GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 14.06.2022
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD 10.06.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Lower monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 42%.
Widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over Arunachal Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and NMMT during most days of the week and extremely heavy rainfall over Assam & Meghalaya during next 5 days.
Southwest monsoon is likely to advance over some more parts of East & Central India and some parts of Uttar Pradesh.
No significant heat wave likely over any part of the country during the next week.
The total live water storage in 143 reservoirs across the country is 30% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level. The current year's storage is nearly 107 percent of the last year's storage.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts of North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Kerala, Tamil Nadu.
During the current Kharif season 2022 (as on 10.06.2022), 79.62 lakh ha. area has been sown, including 47.13 lakh ha. area in Sugarcane and remaining 32.49 lakh ha.
in all Kharif crops. The area coverage under Kharif crops reported by Crop Division is the Preliminary stage.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif-2022 except jute and common millet which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd, Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level except Sigatoka disease on banana in Kerala.
Overall major foodgrains prices have remained stable except pulses during the last week. Prices of Pulses have shown marginally decrease.
Prices of tomato have shown significant increase while potato and Onion have shown marginally increase during the last week.
Out of 15 crops, the Wholesale Average Prices of 5 crops namely, Masur, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and tomato have shown more than Rs. 1000 above MSP.
Relatively less procurement of Wheat due to Prevailing Market Price is more than MSP of procuring states and private players procured in large quantities.
Details of each sector are given here under:
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 10 June 2022.
Monsoon Rainfall Status (June - September) during the week ending 08 June, 2022 1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (01 June to 08 June 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 04 sub- divisions, normal in 05 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 24 sub-divisions and 03 met sub- division received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 June to 08 June 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 03 met sub- divisions, normal in 06 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 27 met sub-divisions. (Sub- division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 June 2022 to 08 June 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
07 JUN 2017
13 JUNE 2018
12 JUN 2019
10 JUN 2020
09 JUNE 2021
08 JUN 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
10 07 09 26
11 10 05 26
01 01 05 07
12 07 11 30
11 07 10 28
00 03 06 09 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
08 02 00 10
06 04 00 10
11 17 01 29
06 00 00 06
07 01 00 08
05 22 00 27
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation 18% 19% (-) 45% 32% 21% (-) 42%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (08.06.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 08.06.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 56.4 57.4 -2 N 60.4 65.0 -7 N
North-West 0.4 9.6 -96 LD 0.6 10.8 -94 LD
Central India 1.8 17.9 -90 LD 2.4 19.5 -88 LD
South Peninsula 22.5 32.2 -30 D 26.2 35.5 -26 D
Country as a whole 14.1 24.4 -42 D 15.8 27.2 -42 D
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(09 -15 June, 2022)
Widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely over Arunachal Pradesh and Assam & Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during most days of the week. Isolated extremely heavy rainfall also likely over Arunachal Pradesh on 10th & 11th June and over Assam & Meghalaya during next 5 days.
Isolated/scattered rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal during most days of the week.
Fairly widespread/ widespread light/ moderate rainfall with thunderstorm/ lightning very likely over Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep; scattered to fairly widespread rainfall over Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Telangana during most days of the week.
Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over South Interior Karnataka on 12th; Coastal Karnataka during 09th -13th and over Kerala & Mahe on 11th & 12th June, 2022.
Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Konkan & Goa and scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/ lightning/ gusty winds over Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada during most days of the week. Isolated heavy rainfall also likely over Konkan & Goa on 10th & 13th and isolated very heavy rainfall on 11th & 12th June, 2022.
Isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm likely to occur over rest parts of the country outside most parts of the plains of northwest India, where weather is likely to be dry during most days of the week.
Week 2 (16 - 22 June, 2022)
Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls likely over northeast & adjoining East India during most days of the week.
Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall very likely over northwest India during most days of the week.
Southwest monsoon is likely to advance over some more parts of East & central India and some parts of Uttar Pradesh.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over northeast & east India (excluding Odisha), and northwest India and it is likely to below normal over south Peninsular & central India.
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (02 -15 June, 2022)
During the week 1, No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over central India during next 2 days and gradual fall by 2-3°C thereafter.
No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during most days of the week.
Heat wave conditions in isolated places very likely over Punjab, Haryana-Delhi, south Uttar Pradesh, northwest Rajasthan, north Madhya Pradesh, interior Odisha and Jharkhand on 09th & 10th June; Uttarakhand, Chhattisgarh, south coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Vidarbha on 09th June, 2022.
During the week 2, Maximum temperatures are likely to be below normal to near normal over the country.
No significant heat wave likely over any part of the country during the week.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 09 June, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 143 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 177.46 BCM, which is about 68.83% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 143 major reservoirs decreased to 52.82 BCM from the previous week’s level of 54.51 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 49.14 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 39.58 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 143 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 112 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 15 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 04 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50%, 12 reservoirs with storage upto 30% and 04 reservoirs having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 30 107 133
Last Week 31 104 130
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 28% on 09.06.2021, 33% on 09.06.2020, 19% on 09.06.2019 and 17% on 09.06.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Kharif 2022 (As on 09.06.2022)
(In LMT) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPKS SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.04.2022 47.83 7.73 2.47 14.05 15.69
Actual Requirement for Kharif 2022 179.01 58.82 19.82 63.72 33.19 Estimated Requirement during June, 2022 33.04 11.02 3.53 11.85 6.31 Cumulative Receipt upto 09.06.2022 58.05 24.19 3.28 16.93 8.79 Cumulative Availability upto 09.06.2022 105.87 31.92 5.74 30.98 24.48 Cumulative Sales upto 09.06.2022 39.41 12.33 1.73 8.76 6.93 Closing Stock as on 09.06.2022 66.46 19.59 4.02 22.22 17.55
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level except Sigatoka disease on banana in Kerala.
Sigatoka disease in Banana was reported at Moderate intensity (Above ETL) from Ernakulam and Idukki districts of Kerala in 124 (ha) area
V. Seeds:
The states have reported tentative 177.97 lakh quintals seed availability against the requirement of 160.45 lakh quintals in the country for Kharif-2022 season. An overall surplus of 17.52 lakh quintals of seed is available for Kharif-2022.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif- 2022 except Jute and Common Millet.
Certified/Quality seeds shortage was in some states in some commodities.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 03 June, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP: Arhar, Moong and Sunflower.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Rice, Wheat, Gram, Masur, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard, Soyabean and Sesamum.
VII. Progressive Procurement as on 10 June, 2022
Table 7.1: Rice
(In Lakh Metric Tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
10.06.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 41.82 48.69
Telangana 72.72 78.25
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Haryana 37.06 37.89
Jharkhand 5.12 4.28
Kerala 5.01 4.90
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 9.64 1.33
Odisha 44.73 42.80
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 25.55 22.76
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.74 7.12
West Bengal 16.68 15.64
All-India 563.41 536.28
Source: Food &PD
Table 7.2: Wheat
State Progressive Procurement as on
10.06.2022 In Marketing season
2022-2023
In Marketing season 2021-2022
Punjab 96.47 132.10
Haryana 41.81 84.93
Uttar Pradesh 3.13 48.23
Madhya Pradesh 46.03 128.08
Rajasthan 0.07 21.16
Uttarakhand 0.02 1.22
All-India 187.63 418.47
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 09 June – 15 June, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 09 June 10 June 11 June 12 June 13 June 14 June 15 June
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS L WS L WS WS WS WS FWS
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS L ●●● WS L●●● WS●●● WS●● WS●● WS WS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA WS L ●●● WS L ●●● WS●●● WS●●● WS●●● WS WS 4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA WS L ● WS L ● WS● WS● WS● WS WS 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS L ●● WS●● WS● WS● WS● WS WS
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL ISOL ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L FWS FWS
7 ODISHA ISOL+ ISOL+ ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L WS WS
8 JHARKHAND ISOL+ ISOL+ ISOL+ ISOL ISOL SCT FWS
9 BIHAR SCT L ● ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L SCT FWS WS
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH DRY+ DRY+ ISOL ISOL L DRY L SCT FWS
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY L DRY L DRY SCT
12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL+ ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI DRY+ ISOL+ ISOL ISOL DRY DRY ISOL
14 PUNJAB DRY+ ISOL+ ISOL ISOL DRY DRY ISOL
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH SCT L SCT L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL FWS
17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
18 EAST RAJASTHAN DRY ISOL ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL+ ISOL+ ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL 20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL+ ISOL+ ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L SCT SCT
21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L DRY ISOL
23 KONKAN & GOA FWS WS● WS L ●● WS L ●● WS L ● WS WS
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA SCT SCT SCT L● FWS L● FWS L SCT SCT
25 MARATHAWADA SCT ISOL ISOL SCT L SCT L SCT SCT
26 VIDARBHA ISOL+ ISOL SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT SCT
27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL+ L ISOL L SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT WS
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM ISOL+ SCT FWS L FWS L FWS L FWS FWS
29 TELANGANA ISOL+ SCT FWS L FWS L FWS L SCT FWS
30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL ISOL SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT SCT
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT SCT SCT L ISOL L ISOL L SCT SCT
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS● WS● WS L● WS L● WS L● WS WS
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA SCT SCT SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT ISOL
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA SCT SCT SCT L FWS L● FWS L FWS SCT
35 KERALA & MAHE FWS FWS WS L● WS L● FWS L FWS SCT
36 LAKSHADWEEP WS WS WS L WS L WS L FWS WS
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DSTSDust storm/ Thunderstorm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 10 June – 14 June 2022:
