JCI Outlook
Last Change % Chg Idx pts JCI 5029.3 (11.2) (0.22) Leaders UNVR 31,625 450 1.44 3.70 BBCA 12,750 125 0.99 3.29 ICBP 11,325 325 2.95 2.04 DNET 1,000 100 11.11 1.53 TGKA 3,300 625 23.36 0.62 LPPF 15,950 150 0.95 0.47 Laggers GGRM 57,475 (1,800) (3.04) (3.73) EMTK 6,550 (400) (5.76) (2.43) SMGR 15,700 (300) (1.88) (1.92)Stock Picks GEMS 1,700 (250) (12.82) (1.58)
MAYA 1,700 (240) (12.37) (0.89)
Ticker Last S2 S1 R1 R2 Trend 3 Month Technical Call UNTR 17,250 (200) (1.15) (0.80)
JCI 5,029.3 4,937 4,991 5,051 5,100 First Distr Rebound Source: Bloomberg
UNVR 31,625 30,400 31,050 32,750 33,300 Bullish BOW
ICBP 11,325 10,725 11,025 11,700 11,900 Bullish BOW 1d 5d 30d YTD
LPKR 1,010 950 980 1,050 1,075 Bearish BOW JCI (0.22) 1.57 (3.79) 17.67
TLKM 2,850 2,715 2,775 2,945 3,010 Bullish BOW Misc. Industry -1.52 1.86 -10.00 -3.49
BBCA 12,750 12,225 12,450 13,100 13,325 Bullish BOW Agriculture -0.80 0.00 -8.75 -8.09
WIKA 2,905 2,745 2,825 3,005 3,055 Cont Distr BOW Mining -0.58 -0.44 -11.89 -2.72
ADHI 2,820 2,655 2,745 2,925 2,980 Bearish BOW Basic Industry -0.43 2.30 -4.13 11.11
PGAS 5,675 5,325 5,450 5,850 6,050 Bullish BOW Trade -0.32 1.93 -5.21 16.63
DOID 219 196 204 231 246 Bullish Buy at 219 Finance -0.24 1.96 -1.57 28.18
SIDO 620 565 600 660 680 Bullish Buy at 620 Prop. & Constr. 0.19 3.59 -0.88 37.35
META 194 185 190 200 204 Bearish Trading Buy Consumer 0.23 1.01 -0.42 18.87
SUGI 423 409 415 433 438 Cont Distr Trading Buy Infrastructure 0.23 0.77 -3.24 23.92
Source: TRIM Research Source: Bloomberg
Last Top gainer Last
SIAP 167 CKRA 249 LPKR 1,010 TGKA 3,300 TARA 413 DNET 1,000 META 194 MREI 5,525 TLKM 2,850 SDPC 91 WSKT 945 SIAP 167
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Last Top loser Last
BBRI 10,575 EMTK 6,550 TLKM 2,850 PGLI 101 ASII 6,500 INPP 167 BMRI 10,025 PTIS 800 BBCA 12,750 MAYA 1,700 LPKR 1,010 GEMS 1,700
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
22 Oktober 2014
11.1 10.7 8.3 7.7 23.4 Return (%) %Chg 24.5 130.9 97.7 90.3 310.2 278.4 198.4 167.0 128.6Transaction values (Rp billion)
(12.8) Transaction volumes (Lot million)
129.9 127.3 109.0 101.3 (5.8) %Chg (7.3) (9.7) (11.1) (12.4)
PT Trimegah Securities Tbk - Research Division
Gina Novrina Nasution (gina.nasution@trimegah.com)
IHSG mengalami profit taking sebesar 11 poin (0.22%), IHSG bergerak anomali ditengah sentiment positif dari Regional dimana data GDP China diatas estimasi pasar. Bursa Eropa juga mengalami penguatan di tengah sentiment dari kinerja emiten Actelion Ltd dan Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc dimana emiten Actelion menaikkan proyeksi kinerja setahun penuh untuk kedua kalinya. Selain itu SwedBank membukukan pendapatan bersihnya diatas ekspektasi pasar. Pagi ini bursa Regional dibuka menguat seiring dengan keluarnya data ekonomi Export Jepang Sep’14 sebesar 6.9% MoM (Agts’14: -1.3 MoM0 diatas ekspektasi pasar (+6.5% MoM). Hari ini IHSG diperkirakan akan mengalami rebound setelah kemarin melemah tipis dengan kisaran perdagangan di level 4091-5051.
DOID pada perdagangan kemarin masih mengalami pelemahan namun pelemahan telah terbatas sehingga bisa melakukan aksi beli dengan potensi terjadi rebound di kisaran perdagangan 204-231. SIDO dalam pola tren turun untuk 3 bulan kedepan namun dalam jangka pendek terjadi pembalikan arah dengan terjadi penguatan 3.3% pada perdagangan kemarin sehingga pada hari ini diperkirakan masih akan melanjutkan penguatan dengan resisten di level 650.
TECHNICAL MATRIX
Ticker Last 1D 5D 30D YTD Trend 3 Month Technical Call PIVOT S2 S1 R1 R2
BANK
BDMN 4000 0.0 2.6 -2.7 6.0 Cont Acc Buy 3994 3850 3920 4105 4160
BBCA 12750 1.0 1.0 -0.4 32.8 Bullish BOW 12738 12225 12450 13100 13325
BBNI 5700 0.0 8.1 -1.3 44.3 First Distr Sell 5688 5450 5550 5850 5950
BBRI 10575 -1.2 4.7 -2.1 45.9 Bearish Sell 10538 9975 10200 10875 11175
BMRI 10025 -1.0 6.1 -5.9 27.7 Bearish Sell 10019 9575 9750 10300 10525
BBTN 1155 -0.4 5.0 2.7 32.8 Cont Acc Buy 1158 1110 1135 1195 1215
BJBR 750 0.7 0.7 -8.5 -15.7 Bearish Sell 750 720 735 770 785
BTPN 4460 0.0 1.4 -2.1 3.7 Bullish BOW 4458 4335 4390 4555 4600
BJTM 441 0.2 1.4 -0.9 17.6 Cont Distr Sell 441 426 432 451 459
PNBN 1000 0.0 1.5 16.3 51.5 Bullish BOW 260 251 254 266 271
PNLF 260 -0.4 0.4 -1.1 33.3 Bullish BOW 5575 5275 5450 5825 5925
RETAILER
MAPI 5600 0.9 10.3 -3.9 1.8 Cont Distr Sell 5575 5275 5450 5825 5925
ACES 795 -3.6 -1.2 -17.2 34.7 Cont Distr Sell 804 750 765 830 865
RALS 765 2.7 -1.9 -21.1 -27.8 Bearish Sell 771 705 740 820 845
MPPA 3000 -2.8 0.0 -7.6 54.6 Bullish BOW 3036 2820 2885 3135 3275
SILO 13275 -1.7 -3.5 -16.1 39.7 Bullish BOW 13269 12600 12850 13650 14025
TRANSPORTATION
GIAA 476 5.5 13.3 12.3 -4.0 Bearish Sell 473 425 455 508 525
TAXI 1155 2.2 -3.3 -19.8 -20.9 First Distr Sell 1146 1085 1120 1195 1215
PHARMACEUTICAL
KAEF 1140 -2.1 4.6 -3.0 93.2 Bearish Sell 1133 1030 1070 1185 1245
INAF 166 1.8 5.1 -0.6 8.5 Bearish Sell 166 158 162 172 175
TELCO
TLKM 2850 0.2 2.7 -0.7 33.8 Bullish BOW 2853 2715 2775 2945 3010
ISAT 3735 -0.9 -3.2 -4.2 -10.0 Cont Distr Sell 3745 3600 3650 3835 3915
EXCL 5875 1.3 1.3 -9.3 13.0 First Distr Sell 5819 5525 5650 6000 6150
CONSUMER
INDF 6800 -1.4 -2.2 -4.6 3.0 Bearish Sell 6838 6525 6625 7025 7200
ICBP 11325 3.0 2.7 1.1 11.0 Bullish BOW 11275 10725 11025 11700 11900
AISA 2175 -1.1 0.7 -9.4 52.1 Bearish Sell 2180 2075 2115 2240 2295
MYOR 30500 -1.6 0.3 3.0 17.3 Bullish BOW 30625 29375 29800 31375 32050
UNVR 31625 1.4 2.3 -1.1 21.6 Bullish BOW 31763 30400 31050 32750 33300
KLBF 1700 0.9 5.9 0.6 36.0 Cont Acc Buy 1696 1620 1655 1750 1785
GGRM 57475 -3.0 1.2 1.7 36.8 Bullish BOW 57775 54950 55875 59325 60975
ROTI 1175 2.2 8.3 -3.3 15.2 Bearish Sell 1166 1090 1135 1225 1255
CPO
AALI 19425 -0.9 -10.9 -17.7 -22.6 Bearish Sell 19456 18775 19025 19900 20250
BWPT 590 -1.7 1.7 -38.2 -55.6 Bearish Sell 590 560 570 605 625
LSIP 1750 -1.7 -5.7 -6.4 -9.3 First Acc Spec Buy 1768 1655 1690 1820 1895
SIMP 735 -1.3 -3.3 -14.0 -5.8 First Acc Spec Buy 738 710 720 755 770
SGRO 1845 1.1 0.0 -12.4 -7.8 Bearish Sell 1869 1755 1810 1945 1995
SSMS 1105 0.5 5.7 -21.6 34.8 First Distr Sell 1108 1060 1085 1140 1160
AUTOMOTIVE
ASII 6500 -1.5 1.6 -11.6 -4.4 Bearish Sell 6531 6175 6300 6725 6925
IMAS 4000 -5.1 -7.0 -9.1 -18.4 Bearish Sell 4053 3745 3835 4185 4390
AUTO 4000 -3.0 -2.4 -5.2 9.6 Bullish BOW 4031 3810 3880 4145 4280
GJTL 1520 1.0 -1.3 -7.9 -9.5 Bearish Sell 1524 1455 1490 1575 1600
NIPS 265 0.0 -3.6 -2.2 -17.9 Cont Distr Sell 265 255 260 272 276
HEAVY EQUIPMENT
UNTR 17250 -1.1 -4.2 -17.7 -9.2 Bearish Sell 17369 16475 16750 17825 18375
Source: TRIM Research
Return (%)
Ticker Last 1D 5D 30D YTD Trend 3 Month Technical Call PIVOT S2 S1 R1 R2 COAL
PTBA 12075 -1.8 0.8 -5.8 18.4 First Distr Sell 12131 11250 11525 12550 13125
HRUM 1615 -0.3 -4.4 -23.3 -41.3 Bearish Sell 1618 1540 1565 1665 1705
ADRO 975 1.6 -3.5 -22.3 -10.6 Cont Distr Sell 980 930 955 1015 1035
ITMG 20075 0.4 -10.0 -27.0 -29.6 Bearish Sell 20044 19200 19650 20700 21000
BUMI 122 -0.8 -6.2 -36.5 -59.3 Bullish BOW 122 114 118 127 131
INDY 625 1.6 -4.6 -19.9 5.9 First Distr Sell 619 580 605 650 665
TOBA 835 0.0 -0.6 -4.0 12.8 First Distr Sell 829 770 805 875 895
BRMS 367 -2.4 5.5 -10.0 84.4 Bullish BOW 363 334 345 379 396
DOID 219 -3.524 -9.5 -16.7 138 Bullish BOW 220 196 204 231 246
POULTRY
JPFA 1200 0.8 4.3 -9.4 -1.6 Cont Distr Sell 1210 1145 1175 1255 1280
CPIN 3985 0.9 5.4 -6.6 18.1 Bullish BOW 3971 3840 3895 4065 4125
MAIN 3160 -0.2 -0.9 -6.4 -0.5 Bullish BOW 3149 3025 3075 3230 3290
CEMENT
SMBR 373 -1.1 2.2 -6.0 13.0 Bearish Sell 373 356 362 383 392
SMGR 15700 -1.9 4.0 -3.5 11.0 Bearish Sell 15750 15025 15275 16175 16575
INTP 23700 -0.1 7.0 0.5 18.5 Bearish Sell 23575 22300 22800 24325 25000
SMCB 2525 -2.1 3.1 -7.2 11.0 Bearish Sell 2539 2380 2430 2620 2720
TOLLROAD
JSMR 6125 -0.4 2.9 -4.3 29.6 Bullish BOW 6138 5850 5950 6300 6450
INFRASTRUCTURE
PTPP 2465 1.4 7.9 3.8 112.5 Cont Distr Sell 2456 2330 2400 2555 2595
WIKA 2905 0.9 8.6 1.2 83.9 Cont Distr Sell 2890 2745 2825 3005 3055
ADHI 2820 0.5 17.3 -3.8 86.8 Bearish Sell 2810 2655 2745 2925 2980
WTON 1180 1.7 9.8 N/A N/A First Distr Sell 1170 1100 1145 1225 1245
WSKT 945 2.2 10.5 6.2 133.3 First Distr Sell 941 890 920 980 1000
TBIG 8575 0.9 0.9 7.9 47.8 Cont Distr Sell 8531 8200 8325 8750 8925
OIL & GAS
AKRA 4810 -1.6 2.2 -8.4 9.9 Bullish BOW 4820 4640 4710 4935 5025
PGAS 5675 -0.9 -2.2 -6.2 26.8 Bullish BOW 5669 5325 5450 5850 6050
MEDC 3800 0.3 1.6 11.9 81.0 Cont Distr Sell 3813 3605 3715 3965 4045
WINS 1225 1.2 2.1 -8.9 81.3 First Acc Spec Buy 1234 1165 1200 1285 1310
LEAD 4250 -2.3 -2.7 -13.3 46.6 First Distr Sell 4269 4090 4150 4375 4475
ENRG 92 0.0 0.0 -4.2 31.4 Bullish Sell 93 88 90 96 99
PROPERTY
SMRA 1260 2.4 6.8 -1.9 61.5 Bearish Sell 1253 1175 1205 1295 1335
BSDE 1570 -0.6 7.9 -1.9 21.7 First Acc Spec Buy 1569 1490 1520 1615 1655
ASRI 479 -0.2 8.4 -0.6 11.4 Bearish Sell 476 454 463 490 500
CTRA 1060 -0.5 7.6 -2.3 41.3 Bearish Sell 1056 1000 1020 1090 1120
APLN 366 -2.4 4.9 6.1 70.2 Cont Distr Sell 364 339 348 378 393
MDLN 515 1.0 4.0 -3.7 32.1 Bullish BOW 513 480 493 530 548
BEST 590 -1.7 10.3 2.6 32.6 Bearish Sell 591 555 570 610 630
SSIA 730 0.0 8.1 -6.4 30.4 Cont Distr Sell 726 685 705 755 775
KIJA 271 0.7 5.4 3.4 41.2 Cont Distr Sell 270 255 263 281 286
LPKR 1010 0.5 4.7 -2.4 11.0 Bearish Sell 1009 950 980 1050 1075
CTRP 745 0.0 6.4 -0.7 20.2 First Acc Spec Buy 746 715 725 770 785
PWON 434 1.4 7.2 2.8 60.7 Bearish Sell 432 409 422 449 457
CTRS 2225 0.0 9.3 1.4 69.8 Bearish Sell 2221 2130 2175 2285 2325
LPCK 8200 2.8 14.3 2.2 68.2 Bearish Sell 8119 7525 7900 8575 8775
BKSL 87 -1.1 0.0 -23.0 -44.6 Bearish Sell 88 83 84 90 93
Source: TRIM Research
TECHNICAL MATRIX
Ticker Last 1D 5D 30D YTD Trend 3 Month Technical Call PIVOT S2 S1 R1 R2
METAL
TINS 1145 -0.9 -4.2 -11.2 5.9 Bearish Sell 1075 1075 1100 1180 1220
INCO 3680 0.0 -0.1 -7.2 38.9 Cont Distr Sell 3505 3505 3590 3790 3845
ANTM 950 -0.5 -4.0 -13.6 -12.8 Bearish Sell 915 915 930 975 1000
Source: TRIM Research
Return (%)
Jakarta 12190, Indonesia t. +62-21 2924 9088 f. +62-21 2924 9150 www.trimegah.com
reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, Trimegah Securities makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of Trimegah Securities who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither Trimegah Securities nor any officer or employee of Trimegah Securities accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. Trimegah Securities and/or persons connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication. Trimegah Securities may in future participate in an offering of the company’s equity securities.
