GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 31.05.2022
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD 27.05.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Higher pre-monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 65%.
Heavy rainfall over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura. Heavy rainfall in these states likely to continue during next 5 days.
Heat wave conditions over southwest Rajasthan during next 5 days.
The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 32% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level. The current year's storage is nearly 108 percent of the last year's storage.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Kerala, Bihar, West Bengal.
Summer crops area sown is 76.41 lakh ha. which have shown increase as compared to last year, which was 72.69 lakh ha. Pulses area sown has shown significant increase and Oilseeds has shown marginally increase.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif-2022 except jute and common millet which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd, Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.
The availability of fertilizer is satisfactory.
Overall major foodgrains prices have remained stable during the last week.
Prices of tomato have shown significant increase while potato has shown marginally increase and onion has shown decrease.
Out of 15 crops, the Wholesale Average Prices of 4 crops namely, Masur, Mustard, Soyabean and Sesamum have shown more than Rs. 1000 above MSP.
Details of each sector are given here under:
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 27 May 2022.
Pre-Monsoon Rainfall Status (March – May) during the week ending 25 May, 2022 1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (19 May to 25 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 25 sub- divisions, normal in 07 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 03 sub-divisions and 01 met sub- division received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 March to 25 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 11 met sub- divisions, normal in 08 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 17 met sub-divisions. (Sub- division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 March 2022 to 25 May 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
24 MAY 2017
23 MAY 2018
22 MAY 2019
27 MAY 2020
26 MAY 2021
25 MAY 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
01 04 13 18
02 06 11 19
02 03 07 12
14 06 10 30
16 08 08 32
08 03 08 19 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
11 07 00 18
13 04 00 17
14 10 00 24
05 01 00 06
04 00 00 04
08 09 00 17
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 5% (-) 13% (-) 23% 20% 12% 4%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (25.05.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 25.05.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 51.5 43.9 17 N 423.3 331.8 28 E
North-West 15.3 8.8 73 LE 38.1 108.3 -65 LD
Central India 7.9 4.6 71 LE 19.9 32.5 -39 D
South Peninsula 43.3 17.0 155 LE 186.4 104.2 79 LE
Country as a whole 24.1 14.6 65 LE 122.5 117.6 4 N
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(26 May – 01 June, 2022)
Scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate rainfall very likely over Northeast India and isolated to scattered rainfall with isolated thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds over Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal & Sikkim during the week.
Isolated heavy rainfall also likely over Arunachal Pradesh on 26th & 30th; over Assam- Meghalaya on 26th, 27th, 29th May to 01st June and over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram &
Tripura on 26th, 27th & 29th May 2022.
Scattered light/moderate rainfall with isolated thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and isolated rainfall over Uttarakhand, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan on 28th & 29th May. Isolated hailstorm likely over Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand on 27th May and over Jammu & Kashmir on 28th May.
Duststorm activity at isolated places very likely over West Rajasthan on 28th & 29th May.
No significant weather likely over remaining parts of the country during the week.
Week 2 (02 - 08 June, 2022)
Due to westerly flow from Arabian Sea over south Peninsula India, light/moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity likely over southwest Peninsular India and isolated to scattered rainfall over rest peninsular India.
Due to southwesterly follow from Bay of Bengal to northeastern states, light/moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall activity likely over northeast & adjoining east India during most days of the week.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be near normal over northeast India; below normal over rest parts of the country.
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (26 May – 08 June, 2022)
During the week 1, Gradual rise in maximum temperatures by 2-4°C very likely over many parts of Northwest & East India during 1st half of the week and no significant change thereafter.
No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during the week.
Heat Wave conditions at isolated pockets very likely over southwest Rajasthan on 28th &
29th May, 2022.
During the week 2, Maximum temperatures are likely to be below to near normal over the country except east India, where these are likely to be above normal by 1-3°C.
No significant heat wave is likely over any part of the country.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 26 May, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 56.40 BCM from the previous week’s level of 56.88 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 52.03 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 41.33 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 114 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 12 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 05 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50%, 09 reservoirs with storage upto 30% and 02 reservoirs having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 32 106 136
Last Week 32 108 128
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 30% on 26.05.2021, 35% on 26.05.2020, 22% on 26.05.2019 and 20% on 26.05.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Kharif 2022 (As on 27.05.2022)
(In LMT) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPKS SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.04.2022 47.83 7.73 2.47 14.05 15.69
Actual Requirement for Kharif 2022 179.01 58.82 19.82 63.72 33.19 Estimated Requirement during May, 2022 26.65 10.18 3.14 9.38 5.07 Cumulative Receipt upto 27.05.2022 46.66 19.77 2.56 12.76 6.55 Cumulative Availability upto 27.05.2022 94.49 27.49 5.03 26.81 22.23
Cumulative Sales upto 27.05.2022 28.56 7.91 1.29 5.68 4.64
Closing Stock as on 27.05.2022 65.92 19.58 3.73 21.13 17.59
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.
V. Seeds:
The states have reported tentative 177.97 lakh quintals seed availability against the requirement of 160.45 lakh quintals in the country for Kharif-2022 season. An overall surplus of 17.52 lakh quintals of seed is available for Kharif-2022.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif- 2022 except Jute and Common Millet.
Certified/Quality seeds shortage was in some states in some commodities.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 20 May, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP:, Nil.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Arhar, Gram, Masur, Moong, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and Sunflower.
VII. Progressive Procurement as on 27 May, 2022
Table 7.1: Rice
(In Lakh Metric Tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
27.05.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 38..31 43.51
Telangana 61.31 61.85
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Haryana 37.05 37.89
Jharkhand 5.12 4.28
Kerala 4.69 4.74
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 8.98 9.07
Odisha 40.34 42.80
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 24.48 21.64
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.74 7.12
West Bengal 16.68 15.58
All-India 541.73 520.88
Source: Food &PD Table 7.2: Wheat
State Progressive Procurement as on
27.05.2022 In Marketing season
2022-2023
In Marketing season 2021-2022
Punjab 96.10 132.10
Haryana 40.97 84.93
Uttar Pradesh 2.76 36.32
Madhya Pradesh 43.64 123.81
Rajasthan 0.01 17.76
Uttarakhand 0.02 1.14
All-India 183.60 398.44
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 26 May – 01 June, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 26 MAY 27 MAY 28 MAY 29 MAY 30 MAY 31 MAY 01 JUN
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS WS
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS L● SCT SCT FWS FWS● FWS WS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA FWS L● SCT L FWS FWS● FWS● WS WS
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA FWS L● FWS L FWS FWS FWS● WS WS 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM FWS L SCT SCT L FWS L FWS FWS WS
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL ISOL L SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT DRY DRY
7 ODISHA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
8 JHARKHAND ISOL L ISOL L ISOL SCT L ISOL DRY DRY
9 BIHAR ISOL L ISOL L SCT L SCT L SCT ISOL ISOL
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY ISOL L ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY DRY
12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL L ISOL# ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
14 PUNJAB DRY DRY ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL L ISOL# SCT L SCT L ISOL DRY DRY
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH ISOL L ISOL L SCT # FWS L SCT L ISOL DRY
17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY DRY+ DSTS DRY+ DSTS DRY DRY DRY
18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL DRY DRY ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY
21 GUJARAT REGION DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
23 KONKAN & GOA ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
25 MARATHAWADA ISOL L DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
26 VIDARBHA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM SCT L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
29 TELANGANA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
30 RAYALASEEMA SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT L● SCT L SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA SCT L SCT● SCT ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
35 KERALA & MAHE WS L● WS L WS L WS L WS L SCT FWS
36 LAKSHADWEEP WS L WS L WS L WS L WS L WS WS
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DSTSDust storm/ Thunderstorm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 27 May – 31 May 2022:
