hectares less than last year which is as per the policy of diversification in favour

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE

(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)

Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 31.01.2022

SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OFTHE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD 28.01.2022.

Week Summary

During the week higher winter rainfall was observed. Overall prices remained stable with the exception for potato, onion and tomato, which have shown a marginal decline during the week. Rabi crop sowing coverage is 689.14 lakh hectares and it is higher by 8 lakh hectares than the last year's area coverage.

Pulses sowing coverage have shown a marginal increase, Oilseeds sowing

coverage is higher by about 19 lakh hectares and wheat sowing is about 3.5 lakh

hectares less than last year which is as per the policy of diversification in favour

of Oilseeds and Pulses. The sowing coverage for potato, onion and tomato also

remained at the level achieved last year. Details of each sector are given here

under:

Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 28 January 2022.

Winter Rainfall Status (January– February) during the week ending 26 January, 2022 1.1 Rainfall

 Rainfall during the week (20 January to 26 January 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 22 sub-divisions, normal in 03 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 07 sub-divisions and 04 met sub-divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex- I).

 Cumulative rainfall (01 January to 26 January 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 27 met sub-divisions, normal in 02 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 07 met sub-divisions.

(Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).

Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:

LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.

Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi

Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 January 2022 to 26 January 2022)

No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall

For the period from 1 January to

25 JAN 2017

24 JAN 2018

23 JAN 2019

29 JAN 2020

27 JAN 2021

26 JAN 2022 Large Excess

Excess Normal Total

02 01 04 07

01 00 00 01

05 02 02 09

15 03 05 23

12 02 05 19

23 04 02 29 Deficient

Large Deficient Scanty

No rain Total

04 16 - 09 29

05 12 - 18 35

01 09 - 17 27

06 04 - 03 13

07 05 - 05 17

01 06 - 00 07

Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00

TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36

All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 3% (-) 84% (-) 3% 71% 38% 184%

Source: IMD

Region of India Week Ending (26.01.2022) Cumulative (01.01.22 to 26.01.2022) (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category (in mm) Deviation

(%) Category

Actual Normal Actual Normal

North-West 18.0 8.6 109 LE 78.1 26.0 200 LE

Central India 1.4 1.5 -9 N 22.7 6.0 279 LE

South Peninsula 0.7 0.7 6 N 19.0 7.5 153 LE

East & North-East 7.7 4.5 71 LE 20.3 13.8 47 E

Country as a whole 7.4 3.9 89 LE 38.6 13.6 184 LE

1.2 Weather Forecast

Week 1 (27 January – 02 February, 2022)

 A fresh feeble Western Disturbance is very likely to affect Western Himalayan Region from 29^th January and another Western Disturbance likely to affect Northwest India from 02^nd February, 2022.

 Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall likely over Western Himalayan Region and light isolated rainfall over adjoining plains from 02^nd to 04^th February, 2022.

 Isolated light rainfall very likely over South Interior Karnataka & Rayalaseema during next 2 days; over Coastal Andhra Pradesh-Yanam, during next 3 days; and over Tamil Nadu- Puducherry-Karaikal and Kerala-Mahe during next 5 days.

 Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week.

Week 2 (03 – 09 February, 2022)

 Light/moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall likely over Western Himalayan Region during most days of the week and Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall over plains of northwest & adjoining central India during 2^nd half of the week.

 Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall/thundershower is likely over northeast & adjoining east India during many days of the week

 Overall precipitation activity is likely to be normal to above normal over east & northeast India and it is likely to be near normal over many parts of northwest India.

Minimum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (27 January – 09 February, 2022)

 Cold wave conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh, Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha, Bihar and Chhattisgarh during next 2-3 days and over Odisha during 28^th to 30^th January, 2022.

 Cold wave to severe cold wave conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Madhya Pradesh during next 24 hours and in isolated pockets during subsequent 4 days.

 Cold Day to Severe Cold Day conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Madhya Pradesh during next 24 hours and Cold Day conditions in isolated pockets for subsequent 2 days.

 Cold Day conditions in isolated pockets very likely over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh and Vidarbha during next 24 hours; and over Uttar Pradesh and Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

 Dense Fog conditions in isolated pockets in night/morning hours very likely to continue to prevail over

o Western Himalayan Region, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & West Uttar Pradesh during next 24 hours and

o East Uttar Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during next 48 hours during the week 1.

 During the week 2, Minimum temperatures likely to be below normal by 1 to 3° C over most parts of India outside south Peninsular India, where it is likely to be near normal or slightly above normal.

 No significant cold wave is likely over any parts of the country.

 However, cold day conditions in isolated pockets likely over northwest & central India during some days of the week, as maximum temperatures are likely to be below normal over above areas.

II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 27 January, 2022)

 Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 137 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.37 BCM, which is about 68.02% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.

 Live Storage in 137 major reservoirs decreased to 116.11 BCM from the previous week’s level of 119.67 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 113.77 BCM and higher than the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 93.29 BCM.

Table 2.1: For 137 major reservoirs of the country

Source: CWC

 There were 119 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 09 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 08 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50% and 01 reservoir with storage upto 30%.

Source: Central Water Commission

 State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.

Period Storage as % of FRL

Storage as % of Last Year

Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level

Current Week 66 102 124

Last Week 68 102 124

The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 65% on 27.01.2021, 71% on 27.01.2020, 46% on 27.01.2019 and 46% on 27.01.2018.

III. Fertilizer Position:

Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Rabi 2021 (As on 13.01.2022)

(In 000’ Tonnes) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP

Opening Stock as on 01.10.2021 4269 1460 656 2787 1729

Requirement for Oct. 2021 to March 2022 17901 5873 1687 6086 3012 Estimated Requirement during January, 22 2993 547 267 993 377

Cumulative Receipt upto 13.01.2022 10122 3341 354 2991 1596

Cumulative Availability upto 13.01.2022 14391 4801 1010 5778 3325

Cumulative Sales upto 13.01.2022 11209 3965 723 4141 2211

Closing Stock as on 13.01.2022 3182 836 287 1637 1114

Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer

IV. Pest & Diseases:

 An incidence of Chilli Flower thrips were reported at Moderate to Severe intensity (Above ETL) from Guntur district of Andhra Pradesh.

 Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.

V. Seeds:

 A requirement of 310.86 lakh quintals of certified/quality seed indicated by the State for Rabi 2021-22 in September, 2021. Against this, an all India availability of 333.75 lakh quintals certified/quality seed was reported. An overall surplus of 22.89 lakh quintals of seed is available for Rabi 2021-22.

 There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Rabi crops for Rabi 2021- 22 except maize, buck wheat, peas, rajmash and lethyrus which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd., Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.

VI. Mandi Functioning

 PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 25 January, 2021)

 Agri produce sold below MSP: Bajra, Maize, Jowar, Ragi, Arhar, Urad, Moong and Nigerseed.

 Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Paddy, Barley, Gram, Masur, Copra, Groundnut, Mustard, Safflower, Sesamum, Soyabean, Sugarcane, Sunflower, Cotton and Jute.

VII. All-India Crop Situation Rabi (2021-22) as on 28-01-2022

Table 7.1

(In lakh ha.)

Crop Name

Normal Area for whole Rabi

Season

Area sown reported

Absolute Change This Year

2021

% of Normal for whole

season

Last Year 2020

Wheat 303.06 342.37 113.0 345.86 -3.49

Rice 42.51 28.16 66.2 34.90 -6.74

Jowar 31.75 24.38 76.8 27.38 -3.00

Maize 18.15 18.37 101.2 17.02 1.35

Barley 6.14 6.78 110.3 6.87 -0.09

Total Coarse Cereals 56.05 50.14 89.5 51.97 -1.84

Total Cereals 401.62 420.67 104.7 432.74 -12.07

Gram 95.66 114.27 119.5 110.03 4.24

Lentil 13.90 17.64 126.9 16.91 0.73

Peas 7.98 10.14 127.0 10.36 -0.22

Kulthi(Horse Gram) 2.00 3.68 183.6 3.86 -0.18

Urad 9.07 7.61 83.9 7.95 -0.34

Moong 9.98 4.77 47.8 6.61 -1.84

Lathyrus 3.62 3.47 96.0 3.13 0.34

Others 4.44 4.84 108.9 5.99 -1.15

Total Pulses 146.67 166.43 113.5 164.85 1.58

Total Foodgrains 548.29 587.10 107.1 597.58 -10.48

Rapeseed & Mustard 61.55 91.44 148.5 73.12 18.32

Groundnut 7.05 4.89 69.3 4.81 0.08

Safflower 0.90 0.74 82.4 0.58 0.16

Sunflower 1.86 1.17 62.5 1.06 0.11

Linseed 2.53 2.92 115.3 2.79 0.13

Total Oilseeds (Nine) 73.91 102.04 138.1 83.19 18.85

All Crops 622.20 689.14 110.8 680.77 8.37

Source: Crops Division, DAC&FW and AS Division, DES (Normal area)

VIII. Progressive Procurement as on 28

^th

January, 2022

Table 8.1: Rice

(In lakh tonnes)

State Progressive Procurement as on

28. 01.2022 In Marketing season

2021-2022

In Marketing season 2020-2021

Andhra Pradesh 16.53 19.70

Telangana 46.29 32.13

Bihar 16.63 14.28

Chhattisgarh 58.15 39.76

Gujarat 0.82 0.67

Haryana 37.05 37.89

Kerala 1.37 1.22

Madhya Pradesh 30.45 24.97

Maharashtra 6.81 3.71

Odisha 22.44 27.33

Punjab 125.19 135.86

Tamil Nadu 5.34 4.67

Uttar Pradesh 39.18 42.10

Uttarakhand 7.75 6.79

West Bengal 3.72 4.39

All-India 419.54 396.99

Source: Food & PD

Annex-III/ P.I

Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 27 Jan, 2022 – 02 Feb, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST -2022

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 27 JAN 28 JAN 29 JAN 30 JAN 31 JAN 01 FEB 02 FEB

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS SCT DRY DRY SCT ISOL DRY

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT ^F ISOL ^F DRY DRY ISOL ISOL DRY

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT ^F ISOL ^F DRY DRY ISOL ISOL DRY 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM ISOL ISOL DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY DRY DRY

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

7 ODISHA DRY DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY

8 JHARKHAND DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

9 BIHAR DRY DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY DRY

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY ^F DRY ^F DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY ^F^- DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

12 UTTARAKHAND DRY ^F DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY ^F^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

14 PUNJAB DRY ^F^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH DRY ^F DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY ISOL

16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH DRY ^F DRY ISOL ISOL SOL DRY SCT

17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY^- DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY^{- -} DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY DRY

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH DRY^{- -} DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY 20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH DRY^{- -} DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY

21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

23 KONKAN & GOA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

25 MARATHAWADA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

26 VIDARBHA DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

27 CHHATTISGARH DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY^- DRY DRY DRY

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY

29 TELANGANA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

35 KERALA & MAHE ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY

36 LAKSHADWEEP DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog ^H Hail * Snowfall

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 ^OC to -6.4^OC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5^OC)

Annex-III/ P.2

Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 28 Jan – 01 Feb. 2022: