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5 Real Data Analysis

Lemma 1 Kraus (2015), Proposition 1)

(a) Let E X 2<and assumption (A1) be satisfied. Then E(|| ˆμNMEμ||2)= O(n1)forn→ ∞.

(b) Let E X 4 <and observation pattern (A2) holds. Then E(|| ˆCNME

X

CX||2S)=O(n1)forn→ ∞(here|| · ||Sdenotes the Hilbert–Schmidt norm).

Lemma 2 (Kneip and Liebl (2020), Theorem 4.1) Under the assumptions (B1)–

(B5), we have that

(a) supt∈T| ˆμWME(t )μ(t )| =Op(rμ)withrμ=h2μ+1/9

nN hμ+1/n.

(b) sup(s,t )∈T2cWME(s, t )cX(s, t )| =Op(rμ+rc)withrc =h2c+1/9

nMh2c+ 1/

n.

Proof of Theorem1The following results can be derived from the theory developed by Bhatia et al. (1983):

supj1λNME

jλj| ≤ ˆCNME

XCX ,

supj1δj ˆφjNME

φj ≤81/2 ˆCNME

XCX . (13)

Therefore, we obtain from Lemma1, supj1λNME

jλj| =Op(n1/2), supj1δj ˆφNME

jφj =Op(n1/2). (14)

Note that,

T(γˆNME(s)γ (s))2ds

=

T

m−1

j=1

n−1#n

i=1[YiUˆNME

ij ]

ˆ λNME

j

φˆNME

j (s)E[Y Uj] λj

φj(s)

2

ds

+

T

j=m

E[Y Uj] λj φj(s)

2

ds

+2

T

m−1

j=1

n−1#n

i=1[YiUˆNME

ij ]

ˆ λNME

j

ˆ φNME

j (s)E[Y Uj] λj φj(s)

j=m

E[Y Uj] λj φj(s)

ds

:=A1(n)+A2(n)+A3(n). (15)

For simplicity, we suppress the notation on “NME.” Assumption (A6) implies thatA2(n) → 0 asm→ ∞. ForA3(n), Cauchy–Schwarz inequality implies that A23(n)A21(n)×A22(n)p 0. Combing the result (14), and the formula (15), we see that the result of the theorem follows if we can get the convergence rate ofUˆij of the trajectories per subject withUˆij = ˆUij Oi+ ˆUij M(α)

i.

Denote the estimates of Uij Mi, COiOi, COiMi, φj Mi as Uˆij Mi(i), CˆOiOi(i), CˆOiMi(i),φˆj Mi(i) with deleting the ith curves Xi(t ). Let ξ˜ij M(ρ)

i = (C(ρ)O

iOi)1 COiMiφj Mi withCO(ρ)

iOi =COiOi+ρFOi,U˜ij M(ρ)

i = ˜ξij M(ρ)

i, XiOi, and the notation ξ˜ij MiU˜ij Mi are corresponded to the symbolsξ˜ij M(ρ)

i,U˜ij M(ρ)

i withρ=0. Since EUˆij M(ρ)

i − ˜Uij Mi2= EUˆij M(ρ)

i− ˜Uij M(ρ)

i+ ˜Uij M(ρ)

i− ˜Uij Mi2

= 2EUˆij M(ρ)

i− ˜Uij M(ρ)

i

2+2U˜ij M(ρ)

i− ˜Uij Mi2

≤ 4EUˆij M(ρ)

i− ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i)

2+4EUˆij M(ρ)

i(i)− ˜Uij M(ρ)

i

2 +2U˜ij M(ρ)

i− ˜Uij Mi2, (16)

we then analyze the terms E ˆUij M(ρ)

i− ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i) 2, E ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i)− ˜Uij M(ρ)

i

2, ˜Uij M(ρ)

i

U˜ij Mi 2in turn. Letξˆij M(ρ)

i(i)=(CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1CˆOiMi(i)φˆj Mi(i). Then E ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i)− ˜Uij M(ρ)

i

2

= Eˆξij M(ρ)

i(i)− ˜ξij M(ρ)

i, XiOi2

= E{E[ˆξij M(ρ)

i(i)− ˜ξij M(ρ)

i, XiOi2|{XkOi, k=i}]}

= E||CO1/2

iOi((CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1CˆOiMi(i)φˆj Mi(i)(CO(ρ)

iOi)1COiMiφj Mi)||2

≤ 4

E||CO1/2

iOi(CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1(CˆOiMi(i)COiMi)(φˆj Mi(i)φj Mi)||2 +E||CO1/2

iOi(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi(i))1COiMiˆj Mi(i)φj Mi)||2 +E||CO1/2

iOi(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi(i))1(CˆOiMi(i)COiMij Mi||2 +E||CO1/2

iOi((CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1(CO(ρ)

iOi)1)COiMiφj Mi||2

:=B1+B2+B3+B4. (17)

LetFm= {λ2m ˆm< 32λm}. Suppose the eventFmholds. Otherwise, we have P(λmλm| ≥ λ2m)≤P( ˆCNME

XCXλ2m)→ 0 from assumption (A4). We have the following results for termsB1toB4with the equality

CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i)

1

CO(ρ)

iOi

1

=(CˆOiOi(i)COiOi)

CO(ρ)

iOi

1 CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i)

1

. For the termB1,

B1E1 CO1/2

iOi

22·

ˆ CO(ρ)

iOi(i)

−1 2

·CˆOiMi(i)COiMi22·φˆj Mi(i)φj Mi2 2

=O n2δj2

·O(ρ2).

Denote · as the operator norm. For the termB2, under the assumption (A7), E CO1/2

iOi 2

<∞and the result (14), it is clear that B2≤E

1CO1/2

iOi

2

·

CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i)

1

COiMi 2

2

·φˆj Mi(i)φj Mi2 2

j

k

rM2

iOij k

OiOik+ρ)2·O

n1δj2 =O

n1δj2

.

For the termB3, B3≤E

3 CO1/2

iOi 2 2· (CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1 2· ˆCOiMi(i)COiMi 22· φj Mi 2 4

=O(n1ρ2).

Note that ρλOi Oi k

Oi Oi k+ρ)2 <1. Under the assumption (A7), we have that

B4E3 CO1/2

iOi·(CO(ρ)

iOi)1·(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi(i))1·COiMi 22· ˆCOiOi(i)COiOi 22· φj Mi 24

j

k

ρλOiOik

OiOik+ρ)2· rOiMij k2 OiOik+ρ)2·ρ−1

·O(n−1)

=O(n−1)·O(ρ−1).

These results combined with (17) indicate E ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i)− ˜Uij M(ρ)

i

2=O

n1ρ2+n1δj2

. (18)

We then analyze E ˆUij M(ρ)

i− ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i) 2, E ˆUij M(ρ)

i− ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i) = Eˆξij M(ρ)

i− ˆξij M(ρ)

i(i), XiOi

≤ {E ˆξij M(ρ)

i− ˆξij M(ρ)

i(i)

2}1/2{E XiOi 2}1/2

L{E ˆξij M(ρ)

i− ˆξij M(ρ)

i(i)

2}1/2, (19)

where the last inequality holds from the finite second moment ofXthat is bounded by constantL. We also have,

E ˆξij M(ρ)

i− ˆξij M(ρ)

i(i)

2= E (CˆO(ρ)

iOi)1CˆOiMi(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi(i))1CˆOiMi(i)

φˆj Mi(i) 2

= E 3

(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi)1(CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1 CˆOiMi

+(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi(i))1(CˆOiMi− ˆCOiMi(i))

4φˆj Mi(i) 2

≤ 2 E

(Cˆ(ρ)O

iOi)1(CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1

CˆOiMi 2

+E (CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1(CˆOiMi− ˆCOiMi(i)) 2}. (20) Note that

E ˆCOiMi− ˆCOiMi(i) 2=O(n2),

E (CˆO(ρ)

iOi)1(CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1

CˆOiMi 2=O(n2),

E (CˆO(ρ)

iOi(i))1(CˆOiMi− ˆCOiMi(i)) 2=O(n2ρ2).

Combining formulas (19) and (20), we deduce that

E ˆUij M(ρ)

i− ˆUij M(ρ)

i(i)

2=O(n2ρ2). (21)

On the other hand,

E ˜Uij M(ρ)

i− ˜Uij Mi 2=O(ρ), (22)

var(U˜ij MiUij Mi)= φj Mi, CMiMiφj Miφj Mi, CMiOiCO1

iOiCOiMiφj Mi

:=Vij. (23)

Therefore, with3→0 and the formulas (16), (18), (21)–(23), we have that E ˆUij M(ρ)

iUij Mi 2=O

n1ρ2+n1δj2+Vij

. Then the results are proved with3→0.

Proof of Theorem 2 Let U˜i = (U˜i1,· · · ,U˜im)T, Ui = (Ui1,· · · , Uim)T. The covariance matrix of U˜i is var(Ui) = ΞΣZ1

iΞT with Ξ = cov(U˜i,Zi) =

1φi1,· · ·, λmφim)T. Moreover, var(U˜iUi)=ΛΞΣZiΞT. Combining these results with formulas (14), (12) and the results of Lemma2, the result of Theorem 3 is obtained by replacingUˆijNMEwithUˆijWMEin (15) with assumptions (B1)–(B6).

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Semiparametric Varying-Coefficient