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Lampiran 1 Tabel Kestabilan cuaca berdasarkan Pasquil

Day time sun (flux density) in W/m2 Night time (cloud amount) in oktas Kec. angin

(m/dt) Kuat Moderate Lemah 8 4 - 7 0 - 3

< 2 A A - B B D G G 2 - 3 A - B B C D E F 3 - 5 B B - C C D D E 5 - 6 C C - D D D D D > 6 C D D D D D Sumber: Colls (2002)

Lampiran 2 ANOVA dari Industri I – Industri VII

Analysis of Variance

Source DF SS MS F P Factor 6 1.740E+13 2.901E+12 53.01 0.000 Error 63 3.447E+12 5.472E+10

Total 69 2.085E+13

Individual 95% CIs For Mean Based on Pooled StDev

Level N Mean StDev ---+---+---+---+--- PROD.I 10 447391 205631 (--*--) PROD.II 10 626685 206984 (--*-) PROD.III 10 1459460 542714 (--*--) PROD.IV 10 2130 1884 (--*--) PROD.V 10 74016 55329 (-*--) PROD.VI 10 20062 17144 (--*--) PROD.VII 10 570 118 (--*--) ---+---+---+---+--- Pooled StDev = 233918 0 500000 1000000 1500000

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Lampiran 3 Data nilai produksi

HARGA PRODUKSI INDUSTRI

TAHUN I N D U S T R I I II III IV V VI VII 1995 Produksi(ton) 368,595 464,663 1,170,150 5,837 24676.06681 4,517 Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 279,909,883 567,310,680 899,182,820 20,685,401 3,838,097,991 16,177,864 Harga per ton 759 1,221 768 3543.686404 155539.2932 3581.908456 1996 Produksi(ton) 1,010,754 1,198,867 2,934,188 1437 31235.52761 5,790

Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 637,898,625 1,169,320,000 1,188,440,000 6746780 971,670,378 20,740,851 Harga per ton 631.1116503 975.3542303 405.0319884 4695.045233 31107.85865 3581.908456 1997 Produksi(ton) 473,903 597,417 1,504,463 912 42210.17244 7,424

Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 359,880,338 729,391,750 1,156,080,000 3,231,842 1,313,068,078 26,590,835 Harga per ton 759.3966234 1220.90893 768.4336537 3543.686404 31107.85865 3581.908456

1998 Produksi(ton) 305,462 553,894 1,332,633 432 52,111 9,165

Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 504,442,402 1,182,466,058 2,464,590,668 5,895,760 1,621,071,701 32,828,191 Harga per ton 1651.408038 2134.823735 1849.414406 13647.59259 31107.85865 3581.908456 1999 Produksi(ton) 317,643 586,633 1,485,472 112 63159.124 10,166 Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 467,747,518 1,308,909,360 2,253,935,741 1,124,598 1,721,081,714 1,678,324 Harga per ton 1472.55702 2231.223542 1517.320002 10025.83578 27249.9301 165.0977608

2000 Produksi(ton) 430,422 618,320 1,460,623 221 87,177 11,795

Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 708,843,006 1,477,179,002 2,431,133,179 2,216,316 416,192,617 58,977,132 Harga per ton 1646.85589 2389.020252 1664.449471 10025.85723 4774.103712 4999.998474

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Lampiran 3 (Lanjutan)

HARGA PRODUKSI INDUSTRI

I N D U S T R I TAHUN I II III IV V VI VII 2001 Produksi(ton) 422988.5 587039.5 1326128 1934.2545 70758.241/139161.6 20867.07717 Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 696601102.7 1402449254 2207273047 15267130 2,006,091,781 104335354 Harga per ton 1646.85589 2389.020252 1664.449471 7893.030622 14415.55559 4999.998474 2002 Produksi(ton) 415,555 555,759 1,191,633 3,647,509 555,759 35980.92137

Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 806,302,052 1,551,518,008 2,421,814,749 42,902,003 1,551,518,008 263,533,430 Harga per ton 1940.30165 2791.71009 2032.349514 11.76200059 2791.71009 7324.254631 2003 Produksi(ton) 321,979 495,608 1,000,152 3123.409 17,287 47457.848

Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 698,031,632 1,597,989,892 2,134,114,175 43,902,113 158,724,330 347,593,363 Harga per ton 2167.941487 3224.302053 2133.789839 14055.83227 9181.716319 7324.254631

2004 Produksi(ton) 406607 608649 1189153 3647.509 92000 47457.848 4181.081 Nilai Prod.(rb.Rph) 1315980218 2644596396 3756427935 42902003 612043850 830433225 17205881 Harga per ton 3236.491792 4345.027094 3158.910531 11762.00059 6652.650543 17498.33294 4115.175

Harga rata2 per

ton 1,585 2281.475428 1588.681451 7923.477612 33279.21999 5737.730251 4115.175

6652.650543

Sumber: BPS, hasil survey Ekonomi Industri tahun 1995-2004 (diolah)

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Lampiran 4 Data Produksi dan Emisi dari tiap industri

Industri I

Faktor emisi : 10, 3, 0.1, 0.01 ugTEQ/ton

TAHUN PRODUKSI Estimasi emisi Estimasi emisi Estimasi emisi Keterangan (ton) tertinggi terendah berdasarkan penelitian

(gTEQ) (gTEQ) (gTEQ)

f.e = 10 ugTEQ/t f.e = 0.01ugTEQ/t f.e = 10 ugTEQ/t

f.e = 3 ugTEQ/t

1995 368595 3.68595 0.00368595 2.3958675 Diasumsikan

1996 1010754 10.10754 0.01010754 6.569901 produksi

1997 473903 4.73903 0.00473903 3.0803695 50% dihasilkan

1998 305462 3.05462 0.00305462 1.985503 dari scraf kotor

1999 317643 3.17643 0.00317643 2.0646795 dan 50% scraf 2000 430422 4.30422 0.00430422 2.797743 bersih 2001 422988.5 4.229885 0.004229885 2.74942525 (pembuatan 2002 415555 4.15555 0.00415555 2.7011075 besi baja) 2003 321979 3.21979 0.00321979 2.0928635 2004 406607 4.06607 0.00406607 2.6429455 Industri II

Faktor emisi : 10, 4.3, 1 ugTEQ/ton

f.e = 10 ugTEQ/t f.e = 1ugTEQ/t f.e = 1ugTEQ/t

1995 464663 4.64663 0.464663 0.464663 Peleburan besi 1996 1198867 11.98867 1.198867 1.198867 baja lembaran 1997 597417 5.97417 0.597417 0.597417 dingin dengan 1998 553894 5.53894 0.553894 0.553894 penyaringan 1999 586633 5.86633 0.586633 0.586633 2000 618320 6.1832 0.61832 0.61832 2001 587039.5 5.870395 0.5870395 0.5870395 2002 555759 5.55759 0.555759 0.555759 2003 495608 4.95608 0.495608 0.495608 2004 608649 6.08649 0.608649 0.608649

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Industri III Faktor emisi : 10, 3, 0.1, 0.01 ugTEQ/ton

f.e = 10 ugTEQ/t f.e = 0.01 ugTEQ/t f.e = 10 ugTEQ/t

f.e = 3 ugTEQ/t

1995 1170150 11.7015 0.0117015 7.605975 Diasumsikan

1996 2934188 29.34188 0.02934188 19.072222 produksi

1997 1504463 15.04463 0.01504463 9.7790095 50% dihasilkan

1998 1332633 13.32633 0.01332633 8.6621145 dari scraf kotor

1999 1485472 14.85472 0.01485472 9.655568 dan 50% scraf 2000 1460623 14.60623 0.01460623 9.4940495 bersih 2001 1326128 13.26128 0.01326128 8.619832 2002 1191633 11.91633 0.01191633 7.7456145 2003 1000152 10.00152 0.01000152 6.500988 2004 1189153 11.89153 0.01189153 7.7294945 Industri IV Faktor emisi : 150, 35, 10, 0.5 ugTEQ/ton

f.e=150 ugTEQ/t f.e=0.5 ugTEQ/t f.e=150 ugTEQ/t

f.e=35 ugTEQ/t 1995 5837 0.87555 0.0029185 0.5399225 Diasumsikan 1996 1437 0.21555 0.0007185 0.1329225 proses prduksi 1997 912 0.1368 0.000456 0.08436 aluminium 50% 1998 432 0.0648 0.000216 0.03996 menggunakan 1999 112 0.0168 0.000056 0.01036 scraf Al dengan 2000 221 0.03315 0.0001105 0.0204425 min. treatment 2001 1934.2545 0.290138175 0.000967127 0.178918541 dan 50% scraf 2002 3647.509 0.54712635 0.001823755 0.337394583 dng treatment 2003 3123.409 0.46851135 0.001561705 0.288915333 baik (terkontrol) 2004 3647.509 0.54712635 0.001823755 0.337394583

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Industri V

Faktor emisi : 10, 4.3, 1, 0.03 ugTEQ/ton

gTEQ gTEQ gTEQ

f.e=10 ugTEQ/t f.e=0.03 ugTEQ/t f.e=0.03 ugTEQ/t

1995 24676.066 0.24676066 0.000740282 0.000740282 Peleburan besi 1996 31235.528 0.31235528 0.000937066 0.000937066 dengan proses 1997 42210.172 0.42210172 0.001266305 0.001266305 menggunakan 1998 52111.324 0.52111324 0.00156334 0.00156334 induction furna- 1999 63159.124 0.63159124 0.001894774 0.001894774 ce 2000 87177.13 0.8717713 0.002615314 0.002615314 2001 139161.647 1.39161647 0.004174849 0.004174849 2002 191146.164 1.91146164 0.005734385 0.005734385 2003 17287 0.17287 0.00051861 0.00051861 2004 92000 0.92 0.00276 0.00276 Industri VI

Faktor emisi: 10, 4.3, 1, 0.03 ugTEQ/ton

f.e = 10 ugTEQ/t f.e = 0.03 ugTEQ/t f.e = 0.03 ugTEQ/t

1995 1996 31657 0.31657 0.00094971 0.00094971 Peleburan besi 1997 32309 0.32309 0.00096927 0.00096927 dengan proses 1998 48119 0.48119 0.00144357 0.00144357 menggunakan 1999 27803 0.27803 0.00083409 0.00083409 induction furna- 2000 32772 0.32772 0.00098316 0.00098316 ce 2001 48487 0.48487 0.00145461 0.00145461 2002 46678 0.46678 0.00140034 0.00140034 2003 35319 0.35319 0.00105957 0.00105957 2004 50038 0.50038 0.00150114 0.00150114 2005 88455 0.88455 0.00265365 0.00265365

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Industri VII

Faktor emisi : 0.3 ugTEQ/ton

f.e = - ugTEQ/t f.e = - ugTEQ/t f.e = 0.3 ugTEQ/t

1995 563.36 0.000169008 Proses pelebu- 1996 619.56 0.000185868 an zinc 1997 552.69 0.000165807 (galvanisasi de 1998 516.52 0.000154956 ngan zinc) 1999 740.03 0.000222009 2000 400.1 0.00012003 2001 466.13 0.000139839 2002 756.24 0.000226872 2003 622.94 0.000186882 2004 457.98 0.000137394 2005 958.85 0.000287655

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Lampiran 5 Contoh hasil simulasi Monte Carlo emisi dioksin/furan - Certainty 100% Tot.-1995 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 10.84 10.95 11.07 11.18 11.30 Fr eque nc y Tot.-1996 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 26.82 26.93 27.04 27.15 27.26 Fr equ enc y Tot.-2004 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 11.16 11.28 11.39 11.50 11.62 Fr eque nc y

Statistics: Forecast values

Trials 20,000 Mode --- Standard Deviation 0.10 Variance 0.01 Skewness 0.1006 Kurtosis 3.08 Coeff. of Variability 0.0092 Minimum 10.69 Maximum 11.62 Range Width 0.93 Mean Std. Error 0.00

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- Certainty 50%

Summary:

Certainty level is 50.000%

Certainty range is from 11.05 to 11.19

Entire range is from 10.71 to 11.57

Base case is 11.01

After 20,000 trials, the std. error of the mean is 0.00

Summary: Certainty level is 50.000%

Certainty range is from 11.37 to 11.51

Entire range is from 11.04 to 11.90

Base case is 11.32

After 20,000 trials, the std. error of the mean is 0.00

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Lampiran 6 Data-data untuk persamaan Dispersi dan perhitungan konsentrasi

Tabel 1 Data Metereologi BMG Serang tahun 1995–2004

KEC.

ANGIN ANGIN ARAH SUHU BULAN BULAN CURAH HUJAN KELEMBA-

RATA-RATA RATA-RATA RATA-RATA BASAH KERING TAHUNAN BAN TAHUN m/dtk der oC % % mm % 1995 5.7 268.3 26.4 56.2 43.8 2126 48.8 1996 5.6 195.8 26.4 53.4 46.6 2460 48.3 1997 7.5 113.6 25.7 32.1 67.9 1118 45.3 1998 7.8 224.3 27.0 54.2 45.8 1798 49.8 1999 8.0 202.3 26.4 48.5 51.5 1421 46.8 2000 8.1 242.3 26.5 47.1 52.9 1531 46.3 2001 7.8 261.7 26.4 50.1 49.9 1638 52.1 2002 7.2 273.8 26.9 37.8 62.2 1561 63.3 2003 7.5 179.6 27.0 39.7 60.3 1177 63.3 2004 6.5 242.5 27.2 44.9 55.1 1117 64.7 Sumber: BMG Serang

Tabel 2 Kestabilan cuaca daerah Serang dan Banten tahun 1995-2004

KEC.ANGIN SUHU BULAN BULAN KESTA KETERANG

RATA-RATA RATA-RATA BASAH KERING BILAN AN

TAHUN m/dtk oC % % Pasquill 1995 5.7 26.38 56.2 43.8 D Kestabilan 1996 5.6 26.35 53.4 46.6 D berdasarkan 1997 7.5 25.69 32.1 67.9 D Pasquil de- C ngan asum- 1998 7.8 27.02 54.2 45.8 D si bulan 1999 8.0 26.39 48.5 51.5 D basah menunjukkan C cloud 2000 8.1 26.49 47.1 52.9 amount dan C bulan ke- 2001 7.8 26.42 50.1 49.9 D ring menun- 2002 7.2 26.88 37.8 62.2 D jukkan day time sun 2003 7.5 27.03 39.7 60.3 D C 2004 6.5 27.2 44.9 55.1 D C D C

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Perhitungan konsentrasi ambient dengan metode Dispersi Persamaan Dispersi yang digunakan :

⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛

σ

π

χ

y 2 z y y 0.5 -exp u 2 QKVD = z (1)

χ = konsentrasi pada jarak x m dan y m Q = emisi polutan (massa per unit waktu) K = koefisien konversi

V = jarak vertikal

D = peluruhan (decayterm)

uz = kecepatan angin pada tinggi z

σy, σz = standar deviasi pada jarak lateral dan vertikal distribusi konsentrasi (m)

exp = eksponensial

y = jarak crosswind (crosswind distance)

y = (X® - X(s)) cos (WD) – (Y® - Y(s)) sin (WD) (2) X® = koordinat x reseptor

X(s) = koordinat x sumber Y® = koordinat y reseptor Y(s) = koordinat y sumber WD = arah angin (wind direction)

Asumsi : - Koordinat x dan y sumber diasumsikan (0,0)

- Pada keadaan long term (tahunan), arah angin dihitung untuk ke 16

windrose, yaitu 0o, 22,5o, 45o, 67,5o, 90o, 112,5o, 135o, 157,5o, 180o, 202,5o, 225o, 247,5o, 270o, 292,5o 315o dan 337,5o

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∑

= ⎪⎭ ⎪ ⎬ ⎫ ⎪⎩ ⎪ ⎨ ⎧ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛ − + ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛ − + ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛ − + ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛ − + ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛ + − + ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎛ − − = n i z z z z z r z r H H H H H z H z V 1 2 4 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 5 , 0 exp 5 , 0 exp 5 , 0 exp 5 , 0 exp 5 , 0 exp 5 , 0 exp σ σ σ σ σ σ (3)

H = tinggi emisi yang menyebar H1 = zr – (2izi – h)

H2 = zr + (2izi – h)

H3 = zr – (2izi – h)

H4 = zr + (2izi – h)

zr = tinggi reseptor dari permukaan tanah

zi = tinggi percampuran (mixing height)

Asumsi : - mixing height untuk kestabilan D adalah 1000 m (ISCLT 1999)

µ (z) = µo (z/zo)p µ (z) = µh (4)

µ (z) = µh = kecepatan angin pada tinggi z

µo = kecepatan angin yang diukur anemometer pada tinggi zo

p = nilai eksponen Pasquill yang tergantung pada kestabilan Pasquill

H = h + dh (5) Untuk Fb < 55 , dh = 21 Fb 0.75/µh (6) Fb > 55 , dh = 39 Fb 0.6/µh (7) Fb =

(

₀ ₀

)

0 2 0 0 p a p T T T g R w − (8) h = tinggi cerobong

dh = tinggi asap yang keluar dari cerobong

Fb = the buoyancy flux wo = kecepatan gas keluar

Ro = jari-jari cerobong g = gravitasi

Tpo = temperature gas keluar cerobong

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Tabel 3 Persamaan-persamaan yang digunakan pada kestabilan C dan D Kestabilan Pasquill C D σy 0.22 x (1+0.0004 x) -0.5 0.16 x (1+0.0004 x) -0.5 σz 0.20 x 0.14 x (1+0.0003 x) -0.5 p 0.10 0.15

Tabel 4 Contoh perhitungan kecepatan angin pada ketinggian cerobong (z)

THN Kesta- Industri u(z) = uo(z/zo)^p bilan uo zo p z uz kec.angin tinggi kec.angin tinggi crbng 1995 D I 5.7 10 0.15 32 6.786523424 II 5.7 10 0.15 25 6.539820932 III 5.7 10 0.15 32 6.786523424 IV 5.7 10 0.15 10.43 5.736110407 V 5.7 10 0.15 3.757 4.921540178 VI 5.7 10 0.15 16 6.116357375 VII 5.7 10 0.15 12 5.858036085 2001 D I 7.8 10 0.15 32 9.286821528 II 7.8 10 0.15 25 8.949228643 III 7.8 10 0.15 32 9.286821528 IV 7.8 10 0.15 10.43 7.849414242 V 7.8 10 0.15 3.757 6.734739191 VI 7.8 10 0.15 16 8.369752198 VII 7.8 10 0.15 12 8.016259906 2004 D I 6.5 10 0.15 32 7.73901794 II 6.5 10 0.15 25 7.457690536 III 6.5 10 0.15 32 7.73901794 IV 6.5 10 0.15 10.43 6.541178535 V 6.5 10 0.15 3.757 5.612282659 VI 6.5 10 0.15 16 6.974793498 VII 6.5 10 0.15 12 6.680216588

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Tabel 5 Contoh perhitungan tinggi asap yang keluar dari cerobong (H)

Tahun/ Fb = wo.ro.ro. g/Tpo. (Tpo - Tpa) dh H = z + dh Industri wo ro Tpo Tpo Tao Tao Fb Kes- uz Tinggi Fb > 55

(kec.gas) (radius) (temp.gas (temp. tabil crbng dh = 39 Fb ^0.6/uz m

keluar) ambien) an (z) Fb < 55 m/dt m oC oK oC oK m dh = 21 Fb ^0.75/uz m INDST. I 1995 82 1.25 94 367 34 307 205.2793 D 6.786523 32 140.2246416 172.2246416 1996 205.2793 D 6.667462 32 142.7286531 174.7286531 1997 205.2793 D 8.929636 32 106.5707276 138.5707276 1998 205.2793 D 9.286822 32 102.4718535 134.4718535 1999 205.2793 D 9.524945 32 99.91005716 131.9100572 2000 205.2793 D 9.644007 32 98.67659966 130.6765997 2001 205.2793 D 9.286822 32 102.4718535 134.4718535 2002 205.2793 D 9.286822 32 102.4718535 134.4718535 2003 205.2793 D 8.929636 32 106.5707276 138.5707276 2004 205.2793 D 7.739018 32 122.9662242 154.9662242 INDST. II 1995 108 1.25 147 420 29 302 464.625 D 6.539821 25 237.552877 262.552877 1996 464.625 D 6.425087 25 241.7948927 266.7948927 1997 464.625 D 8.605028 25 180.5401865 205.5401865 1998 464.625 D 8.949229 25 173.5963332 198.5963332 1999 464.625 D 9.178696 25 169.2564249 194.2564249 2000 464.625 D 9.29343 25 167.1668394 192.1668394 2001 464.625 D 8.949229 25 173.5963332 198.5963332 2002 464.625 D 8.949229 25 173.5963332 198.5963332 2003 464.625 D 8.605028 25 180.5401865 205.5401865 2004 464.625 D 7.457691 25 208.3155998 233.3155998

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Tabel 5 (Lanjutan)

Tahun/ Fb = wo.ro.ro. g/Tpo. (Tpo - Tpa) dh H = z + dh Industri wo ro Tpo Tpo Tao Tao Fb Kes- uz Tinggi Fb > 55

(kec.gas) (radius) (temp.gas (temp. tabil crbng dh = 39 Fb ^0.6/uz m

keluar) ambien) an (z) Fb < 55 m/dt m oC oK oC oK m dh = 21 Fb ^0.75/uz m INDST. III 1995 73.4 1.25 50 323 29 302 73.07334 D 6.786523 32 75.45232296 107.452323 1996 73.07334 D 6.667462 32 76.79968587 108.7996859 1997 73.07334 D 8.929636 32 57.34376545 89.34376545 1998 73.07334 D 9.286822 32 55.13823601 87.13823601 1999 73.07334 D 9.524945 32 53.75978011 85.75978011 2000 73.07334 D 9.644007 32 53.09607912 85.09607912 2001 73.07334 D 9.286822 32 55.13823601 87.13823601 2002 73.07334 D 9.286822 32 55.13823601 87.13823601 2003 73.07334 D 8.929636 32 57.34376545 89.34376545 2004 73.07334 D 7.739018 32 66.16588322 98.16588322 INDST. IV 1995 9.8 0.6 50 323 29 302 2.247871 D 5.73611 10.43 6.720945306 17.15094531 1996 2.247871 D 5.635477 10.43 6.840962187 17.27096219 1997 2.247871 D 7.547514 10.43 5.107918433 15.53791843 1998 2.247871 D 7.849414 10.43 4.911460032 15.34146003 Asumsi:

- Industri menggunakan jenis cerobong yang sama dari tahun 1995-2004

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Tabel 6 Contoh perhitungan konsentrasi untuk jarak 36 km (Cilegon dan Serang)

TAHUN/ EMISI JARAK STANDAR DEVIASI KEC. ANG. TINGGI C =

INDST. Q x Y zr σy σz uz H QD/ (2¶uzσyσz))* exp[-0.5(Y/σy)]^2 g m m m m m m/dtk m g TEQ/m3 INDST 2 1995 0.464663 36000 0 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 5.25365E-09 0.464663 36000 21230.33 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 1.95145E-54 0.464663 36000 21331.18 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 7.20684E-55 0.464663 36000 71.90653 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 5.24735E-09 0.464663 36000 -33774.4 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 5.558E-124 0.464663 36000 6517.188 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 2.75048E-13 0.464663 36000 -6605.28 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 2.10325E-13 0.464663 36000 6641.239 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 1.88314E-13 0.464663 36000 13761.91 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 4.27826E-28 0.464663 36000 8777.991 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 8.99604E-17 0.464663 36000 3657.93 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 2.354E-10 0.464663 36000 -42473.3 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 7.8011E-191 0.464663 36000 1000.857 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 4.16385E-09 0.464663 36000 17960.76 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 1.60614E-41 0.464663 36000 19289.18 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 1.65267E-46 0.464663 36000 1878.628 5 1467.784 1467.200725 6.5398209 262.5529 2.316E-09

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Mixing V1 = V2 = V3 = V4 = V5 = V6 = V = Height exp[-0.5(z- exp[-0.5(z+ exp[-0.5(z- exp[-0.5(z+ exp[-0.5(z- exp[-0.5(z+ V1+V2+V3+ C * V

L H/σz)^2] H/σz)^2] H-2nL/σz)^2) H-2nL/σz)^2) H+2nL/σz)^2) H+2nL/σz)^2) V4+V5+V6

m g TEQ/m3

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 1.97E-08

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 7.319E-54

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 2.703E-54

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 1.968E-08

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 2.08E-123

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 1.032E-12

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 7.889E-13

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 7.063E-13

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 1.605E-27

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 3.374E-16

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 8.829E-10

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 2.93E-190

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 1.562E-08

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 6.024E-41

1000 0.9847109 0.98351061 0.963260186 1.20431E-23 0.819221083 2.85806E-25 3.75070276 6.199E-46

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Konst. = Konst. C*V*K rata-rata pg TEQ/m3 pg TEQ/m3 19704.8704 4035.971267 7.3193E-42 2.7031E-42 19681.2387 2.085E-111 1.03162386 0.78886553 0.70630859 1.6046E-15 0.00033741 882.915 2.926E-178 15617.3666 6.0241E-29 6.1987E-34 8686.62243

Keterangan : - D = decay term = exp (-ψ*x/uz) ; ψ = 0.693/T1/2 = 0.693/21*24*60*60 = 0.000000573=0 D=1 dtk -1

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Lampiran 7 Hasil pendugaan parameter model konsentrasi dengan emisi, kecepatan angin dan suhu

R-SQUARE = 0.9951 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.9927 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.18742E+08 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 4329.2 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 0.11245E+09

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 90767.

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED ELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 6 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT MEANS EMISI 8819.9 510.3 17.28 0.000 0.990 0.8633 1.2848 KEC_ANG -13570. 1828. -7.422 0.000-0.950 -0.2464 -1.0719 SUHU 6854.4 4426. 1.549 0.172 0.534 0.0595 2.0080 CONSTANT -0.11078E+06 0.1298E+06 -0.8533 0.426-0.329 0.0000 -1.2205 DURBIN-WATSON = 1.8897 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 2.0997 RHO = -0.08054

Lampiran 8 Curve Fit SPSS untuk konsentrasi dengan emisi

MODEL: MOD_3. _ Independent: EMISI Dependent Mth Rsq d.f. F Sigf b0 b1 b2 b3 KONST_36 LIN .941 8 126.86 .000 -38179 9830.69 KONST_36 LOG .885 8 61.73 .000 -330998 166578 KONST_36 QUA .969 7 109.10 .000 108344 -8477.3 484.929 9 KONST_36 CUB .970 7 113.50 .000 71474.7 -114.66 12.4637 KONST_36 EXP .905 8 76.01 .000 32827.9 .0716 Notes:

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Lampiran 9 Nilai VOSL pada tahun 2004

Tahun Inflasi (%) VOSL (Rp.)

2000 7,03 1.381.680.000

2001 12,75 1.557.844.200

2002 9,68 1.708.643.519

2003 5,21 1.797.663.845

2004 6,40 1.912.714.332

Sumber: Statistics Indonesia (2007); Susandi (2004)

Lampiran 10 Laba (Rugi) industri I–III tahun 1999-2004

Nilai (dalam juta rupiah)

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Penjualan bersih 4.658.112 5.293.374 5.728.699 6.388.333 6.570.936 9.396.816 Harga pokok

penjualan

4.231.860 4.386.354 5.549.402 5.569.803 5.874.069 8.046.425

Laba (rugi) kotor 426.252 907.020 179.297 818.530 696.867 1.350.391

Laba (rugi) sebelum pajak (% dari penjualan bersih) 328.595 (7,1%) 555.621 (10,4%) 340.778 (-5,9%) 352.704 (5,5%) 178.881 (2,7%) 647.605 (6,9%) Rata-rata % laba (rugi) sblm pajak dari penjualan bersih

6,520% Jumlah pajak (% dari laba sblm pajak) 51.474 (15,7%) 161.451 (29,1%) 83.555 (24,5%) 117.204 (33,2%) 67.754 (37,9%) 229.680 (35,5%) Rata-rata % jml

pajak dari laba 29,317 % Laba (Rugi) bersih

(% laba/rugi dari penjualan bersih)

276.855

(5,94%) 396.886 (7,5%) (256.158) (-4,47%) 233.151 (3,65%) 110.039 (1,67%) 414.501 (4,41%) Rata-rata % laba

(rugi) dari penjualan besih

3,1167

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Lampiran 11 Regresi SPSS hubungan PDRB dengan keuntungan bersih MODEL: MOD_1. _ Independent: PDRB Dependent Mth Rsq d.f. F Sigf b0 b1 b2 b3 KEUNT.PR LIN .005 4 .02 .896 355.199 -.0129 KEUNT.PR LOG .008 4 .03 .868 1097.84 -94.425 KEUNT.PR INV .011 4 .05 .842 167.963 642596 KEUNT.PR QUA .269 3 .55 .625 7179.65 -2.4033 .0002

9 KEUNT.PR CUB .289 3 .61 .599 5085.68 -1.2581 1.2E-08 KEUNT.PR EXP .038 4 .16 .712 626.630 -.0002

Notes:

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Lampiran 12 Hasil simulasi dengan pengurangan emisi 0% (baseline)

Tahun Total Konst. Laju Potensi Potensi Keuntung- Social Manfaat PV Jumlah emisi di ambien degradasi kasus kasus ke- an produk- cost bersih NetBen penduduk

kanker matian si

(gTEQ) (pgTEQ/m3) (orang) (orang) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (orang)

1995 11.007 0.56613201 0.451577 5 1 178063.047 5863.28418 172199.766 0 1541970 1996 11.64308 0.57680762 0.4524678 5 1 186206.391 6188.90527 180017.484 158960.422 1597481 1997 12.30582 0.59003913 0.4535274 5 1 194349.703 6564.85059 187790.922 484097.938 1654990 1998 12.99524 0.60626233 0.4547641 6 1 202493.063 7003.97314 195511.328 1141548.75 1714570 1999 13.71132 0.62596631 0.4561806 6 1 210636.375 7522.23486 203168.219 2463577.25 1776294 2000 14.45407 0.64969718 0.4577734 6 1 218779.688 8139.30908 210749.375 5114702.5 1840241 2001 15.22348 0.6780628 0.459532 7 1 226923.063 8879.31641 218240.422 10423951 1906490 2002 16.01957 0.7117368 0.4614389 7 1 235066.359 9771.64648 225624.422 21049364 1975123 2003 16.84232 0.75146377 0.46347 8 1 243209.672 10851.9375 232881.844 42307008 2046228 2004 17.69174 0.79806387 0.4655961 9 1 251353 12163.1563 239989.859 84828992 2119892 2005 18.56783 0.85243785 0.4677843 10 2 259496.344 13756.876 246922.063 169879520 2196208 2006 19.47059 0.91557252 0.4700002 11 2 267639.656 15694.7168 253647.875 339986976 2275271 2007 20.40002 0.98854524 0.47221 12 2 275782.969 18049.9844 260132.156 680208128 2357181 2008 21.35611 1.07253039 0.4743822 14 2 283926.313 20909.5137 266334.531 1360656384 2442040 2009 22.33887 1.16880465 0.476489 16 3 292069.625 24375.8145 272208.594 2721558528 2529953 2010 23.3483 1.27875245 0.4785079 18 3 300212.938 28569.3789 277701.375 5443368448 2621031 2011 24.3844 1.40387261 0.4804213 20 3 308356.313 33631.4336 282752.375 1.0887E+10 2715388 2012 25.44716 1.545784 0.4822172 23 4 316499.625 39726.957 287292.563 2.1774E+10 2813142 2013 26.5366 1.70623207 0.4838882 26 4 324642.938 47047.9688 291243.688 4.3549E+10 2914415 2014 27.6527 1.88709569 0.4854315 30 5 332786.313 55817.4102 294516.844 8.7098E+10 3019334 2015 28.79547 2.09039164 0.4868476 35 6 340929.563 66293.4141 297011.219 1.742E+11 3128030 2016 29.96491 2.31828547 0.48814 40 6 349072.938 78773.9531 298613.219 3.4839E+11 3240639 2017 31.16101 2.57309484 0.4893141 46 7 357216.25 93602.1719 299194.156 6.9678E+11 3357302 2018 32.38379 2.85729718 0.4903767 53 8 365359.625 111172.289 298609.375 1.3936E+12 3478165 2019 33.63323 3.17354012 0.4913355 61 10 373502.969 131936.203 296695.906 2.7871E+12 3603379

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Tahun Total Konst. Laju Potensi Potensi Keuntung- Social Manfaat PV Jumlah emisi di ambien degradasi kasus

kasus

ke- an produk- cost bersih NetBen penduduk

(gTEQ) (pgTEQ/m3) (orang) (orang) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (orang)

2020 34.90934 3.52464485 0.4921984 70 11 381646.313 156410.594 293270.719 5.5743E+12 3733101 2021 36.21212 3.9136138 0.4929737 81 13 389789.625 185185.25 288128.563 1.1149E+13 3867493 2022 37.54156 4.34364223 0.4936693 93 15 397933 218931.703 281039.438 2.2297E+13 4006722 2023 38.89768 4.81812334 0.4942926 106 17 406076.25 258413.438 271745.875 4.4594E+13 4150964 2024 40.28046 5.34065676 0.4948511 122 20 414219.688 304496.625 259960.625 8.9188E+13 4300399 2025 41.68991 5.91505814 0.495351 140 22 422363.031 358162.5 245362.391 1.7838E+14 4455214

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2020 24.33181 1.39721274 0.4803281 28 4 380068.125 58108.6055 343456.75 5.5554E+12 1578.186 Lampiran 13 Hasil simulasi dengan pengurangan emisi 30,3%

Tahun Total Konst. Laju Potensi Potensi Keuntung- Social Manfaat PV Abatement emisi di ambien degradasi kasus

kasus

ke- an produk- cost bersih NetBen cost

(gTEQ) (pgTEQ/m3) (orang) (orang) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph)

1995 7.671879 0.53675884 0.4489451 4 1 177565.438 6056.6792 171508.766 0 497.60593 1996 8.115225 0.53851849 0.4491108 5 1 185680.031 6304.44238 179375.594 158322.547 526.36169 1997 8.577158 0.54095495 0.4493384 5 1 193793.375 6571.7998 187223.875 482229.625 556.32324 1998 9.057679 0.54420221 0.4496387 5 1 201905.578 6862.55957 195051.047 1137288.75 587.4903 1999 9.556787 0.54841155 0.4500226 5 1 210016.516 7181.48193 202853.781 2454632.25 619.8631 2000 10.07448 0.55375326 0.4505016 5 1 218126.25 7534.4873 210628.359 5096522 653.44135 2001 10.61077 0.56041771 0.4510864 6 1 226234.844 7928.89209 218370.438 10387478 688.22528 2002 11.16564 0.56861728 0.4517873 6 1 234342.141 8373.66699 226074.625 20976536 724.21478 2003 11.7391 0.57858765 0.4526131 6 1 242448.266 8879.76758 233734.969 42161768 761.40991 2004 12.33115 0.59058952 0.4535705 7 1 250553.188 9460.47852 241344.328 84539296 799.81067 2005 12.94178 0.60491055 0.4546636 7 1 258656.922 10131.8379 248894.484 169301376 839.41693 2006 13.571 0.62186658 0.4558932 8 1 266759.438 10913.1006 256375.844 338832512 880.22906 2007 14.21881 0.6418041 0.4572566 8 1 274860.719 11827.2813 263777.313 677901696 922.2467 2008 14.88521 0.66510141 0.4587469 9 1 282960.844 12901.7617 271086.313 1356046848 965.46985 2009 15.57019 0.6921711 0.4603533 9 1 291059.719 14168.9854 278288.031 2712344064 1009.8987 2010 16.27377 0.72346193 0.4620614 10 2 299157.406 15667.2441 285365.813 5424945152 1055.5331 2011 16.99593 0.75946033 0.4638533 11 2 307253.938 17441.5508 292300.469 1.085E+10 1102.3732 2012 17.73667 0.80069327 0.4657087 12 2 315349.219 19544.6641 299069.969 2.1701E+10 1150.4188 2013 18.49601 0.84772998 0.4676059 13 2 323443.281 22038.1504 305649.406 4.3401E+10 1199.6699 2014 19.27393 0.90118396 0.4695224 14 2 331536.188 24993.707 312010.438 8.6803E+10 1250.1267 2015 20.07044 0.96171522 0.4714364 16 3 339627.781 28494.5156 318120.719 1.7361E+11 1301.7893 2016 20.88554 1.03003359 0.4733272 18 3 347718.281 32636.8672 323943.938 3.4721E+11 1354.6575 2017 21.71923 1.10689974 0.4751763 20 3 355807.531 37531.8398 329438.719 6.9443E+11 1408.731 2018 22.5715 1.19312775 0.4769677 22 4 363895.625 43307.3203 334558.563 1.3889E+12 1464.0104 2019 23.44236 1.28958893 0.4786883 25 4 371982.469 50110.1836 339250.906 2.7777E+12 1520.4954

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kasus

2020 24.33181 1.39721274 0.4803281 28 4 380068.125 58108.6055 343456.75 5.5554E+12 1578.186 2021 25.23985 1.51699007 0.4818799 31 5 388152.531 67494.9219 347109.719 1.1111E+13 1637.0823 2022 26.16647 1.6499753 0.4833393 35 6 396235.813 78488.5156 350135.469 2.2222E+13 1697.1842 2023 27.11168 1.7972908 0.4847039 40 6 404317.75 91339 352450.375 4.4443E+13 1758.4912 2024 28.07548 1.96012712 0.485974 45 7 412398.688 106330.047 353961.531 8.8887E+13 1821.0043 2025 29.05787 2.13974738 0.4871508 51 8 420478.313 123783.461 354564.344 1.7777E+14 1884.7228

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Lampiran 14 Hasil simulasi dengan pengurangan emisi 40,7%

kasus

1995 6.527151 0.53448242 0.4487292 4 1 176439.781 7158.75684 169281.031 0 1623.2603 1996 6.904345 0.53490484 0.4487694 5 1 184489.328 7456.37256 177032.953 156266.078 1717.0659 1997 7.297353 0.53567672 0.4488427 5 1 192534.906 7773.41162 184765.594 475954.188 1814.8044 1998 7.706174 0.5368759 0.4489562 5 1 200576.594 8112.06152 192477.438 1122468.5 1916.476 1999 8.130811 0.53859037 0.4491175 5 1 208614.297 8475.06836 200166.516 2422616 2022.0803 2000 8.571261 0.54091972 0.4493351 5 1 216648.063 8865.85449 207830.625 5030009 2131.6174 2001 9.027526 0.54397583 0.4496178 6 1 224677.969 9288.66309 215467.234 10251870 2245.0874 2002 9.499605 0.54788387 0.4499748 6 1 232703.875 9748.71875 223073.125 20702640 2362.4902 2003 9.987497 0.55278295 0.4504152 6 1 240725.844 10252.4121 230644.781 41611200 2483.8264 2004 10.4912 0.5588277 0.4509481 6 1 248743.906 10807.5322 238178 83435312 2609.095 2005 11.01073 0.56618905 0.4515819 7 1 256758.047 11423.4893 245667.906 167090496 2738.2961 2006 11.54606 0.57505506 0.4523237 7 1 264768.219 12111.6191 253108.797 334407776 2871.4304 2007 12.09721 0.58563238 0.4531798 7 1 272774.469 12885.5059 260494.141 669049216 3008.498 2008 12.66417 0.59814727 0.4541538 8 1 280776.813 13761.3525 267816.438 1338338816 3149.498 2009 13.24695 0.61284679 0.4552476 8 1 288775.188 14758.3857 275066.906 2676924928 3294.4312 2010 13.84554 0.63 0.4564598 9 1 296769.625 15899.3516 282235.594 5354103808 3443.2971 2011 14.45995 0.64989918 0.4577865 9 2 304760.219 17211.0273 289311.219 1.0708E+10 3596.0959 2012 15.09017 0.6728611 0.4592205 10 2 312746.813 18724.8652 296280.5 2.1417E+10 3752.8276 2013 15.7362 0.69922853 0.4607518 11 2 320729.438 20477.623 303128.656 4.2835E+10 3913.4922 2014 16.39805 0.72937143 0.4623676 12 2 328708.219 22512.1621 309838.813 8.567E+10 4078.0891 2015 17.07571 0.76368803 0.4640527 13 2 336682.938 24878.2871 316391.531 1.7134E+11 4246.6191 2016 17.76919 0.80260682 0.4657902 14 2 344653.844 27633.7051 322765.25 3.4268E+11 4419.0825 2017 18.47848 0.8465879 0.4675623 15 2 352620.781 30845.0977 328935.125 6.8536E+11 4595.4785 2018 19.20358 0.89612389 0.4693507 17 3 360583.813 34589.2852 334873.375 1.3707E+12 4775.8076 2019 19.9445 0.95174223 0.4711378 18 3 368542.906 38954.6406 340548.469 2.7414E+12 4960.0698

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kasus

2020 20.70124 1.01400614 0.4729064 20 3 376498.063 44042.3906 345925 5.4829E+12 5148.2642 2021 21.47379 1.08351672 0.4746414 22 4 384449.219 49968.4531 350963.125 1.0966E+13 5340.3921 2022 22.26215 1.16091335 0.4763295 25 4 392396.563 56865.1133 355618.281 2.1931E+13 5536.4526 2023 23.06632 1.24687755 0.4779592 28 4 400339.813 64883.0781 359840.156 4.3863E+13 5736.4463 2024 23.88631 1.34213281 0.4795217 31 5 408279.313 74193.7031 363572.906 8.7726E+13 5940.3721 2025 24.72212 1.44744647 0.4810102 34 5 416214.813 84991.5078 366753.594 1.7545E+14 6148.2314

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2020 18.81613 0.86906648 0.468399 17 3 357634.938 45802.02344 311832.906 5.0925E+12 24011.387 Lampiran 15 Hasil simulasi dengan pengurangan emisi 46,1%

kasus

1995 5.932773 0.53437501 0.448719 4 1 170492.203 13105.23242 157386.969 0 7570.8481 1996 6.275619 0.53435874 0.4487174 5 1 178198.031 13741.80371 164456.234 145286.484 8008.3555 1997 6.632838 0.53457111 0.4487376 5 1 185885.5 14406.41797 171479.078 442385.188 8464.2061 1998 7.004432 0.53506792 0.4487849 5 1 193554.656 15100.25195 178454.406 1043065.5 8938.3994 1999 7.3904 0.53591281 0.4488651 5 1 201205.438 15824.69434 185380.75 2250865 9430.9346 2000 7.790742 0.53717786 0.4489846 5 1 208837.875 16581.38672 192256.484 4672858 9941.8135 2001 8.205458 0.53894436 0.4491507 5 1 216452.031 17372.25195 199079.781 9523191 10471.036 2002 8.634548 0.5413034 0.4493708 6 1 224047.766 18199.55273 205848.219 19230156 11018.6 2003 9.078012 0.54435658 0.4496528 6 1 231625.172 19065.93555 212559.234 38650336 11584.507 2004 9.53585 0.54821694 0.450005 6 1 239184.25 19974.48438 219209.766 77496888 12168.758 2005 10.00806 0.55300963 0.4504354 6 1 246725 20928.77734 225796.219 155196128 12771.349 2006 10.49465 0.5588727 0.450952 7 1 254247.375 21932.98438 232314.391 310600704 13392.286 2007 10.99561 0.56595796 0.4515622 7 1 261751.406 22991.90039 238759.5 621415872 14031.564 2008 11.51094 0.57443196 0.4522724 7 1 269237.125 24111.08594 245126.031 1243052160 14689.186 2009 12.04065 0.58447653 0.4530877 8 1 276704.469 25296.92188 251407.547 2486330624 15365.15 2010 12.58473 0.59629011 0.4540119 8 1 284153.469 26556.74414 257596.719 4972893184 16059.457 2011 13.14319 0.61008859 0.4550463 9 1 291584.219 27898.95117 263685.281 9946023936 16772.107 2012 13.71602 0.62610584 0.4561903 9 1 298996.531 29333.15234 269663.375 1.9892E+10 17503.1 2013 14.30323 0.64459538 0.4574408 10 2 306390.5 30870.29883 275520.188 3.9785E+10 18252.436 2014 14.90481 0.66583103 0.4587919 11 2 313766.188 32522.87109 281243.313 7.957E+10 19020.115 2015 15.52076 0.69010764 0.4602353 11 2 321123.438 34305.03125 286818.406 1.5914E+11 19806.135 2016 16.15108 0.71774286 0.4617603 12 2 328462.438 36232.86328 292229.563 3.1828E+11 20610.498 2017 16.79579 0.74907774 0.4633541 13 2 335783.031 38324.5625 297458.469 6.3656E+11 21433.205 2018 17.45486 0.78447783 0.4650022 15 2 343085.375 40600.69531 302484.688 1.2731E+12 22274.254 2019 18.12831 0.82433474 0.4666892 16 3 350369.313 43084.46875 307284.844 2.5462E+12 23133.646

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kasus

2021 19.51833 0.91912007 0.4701158 19 3 364882.156 48782.77344 316099.375 1.0185E+13 24907.463

2022 20.2349 0.9749707 0.4718239 21 3 372111.125 52059.71875 320051.406 2.037E+13 25821.885

2023 20.96585 1.03712523 0.4735092 23 4 379321.594 55669.92969 323651.656 4.074E+13 26754.648

2024 21.71117 1.10612178 0.4751588 25 4 386513.938 59654.875 326859.063 8.148E+13 27705.756

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2020 42.4390068 6.238055229 0.4955917 124 20 552332.75 156410.594 395922.1563 5.78538E+12 Lampiran 16 Hasil simulasi dengan peningkatan produksi 3,8% dan pengurangan emisi 0%

Tahun Total Konst. Laju Potensi Potensi Keuntung- Social Manfaat PV emisi di ambien degradasi kasus

kasus

ke- an produk- cost bersih NetBen

(gTEQ) (pgTEQ/m3) (orang) (orang) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph)

1995 11.007 0.566132009 0.451576978 5 1 178063.047 5863.28418 172199.7656 0 1996 11.6430769 0.576807618 0.452467799 5 1 193033.844 6188.90527 186844.9375 158960.4219 1997 12.3309212 0.590584636 0.453570127 5 1 208004.656 6564.85059 201439.8125 490400.4375 1998 13.0705318 0.608193934 0.454907 6 1 222975.422 7003.97314 215971.4531 1166753.25 1999 13.8619099 0.630499423 0.456494063 6 1 237946.234 7522.23486 230424 2532873.25 2000 14.7050552 0.658514977 0.458336174 6 1 252917.047 8139.30908 244777.7344 5278455 2001 15.599967 0.693422318 0.460424572 7 1 267887.813 8879.31641 259008.5 10782868 2002 16.5466461 0.736590981 0.462735087 8 1 282858.594 9771.64648 273086.9375 21804832 2003 17.5450916 0.789598107 0.465228379 9 1 297829.406 10851.9375 286977.4688 43861756 2004 18.5953045 0.854250669 0.467852473 10 2 312800.219 12163.1563 300637.0625 87988424 2005 19.6972847 0.932608128 0.470546961 11 2 327771 13756.876 314014.125 176254368 2006 20.8510303 1.027006269 0.47324872 12 2 342741.75 15694.7168 327047.0313 352798592 2007 22.0565434 1.140083551 0.47589767 14 2 357712.563 18049.9844 339662.5625 705899072 2008 23.3138237 1.274805903 0.478441477 17 3 372683.313 20909.5137 351773.8125 1412111616 2009 24.6228714 1.434496164 0.480838925 19 3 387654.125 24375.8145 363278.3125 2824547840 2010 25.9836845 1.622861147 0.483061105 23 4 402624.938 28569.3789 374055.5625 5649431040 2011 27.396265 1.844022751 0.485091388 27 4 417595.75 33631.4336 383964.3125 11299207168 2012 28.8606129 2.10255003 0.486923665 31 5 432566.438 39726.957 392839.4688 22598768640 2013 30.3767281 2.403489113 0.488560319 37 6 447537.25 47047.9688 400489.2813 45197901824 2014 31.9446087 2.752398014 0.490010083 44 7 462508.031 55817.4102 406690.625 90396172288 2015 33.5642586 3.155384064 0.491285652 53 8 477478.813 66293.4141 411185.4063 1.80793E+11 2016 35.2356758 3.619134426 0.492402077 62 10 492449.625 78773.9531 413675.6875 3.61586E+11 2017 36.9588585 4.150957108 0.49337545 74 12 507420.438 93602.1719 413818.25 7.23172E+11 2018 38.7338066 4.758818626 0.494221538 88 14 522391.156 111172.289 411218.875 1.44634E+12 2019 40.560524 5.451383591 0.49495557 105 17 537362 131936.203 405425.8125 2.89269E+12

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Tahun Total Konst. Laju Potensi Potensi Keuntung- Social Manfaat PV emisi di ambien degradasi kasus

kasus

ke- an produk- cost bersih NetBen

(gTEQ) (pgTEQ/m3) (orang) (orang) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph) (juta rph)

2021 44.3692551 7.129015923 0.496142566 147 23 567303.625 185185.25 382118.375 1.15708E+13

2022 46.3512726 8.135273933 0.496619701 173 28 582274.25 218931.703 363342.5625 2.31415E+13

2023 48.3850555 9.268701553 0.49703306 205 33 597245.063 258413.438 338831.625 4.6283E+13

2024 50.4706039 10.54208565 0.497391433 241 39 612215.938 304496.625 307719.3125 9.25661E+13