GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 25.04.2022 SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP
HELD 22.04.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (96 to 104% of Long Period Average (LPA)) with a model error of ± 5%.
Higher pre-monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 21%.
During the next week, rainfall activity is likely to be normal to above normal over extreme south Peninsular India and below normal over plains of northwest and near normal over rest parts of the country.
The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 39% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts of North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra, A.P., Telangana, Tamil- Nadu and Kerala.
Summer crops area sown is 64.06 lakh ha. which have shown increase as compared to last year, which was 59.92 lakh ha. Pulses and Oilseeds area sown have shown significant increase.
Inflation (WPI Food Index) has increased from 8.47% in February 2022 to 8.71% in March, 2022.
Overall major foodgrains prices have remained stable during the week.
Prices of potato and tomato have shown increase and onion has shown decline.
Details of each sector are given here under:
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 22 April 2022.
Pre-Monsoon Rainfall Status (March – May) during the week ending 20 April, 2022
1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (14 April to 20 April 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 10 sub- divisions, normal in 01 sub-division, deficient/large deficient in 17 sub-divisions and 08 met sub- divisions received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 March to 20 April 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 10 met sub-divisions, normal in 02 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 22 met sub-divisions and 02 met sub-divisions received no rainfall.. (Sub-division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 March 2022 to 20 April 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
19 APR 2017
18 APR 2018
17 APR 2019
22 APR 2020
21 APR 2021
20 APR 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
03 04 07 14
06 07 07 20
05 02 06 13
18 05 05 28
04 02 08 14
08 02 02 12 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
12 08 02 22
12 04 00 16
15 08 00 23
07 01 00 08
16 05 01 22
04 18 02 24
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 4% (-) 21% (-) 33% 22% (-) 31% (-) 31%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (20.04.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 20.04.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 46.8 29.2 60 LE 158.5 139.1 14 N
North-West 1.0 8.3 -87 LD 6.7 69.0 -90 LD
Central India 0.8 2.4 -65 LD 3.1 14.2 -78 LD
South Peninsula 18.8 8.4 124 LE 48.0 34.4 39 E
Country as a whole 11.8 9.7 21 E 37.8 55.0 -31 D
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(21 - 27 April, 2022)
Scattered/fairly widespread rainfall very likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam- Meghalaya, Nagaland-Manipur-Mizoram-Tripura and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds during next 5 days.
Isolated rainfall over higher ridges of Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during 24-26 April.
Isolated to scattered rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Kerala-Mahe, Tamil Nadu-Puducherry-Karaikal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka
& Telangana during next 5 days
Dry weather very likely over remaining parts of the country during most days of the week.
Week 2 (28 April – 04 May, 2022)
Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall and thunderstorm activities over Western Himalayan regions and adjoining plains of India from 3 May till 5 May.
Light to moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm activity is very likely to continue over northeast India during most dates of the week.
Due to trough/wind discontinuity over south Peninsula India, light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall along with thunderstorm is likely over Kerala and Karnataka during most days of the week and it is likely to be isolated over rest of extreme south Peninsula India.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be normal to above normal over extreme south Peninsular India covering mainly over Kerala and coastal Karnataka, northeast India, Kashmir; below normal over plains of northwest, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand and near normal over rest parts of the country.
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (21 April – 04 May, 2022)
During the week 1, maximum temperatures is likely to increase gradually over eastern India leading to Heat wave conditions on some places over Odisha and adjoining areas of Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and East Uttar Pradesh during 2nd half of the week.
Heat wave conditions likely to prevail in isolated pockets over west Rajasthan, south Punjab, and south Haryana and Himachal Pradesh from 25th April.
During the week 2, maximum temperatures is likely to be above normal by 2-3°C over most parts of Western Himalayan Region and adjoining Palins of northwest India and East Coast;
over many parts of Indo-Gangetic plains, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, some parts of Gujarat and Maharashtra coast. It is likely to be below normal to near normal over rest parts of India.
Heat wave conditions likely to continue over eastern India (Odisha and adjoining areas of Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar and Jharkhand) and at isolated places over northwest India and Uttar Pradesh during week.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 21 April, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 68.74 BCM from the previous week’s level of 72.90 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 63.34 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 53.50 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 120 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 13 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 05 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50% and 02 reservoirs with storage upto 30%.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 39 109 128
Last Week 41 110 131
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 36% on 21.04.2021, 44% on 21.04.2020, 27% on 21.04.2019 and 25% on 21.04.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, NPKS and SSP) during Kharif 2022 (As on 22.04.2022)
(In 000’ Tonnes)
Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPKS SSP
Monthly Requirement 22.41 8.91 2.87 8.23 4.48
Monthly Supply 24.75 9.93 3.07 7.82 0.00
Opening Stock as on 01.04.2022 51.04 8.30 2.63 14.90 16.12 Receipt from 01 - 21 April, 2022 17.00 5.21 0.96 3.64 1.75 Availability from 01 - 21 April, 2022 68.04 13.50 3.59 18.55 17.87 Cumulative Sales 01 - 21 April, 2022 7.65 1.83 0.37 1.75 1.33 Closing Stock as on 21.04.2022 60.38 11.67 3.22 16.80 16.54
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
An incidence of Citrus greening disease (CandidatusLiberibacter) in Maharashtra.
o Citrus greening disease was reported at Severe intensity (Above ETL) from Nagpur district of Maharashtra.
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.
V. Seeds:
The states have reported tentative 177.97 lakh quintals seed availability against the requirement of 160.45 lakh quintals in the country for Kharif-2022 season.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 15 April, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP: Arhar, Masur, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard and Sesamum.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Wheat, Gram, Moong, Soyabean and Sunflower.
Inflation (WPI Food Index) has increased from 8.47% in February 2022 to 8.71% in March, 2022.
Status of change of WPI in February 2021 over March 2022 for some major items is as under.
- All Commodities: increase from 13.11% to 14.55%.
- Primary Articles: increase from 13.39% to 15.54%
- Food Articles: declined from 8.19% to 8.06%.
- Non-food Articles: increase from 24.23% to 25.41%.
- Pulses: declined from 2.72% to 2.22%.
- Cereals: increase from 6.07% to 8.12%.
- Wheat: increase from 11.03% to 14.04%.
- Paddy: increase from 0.00% to 1.05%.
- Fruits and Vegetables: declined from 19.69% to 15.46%.
- Milk: increase from 1.87% to 2.90%.
VII. Variations in the Wholesale Price Indices (WPI) of Major items
Table: 7.1Period /
Commodities Weight
Inflation (year on year)
Mar-2022 Feb-2022 Mar -2021
All Commodities 100.00 14.55 13.11 7.89
Primary Articles 22.62 15.54 13.39 7.28
(a) Food Articles 15.26 8.06 8.19 3.44
Cereals 2.82 8.12 6.07 -4.08
Paddy 1.43 1.05 0.00 1.38
Wheat 1.03 14.04 11.03 -7.73
Pulses 0.64 2.22 2.72 13.14
Gram 0.26 3.95 4.54 15.23
Arhar 0.13 1.66 1.85 15.97
Moong 0.07 -0.24 -2.12 4.44
Masur 0.05 22.03 23.21 15.34
Urad 0.09 -10.17 -10.53 11.19
Vegetables 1.87 19.88 26.93 -5.19
Potato 0.28 24.62 14.78 -33.40
Onion 0.16 -9.33 -26.37 5.15
Fruits 1.60 10.62 10.30 16.18
Milk 4.44 2.90 1.87 2.65
Egg, Meat & Fish 2.40 9.42 8.14 5.59
(b) Non-Food
Articles 4.12 25.41 24.23 11.94
Oilseeds 1.12 22.49 22.88 23.58
VIII. Progressive Procurement as on 22 April, 2022
Table 8.1: Rice
(In lakh tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
22.04.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 28.42 31.43
Telangana 46.00 32.66
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Gujarat 0.82 0.74
Haryana 37.05 37.89
Kerala 2.83 2.54
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 8.96 9.07
Odisha 38.92 42.80
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 21.98 19.98
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.74 7.12
West Bengal 14.96 13.87
All-India 508.27 472.98
Source: Food &PD Table 8.2: Wheat
State Progressive Procurement as on
22.04.2022 In Marketing season
2022-2023
In Marketing season 2021-2022
Punjab 61.72 60.58
Haryana 33.35 59.54
Uttar Pradesh 0.60 5.01
Madhya Pradesh 23.27 41.03
Rajasthan 0.01 3.91
Uttarakhand 0.01 0.28
All-India 119.00 170.89
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 21 April – 27 April, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 21 APR 22 APR 23 APR 24 APR 25 APR 26 APR 27 APR
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS SCT SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH SCT WS L● WS● WS● FWS WS FWS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT L WS L● WS L● WS L● FWS L WS FWS
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT L FWS L FWS L SCT SCT SCT SCT 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT L FWS L● SCT L SCT L ISOL FWS SCT
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT L SCT L ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY
7 ODISHA SCT L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
8 JHARKHAND ISOL L SCT L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
9 BIHAR ISOL L SCT L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL D DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL D DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
12 UTTARAKHAND FWS# SCTH ISOL DRY ISOL ISOL DRY
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI SCT L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
14 PUNJAB ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH FWS L SCT L ISOL DRY SCT L ISOL DRY
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH WS L FWS L ISOL ISOL SCT L DRY ISOL
17 WEST RAJASTHAN ISOL D DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL D DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L DRY DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
23 KONKAN & GOA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL DRY ISOL
25 MARATHAWADA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY ISOL
26 VIDARBHA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY
27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
29 TELANGANA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL DRY
30 RAYALASEEMA DRY DRY DRY ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL L ISOL ISOL
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL L ISOL ISOL 34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL L ISOL ISOL
35 KERALA & MAHE SCT L SCT L FWSL FWS L SCT L SCT SCT
36 LAKSHADWEEP DRY SCT L SCT DRY DRY DRY DRY
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DDust storm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 22 April – 26 April 2022:
