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25. A system approach to meeting the challenges of urban climate change

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(1)

A Systems Approach to Building

Urban Resilience

TERI – Rockefeller International Workshop

Resilient Cities – Experiences from ACCCRN in Asia and Beyond

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Vulnerability

Exposure: location of settlements on high risk areas such as flood plains, coastlines and inclined slopes susceptible to

landslides.

Susceptibility: poor quality construction, lack of drainage or solid waste

management, ground water extraction.

Poverty: limited access to basic

infrastructure and services (potable water, sanitation), lack of secure tenure or political voice;, poor education and health care,

limited employment opportunities

Grass-roots action at a community level is valuable, but many of these challenges can only be overcome by actions and

(4)

Direct and indirect impacts

• Climate change impacts vulnerable

populations:

i. Directly;

ii. Indirectly - as a result of dependency on the effective operation of the wider urban system.

• Action to reduce exposure and

improve the adaptive capacity of urban populations must

simultaneously address:

a. disaster risk reduction; b. urban poverty reduction; c. urban systems resilience

(5)

Dependencies and interdependencies

• Climate change will affect the ecosystems, infrastructure , knowledge

networks and institutions that collectively enable a city to function.

• Traditional risk assessments founded on spatial analysis and climate projections

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Cities as systems - conceptualising

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Cities as systems

urban boundary

CONTROL

• Administrative boundary

• Urban and suburban/peri-urban

• Sub-divided in smaller discreet administrative

boundaries (boroughs, districts, wards, etc.)

INFLUENCE

• Wider institutional policy and socio-economic

factors. Eg. national policy

• Includes spatial and non-spatial dynamics at

regional, national and global levels Eg.

– surrounding and distant ecosystems;

– neighbouring settlements;

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Urban systems analysis

Surat

• Infrastructure, early warning

systems and emergency preparedness plans exist to mitigate flood risk; .

• Flood risk is linked to operation

of the reservoir which is outside the municipal boundary.

Hydrological modelling and information exchange

between key institutions,

notably rainfall forecasters, dam managers and Surat

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Urban systems analysis

Indore

• Severe water shortages due to

limited local water supply, compounded by poor

management.

• Opportunity for community-level

interventions centred on

improving knowledge of water resources, how to use water efficiently and improving water quality

COMMUNITY SELF

(10)

Defining (and measuring) resilience

• Resilience is system attribute

that reflects its ability to perform (or function) in response to

shocks and stresses.

• System resilience cannot be measured directly, except in terms of changing performance

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Characteristics of elements of resilient systems

• As a proxy, the elements of the system (infrastructure,

institutions, ecosystems and

knowledge networks) in a resilient city, will demonstrate a number of

key characteristics .

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Summary - Key points

City scale actions (and interventions) is needed to address many of the challenges faced by poor or vulnerable groups.

Urban Climate Change Resilience (UCCR) must simultaneously address: disaster risk reduction, poverty reduction; and urban system resilience.

Spatial analysis alone is insufficient; it does not recognise the flows of goods, services and people that enable a city to function.

Systems analysis recognises the interdependencies between eco-systems, institutions, infrastructure and knowledge networks and flow of goods and services that enable urban communities and business to flourish.

A simplified systems model can be used to identify weaknesses and opportunity for intervention; ie. what to do?

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Thank you

Further information:

Jo da Silva international-development@arup.com

Sam Kernaghan samuel.kernaghan@arup.com

Full article is in the International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development © 2012

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