Friday 16 September 2022 - Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST

(1)

Friday 16 September 2022 MORNING Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN

Significant Weather Features

Main Weather Observations

♦ Rainfall/thundershower observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday): at most places over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Konkan & Goa and Coastal Karnataka; at many places over West Madhya Pradesh and Saurashtra & Kutch; at a few places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Assam & Meghalaya, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra and Andaman &

Nicobar Islands and at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat Region, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, North Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Chief amount of Rainfall observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday): (2 cm or more): Nahan-6; Cherrapunji, Bulsar & Bhuj-4 each; Bahraich, Gorakhpur, Shanti Niketan, Dwarka, Veraval, Mahabaleshwar, Diu, Dahanu & Matheran-3 each;

Sultanpur, Nowgong, Shillong, Okha and Bhaunagar-2 each.

♦ Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0530 hours IST of today): at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat State, Bihar, Assam & Meghalaya, Odisha, Vidarbha, Gangetic West Bengal and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.

♦ Minimum Temperature Departures (as on 15-09-2022): Minimum temperatures were above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at many places over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Rajasthan and Punjab; at a few places over West Madhya Pradesh and Odisha; at isolated places over Haryana, East Rajasthan, Assam & Meghalaya, East Madhya Pradesh and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim. They were below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh and Telangana and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 18.0°C was reported at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) over the plains of the country.

♦ Maximum Temperature Departures (as on 15-09-2022): Maximum temperatures were above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at a few places over Assam & Meghalaya; at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at isolated places over Uttar Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh and Saurashtra & Kutch; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at a few places over Uttarakhand; at isolated places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Bihar, East Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat Region; below normal (- 1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over North Interior Karnataka; at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the highest maximum temperature of 39.0°C was reported at Jaisalmer (West Rajasthan) over the plains of the country.

♦ A Western Disturbance as a trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies runs roughly along Long.75°E to the north of Lat. 27°N.

♦ The Well Marked Low Pressure Area lies over central parts of Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood Due to its likely interaction with the trough in middle latitude westerlies, the system is likely to move gradually northeastwards towards east Uttar Pradesh during next 24 hours.

♦ Under their influence:

o Fairly widespread/ widespread light/moderate rainfall with heavy to very heavy rainfall & thunderstorm/lightning very likely over Uttarakhand & Uttar Pradesh during 16th-17th September, 2022. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls also likely over Uttarakhand & West Uttar Pradesh on 17th September, 2022.

o Fairly widespread/ widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls & thunderstorm/lightning very likely over Sub- Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Gujarat Region on 16th; Odisha on 18th & 19th and over ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa during 16th-17th September, 2022. Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Gujarat State on 15th and over ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa on 16th September, 2022.

o Fairly widespread/ widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls and thunderstorm/lightning very likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 16th September, 2022.

o Subdued rainfall activity likely over South Peninsular India during next 5 days.

(2)

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day

Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0530 hours IST)

**Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 21st September, 2022**

Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days During 21st September-23rd September, 2022

♦ The Western Disturbance as a trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level now runs roughly along Long.75°E to the north of Lat. 27°N.

♦ The Well Marked Low Pressure Area over northwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood now lies over central parts of Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood and the associated cyclonic circulation extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level. Due to its likely interaction with the trough in middle latitude westerlies, the system is likely to move gradually northeastwards towards east Uttar Pradesh during next 24 hours.

♦ The Monsoon Trough at mean sea level now passes through Bikaner, Jaipur, centre of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over central parts of Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood, Gorakhpur, Patna, Purnea and thence eastwards to Assam across north Bangladesh.

♦ The trough now passed through Westcentral Arabian Sea to the cyclonic circulation associated with the Well Marked Low Pressure Area over central parts of Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood across central

& northeast Arabian sea, north Konkan, south Gujarat region and West Madhya Pradesh between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level.

♦ The trough in westerlies roughly along Long.90°E to the north of Lat.18°N at 5.8 km above mean sea level has become less marked.

♦ An upper air cyclonic circulation is likely to form over North Bay of Bengal along & off north Odisha-west Bengal coasts around 18th September, 2022.

♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.

♦ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over the country during next 5 days.

♦ Fairly widespread to widespread light/moderate rainfall activity likely over Central & East India.

♦ Isolated to scattered light/moderate rainfall activity likely over rest pats of the country except over

many parts of Northwest India where dry weather is likely.

(3)

Weather Warning during next 5 days *

16 Sept (Day 1): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Gujarat region, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places very likely over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Bihar, Odisha, West Bengal & Sikkim, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat State and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

♦ Squally weather (wind speed 40-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph) is very likely over along and off south Gujarat, north Maharashtra coasts, adjoining northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining east-central Arabian Sea. Squally winds of 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph likely over southwest and adjoining west-central Arabian Sea, along and off Somalia coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

17 Sept (Day 2): ♦Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places likely over Uttarakhand and West Uttar Pradesh; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Andaman &

Nicobar Islands, Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places very likely over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Squally winds of 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph likely over southwest and adjoining west-central Arabian Sea, along and off Somalia coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these seas.

18 Sept (Day 3): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Odisha and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Kerala & Mahe.

19 Sept (Day 4): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Odisha.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Kerala & Mahe.

20 Sept (Day 5): ♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places likely over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, south Odisha, Marathawada, north Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura.

Kindly download MAUSAM APP for location specific forecast & warning, MEGHDOOT APP for

Agromet advisory and DAMINI APP for Lightning Warning & visit state MC/RMC websites for

district wise warning.

(4)

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day

Table-1

(5)

Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department

ALL INDIA WEEKLY WEATHER REPORT

08–14 SEPTEMBER, 2022

Go to: Table-1(A) Table-1(B) Table-1(C) Table-2 Table-3 Fig-1 Fig-2 Fig-3 Fig-4 Annexure-1

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES

♦ A Low Pressure Area has formed over Westcentral & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal on 8^th September 2022; it lay over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts on 9^th and further as a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over the same region on 10^th; moving west-northwestwards, it concentrated into a Depression in the early morning hours of 11^th September 2022 and lay over south coastal Odisha and neighbourhood, about 20 km northwest of Gopalpur; moving west-northwestwards it lay over south Odisha, in the forenoon of the same day, about 110 km west-northwest of Gopalpur (Odisha) and about 210 km east-northeast of Jagdalpur (Chhattisgarh);moving initially west-northwestwards and then nearly westwards, it lay over south Chhattisgarh in the evening of that day, about 160 km west of Bhawanipatna (Odisha) and 40 km south-southeast of Kanker (Chhattisgarh) and 250 km east of Chandrapur (Maharashtra); moving nearly westwards and then northwestwards, it weakened into a Well Marked Low pressure area in the morning of 12^th and lay over southeast Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood; maintaining the intensity of Well Marked Low Pressure Area, it lay over central parts of Madhya Pradesh on 13^th and over northwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood from the early morning of 14^th September 2022; this system had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Coastal Andhra Pradesh on many days, over Bihar & Jharkhand on three to four days and over Madhya Pradesh on one or two days towards the end of the week; under its influence, heavy rainfall had occurred over Odisha and Chhattisgarh on five to six days and over Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Coastal Andhra Pradesh on three to four days; isolated very heavy rainfall had also occurred over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Chhattisgarh on two to three days and over Gangetic West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh on one or two days whereas Isolated extremely heavy rainfall had occurred over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Chhattisgarh on one day each during the week.

♦ Formation of the Low pressure system over Bay of Bengal, its intensification and movement in a nearly west- northwestward direction causing strengthening of the monsoon flow and its convergence towards the coast, a cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra-Goa coasts in the lower/middle tropospheric levels on a few days and an east-west trough in the lower tropospheric levels across northern parts of Peninsular India on a few days had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Maharashtra and Telangana on most of the days; these synoptic features along with positioning of the monsoon trough to the south of its normal position had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Gujarat State on four to five days and isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity on the remaining days; Strengthening of the monsoon flow and its convergence towards the coast along with an east-west shear zone across South Peninsula had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Coastal Karnataka , Kerala & Mahe and Lakshdweep Islands throughout the week and over North Interior Karnataka on most of the days; it had also caused scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over South Interior Karnataka on most of the days and over Rayalseema on three to four days; under their influence, isolated rainfall/thunderstorm activity had been reported over Rayalseema on the remaining days and over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry& Karaikkal throughout the week;

heavy rainfall had occurred over Konkan & Goa and South Interior Karnataka throughout the week, over Interior Maharashtra, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal and Coastal Karnataka on five to six days, over Gujarat State on four to five days and over North Interior Karnataka on two to three days; very heavy rainfall also had occurred over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka and Telangana on three to four days and over Vidarbha, Marathwada, South Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Kraikkal on one or two days along with.

♦ Movement of Western Disturbances and convergence of moist easterlies had caused isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Western Himalayan Region and isolated rainfall/thunderstorm activity over adjoining plains of Northwest India on most of the days during the week; isolated heavy rainfall had occurred over parts of Western Himalayan Region and East Rajasthan on two to three days and over Punjab and East Uttar Pradesh on one or two days; under their influence, isolated very heavy rainfall also had occurred over Uttarakhand on two days and over East Uttar Pradesh and Himachal Pradesh and on one day each along with.

Heavy rain:

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Chhattisgarh on one day each during the week.

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Madhya Maharashtra and Telangana on four days each; over Konkan & Goa, Chhattisgarh , Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Coastal Karnataka on three days each; over Odisha, Uttarakhand, West Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on two days each; over Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, East Madhya

(6)

Mizoram & Tripura on five days; over Assam & Meghalaya, Odisha, Gujarat Region, Saurashtra & Kutch, Konkan &

Goa and Marathwada on four days each; over Bihar, East Rajasthan, Vidarbha, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal and North Interior Karnataka on three days each; over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Gangetic West Bengal, Uttarakhand, East & West Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh and Coastal Karnataka on two days each; over Jharkhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Rayalseema and Kerala & Mahe on one day each during the week.

Temperature Scenario:

♦ The highest maximum temperature of 41.6^oC had been recorded at Phalodi (West Rajasthan) on 10^th September 2022 and the lowest minimum temperature of 18.2^oC had been recorded at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) on 14^th September 2022 over the plains of the country during the week.

LEGEND: Few days-(3 days), Many days-4 to 5 days and Most days-6 to 7 days during the week.

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS

♦ The monsoon trough at mean sea level passed through Jaisalmer, Bhopal, Gondia, Jagdalpur, Kalingapatnam and thence east-southeastwards to the Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal on 8^th September 2022; it passed through Jaisalmer, Udaipur, Jalgaon, Ramagundam and thence east-southeastwards to the centre of Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal on 9^th; it passed through Okha, Akola, Jagdalpur and thence east-southeastwards to the centre of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts on 10^th; it passed through Naliya, Ahmedabad, Brahmapuri, Jagdalpur, centre of Depression over south coastal Odisha and neighbourhood and thence east -southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal on 11^th; it passed through Jaisalmer, Udaipur, Bhopal, centre of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over southeast Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood, Bhatapara, Jharsuguda, Balasore and thence east-southeastwards to Northeast Bay of Bengal on 12^th; it passed through Jaisalmer, Kota, Guna, centre of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over central parts of Madhya Pradesh, Pendra Road, Jamshedpur, Digha and thence east-southeastwards to Northeast Bay of Bengal on 13^th; it passed through Jaisalmer, Kota, centre of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Northwest Madhya Pradesh &

neighbourhood, Sidhi, Ambikapur, Jamshedpur, Digha and thence east-southeastwards to Northeast Bay of Bengal on 14^th September 2022.

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral & adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level lay over central parts of Bay of Bengal in the early morning hours of 8^th September 2022; under its influence, a Low Pressure Area has formed over Westcentral & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid tropospheric levels in the morning of the same day; it lay over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid-tropospheric levels on 9^th; it lay as a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid-tropospheric levels on 10^th; moving west-northwestwards, it concentrated into a Depression in the early morning hours of the next day and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of 11^th September 2022 over south coastal Odisha and neighbourhood near latitude 19.5°N and longitude 84.7°E, about 20 km northwest of Gopalpur; moving west-northwestwards it lay centered at 0830 hrs IST of 11^th September 2022, over south Odisha near latitude 19.7°N and longitude 84.0°E, about 80 km east-southeast of Bhawanipatna (Odisha), 110 km west- northwest of Gopalpur (Odisha), 210 km east-northeast of Jagdalpur (Chhattisgarh) and 260 km east-southeast of Kanker (Chhattisgarh);moving initially west-northwestwards and then nearly westwards, it lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of 11^th September 2022, over south Chhattisgarh near latitude 19.9°N and longitude 81.7°E, about 160 km west of Bhawanipatna (Odisha), 40 km south-southeast of Kanker (Chhattisgarh), 100 km north-northwest of Jagdalpur (Chhattisgarh) and 250 km east of Chandrapur (Maharashtra); moving nearly westwards and then northwestwards, it weakened into a Well Marked Low pressure area in the morning of 12^th and lay over southeast Madhya Pradesh &

neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid tropospheric levels; maintaining the intensity of Well Marked Low Pressure Area, it lay over central parts of Madhya Pradesh with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level on 13^th and over northwest Madhya Pradesh &

neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level from the early morning of 14^th September 2022.

♦ Last week’s trough from the cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral & adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal to north Kerala between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level across Rayalaseema & South Interior Karnataka was seen as a shear zone roughly along Lat.12°N across South peninsula between 4.5 km & 7.6 km above mean sea level on 8^th September 2022; it ran roughly along Lat.15°N across Peninsular India between 3.1 km & 7.6 km above mean sea level on 9^th and 10^th; it has become less marked on 11^th September 2022.

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over Interior Karnataka & neighbourhood extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 8^th August 2022.

♦ A trough ran from south Konkan to the Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal across North Interior Karnataka, south Telangana & north Coastal Andhra Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level on 8^th September 2022; it ran from south Konkan to the Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts, across North Interior Karnataka & south Telangana and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 9^th; it ran from Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Konkan coast to the Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Westcentral & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-

(7)

south Odisha coasts, across Maharashtra, Telangana, south Chhattisgarh & Coastal Andhra Pradesh and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 10^th; it has become less marked on 11^th September 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Coastal Karnataka & neighbourhood between 1.5 km & 3.1 km above mean sea level on 8^th September 2022; it has merged with the east-west trough and the east–west shear zone across Peninsular India on 9^th September 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra-Goa coasts and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level in the early morning hours of 11^th September 2022; it persisted over the same areas and extended upto 3.1 km above mean sea level in the forenoon of the same day; it continued to persist over the same areas and extended upto 7.6 km above mean sea level on 12^th; it has become less marked on 13^th September 2022.

♦ A feeble Western Disturbance was seen as a trough in mid tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level, roughly along Long. 62°E to the north of Lat. 32°N on 11^th and 12^th September 2022; it was seen as a cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan & adjoining Afghanistan between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level on 13^th; it was seen as a trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long.65°E to the north of Lat. 30°N on 14^th September 2022.

♦ A trough extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level ran from the cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra-Goa coasts to central parts of Bangladesh across the Well-marked Low Pressure Area over southeast Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood on 12^th September 2022; it ran from Northwest Arabian Sea to north Bangladesh across Gujarat State, the Well-marked Low Pressure Area over central parts of Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal and extended upto 4.5 km above mean sea level on 13^th; it ran from Northeast Arabian Sea to east Assam across Gujarat State, the Well Marked Low Pressure Area over northwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood, north Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, north Bangladesh and Meghalaya and extended upto 3.1 km above mean sea level on 14^th September 2022.

♦ An off shore trough at mean sea level ran from south Gujarat coast to north Karnataka coast in the evening of 12^th September 2022; it ran along Maharashtra-Goa coasts on 13^th; it has become less marked on 14^th September 2022.

♦ A trough in westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level ran roughly along Long.89°E to the north of Lat.21°N on 14^th September 2022.

RAINFALL SUMMARY

• Weekly cumulative rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-1.

• Sub-division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-2 and Fig-3.

• Sub-division wise daily distribution of realised Rainfall is shown in Table-1(A).

• Sub-division wise departure of realised Maximum temperature from Normal is shown in Table-1(C)

• State wise distribution of number of districts with Large-Excesses, Excess, Normal, Deficient, Large-deficient and no rainfall is shown in Table-2.

• Cumulative seasonal rainfall data during the corresponding weekly period for the last five years are given in Table-3.

• Sub-division wise realised weekly rainfall (in cm) is shown in Annexure-1.

FORECAST & WARNING FOR THE NEXT WEEK 15 SEPTEMBER TO 21 SEPTEMBER, 2022

➢ Detailed seven days Sub-division wise rainfall-forecast is given in Table-1(B). Category of the rainfall

WEEK SEASON

08.09.2022 TO 14.09.2022 01.06.2022 TO 14.09.2022 Number of Sub-

divisions Sub-divisional %

Area of Country Number of Sub-

divisions Sub-divisional % Area of Country

LARGE EXCESS(LE) (+60% or more) 14 39% 3 13%

EXCESS (E) (+20% to +59%) 4 13% 9 25%

NORMAL (N) (+19% to -19%) 3 5% 17 44%

DEFICIENT (D) (-20% to -59%) 11 36% 7 18%

LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) (-60% to -99%) 4 7% 0 0%

NO RAIN (NR) (-100%) 0 0% 0 0%

Cumulative rainfall (mm) ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category

EAST & NORTH-EAST INDIA 63.5 70 -9% N 1018.9 1223.7 -17% N

NORTH-WEST INDIA 13.9 28.8 -52% D 507.5 549.3 -8% N

CENTRAL INDIA 86.2 44.8 +92% LE 1066.3 900.7 +18% N

SOUTH PENINSULA 63.8 33.9 +88% LE 831.9 625.8 +33% E

Country as a whole 56 41.8 +34% E 840.9 790.1 +6% N

(8)

Back to Top

Fig-1

WEEKLY CUMULATIVE RAINFALL MAP

(9)

Back to Top

Table-1 (A)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2022

S.No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 08 Sept 09 Sept 10 Sept 11 Sept 12 Sept 13 Sept 14 Sept

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS* FWS* SCT D ISOL ISOL ISOL

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS FWS FWS ISOL SCT SCT FWS

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL WS WS FWS

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT ISOL FWS FWS WS WS WS

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM FWS FWS SCT SCT WS WS WS*

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT SCT FWS WS WS** WS* WS*

7 ODISHA SCT FWS FWS WS* WS* FWS SCT

8 JHARKHAND FWS SCT SCT FWS WS* WS* WS**

9 BIHAR ISOL SCT ISOL SCT FWS WS FWS*

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS WS*

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT

12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI D ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL

14 PUNJAB ISOL D ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH D ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL

16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH ISOL ISOL SCT SCT FWS ISOL D

17 WEST RAJASTHAN ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL

18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL SCT

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT FWS* WS*

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH SCT SCT ISOL SCT SCT WS* WS**

21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL SCT SCT WS* FWS* WS* FWS*

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH ISOL FWS SCT WS** WS* WS** WS**

23 KONKAN & GOA WS* WS* WS* WS* WS* WS** WS*

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA FWS* FWS* FWS* WS* WS* WS* WS*

25 MARATHAWADA SCT WS* WS* WS* WS** WS* FWS

26 VIDARBHA WS WS ISOL WS* WS* WS** WS*

27 CHHATTISGARH FWS FWS SCT FWS* WS* WS* FWS*

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM WS** WS** WS** WS** FWS SCT SCT

29 TELANGANA WS* WS* WS** WS** WS* FWS ISOL

30 RAYALASEEMA FWS* FWS SCT SCT ISOL D ISOL

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS** WS WS* WS* WS** WS* WS

33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA WS* FWS* FWS* WS* WS* FWS SCT

34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA WS* FWS SCT FWS SCT SCT FWS

35 KERALA & MAHE WS* WS WS* WS* FWS WS WS

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS FWS WS FWS WS FWS FWS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL

* ACTIVE (R/F 1^1/2- 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 5 cm. along west coast & 3 cm. elsewhere )

** VIGOROUS (R/F More than 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 8 cm. along west coast & 5 cm. elsewhere)

(10)

Back to Top

Table-1 (B)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST - 2022

S. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 15 Sept 16 Sept 17 Sept 18 Sept 19 Sept 20 Sept 21 Sept 1 ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS FWS ^L FWS ^L FWS ^● FWS ^● FWS SCT FWS

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS ^● FWS ^L^● SCT SCT SCT SCT WS

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA FWS ^L^● FWS ^● SCT SCT SCT FWS WS

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA WS ^L^● FWS ^L^● FWS FWS FWS FWS WS 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS ^L^● WS ^L^● FWS SCT SCT SCT WS

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL WS ^L FWS ^L FWS FWS FWS SCT WS

7 ODISHA ISOL ^L ISOL ^L SCT ^L FWS ^● WS ^● FWS WS

8 JHARKHAND FWS ^L SCT ^L SCT SCT FWS SCT WS

9 BIHAR WS ^L^● FWS ^L^● FWS SCT SCT SCT FWS

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH WS ^L^●● WS ^L^●● WS ^L^●● ISOL ISOL SCT FWS 11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH WS ^L^●● WS ^L^●● WS ^L^●● ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT

12 UTTARAKHAND WS ^L^●● WS ^L^●● WS ^L^●●● SCT ISOL SCT FWS

13 HARYANA, CHD. & DELHI SCT ^L^● SCT SCT ISOL D ISOL ISOL

14 PUNJAB ISOL ^L ISOL ISOL ISOL D D D

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH FWS ^L FWS SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

16 JAMMU, KASHMIR & LADAKH ISOL ISOL D D D D D

17 WEST RAJASTHAN ISOL ISOL ISOL D D D D

18 EAST RAJASTHAN FWS ^L^● SCT ISOL ISOL D ISOL ISOL

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH FWS ^L^●● FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH FWS ^L^●● FWS SCT SCT SCT FWS FWS

21 GUJARAT REGION WS ^L^●● FWS ^L^●● SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH WS ^L SCT ^L ISOL ISOL ISOL D D

23 KONKAN & GOA WS ^●● WS ^●● WS ^● WS WS SCT SCT

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA FWS^●● FWS^●● FWS ^● SCT ^L SCT ^L SCT SCT

25 MARATHAWADA ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ^L SCT ^L SCT FWS

26 VIDARBHA SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS FWS WS

27 CHHATTISGARH SCT SCT SCT FWS ^L FWS ^L WS WS

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. &

YANAM SCT ^L SCT SCT FWS ^L FWS ^L FWS SCT

29 TELANGANA ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT FWS FWS

30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL ^L ISOL ISOL SCT SCT ISOL ISOL

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL ^L ISOL ^L ISOL SCT SCT SCT ISOL

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS ^● WS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA SCT ^L ISOL ISOL SCT SCT ISOL SCT

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA SCT ^L ISOL SCT SCT SCT SCT ISOL

35 KERALA & MAHE SCT SCT FWS ^L FWS ^L FWS ^L SCT SCT

36 LAKSHADWEEP SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%)

SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

● Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog * Snowfall ^DSDust storm /^TS Thunderstorm ^$Thunderstorm with Squall ^LThunderstorm with Lightning ^#Thunderstorm with Hail

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5ÔC)

⁺Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 ÔC to +6.4ÔC) ^{+ +}Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5ÔC)

(11)

Back to Top

Table-1 (C)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE REALISED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE-2022

S.No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 08 Sept 09 Sept 10 Sept 11 Sept 12 Sept 13 Sept 14 Sept

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS N N N N AN N N

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH BN N N N N N N

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AN N AAN N N N AN

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA AN AAN N N N N N

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM AN AN N N BN N N

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL N N N N N N N

7 ODISHA N N N N N N N

8 JHARKHAND AN AN AN ABN BN N N

9 BIHAR N AN AN N N BN ABN

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH AN AN N N N BN N

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH AN AN N N AN N N

12 UTTARAKHAND N N N AN AAN N N

13 HARYANA, CHD. & DELHI N AN AN N N N N

14 PUNJAB N AAN N N N N N

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH AN N N N N N N

16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND

LADAKH N N N N N N N

17 WEST RAJASTHAN AN AAN AAN N N N N

18 EAST RAJASTHAN AN N N N N N BN

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH AN N N AN N N N

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH AN N N AN N ABN N

21 GUJARAT REGION N N AAN N N N BN

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH AN N N N N N N

23 KONKAN & GOA N N N N N N N

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA N N N N N BN N

25 MARATHAWADA N N N N N N N

26 VIDARBHA AN N AN N N ABN N

27 CHHATTISGARH N N N N ABN N N

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM BN N N N N N N

29 TELANGANA N N N MBN BN N N

30 RAYALASEEMA ABN N N N N N N

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL BN N N N N N N

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA BN N N BN N N N

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N N ABN ABN BN BN BN

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA BN N N N N N BN

35 KERALA & MAHE N N N N N N N

36 LAKSHADWEEP N N N N N N N

Highest Maximum Temperature (°C) 40.2 41.0 41.6 39.6 39.6 38.9 38.6

Station/(s) observed HMT ^CHURU ^CHURU ^PHALODI ^JAISALMER JAISALMER,

PHALODI JAISALMER PHALODI

Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) WEST RAJ WEST RAJ WEST RAJ WEST RAJ WEST RAJ WEST RAJ WEST RAJ

Lowest Minimum Temperature (°C) 21.0 19.6 22.0 21.8 20.0 20.4 18.2

Station/(s) observed LMT ^BETUL ^FATEHGARH ^MANDLA ^BETUL ^ITANAGAR ^PACHMARHI ^KHARGONE Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) ^{WEST MP} ^{EAST UP} ^{EAST MP} ^{WEST MP} ^ARUNACHAL ^{EAST MP} ^{WEST MP}

LEGENDS:

N- NORMAL LONG PERIOD AVERAGE ±1ÔC BN -BELOW NORMAL (N-2)ÔC AN -ABOVE NORMAL (N+2)ÔC ABN- APPRECIABLY BELOW NORMAL (3.1 to 4.9)ÔC BELOW NORMAL AAN- APPRECIABLY ABOVE NORMAL (3.1 to 4.9)ÔC ABOVE NORMAL

MBN MARKEDLY BELOW NORMAL 5^OC OR MORE BELOW NORMAL MAN- MARKEDLY ABOVE NORMAL 5^OC OR MORE ABOVENORMAL

- Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ⁺Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 ÔC to +6.4ÔC)

- - Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5^OC) ⁺⁺Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5^OC)

(12)

Back to Top

Table-8

STATEWISE DISTRIBUTION OF DISTRICTS WITH LARGE EXCESS (LE), EXCESS (E), NORMAL (N), DEFICIENT (D), LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) RAINFALL, NO RAINFALL (NR) AND NO DATA (ND)

Period:01-06-2022 To 14-09-2022

S.No. States /UTs LE E N D LD NR ND ^TOTAL

1 ANDAMAN & NICOBAR (UT) ⁰ ⁰ ² ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ³

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH ⁰ ⁰ ¹¹ ⁴ ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ¹⁶

3 ASSAM ⁰ ³ ¹⁸ ⁶ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ²⁷

4 MEGHALAYA 2 1 3 5 0 0 0 11

5 NAGALAND ⁰ ¹ ⁸ ² ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ¹¹

6 MANIPUR 0 0 1 7 1 0 0 9

7 MIZORAM ⁰ ⁰ ³ ⁵ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁸

8 TRIPURA 0 0 3 5 0 0 0 8

9 SIKKIM ⁰ ¹ ³ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁴

10 WEST BENGAL ⁰ ⁰ ⁸ ¹¹ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ¹⁹

11 ODISHA ⁰ ⁵ ²⁵ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ³⁰

12 JHARKHAND 0 0 8 15 1 0 0 24

13 BIHAR ⁰ ⁰ ³ ³⁴ ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ³⁸

14 UTTAR PRADESH ⁰ ¹ ⁹ ⁴⁶ ¹⁹ ⁰ ⁰ ⁷⁵

15 UTTARAKHAND ¹ ¹ ⁴ ⁷ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ¹³

16 HARYANA ⁰ ² ¹⁰ ⁹ ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ²²

17 CHANDIGARH (UT) 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

18 DELHI (UT) ⁰ ⁰ ¹ ⁶ ² ⁰ ⁰ ⁹

19 PUNJAB 0 2 8 12 0 0 0 22

20 HIMACHAL PRADESH ⁰ ² ⁶ ³ ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ¹²

21 JAMMU & KASHMIR (UT) 0 9 7 4 0 0 0 20

22 MADHYA PRADESH ³ ²² ²⁴ ³ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁵²

23 GUJARAT 3 14 15 1 0 0 0 33

24 DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI AND DAMAN & DIU (UT) ⁰ ³ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ³

25 GOA ⁰ ⁰ ² ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ²

26 MAHARASHTRA ¹ ¹⁸ ¹⁷ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ³⁶

27 CHHATTISGARH ¹ ¹¹ ¹¹ ⁴ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ²⁷

28 ANDHRA PRADESH 1 4 8 0 0 0 0 13

29 TELANGANA ¹⁴ ¹⁶ ³ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ³³

30 TAMIL NADU ²¹ ¹⁰ ⁶ ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ³⁸

31 PUDUCHERRY (UT) ⁰ ¹ ² ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁴

32 KARNATAKA 17 9 4 0 0 0 0 30

33 KERALA ⁰ ⁰ ¹² ² ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ¹⁴

34 LAKSHADWEEP (UT) 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1

35 LADAKH (UT) ¹ ⁰ ¹ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ⁰ ²

36 RAJASTHAN 5 12 15 1 0 0 0 33

TOTAL 70 149 262 195 27 0 0 703 CATEGORYWISE DISTRIBUTION OF DISTRICTS

OUT OF 694 FOR WHICH DATA RECEIVED 10% 21% 37% 28% 4% 0%

PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF DISTRICTS IN EARLIER

FIVE YEARS SINCE JUNE 1st TILL LE E N D LD NR

15-09-2021 5% 19% 47% 27% 2% 0%

16-09-2020 9% 20% 45% 23% 3% 0%

11-09-2019 6% 15% 42% 34% 3% 0%

12-09-2018 ^2% ^12% ^47% ^36% ^3% ^0%

13-09-2017 5% 12% 45% 35% 2% 0%

(13)

Back to Top

Table-9

RAINFALL DURING MONSOON SEASON

S.

No.

Meteorological Sub-Divisions

For the period from 1

^st

June to

13 SEP

2017 12 SEP

2018 11 SEP

2019 16 SEP

2020 15 SEP

2021 14 SEP 2022

1. Andaman &

Nicobar Islands A N D

1212 1428 -15

1315 1413 -7

1925 1377 +40

1421 1449 -2

1696 1435 +18

1379 1394 -1 2. Arunachal

Pradesh

A N D

1481 1553 -5

1055 1534 -31

1308 1492 -12

1665 1576 +6

1230 1561 -21

1279 1494 -14 3 Assam &

Meghalaya

A N D

1448 1619 -11

1174 1607 -27

1347 1585 -15

1835 1640 +12

1307 1629 -20

1506 1597 -6

Nagaland, A 1699 1072 959 867 877 860

4. Manipur, Mizo. N 1339 1329 1250 1295 1285 1167

& Tripura D +27 -19 -23 -33 -32 -26

Sub-Himalayan A 1835 1508 1518 2345 1729 1703

5. West Bengal & N 1788 1773 1744 1812 1798 1692

Sikkim D +3 -15 -13 +29 -4 +1

6. Gangetic West Bengal

A N D

1017 1022 -1

842 1013

-17

732 1016

-28

972 1059

-8

1262 1053 +20

802 1027

-22 7. Odisha

A N D

930 1044

-11

1158 1035 +12

1066 1027 +4

1060 1069 -1

933 1062

-12

1090 1045 +4 8. Jharkhand

A N D

901 978 -8

758 970 -22

645 920 -30

812 959 -15

910 952 -4

725 913 -21 9. Bihar

A N D

869 912 -5

736 903 -18

684 887 -23

1060 927 +14

986 920 +7

577 883 -35 10. East Uttar

Pradesh

A N D

590 811 -27

736 800 -8

576 740 -22

689 781 -12

707 773 -9

394 727 -46 11. West Uttar

Pradesh

A N D

442 703 -37

715 696 +3

459 649 -29

445 682 -35

522 674 -23

331 628 -47 12. Uttarakhand

A N D

1084 1139 -5

1087 1131 -4

826 1079

-23

916 1117

-18

1073 1108 -3

944 1097

-14

Haryana, A 312 348 248 376 513 331

13. Chandigarh & N 434 431 407 424 421 406

Delhi D -28 -19 -39 -11 +22 -18

14. Punjab

A N D

371 450 -18

382 448 -15

403 428 -6

391 441 -11

376 439 -14

325

410 -21

(14)

S. No.

Meteorological Sub-Divisions

For the period from 1

^st

June to

13 SEP

2017 12 SEP

2018 11 SEP

2019 16 SEP

2020 15 SEP

2021 14 SEP 2022