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Crime and Punishment

Ram Singh

Lecture 21-22

September 30, 2015

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Crimes I

Crime Example:

Murder, larceny, CAW, etc.

Attempted murder, CAW, etc.

Concealment of riskiness of product, of misappropriation by auditors, etc.

Sale of liquor to under-aged, drunken-driving, etc.

Crimes Definition:

Act is criminal if there is/was intent behind the act:

There was an action that has/could lead to substantial harm to someone else

The action was motivated by ‘bad intention’

The probability of occurrence of harm is very high.

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Crimes II

Criminal Trial/Litigation:

The plaintiff (prosecution) is the ‘state’ (government) Burden of proof: ‘Beyond reasonable doubt’, as opposed to

‘preponderance of evidence

Question

Is cost-benefit analysis of criminal acts is plausible?

Is there any scope for economic analysis of Law?

Can criminals be deterred by punishment?

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Economics of Crime I

Some Claims by Economists:

Criminal Law should minimize the social costs of crime - the sum of cost of crime and cost of preventing it.

To the extent possible, crimes should be controlled by increasing fine rather than imprisonment.

Let

πbe the probability that a criminal act will get punished. Letπ=0.40 F denote the fine, if conviction. LetF =100

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White Collar Crimes and Offenses

Economic/white-collar crimes can be reduced by increasing the expected penality/fines:

LetBbe the benefit of a crime to the potential (white-collar) criminal Expected penality/fines=πF =0.40×100=40

Crime will be committed if and only ifB> πF So crimes can be reduced

By increasing the probability of detecting and penalizing the crime;

Or, by increasing the fine for a committed crime Becker (1968)

Increasing the probability of detecting and penalizing the crime is costly for society - requires provisions of police, courts, prison, etc. But increasing the fine is not; fine is transfer from individuals to the state So, fine should be very high

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Rational Crimes

Assumption

The underlying assumption is : Potential criminals are ‘rational’.

Even if potential criminals are rational, a very high fine does not deter risk-loving individuals

will not work for judgment proof criminals - so they will have to be sent to prison;

So, very high fine may not be politically/morally acceptable prisons have an advantage over fines in preventing future crimes

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‘Irrational’ Crimes

Diminished Rationality/capacity: infrequent and short-lived but leaves person insane

Insanity: An insane person cannot differentiate between ‘right’ and

‘wrong’.

Studies suggest many crimes get committed due to infrequent bouts of insanity

Most crimes are committed by those under 25 years - account for as much as 2/3 of crimes in US.

However, young are not most criminal at their 17th year!

Some blame ‘criminal genes’ for criminal behaviour.

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Crimes: Causes

Level of crimes is said to depend on

%of below 25 in the population Family Conditions

Economic Conditions Urbanization

Excessive consumption of alcohol and drugs - ‘Saturday Night Fever’!;

Effect of Block-busters

Sociological factors - Crime against women in Asian countries

Question

Does law have any role to play?

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Roe V. Wade

Crimes in US:Crime rate in US

Increased from early 1960 to early 1980 Started to decrease from early 1980

Decreased significantly in 1990 and continue to decrease Donohue and Levitt (2001):

Supreme Court of the USA legalized abortion in 1973 Legalized abortion decreased number of unwanted babies

1973: Abortions 750,000; Live births 3.1 million 1991: Abortions 1.6 million; Live births 3.6 million Thereby decreased the number of criminals

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Crime and Punishment

Empirical support for punishment as a deterrence

Increase in severity of punishment increases deterrence Especially true for White Collar crimes

Increase in probability of conviction also increases deterrence True for all types of crimes

Certainty of punishment has deterrence power rather than the commensurate increase in severity. Why?

Moreover,

Cost of law enforcement can be reduced by using technology Rehabilitation of offenders also works.

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Punishment and Marginal Deterrence

Question

Should there be death penalty for rape?

Should the maximum punishment be handed out for heinous crimes?

If maximum possible punishment is given for all crimes The marginal deterrence will disappear

Once people choose to commit crime, they will go for most serious of crimes

the conviction rate may also come down

as a result, the number of heinous crimes can actually go up

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