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Currency markets - Spanish property Word Count:

437 Summary:

Summary of Overnight News:

¯ The FTSE-100 will open sharply higher this morning, pushed by a strong performance in New York last night. ¯ Elsewhere, IBM’s second-quarter profit rose nearly 11 percent, slightly exceeding analysts’ forecasts despite another period of lacklustre revenue growth. Exec

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currency markets

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Summary of Overnight News:

¯ The FTSE-100 will open sharply higher this morning, pushed by a strong performance in New York last night.

¯ Elsewhere, IBM’s second-quarter profit rose nearly 11 percent, slightly exceeding analysts’ forecasts despite another period of lacklustre revenue growth. Executives acknowledged weakness in IBM’s two biggest divisions, services and hardware. ¯ From April through June, IBM earned 2.02 bln Usd, 1.30 Usd per share, on revenue of 21.9 bln, the company said.

¯ In Asia, share prices rebounded in the morning session, after the Nikkei slumped over 400 points yesterday, as bargain hunters stepped back into the market supported by Wall Street’s overnight rise.

¯ However, while the broad picture was brighter, there was a reluctance to push the upside too aggressively ahead of US June CPI data, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke’s testimony to Congress starting later today, and a string of earnings reports from US high-tech firms such as Intel Corp, Apple Computer and Microsoft, due out this week. ¯ The Hang Seng ended the early session up 99.77 points at 16,143.71 while the Nikkei finished the morning better by 184.11 points at 14,621.35.

¯ Meanwhile, oil prices rebounded this morning in Asia as continued concern about Iran’s nuclear program and Israel’s attacks on Lebanon kept the market volatile, dealers said.

¯ New York’s main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August, was at 73.91 Usd a barrel, up 0.37 Usd from 73.54 Usd in late US trading overnight. Brent North Sea crude for September delivery was up 0.58 Usd at 74.94 Usd. USA

Figures out:

13:30 US CPI (Jun) %m/m Prev 0.4 13:30 US CPIX (Jun) %m/m Prev 0.3

13:30 US housing starts (Jun) k Prev 1957 13:30 US building permits (Jun) k Prev 1932 13:30 CA leading indicators (Jun) %m/m Prev 0.3 15:00 US Bernanke Report on Economy & Fed Policy

¯ A major London-based investment bank believes that, as was the case for June, the core CPI reading (13:30) will be the most important determinant of the FOMC’s decision on 8 August. Given their relatively benign forecast for the June core CPI, they look for the Fed to (finally) pause in August, though it is a close call. Clearly, a 0.3% rise in the June core index would fundamentally alter the inflation picture and would, in their view, dictate another tightening next month. A more complete treatment of the monetary policy outlook is included in the discussion of Bernanke’s Congressional testimony (15:00) where he will have a perfect opportunity to do two critical things: a) shape market expectations for the 8 August meeting and

b) explain the Fed’s thinking and give markets, Congress, and the public a roadmap for how the FOMC might respond to various scenarios over the next six months. UK

Figures out: 09:30 BoE MPC Minutes Exp 7-0 Prev 7-1

EURUSD @ 1.2495 GBPUSD @ 1.8280 GBPEUR @ 1.4630 USDJPY @ 117.45

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