67

8.240,32

7.363

3

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

(UNSP)

10,31

8,67

8.240,32

1.275

4

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA)

10,31

8,67

8.240,32

459

5

PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO)

10,31

8,67

8.240,32

2.922

Lampiran 3. Data Variabel Independen dan Dependen Tahun 2009

No.

Nama Emiten

Variabel

Inflasi

(%)

Suku Bunga BI (%)

Kurs

(Rp)

Harga Saham (Rp)

1

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI)

4,90

7,15

8.186

18.071

2

PT PP London Sumatera Tbk (LSIP)

4,90

7,15

8.186

6.075

3

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

(UNSP)

4,90

7,15

8.186

616

4

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA)

4,90

7,15

8.186

293

(2)

Lampiran 5. Data Variabel Independen dan Dependen Tahun 2011

No.

Nama Emiten

Variabel

Inflasi

(%)

Suku Bunga BI (%)

Kurs

(Rp)

Harga Saham (Rp)

1

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI)

5,38

6,58

9.114,14

22.188

2

PT PP London Sumatera Tbk (LSIP)

5,38

6,58

9.114,14

3.038

3

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

(UNSP)

5,38

6,58

9.114,14

351

4

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA)

5,38

6,58

9.114,14

548

5

PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO)

5,38

6,58

9.114,14

3.171

Lampiran 6. Data Variabel Independen dan Dependen Tahun 2012

No.

Nama Emiten

Variabel

Inflasi

(%)

Suku Bunga BI (%)

Kurs

(Rp)

Harga Saham (Rp)

1

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI)

4,28

5,77

9.770,11

21.171

2

PT PP London Sumatera Tbk (LSIP)

4,28

5,77

9.770,11

2.504

3

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

(UNSP)

4,28

5,77

9.770,11

196

4

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA)

4,28

5,77

9.770,11

547

5

PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO)

4,28

5,77

9.770,11

2.910

Lampiran 4. Data Variabel Independen dan Dependen Tahun 2010

No.

Nama Emiten

Variabel

Inflasi

(%)

Suku Bunga BI (%)

Kurs

(Rp)

Harga Saham (Rp)

1

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI)

5,13

6,50

8.357,29

22.201

2

PT PP London Sumatera Tbk (LSIP)

5,13

6,50

8.357,29

9.071

3

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

(UNSP)

5,13

6,50

8.357,29

409

4

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA)

5,13

6,50

8.357,29

393

(3)

Lampiran 2. Hasil Uji Multikolinearitas

Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardiz ed Coefficient s

t Sig.

Correlations

Collinearity

Statistics

B Std. Error Beta

Zero-order Partial Part

Toleran

ce VIF

1 (Constant) -4032.604 15609.29

2

-.258 .797

INFLASI -136.359 350.347 -.068 -.389 .698 -.307 -.047 -.039 .325 3.076

SUKUBUN

GA

-228.131 1086.542 -.054 -.210 .834 -.490 -.025 -.021 .150 6.650

KURS 3.116 1.161 .490 2.685 .009 .560 .310 .268 .299 3.341

a. Dependent Variable: AALI

Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardiz ed Coefficient s

t Sig.

Correlations

Collinearity

Statistics

B Std. Error Beta

Zero-order Partial Part

Toleran

ce VIF

1 (Constant) -4752.856 2691.383 -1.766 .082

INFLASI -16.927 68.318 -.055 -.248 .805 -.132 -.031 -.027 .237 4.213

SUKUBUNG

ABI

184.353 210.507 .254 .876 .384 -.270 .110 .095 .138 7.223

KURS .723 .195 .657 3.716 .000 .496 .424 .402 .374 2.673

(4)

Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardiz ed Coefficient s

t Sig.

Correlations

Collinearity

Statistics

B Std. Error Beta

Zero-order Partial Part

Toleran

ce VIF

1 (Constant) -1875.131 427.381 -4.387 .000

INFLASI -19.940 11.170 -.364 -1.785 .079 -.117 -.221 -.171 .220 4.550

SUKUBUNG

ABI

106.348 34.302 .814 3.100 .003 -.209 .366 .296 .133 7.546

KURS .197 .031 .990 6.415 .000 .567 .632 .613 .384 2.605

a. Dependent Variable: TBLA

Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardiz ed Coefficient s

t Sig.

Correlations

Collinearity

Statistics

B Std. Error Beta

Zero-order Partial Part

Toleran

ce VIF

1 (Constant) 23650.40

5

11841.16

2

1.997 .050

INFLASI 43.824 265.772 .033 .165 .870 .082 .020 .019 .325 2,417

SUKUBUNG

ABI

-435.092 824.248 -.157 -.528 .599 .194 -.064 -.061 .150 4,005

KURS -1.739 .880 -.415 -1.975 .052 -.306 -.233 -.227 .299 5,668

(5)

Lampiran. 8 Hasil Uji Heteroskedastisitas

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized

Coefficients

Standardiz

ed

Coefficient

s

t Sig.

Correlations

Collinearity

Statistics

B Std. Error Beta

Zero-order Partial Part

Toleran

ce VIF

1 (Constant) -6077.361 1842.923 -3.298 .002

INFLASI -127.303 41.364 -.506 -3.078 .003 .289 -.350 -.288 .325 3,876

SUKUBUNG

ABI

667.728 128.283 1.258 5.205 .000 .557 .534 .488 .150 3,566

KURS .322 .137 .403 2.352 .022 -.378 .274 .220 .299 5,677

a. Dependent Variable: UNSP

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

B Std. Error Beta

1 (Constant) -20322.641 8920.914 -2.278 .026

NILAITUKAR 1.495 .663 .433 2.254 .027

SUKUBUNGA 1304.286 620.973 .569 2.100 .039

INFLASI 192.871 200.228 .178 .963 .339

(6)

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

B Std. Error Beta

1 (Constant) 1261.060 5320.940 .237 .813

KURS .181 .396 .089 .457 .649

SUKUBUNGABI -372.396 370.384 -.276 -1.005 .318

INFLASI 417.065 119.427 .653 3.492 .061

a. Dependent Variable: RES2 (LSIP)

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

B Std. Error Beta

1 (Constant) -443.282 199.650 -2.220 .030

KURS .025 .014 .311 1.741 .087

SUKUBUNG

ABI

52.218 16.024 .990 3.259 .502

INFLASI -8.494 5.218 -.384 -1.628 .109

(7)

Lampiran 9. Hasil Uji Autokorelasi

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

B Std. Error Beta

1 (Constant) -3582.744 996.746 -3.594 .001

KURS .213 .074 .489 2.874 .555

SUKUBUNGABI 305.688 69.382 1.058 4.406 .323

INFLASI -17.296 22.372 -.126 -.773 .442

a. Dependent Variable: Unstandardized Residual (UNSP)

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

B Std. Error Beta

1 (Constant) -1345.088 1617.762 -.831 .409

KURS .096 .117 .156 .818 .416

SUKUBUN

GABI

120.085 126.534

.298

.949 .346

INFLASI 30.095 41.065 .176 .733 .466

a. Dependent Variable: Unstandardized Residual (SGRO)

Model Summaryb

Model

Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson R Square

Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change

1 .322a 10.759 3 68 .000 1.613

a. Predictors: (Constant), INFLASI, NILAITUKAR, SUKUBUNGA

(8)

Model Summaryb

Model

Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson R Square

Change F Change df1 df2

Sig. F

Change

1 .403a 15.292 3 68 .000 1.619

a. Predictors: (Constant), INFLASI, KURS, SUKUBUNGABI

b. Dependent Variable: UNSP

Model Summaryb

Model

Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson R Square

Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change

1 .264a 7.532 3 63 .000 1.751

a. Predictors: (Constant), INFLASI, KURS, SUKUBUNGABI

b. Dependent Variable: SGRO

Model Summaryb

Model

Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson R Square

Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change

1 .100a 2.506 3 68 .066 1.885

a. Predictors: (Constant), INFLASI, KURS, SUKUBUNGABI

b. Dependent Variable: LSIP Model Summaryb

Model

Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson R Square

Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change

1 .433a 15.808 3 62 .000 1.972

a. Predictors: (Constant), INFLASI, KURS, SUKUBUNGABI

(9)

piran

10. Hasil Uji Normalitas

Correlations

AALI NILAITUKAR SUKUBUNGA INFLASI

AALI Pearson Correlation 1 .560** -.490** -.307**

Sig. (2-tailed) 0.40 .000 .000 .009

N 72 72 72 72

NILAITUKAR Pearson Correlation .560** 1 -.783** -.403**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

SUKUBUNGA Pearson Correlation -.490** -.783** 1 .761**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

INFLASI Pearson Correlation -.307** -.403** .761** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .009 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

Correlations

LSIP INFLASI SUKUBUNGABI KURS

LSIP Pearson Correlation 1 .082 .194 -.306**

Sig. (2-tailed) 0.248 .0096 .003 .009

N 72 72 72 72

INFLASI Pearson Correlation .082 1 .761** -.403**

Sig. (2-tailed) .0096 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

SUKUBUNGABI Pearson Correlation .194 .761** 1 -.783**

Sig. (2-tailed) .003 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

KURS Pearson Correlation -.306** -.403** -.783** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .009 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

(10)

Correlations

TBLA KURS

SUKUBUNGAB

I INFLASI

TBLA Pearson Correlation 1 .567** -.209 -.117

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .092 .348

N 66 66 66 66

KURS Pearson Correlation .567** 1 -.783** -.403**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000

N 66 72 72 72

SUKUBUNGABI Pearson Correlation -.209 -.783** 1 .761**

Sig. (2-tailed) .092 .000 .000

N 66 72 72 72

INFLASI Pearson Correlation -.117 -.403** .761** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .348 .000 .000

N 66 72 72 72

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). Correlations

UNSP KURS SUKUBUNGABI INFLASI

UNSP Pearson Correlation 1 -.378** .557** .289*

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .000 .014

N 72 72 72 72

KURS Pearson Correlation -.378** 1 -.783** -.403**

Sig. (2-tailed) .001 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

SUKUBUNGABI Pearson Correlation .557** -.783** 1 .761**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

INFLASI Pearson Correlation .289* -.403** .761** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .014 .000 .000

N 72 72 72 72

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

(11)

Correlations

SGRO KURS SUKUBUNGABI INFLASI

SGRO Pearson Correlation 1 .496** -.270* -.132

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .027 .286

N 67 67 67 67

KURS Pearson Correlation .496** 1 -.783** -.403**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000

N 67 72 72 72

SUKUBUNGABI Pearson Correlation -.270* -.783** 1 .761**

Sig. (2-tailed) .027 .000 .000

N 67 72 72 72

INFLASI Pearson Correlation -.132 -.403** .761** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .286 .000 .000

N 67 72 72 72

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

(12)

Lampiran 11. Hasil Uji Normal Prabability Plot

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