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Daily Insight
Monday, Nov 7
th
2016
IHSG diprediksi akan bergerak menguat pada
perdagangan hari ini. Pasar saham Eropa dan Amerika
ditutup turun akhir pekan lalu. Investor menunggu
hasil Pemilu AS besok 8 November dimana polling
sebelumnya terjadi perbedaan tipis diantara kandidat.
Selain itu, sentimen juga dari laporan ketenagakerja
AS yang turun. Hari ini akan ada pertemuan
Eurogroup serta rilis data retail sales Eropa.
Pasar saham Jepang, Korea dan Australia dibuka
menguat pagi ini. Trade Balance China diperkirakan
meningkat.
Dari dalam negeri, Hari ini akan rilis PDB kuartal III
yang diperkirakan turun secara kuartalan, cadangan
devisa bulan Oktober, serta tingkat pengangguran
dan indeks kepercayaan bisnis.
IHSG secara teknikal analysis bergerak mencoba
mengkoreksi aksi panic selling investor yang terjadi
pada hari kamis pada perdagangan hari ini. Keluarnya
IHSG dari support MA50 seakan memberikan signal
pergerakan trend bearish untuk jangka pendek
hingga menengah. Indikator pun negatif terlihat dari
indikator stochastic yang cenderung bergerak turun
mendekati area jenuh jual. Indikator pendeteksi trend
seperti ADX pun seakan mengkonfirmasi trend
bearish yang akan di bentuk dengan melebarkan
ruang pergerakan negatif dari garis indikator ADX.
Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG masih akan bergerak
mixed mencoba menguat terterbatas hingga kembali
diatas Moving Average 50 hari diawal pekan depan
dengan range pergerakan 5300-5375. Saham-saham
yang dapat masih dapat diperhatikan diantaranya
AALI, APLN, ASRI, BBTN, BSDE, DILD, EXCL, KRAS, LSIP,
MNCN, SMRA, WIKA, BJBR.
Market Update
Global Market
Dow Jones
17,888.28
4-Nov-16
Daily
-0.2%
Yt d
2.7%
S&P 500
2,085.18
-0.2%
2.0%
Nasdaq
5,046.37
-0.2%
0.8%
FTSE 100
6,693.26
-1.4%
7.2%
DAX
10,259.13
-0.6%
-4.5%
CAC 40
4,377.46
-0.8%
-5.6%
Hang Seng
22,642.62
-0.2%
3.3%
Nikkei
16,905.36
#VALUE!
-11.2%
Kospi
1,982.02
-0.1%
1.1%
Shanghai Comp
3,125.32
-0.1%
-11.7%
All Ordinaries
3,641.91
-1.5%
5.7%
EIDO
25.45
-0.2%
21.9%
Idn CDS 5yr USD
158.01
0.7%
-31.3%
MSCI Emerging Mkt
880.12
-0.5%
10.8%
CBOE SPX Volatility
22.51
1.9%
23.6%
US Dollar Index
97.07
-0.1%
-1.6%
Commodit ies (USD)
4-Nov-16
Daily
Yt d
Coal
106.75
3.6% 133.8%
CPO (MYR)
2,752.00
-1.4%
14.8%
Crude Oil
44.07
-1.3%
19.0%
Gold
1,305.06
0.2%
23.0%
Copper
226.50
0.7%
6.1%
Nickel
10,420.50
-0.2%
18.6%
Tin
21,415.00
0.8%
46.7%
HRC Steel
492.00
0.0%
25.8%
Corn
348.75
0.2%
-2.8%
Soybean
981.50
0.2%
12.7%
Indonesia
4-Nov-16
Daily
Yt d
USDIDR
13,068.00
-0.1%
-5.2%
IHSG
5,362.66
0.6%
16.8%
LQ45
913.46
0.7%
15.3%
ISSI
176.51
0.6%
21.7%
JII
724.67
0.6%
20.1%
Finance
804.56
0.4%
17.1%
Property
547.77
0.7%
11.6%
Consumer
2,452.06
0.8%
18.7%
Misc Indust
1,353.69
0.1%
28.0%
Basic Indust
535.08
1.5%
31.2%
Mining
1,359.76
2.3%
67.6%
Agriculture
1,744.62
0.4%
1.5%
Trading
848.30
0.4%
-0.1%
Infrastructure
348.13
0.4%
9.7%
Indonesia St ock
4-Nov-16
Yt d
Foreign Net Buy (Sell)
(912.71)
32,168.13
(bn Rp)
Value Shares Traded
5,239.53
(bn Rp)
Volume Shares Traded
6,356.58
(mn shares)
Govt Bond Yield (%)
4-Nov-16
Chg
Indonesia 10yr IDR
7.334
(0.054)
Indonesia 10yr USD
3.616
0.027
US Treasury 10yr
1.790
0.030
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Berita Ekonomi dan Emiten:
Mandala Multifinance (MFIN): Perseroan meraih pendapatan sebesar Rp1,12 triliun hingga periode September 2016 turun
dari pendapatan tahun sebelumnya yang Rp1,26 triliun. (Iqp)
Nusa Kontruksi Enjiniring (DGIK): Perseroan membukukan pendapatan neto senilai Rp722,78 miliar hingga September 2016
turun dari pendapatan neto Rp1,28 triliun. (Iqp)
Equity Development Investment (GSMF): Perseroan alami penurunan laba bersih menjadi Rp50,69 miliar hingga periode
September 2016 dibandingkan laba bersih Rp59,25 miliar periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Dyandra International (DYAN): Perseroan meraih pendapatan neto sebesar Rp594,57 miliar hingga periode September 2016
naik dibandingkan pendapatan neto periode sama tahun sebelumnya yang Rp513,96 miliar. (Iqp)
Gajah Tunggal (GJTL): Perseroan meraih laba bersih Rp582,94 miliar hingga September 2016 usai menderita rugi Rp749,66
miliar periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Acset Indonusa (ACST): Perseroan berhasil mengantongi kontrak baru sebesar Rp 2,5 triliun di kuartal ketiga 2016. Angka
tersebut sudah mencapai 71% dari total target perolehan kontrak baru di sepanjang tahun ini yang sebesar Rp 3,5 triliun.
(Iqp)
United Tractors (UNTR): Perseroan saat ini tengah membidik beberapa proyek pembangkit listrik yang tersebar di beberapa
wilayah di Indonesia. Dua pembangkit di wilayah Kalimantan dan satu pembangkit di wilayah Bangka Belitung dengan nilai
total kapasitas mencapai 900 Mega Watt (MW). (Iqp)
Nipress (NIPS): Perseroan berhasil meraih laba sebesar Rp28,56 miliar hingga periode September 2016 naik dibandingkan
rugi sebesar Rp3,96 miliar pada periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Sarana Meditama Metropolitan (SAME): Perseroan meraih pendapatan jasa Rp474,79 miliar hingga periode September 2016
naik dibandingkan pendapatan jasa Rp372,58 miliar periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Bank Mega (MEGA): Perseroan meraih pendapatan bunga sebesar Rp4,741 triliun hingga periode September 2016 relatif
sama dibandingkan periode sama tahun sebelumnya yang Rp4,744 triliun. (Iqp)
Wijaya Karya (WIKA): Perseroan khirnya menetapkan hanya mengeluarkan sebanyak 2.820.726.372 saham atau mewakili
31,45% dari modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh dengan nilai Rp100 per saham. Setiap 80.000 saham lama yang namanya
tercatat hingga 15 November 2016 berhak memperoleh sebanyak 36.697 HMETD dimana 1 HMETD berhak atas 1 saham baru
dengan harga pelaksanaan Rp2.180 per saham sehingga nilai dana yang diraih Rp6.149.183.490.960. (Iqp)
4-Nov-16
Daily
Yt d
P/E 2017E
Misc Indust
ASII IJ Equity
8,125
0.0%
35.4%
15.7
SMSM IJ Equity
1,060
-0.9% -77.7%
2.9
SRIL IJ Equity
274
3.0% -29.6%
5.7
Basic Indust
SMGR IJ Equity
9,275
0.0% -18.6%
9.8
INTP IJ Equity
16,100
0.6% -27.9%
11.6
CPIN IJ Equity
3,620
2.5%
39.2%
18.5
JPFA IJ Equity
1,910
3.2% 200.8%
26.7
Finance
BBTN IJ Equity
1,870
0.5%
44.4%
7.4
BBNI IJ Equity
5,600
2.3%
12.2%
8.0
BBRI IJ Equity
12,400
0.6%
8.5%
10.2
Consumer
UNVR IJ Equity
43,975
-0.5%
18.9%
45.9
KAEF IJ Equity
2,470
4.2% 183.9%
44.8
INDF IJ Equity
8,175
-0.3%
58.0%
15.9
Property
WSKT IJ Equity
2,510
1.2%
50.3%
21.4
PTPP IJ Equity
3,980
-1.2%
2.7%
16.5
CTRA IJ Equity
1,505
1.0%
3.7%
13.9
SMRA IJ Equity
1,435
0.3% -13.0%
13.1
Infrastructure
TLKM IJ Equity
4,150
0.0%
33.7%
20.2
JSMR IJ Equity
4,490
-0.2% -14.1%
17.3
Trading
MLPL IJ Equity
358
2.9%
39.3%
16.6
MAPI IJ Equity
5,450
-1.8%
43.6%
22.0
Mining
ELSA IJ Equity
436
0.0%
76.5%
14.2
PTBA IJ Equity
12,475
5.7% 175.7%
16.7
Agriculture
AALI IJ Equity
14,775
1.0%
-2.2%
11.8
LSIP IJ Equity
1,410
1.8%
6.8%
11.4
SIMP IJ Equity
490
1.7%
47.6%
10.0
SGRO IJ Equity
1,915
0.0%
12.6%
8.5
LS 27 average ret urn
1.0% 33.7%
JCI Index
5,363
0.6% 16.8%
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World Economic Calendar
RUPS
Ticker Dat e Place Act ion
KBLI 7-Nov-16 Grand Tropic Suites Hotel RUPSLB PWON 10-Nov-16 Four Points By Sheraton Surabaya Hotel RUPSLB
BJBR 10-Nov-16 RUPSLB
CENT 11-Nov-16 Mercure Convention Center RUPSLB PBRX 11-Nov-16 Financial Hall, Graha CIMB Niaga RUPSLB DOID 15-Nov-16 Marquee Executive Office RUPSLB BTEK 16-Nov-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB
JASS 17-Nov-16 RUPSLB
CITA 17-Nov-16 Le Meridien Hotel Jakarta RUPSLB
BKSW 18-Nov-16 RUPSLB
BVIC 18-Nov-16 RUPSLB
HMSP 18-Nov-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB HOME 22-Nov-16 Belleza Gapura Prima Office Tow er RUPSLB BKSL 22-Nov-16 Ruang Anggrek Hotel Neo Green RUPSLB KIAS 22-Nov-16 Kantor Perseroan RUPSLB IATA 24-Nov-16 Ruang Meeting MNC Financial Center Lt 13 RUPSLB
CTBN 24-Nov-16 RUPSLB
SPMA 24-Nov-16 Kantor Perseroan RUPSLB
Source: KSEI
Event
Period
Prior
Survey
Actual
04-Nov-16
EU Markit Services PMI
Oct
53.5
53.5
52.8
Markit PMI Composite
Oct
53.7
53.7
53.3
Producer Price Index (MoM)
Sep
-0.20%
0.00%
0.10%
Producer Price Index (YoY)
Sep
-2.10%
-1.80%
-1.50%
US Labor Force Participation Rate
Oct
62.90%
62.80%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
Oct
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
Unemployment Rate
Oct
5.00%
4.90%
4.90%
Trade Balance
Sep
$-40.7B
$-37.8B
$-36.44B
Nonfarm Payrolls
Oct
191K
175K
161K
07-Nov-16
US Labor Market Conditions Index
Oct
-2.2
Consumer Credit Change
Sep
$25.87B
Source:Fxstreet
Indonesia 10yr IDR Govt Bond YieldDate Yield (mid) 4-Nov-16 7.40 3-Nov-16 7.36 2-Nov-16 7.35 1-Nov-16 7.34 31-Oct-16 7.30
Dat e Indonesia St ock Yt d Net Foreign Net Value (Rp bn) JASXFBAT Index Buy (Sell) (Rp bn)
4-Nov-16 (912.71) 32,168.13 3-Nov-16 170.17
2-Nov-16 247.84 1-Nov-16 492.93
Indonesia Government Bonds
Mat urit y
Bid Price
YTM (Bid) Cpn
Next Coupon Issue Dat e
SR08 3/10/2019
103.48
6.69
8.30
11/10/2016
3/10/2016
SR07 3/11/2018
102.22
6.52
8.25
11/11/2016
3/11/2015
SR06 3/5/2017
100.88
5.97
8.75
12/5/2016
3/5/2014
OR13 10/15/2019
100.00
6.60
6.60
11/15/2016
10/26/2016
OR12 10/15/2018
104.48
6.53
9.00
11/15/2016
10/21/2015
OR11 10/15/2017
101.98
6.31
8.50
11/15/2016
10/22/2014
FR73 5/15/2031
108.83
7.73
8.75
11/15/2016
8/6/2015
FR72 5/15/2036
103.69
7.88
8.25
11/15/2016
7/9/2015
FR71 3/15/2029
110.90
7.62
9.00
3/15/2017
9/12/2013
FR70 3/15/2024
106.08
7.29
8.38
3/15/2017
8/29/2013
FR69 4/15/2019
102.20
6.87
7.88
4/15/2017
8/29/2013
FR68 3/15/2034
104.33
7.91
8.38
3/15/2017
8/1/2013
FR67 2/15/2044
107.69
8.05
8.75
2/15/2017
7/18/2013
FR66 5/15/2018
97.79
6.80
5.25
11/15/2016
10/25/2012
FR65 5/15/2033
89.04
7.82
6.63
11/15/2016
8/30/2012
FR64 5/15/2028
89.34
7.53
6.13
11/15/2016
8/13/2012
FR63 5/15/2023
91.67
7.25
5.63
11/15/2016
8/13/2012
FR62 4/15/2042
80.76
8.18
6.38
4/15/2017
2/9/2012
FR61 5/15/2022
99.90
7.02
7.00
11/15/2016
10/6/2011
FR60 4/15/2017
99.68
6.98
6.25
4/15/2017
10/6/2011
FR59 5/15/2027
97.48
7.35
7.00
11/15/2016
9/15/2011
FR58 6/15/2032
104.05
7.79
8.25
12/15/2016
7/21/2011
FR57 5/15/2041
114.32
8.14
9.50
11/15/2016
4/21/2011
FR56 9/15/2026
107.34
7.31
8.38
3/15/2017
9/23/2010
FR54 7/15/2031
114.82
7.79
9.50
1/15/2017
7/22/2010
FR53 7/15/2021
104.92
7.00
8.25
1/15/2017
7/8/2010
FR52 8/15/2030
123.11
7.74
10.50
2/15/2017
8/20/2009
FR50 7/15/2038
124.59
8.08
10.50
1/15/2017
1/24/2008
FR48 9/15/2018
103.93
6.70
9.00
3/15/2017
9/27/2007
FR47 2/15/2028
119.02
7.47
10.00
2/15/2017
8/30/2007
FR46 7/15/2023
111.37
7.31
9.50
1/15/2017
7/19/2007
FR45 5/15/2037
117.16
8.03
9.75
11/15/2016
5/24/2007
FR44 9/15/2024
115.27
7.40
10.00
3/15/2017
4/19/2007
FR43 7/15/2022
114.18
7.16
10.25
1/15/2017
2/22/2007
FR42 7/15/2027
119.84
7.51
10.25
1/15/2017
1/25/2007
FR40 9/15/2025
123.20
7.38
11.00
3/15/2017
9/21/2006
FR39 8/15/2023
123.26
7.32
11.75
2/15/2017
8/24/2006
FR38 8/15/2018
108.03
6.69
11.60
2/15/2017
8/24/2006
FR37 9/15/2026
131.29
7.46
12.00
3/15/2017
5/18/2006
FR36 9/15/2019
111.71
6.89
11.50
3/15/2017
4/20/2006
FR35 6/15/2022
126.32
7.12
12.90
12/15/2016
2/16/2006
FR34 6/15/2021
122.51
6.99
12.80
12/15/2016
1/26/2006
FR32 7/15/2018
112.99
6.69
15.00
1/15/2017
9/1/2005
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Key Statistic
Ticker
Closing Price
Change (%)
P/E (x)
P/S (x)
P/B (x)
ROA (%)
ROE (%)
22.64 AALI 14,775.00 1.03 15.43 2.04 1.74 7.37 11.98 BWPT 190.00 (0.52) #N/A N/A 2.74 0.97 (2.38) (6.22) SSMS 1,475.00 (1.67) 25.30 5.98 4.68 8.14 19.36 LS IP 1,410.00 1.81 22.64 2.57 1.30 4.79 5.88 DSNG 400.00 - 32.22 1.11 1.70 1.67 5.53 22.35 ADRO 1,670.00 1.83 22.35 1.73 1.33 2.94 6.10
INCO 2,640.00 1.93 #N/A N/A 3.43 1.09 (0.37) (0.46)
ITMG 15,400.00 4.05 29.55 0.97 1.52 3.52 4.80 PTBA 12,475.00 5.72 17.08 2.04 2.78 9.47 16.78 30.11 AIS A 2,010.00 - 16.88 1.01 1.79 4.68 11.19 UNVR 43,975.00 (0.45) 52.26 8.59 52.90 39.22 106.11 ULTJ 4,740.00 (1.25) 22.49 2.94 4.36 17.02 21.43 ICBP 9,100.00 3.41 31.23 3.10 6.31 12.50 21.47 KLBF 1,725.00 - 36.52 4.21 7.14 15.80 20.70 MYOR 1,505.00 (0.33) 30.11 2.03 5.94 9.68 21.76 ROTI 1,600.00 - 28.76 3.32 6.06 10.50 22.95 SIDO 565.00 0.89 19.11 3.77 3.19 15.58 16.75 23.17 ACES 880.00 - 22.33 3.10 5.29 20.43 25.30 AKRA 6,750.00 3.85 26.42 1.65 3.96 6.22 15.65 LPPF 15,925.00 (1.09) 23.17 4.79 - 54.40 -SRTG 3,450.00 0.88 2.10 1.47 0.56 22.40 31.57 MIKA 2,850.00 3.64 71.28 18.74 12.66 19.25 23.12 MNCN 1,955.00 0.51 13.86 4.12 2.96 13.61 22.48 UNTR 21,850.00 - 57.79 1.81 2.11 2.14 3.58 19.32 APLN 276.00 2.22 6.10 0.86 0.73 3.51 12.85 ASRI 420.00 1.94 6.88 3.26 1.13 6.44 18.13 PWON 720.00 - 24.48 7.33 4.15 7.19 18.65 BSDE 2,060.00 - 25.48 6.85 1.99 4.31 8.18 CTRP 730.00 - 13.09 2.41 0.98 3.54 7.76 CTRA 1,505.00 1.01 22.57 3.52 2.64 3.15 9.93 CTRS 2,990.00 (1.32) 13.96 3.22 1.89 6.62 14.37 DILD 575.00 1.77 14.86 2.56 1.21 3.69 8.41 KIJA 296.00 - 9.80 2.19 1.22 6.31 13.21 LPKR 880.00 0.57 77.68 2.20 1.17 0.62 1.48 SMRA 1,435.00 0.35 67.31 4.37 3.44 0.56 1.76 SSIA 580.00 2.65 19.67 0.61 0.92 2.16 4.74 ADHI 2,160.00 0.93 16.76 0.70 1.49 2.87 12.89 WIKA 2,580.00 5.74 23.18 1.06 3.50 3.62 16.04 WSKT 2,510.00 1.21 19.32 1.62 3.30 4.30 16.91 LPCK 5,875.00 3.07 6.45 2.29 1.00 11.96 17.08 MDLN 360.00 2.27 7.48 1.93 0.74 4.65 10.36 JRPT 830.00 (2.35) 12.64 4.95 2.69 11.33 23.00 13.79 CPIN 3,620.00 2.55 19.31 1.65 4.07 12.74 23.24 INTP 16,100.00 0.63 13.79 3.63 2.32 15.90 17.76 MAIN 1,640.00 0.61 - 0.69 2.12 4.93 13.91 SMBR 1,980.00 (0.50) 73.38 13.24 6.45 7.46 8.98 SMCB 940.00 1.08 #N/A N/A 0.75 0.87 1.38 3.18 SMGR 9,275.00 - 12.94 2.04 2.01 11.05 16.16 19.53 ASII 8,125.00 - 23.85 1.84 3.10 5.44 13.34 AUTO 2,200.00 - 24.99 0.84 1.15 2.89 4.62 SMSM 1,060.00 (0.93) 15.20 2.19 4.56 18.00 31.13 SRIL 274.00 3.01 6.37 0.60 1.28 7.72 21.69 11.64 BBCA 15,500.00 0.49 19.32 6.03 3.50 3.18 20.27 BBNI 5,600.00 2.28 9.62 1.99 1.23 2.10 14.72 BBRI 12,400.00 0.61 11.64 2.74 2.14 2.99 20.91 BBTN 1,870.00 0.54 8.81 1.13 1.09 1.24 14.37 BDMN 3,780.00 (0.26) 12.02 1.40 1.01 1.63 8.67 BMRI 11,100.00 (0.45) 14.68 2.65 1.74 1.89 13.60 BTPN 2,890.00 0.35 9.79 1.19 1.07 2.08 12.02 BBKP 665.00 3.91 5.86 0.59 0.67 1.13 12.80 BJTM 520.00 1.96 7.58 1.49 1.11 2.00 15.61 BJBR 1,525.00 - 8.78 1.30 1.54 1.70 19.96 13.58 CMNP 1,505.00 (0.66) 9.24 1.64 0.96 6.88 10.77 EXCL 2,280.00 0.44 - 0.97 1.17 1.13 3.71 TBIG 5,800.00 (0.85) 15.39 7.27 12.51 7.39 55.41 SOCI 414.00 - 5.46 1.57 0.80 8.57 15.86 JSMR 4,490.00 (0.22) 16.88 2.13 2.70 4.78 17.24 PGAS 2,470.00 2.92 13.58 1.48 1.47 5.22 11.21 TLKM 4,150.00 - 21.87 3.62 4.92 11.12 24.19 TOWR 3,800.00 - 10.17 8.16 4.31 16.97 53.80 To p Gainers (%) 1 2 3 4 5
WIKA PTBA ITMG BBKP AKRA
To p Lo ssers (%) 70 69 68 67 65
JRPT SSMS CTRS ULTJ SMSM
Lo west PER 70 69 68 67 66
BBKP APLN SRIL LPCK ASRI
S o urc e : B lo o m be rg, R e lia nc e R e s e a rc h
MISCELANEOUS INDUSTRY, MEDIAN PER=
FINANCE, MEDIAN PER=
INFRASTRUCTURE, MEDIAN PER= AGRICULTURE, MEDIAN PER=
MINING, MEDIAN PER=
CONSUMER GOODS, MEDIAN PER=
TRADING, MEDIAN PER=
PROPERTY & KONSTRUKSI MEDIAN PER=