Heavy rainfall observed (from 0830 hrs IST to 1730 hrs IST of yesterday) at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh. Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hrs IST of yesterday to 0530 hrs IST of today): at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, West Bengal & Sikkim, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Uttarakhand, Coastal Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry. June 12 (Day 1): ♦ Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Kerala and Mahe .
June 13 (Day 2): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall is very likely at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam &. Meghalaya and sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. June 14 (Day 3): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim.
June 15 (Day 4): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall possible at isolated places over Saurashtra. Thunderstorm and strong winds (speed 50-60 km/h) possible at isolated places over Rajasthan; with lightning and strong winds (speed 40-50 km/h) at isolated places over Uttarakhand; with strong lightning winds (speed 30-40 km / h) at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Jharkhand;. Heavy to very heavy rain had occurred at isolated places over Uttarakhand one day during the week.
Isolated places above Kerala and Mahe received heavy rainfall for four days; across Andaman &.
Northern Limit of South West Monsoon, 2023
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2023
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST – 2023
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE REALISED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE-2023
STATE DISTRIBUTION OF EXCESSIVE (LE), EXCESSIVE (E), NORMAL (N), DEFICIENT (D), LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) RAINFALL, NO RAINFALL (NR) AND NO DATA (ND).
RAINFALL DURING MONSOON SEASON
Meteorological Sub-Divisions
12 JUN 2019
10 JUN 2020
09 JUN 2021
08 JUN 2022
07 JUN 2023
Andaman &
Nicobar Islands A
Arunachal Pradesh
3 Assam &
Meghalaya
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizo
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &
Sikkim
Gangetic West Bengal
Jharkhand
East Uttar Pradesh
West Uttar Pradesh
Uttarakhand A
Haryana, Chandigarh &
Delhi
Punjab
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu, Kashmir and
Ladakh
West Rajasthan A
East Rajasthan A
West Madhya Pradesh
East Madhya Pradesh
Gujarat Region A
Saurashtra &
Kutch
Konkan & Goa A
Madhya Maharashtra
Marathawada A
Vidarbha
Chhattisgarh A
Coastal Andhra Pradesh &
Yanam
Telangana
Rayalaseema A
Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &
Karaikal
Coastal Karnataka
North Interior Karnataka
South Interior Karnataka
Kerala & Mahe A
Lakshadweep A
Country as a whole A
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
Total
Earth System Science Organization Ministry of Earth Sciences
Press: Dated: 8 June, 2023
Subject: Current Weather Status and Extended range Forecast for next two weeks (8-21 June 2023)
Salient Observed Features for week ending on 7 June 2023
2 | Page centered at a distance of approximately 930 km southwest of Goa, 1060 km southwest of Mumbai and 1150 km southwest of Porbandar; moving almost further north, it intensified into a cyclonic storm "Biparjoy" (pronounced "Biporjoy") in the evening of the same day and was centered over East Central and the adjacent Southeast Arabian Sea at a distance of about 920 km west southwest of Goa. , 1050 km southwest of Mumbai, 1130 km southwest of Porbandar and 1430 km south of Karachi; It continued to move almost northward but further intensified into a severe cyclonic storm during the early morning hours of the 7th and was centered over Eastcentral and the adjacent Southeast Arabian Sea at a distance of approximately 890 km west-southwest of Goa, 1000 km southwest from Mumbai. 1070 km southwest of Porbandar and 1370 km south of Karachi; It then moved almost north-northeastward and was over Eastcentral and the adjacent Southeast Arabian Sea, at a distance of about 880 km west-southwest of Goa, 990 km southwest of Mumbai, 1060 km southwest of Porbandar and 1360 km south of Karachi in the morning of the same day; It continued almost north-northeastwards and intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm around noon and was over Eastcentral and the adjoining South-East Arabian Sea, about 860 km west-southwest of Goa, 970 km south-west of Mumbai, 1050 km south-west from Porbandar and 1350 km south of Karachi; initially moving almost northward and then almost north-northwestward, it was located around east-central Arabian Sea at a distance of about 870 km west-southwest of Goa, 930 km south-west of Mumbai, 970 km south-west of Porbandar and 1260 km south from Karachi around midnight of the same day; Although the low-pressure system had undergone rapid intensification from its genesis stage and had reached the intensity of a very severe cyclonic storm within forty-eight hours, it had not caused any adverse weather over the Indian region until June 7, as it was off the Indian coast. ; However, under the influence of the system in the immediate area, the Lakshadweep Islands had received fairly widespread to widespread rain and thundershowers on two days by the end of the week. Due to dry westerly winds and absence of thunderstorms and rainfall, heatwave to severe heatwave conditions prevailed in some parts of Bihar; in some parts of Gangetic West Bengal and in isolated areas over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim during May 31 - June 7, 2023. Heatwave conditions were also observed in isolated areas over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Telangana on June 7.
No heat wave was observed over north and central India during the week and this was again due to movement of 2 active western disturbances (June 1-5 and June 3-7) across north India which had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over western Himalayan region in two to three days along with isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm over the area. 3 | P a g e remaining days of the week; passage of the systems along with lower tropospheric cyclonic circulations over the plains of northwest India supported by moisture intrusion over the areas had caused scattered to fairly widespread rain/thunderstorm activity over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and West Rajasthan in two to three days with isolated rain/thunderstorm activity over the same areas on the remaining days of the week, whereas isolated rainfall activity had occurred over East Rajasthan on most days, over Madhya Pradesh and West Uttar Pradesh on many days and over East Uttar Pradesh on three to four days of the week; Isolated hail activity had also been reported over parts of northwest India and adjoining areas of Madhya Pradesh on a few days of the week, whereas thundershowers had been reported over Uttarakhand on a single day; isolated heavy rainfall had also been reported over Himachal Pradesh and West Madhya Pradesh in one or two days whereas isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall had been reported over Uttarakhand in a single day along with. The highest maximum temperature of 45.0oC had been recorded at Bapatla (Coastal Andhra Pradesh . & Yanam) on 3 June 2023 and the lowest minimum temperature of 16.5oC had been recorded at Sikar (East Rajasthan) on 01 June 2023 and over Una (Himachal) Pradesh) on 3 June 2023 over the plains of the country during the week.
Analysis of the weekly total rainfall distribution during the week ending 7 June 2023 and the rainfall scenario of the monsoon season (1 - 7 June 2023): It shows for the country as a whole both the weekly and seasonal cumulative All India rainfall in % deviating of its the long-term average (LPA) until June 7, 2023 was -57%, over the south of the peninsula -63%, in central India -71% and in northwestern India +69. Details of the rainfall distribution over the four broad geographical regions of India are given in Table 1 and the weekly and seasonal meteorological rainfall are given in Appendix II and III respectively.
Large scale features
Forecast for next two week Forecast for next two week
Advance of southwest monsoon
Taking into account all the above conditions, the Southwest Monsoon has started over Kerala today, June 8, 2023. Conditions are favorable for a further advance of the Southwest Monsoon into more parts of the central Arabian Sea, the remaining parts of Kerala, some more parts of Tamil Nadu, some parts of Karnataka and some more parts of the South-Western, Central and northeastern Bay of Bengal and some parts of the northeastern states during the next 48 hours.
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “Biparjoy” (pronounced as “Biporjoy”) over eastcentral Arabian Sea
June 9: Gale-force winds of 145-155 kmph with gusts up to 170 kmph are likely to prevail over the central Arabian Sea.
9 th June: Gale wind speed reaching 145-155 kmph gusting to 170 kmph is likely to prevail over central Arabian Sea
Sea conditions are likely to be rough to very rough over adjacent areas in the northern Arabian Sea.
11 th June & 12 th June: Sea condition is likely to be phenomenal to very high over central
Other Significant Meteorological features
8 | Likely over Kerala, Lakshadweep, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka; isolated to scattered activity over North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh during the week. Very heavy rain very likely at isolated places over Kerala on 08; Heavy rain at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 08-10; Kerala during 08-12; Lakshadweep during 09-11; and Coastal and South Interior Karnataka during June 10-12. Scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate showers with thunderstorms/thunderstorms very likely in the region during the week.
Very heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 9th and Assam & Meghalaya on 12th; isolated heavy rainfall over Arunachal Pradesh and Assam & Meghalaya during 09-14; Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura during June 08-14. Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall with thunder/lightning very likely over Western Himalayan region and adjoining plains during 2nd half of the week.
The monsoon is likely to advance further over more parts of the Arabian Sea, peninsular India and most parts of the Bay of Bengal and eastern parts of India in week 2.
Annex: I
