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25. A system approach to meeting the challenges of urban climate change

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(1)

A Systems Approach to Building

Urban Resilience

TERI – Rockefeller International Workshop

Resilient Cities – Experiences from ACCCRN in Asia and Beyond

(2)
(3)

Vulnerability

Exposure: location of settlements on high risk areas such as flood plains, coastlines and inclined slopes susceptible to

landslides.

Susceptibility: poor quality construction, lack of drainage or solid waste

management, ground water extraction.

Poverty: limited access to basic

infrastructure and services (potable water, sanitation), lack of secure tenure or political voice;, poor education and health care,

limited employment opportunities

Grass-roots action at a community level is valuable, but many of these challenges can only be overcome by actions and

(4)

Direct and indirect impacts

• Climate change impacts vulnerable

populations:

i. Directly;

ii. Indirectly - as a result of dependency on the effective operation of the wider urban system.

• Action to reduce exposure and

improve the adaptive capacity of urban populations must

simultaneously address:

a. disaster risk reduction; b. urban poverty reduction; c. urban systems resilience

(5)

Dependencies and interdependencies

• Climate change will affect the ecosystems, infrastructure , knowledge

networks and institutions that collectively enable a city to function.

• Traditional risk assessments founded on spatial analysis and climate projections

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Cities as systems - conceptualising

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Cities as systems

urban boundary

CONTROL

• Administrative boundary

• Urban and suburban/peri-urban

• Sub-divided in smaller discreet administrative

boundaries (boroughs, districts, wards, etc.)

INFLUENCE

• Wider institutional policy and socio-economic

factors. Eg. national policy

• Includes spatial and non-spatial dynamics at

regional, national and global levels Eg.

– surrounding and distant ecosystems;

– neighbouring settlements;

(8)

Urban systems analysis

Surat

• Infrastructure, early warning

systems and emergency preparedness plans exist to mitigate flood risk; .

• Flood risk is linked to operation

of the reservoir which is outside the municipal boundary.

Hydrological modelling and information exchange

between key institutions,

notably rainfall forecasters, dam managers and Surat

(9)

Urban systems analysis

Indore

• Severe water shortages due to

limited local water supply, compounded by poor

management.

• Opportunity for community-level

interventions centred on

improving knowledge of water resources, how to use water efficiently and improving water quality

COMMUNITY SELF

(10)

Defining (and measuring) resilience

• Resilience is system attribute

that reflects its ability to perform (or function) in response to

shocks and stresses.

• System resilience cannot be measured directly, except in terms of changing performance

(11)

Characteristics of elements of resilient systems

• As a proxy, the elements of the system (infrastructure,

institutions, ecosystems and

knowledge networks) in a resilient city, will demonstrate a number of

key characteristics .

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Summary - Key points

City scale actions (and interventions) is needed to address many of the challenges faced by poor or vulnerable groups.

Urban Climate Change Resilience (UCCR) must simultaneously address: disaster risk reduction, poverty reduction; and urban system resilience.

Spatial analysis alone is insufficient; it does not recognise the flows of goods, services and people that enable a city to function.

Systems analysis recognises the interdependencies between eco-systems, institutions, infrastructure and knowledge networks and flow of goods and services that enable urban communities and business to flourish.

A simplified systems model can be used to identify weaknesses and opportunity for intervention; ie. what to do?

(13)

Thank you

Further information:

Jo da Silva [email protected]

Sam Kernaghan [email protected]

Full article is in the International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development © 2012

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