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CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP (CWWG) MEETING HELD ON 10.03.2023
ECONOMICS & STATISTICS DIVISION
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Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Preliminary report of area coverage under Summer crops
As per preliminary report as on 10.03.2023, Summer crops area sown in the current year 2023 is 31.77 lakh ha as compared to 33.17 lakh ha. during the corresponding period of last year.
Monitoring of Wheat crop situation:
Representatives from the major wheat-producing States, namely Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan apprised that no adverse effects on the wheat crop have been observed as of yet. The States are closely monitoring the situation to ensure that any potential issues are addressed promptly.
Temperature:
In the week (9 - 15 March), gradual rise in Maximum Temperatures by 2-3⁰C very likely during 1st half of the week and fall by 2-3⁰C thereafter.
Maximum temperatures very likely to be below normal by 1-3⁰ C over most parts of the country except parts of Western Himalayan Region, where it is likely to be near normal to above normal during the 2nd week (16 – 22 March).
Rainfall distribution:
• The weekly (02 – 08 March) All India rainfall in % departure from its Long Period Average (LPA) was (-) 68%, with South Peninsula (-) 97%, East & North-East India (-) 80%, North-West India (-) 64% and Central India (-) 33% and. All India cumulative seasonal rainfall (01 March to 08 March) is lower than LPA by 70%.
During the week (09 - 15 March, 2023), isolated light rainfall is likely over Uttarakhand, south Uttar Pradesh, northeast Rajasthan and north Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal & Odisha, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh ; and isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm activity likely over Western Himalayan Region and adjoining plains of northwest India.
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Water Reservoir Status:
• The total live water storage in 143 important reservoirs across the country is being monitored by CWC. On week ending 09th March, 2023, water storage has been reported at 86.45 Billion Cubic Meter (49%) which is nearly 92 percent of the last year's storage and 115 percent of the average storage of last ten years during the corresponding period.
Seeds:
• Certified/Quality seeds availability was reported at 336.29 lakh quintals against the requirement of 303.69 lakh quintals in the country for Rabi-2022-23.
Fertilizers:
• Availability of fertilizers against requirement has been found comfortable in the country during rabi 2022-23.
Pests & Diseases:
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below economic threshold level except Yellow rust on Wheat in Punjab and FAW on Maize in Tamil Nadu.
Horticulture crops:
• For Rabi Onion, Rabi Potato and Rabi Tomato, area sown has been reported at 10.23 lakh ha., 18.98 lakh ha. and 2.65 lakh ha. as against 11.66 lakh ha., 18.26 lakh ha. and 4.74 lakh ha., respectively, in the last year.
Details of each sector have been enclosed at Annex.
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Annexure I. WEATHER OUTLOOK
1st January to 08th March 2023:
During the week (02 - 08 March) lower pre-monsoon rainfall was observed, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 68%. Cumulative seasonal rainfall (01 March to 08 March) is lower than LPA by 70%.
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Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country
Region of India Week Ending (08.03.2023) (In MM) Deviation
%
Category Actual Normal
East & North-East 2.0 10.1 -80 LD
North-West India 3.8 10.6 -64 LD
Central India 1.3 1.9 -33 D
South Peninsula 0.1 3.2 -97 LD
Country as a whole 2.0 6.2 -68 LD
Region of India Cumulative (01.03. 2023 to 08.03.2023) (In MM) Deviation
%
Category Actual Normal
East & North-East 2.0 11.5 -82 LD
North-West India 4.2 12.3 -65 LD
Central India 1.3 2.3 -44 D
South Peninsula 0.3 3.5 -92 LD
Country as a whole 2.1 7.1 -70 LD
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, LE: Large Excess, E: Excess
All-India cumulative winter rainfall data during the corresponding period of the last 5 years:
Table 1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All- India Percentage Rainfall Departure of last 5 years (01 March 2023 to 08 March 2023)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
07 MAR 2018
13 MAR 2019
11 MAR 2020
10 MAR 2021
09 MAR 2022
08 MAR 2023 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
03 00 00 03
01 01 08 10
23 05 03 31
01 01 02 04
03 00 04 07
06 00 01 07 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
03 13 17 33
10 10 06 26
02 02 01 05
03 10 19 32
03 19 07 29
02 18 09 29
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 30% (-) 33% 82% (-) 58% (-) 76% (-) 70%
Source: IMD
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Rainfall Forecast:
09 - 15 March, 2023
During the week, isolated light rainfall is likely over Uttarakhand, south Uttar Pradesh, northeast Rajasthan and north Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal &
Odisha, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &
Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh; and isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm activity likely over Western Himalayan Region and adjoining plains of northwest India.
• Light isolated to scattered rainfall very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during 2nd half of the week.
16 - 22 March , 2023
Isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm likely over northwest &
central India, over east & northeast India and over south Peninsular India during some days of the week.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over all the regions of the country.
Temperature
During the 1st week (09 - 15 March, 2023), Northwest India: Gradual rise in Maximum Temperatures by 2-3⁰C very likely during 1st half of the week and fall by 2-3⁰C thereafter; West India: No significant change in Maximum Temperatures very likely during next 2 days and gradual rise by 2-4⁰C thereafter; Central India: Gradual rise in maximum Temperatures by 2-4⁰C very likely during most days of the week; and rest parts of the Country; No significant change in Maximum Temperatures very likely most days of the week.
Maximum temperatures very likely to be below normal by 1-3⁰ C over most parts of the country except parts of Western Himalayan Region, where it is likely to be near normal to above normal.
No significant heat wave conditions likely over any part of the country during 2nd week (16 - 22 March, 2023).
II. RESERVOIR STORAGE (As on 09 March, 2023)
Current live storage in 143 reservoirs was 86.45 BCM (or 49%) of total live capacity of 177.46 BCM.
117 reservoirs having storage more than 80% of normal storage.
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04 reservoirs having storage upto 30% of normal storage.
Table 2: For 143 major reservoirs of the country
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160
In BCM
ALL-INDIA RESERVOIR TREND
(WATER STOCK IN 2022 VS 2021 & AVERAGE OF LAST 10 YEARS)
This Year Last Year Avg. of Last Ten Years
Week Ending
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Source: CWC
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as
% of 10 Year’s Average Level Current
Week 49 92 115
Last
Week 52 93 116
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 53% on 09.03.2022, 49% on 09.03.2021, 56% on 09.03.2020 and 36% on 09.03.2019.
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III. REMOTE SENSING BASED OBSERVATION
Sentinel-2 (NDVI) – 25 Feb to 08 Mar 2023
In parts of Rajasthan, Western part of U.P and Gujarat Mustard crop harvesting is in progress.
Harvesting of Wheat crop in parts M.P is in progress.
In eastern states Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Odishsa, Low NDVI values are due to post kharif fallows.
Rabi/Summer Rice crop is started to emerge in Odisha, Karnataka, A.P, W.B and Telangana state
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is used to quantify vegetation greenness and is useful in understanding vegetation density and assessing changes in plant health.
IV. FERTILIZER POSITION:
Availability of fertilizer has been comfortable. Details of Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Rabi 2022- 23 as on 09.03.2023 is given below:
(In LMT) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPK SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.10.2022 47.37 14.18 5.48 23.60 17.46 Actual Requirement for Rabi 2022-
23 182.41 57.99 14.68 56.97 33.70
Estimated Requirement during
March, 2023 14.26 3.59 1.73 5.79 3.18
Cumulative Receipt upto 09.03.2023 176.07 59.65 6.73 56.36 23.37 Cumulative Availability upto
09.03.2023 223.44 73.82 12.21 79.96 40.83
Cumulative sales upto 09.03.2023 173.70 50.82 8.45 51.76 21.84 Closing Stock upto 09.03.2023 49.74 23.00 3.76 28.21 18.99
DAP:Di ammonium phosphate, MOP: Muriate of Potash, NPK: Complex fertilizer &
SSP:Single Super Phosphate
Source: Fertilizer Division (DA&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
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V. PEST & DISEASE
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below economic threshold level except Yellow rust on Wheat in Punjab and FAW on Maize in Tamil Nadu.
. VI. SEEDS
Certified/ Quality seeds availability was 336.29 lakh quintals against the requirement of 303.69 lakh quintals in the country for Rabi-2022-23. There is sufficient availability of seed for Rabi 2022-23.
VII. HORTICULTURE (As on 06 March, 2023)
Late Kharif Onion: Out of 1.86 lakh ha area sown, 1.41 lakh ha unaffected area (after accounting for damage due to rains etc).
Rabi Onion: Out of target area of 10.76 lakh ha, 10.23 lakh ha has been sown so far, as compared to 9.09 lakh ha. in corresponding period of 2021-22.
Rabi Potato: Out of target area of 19.38 lakh ha, 18.98 lakh ha has been sown so far, as compared to 18.26 lakh ha in corresponding period of 2021-22.
Rabi Tomato: Out of target area of 4.97 lakh ha, 2.65 lakh ha has been sown so far, as compared to 2.38 lakh ha in corresponding period of 2021-22.
10.76
19.38
4.97 10.23
18.98
2.65 9.09
18.26
2.38 0.00
5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Rabi Onion Rabi Potato Rabi Tomato
(Area in Lakh Ha.)
Status of Rabi Onion, Potato & Tomato
Target Area This Year Last Year
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VIII. CROP SOWING POSITION
As per preliminary report as on 10.03.2023, Summer crops area sown in the current year 2023 is 31.77 lakh ha as compared to 33.17 lakh ha. during the corresponding period of last year.
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